Warrior Met Coal, Inc. · NYSE:HCC

Warrior Met Coal — Q3 2022 Earnings Presentation

30 slides from Warrior Met Coal's earnings presentation, Nov 2, 2022

  1. Slide 1: Third Quarter 2022 Results

    Third Quarter 2022 Results November 2, 2022

  2. Slide 2: Forward-looking statements

    Wa rri o r Met C o a l Page 1 Forward-looking statements These slides contain, and the officers and representatives of Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (the “Company”) may from time to time make, forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Sectio

  3. Slide 3: Pure Play U.S. Met Coal Producer and 100% Exporter

    W ar r ior Met Coal Page 2 Pure Play U.S. Met Coal Producer and 100% Exporter Warrior  Alabama-based exporter of comparable Australian Premium Low-Vol HCC to the global steel industry  Variable cost structure that adjusts with index HCC prices, allowing Warrior to remain flexible and adapt to chan

  4. Slide 4: Why Met Coal?

    W ar r ior Met Coal Page 3 Why Met Coal? Met coal plays a long-term, critical role in an environmentally–sustainable world  Steel has an important role in today and tomorrow’s society and is required for everything from rail to bridges to buildings to electric vehicles to wind and solar power.  Me

  5. Slide 5: Third Quarter 2022 Achievements

    Wa rri o r Met C o a l Page 4 Third Quarter 2022 Achievements  Achieved quarterly net income of $98.4 million, adjusted net income(1)* of 1 $108.6 million and adjusted net income per share* of $2.10 per diluted share. 2 Achieved Adjusted EBITDA*(2) of $171.6 million, a 64% increase over the prior y

  6. Slide 6: Key Metrics for Three Months Ended September 30, 2022 vs. Q3 2021

    Wa rri o r Met C o a l Page 5 Key Metrics for Three Months Ended September 30, 2022 vs. Q3 2021 For the three months ended September 30, 2022 For the three months ended September 30, 2021 % Change Tons produced (in 000s St) 1,643 Tons produced (in 000s St) 1,129 46% Tons sold (in 000s St) 1,499 Tons

  7. Slide 7: Key Metrics for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022 vs. 2021

    Wa rri o r Met C o a l Page 6 Key Metrics for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022 vs. 2021 For the nine months ended September 30, 2022 For the nine months ended September 30, 2021 % Change Tons produced (in 000s St) 4,847 Tons produced (in 000s St) 4,496 8% Tons sold (in 000s St) 4,169 Tons so

  8. Slide 8: Customer Revenue by Geography Provides Significant Logistical Cost Advantage to the Seaborne Market

    Wa rri o r Met C o a l Page 7 Customer Revenue by Geography Provides Significant Logistical Cost Advantage to the Seaborne Market Delivered cost advantage into Europe based on ~2 Customer revenue by geography week transport time vs. ~5 weeks from Australia Q3 2021 Q3 2022 21% 49% 47% 62% 17% ~2 week

  9. Slide 9: Generated Significant Free Cash Flow on Strong Conversion of Adjusted EBITDA Margins

    Wa rri o r Met C o a l Page 8 Generated Significant Free Cash Flow* on Strong Conversion of Adjusted EBITDA* Margins(1) FCF Conversion(2) 50% 63% 20% 58% 112% 59% 80% 69% 70% 64% 58% 59% 60% Adjusted EBITDA Margin(3) 52% 50% 44% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Q3 2021 Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 TTM Avg. Net

  10. Slide 10: Leverage and Liquidity Ratio

    Wa rri o r Met C o a l Page 9 Leverage and Liquidity Ratio Financial Metrics ($ in millions except ratios) Leverage (for the trailing twelve months ended September 30, 2022) Adjusted EBITDA* $ 1,086.9 Consolidated Net Cash* (1) $ (403.7) Net Leverage Ratio (2) (0.37x) Liquidity (as of September 30,

  11. Slide 11: Breaking Down Warrior's 2022 Capital Expenditures

    W ar r ior Met Coal Page 10 Breaking Down Warrior’s 2022 Capital Expenditures 2022 Capex Guidance 2022 Capex Guidance Detail versus Actual ($ in millions) Low High ($ in millions) Sustaining(1) Guidance QTD Actuals YTD Actuals (5) Production (Mst ) 5.8 6.3 High End Q3 2022 Q3 2022 Capex Mines $75 $2

  12. Slide 12: Workforce Productivity Near All-time High

    W ar r ior Met Coal Page 11 Workforce Productivity Near All-time High Warrior Met Coal Efficiency and Average Output per Hour Effectiveness 4.0 2.5  In the third quarter of 2022, consolidated 3.5 average hourly output was 3.31st(1) Clean Tons per hour worked (st(1)) 2.0 3.0 Production (Mst(2))  Mi

  13. Slide 13: Strong Track Record and Continued Focus on Safety

    W ar r ior Met Coal Page 12 Strong Track Record and Continued Focus on Safety Total Reportable Incident Rate FY FY FY Q3 Safety 2019 2020 2021 2022 YTD  Superior safety record compared to the industry average Tons produced (000s St(3)) 8,470 7,862 5,605 4,847 Annual % increase/(decrease) 10% (7%) (

  14. Slide 14: Capital Allocation: Balancing Capital Investments for Medium to Long-Term Growth with Near-Term Returns to Stockholders

    W ar r ior Met Coal Page 13 Capital Allocation: Balancing Capital Investments for Medium to Long-Term Growth with Near-Term Returns to Stockholders Free Cash Flow* For the For the development For returns For M&A existing business of Blue Creek to stockholders • Sustaining capital • Development capit

  15. Slide 15: Warrior Remains Committed to Stockholder Returns and Maximizing Stockholder Value

    W ar r ior Met Coal Page 14 Warrior Remains Committed to Stockholder Returns and Maximizing Stockholder Value Proven Track Record of Leveraging Free Cash $ 342 38.0 Flow to Return Cash to Stockholders… 12.5 $ 607 Q3 2022 2017 2018 2019 2020(3) 2021(2)(3) YTD Dividends $14.92 $6.73 $4.61 $0.20 $0.20

  16. Slide 16: 2022 Full Year Guidance

    Wa rri o r Met C o a l Page 15 2022 Full Year Guidance Full Year Guidance Coal Sales 5.8 – 6.3 Mst Coal Production 5.8 – 6.3 Mst Cash Cost of Sales $118 - $125 per St (Free-on-Board Port)* Capital Expenditures for $75 - $80mm Existing Mines Blue Creek Project and Other $110 - $120mm Discretionary Ca

  17. Slide 17: Project Updates

    Project Updates

  18. Slide 18: 4 North Construction Update

    W ar r ior Met Coal Page 17 4 North Construction Update • 4 North construction activities were paused in April 2021 after exhausting the onsite purchased and committed construction materials • Temporary facilities were ready for use as scheduled, but were shuttered to reduce idle costs • Use of temp

  19. Slide 19: 4 North Portal General Layout

    W ar r ior Met Coal Page 18 4 North Portal General Layout Temporary Power Substation Offices (complete) (complete) Mine Service Potable Shaft & Hoist Water Tank (complete) (complete) Bathhouse and Parking Office Building Area (nearing completion) Onsite Warehouse (under construction) Mine Vent. Shaf

  20. Slide 20: World-Class Blue Creek Project with High-Return for Growth Under Development

    W ar r ior Met Coal Page 19 World-Class Blue Creek Project with High-Return for Growth Under Development  One of the last remaining untapped premium quality High Vol A Significant Growth Potential coal reserves in the U.S., that should achieve premium prices 17.6  Once developed, expected to provi

  21. Slide 21: Blue Creek Construction Update – Slope Site

    W ar r ior Met Coal Page 20 Blue Creek Construction Update – Slope Site Construction Shop Construction Hoist Construction Supply Top of Yard Slope Underground Slope (under construction)

  22. Slide 22: Blue Creek Construction Update – Portal Facility

    W ar r ior Met Coal Page 21 Blue Creek Construction Update – Portal Facility Main Power Line Water Treatment (complete) Facility Service Shaft (under construction) Future Power Substation Future Water Tank Future Parking Area Future Mine Vent. Shaft & Access Road Fan (under Future Bathhouse & constr

  23. Slide 23: Blue Creek Progress Update

    W ar r ior Met Coal Page 22 Blue Creek Progress Update 1 Project Stages • Permitting Activities • General surface construction (ponds, roads, etc.) • Slope construction • Service shaft and hoist 2 Project Timeline • Q3 2024 Continuous Mine Start • Q2 2026 Longwall Start 3 Capital Spending vs. Budget

  24. Slide 24: Appendix

    Wa rri o r Met C o a l Page 23 Appendix

  25. Slide 25: Appendix

    Wa rri o r Met C o a l Page 24 Appendix For the three months ended For the three months ended September 30, 2022 (Unaudited) September 30, 2021 (Unaudited) Short Tons Metric Tons Short Tons Metric Tons Tons sold (in 000s) 1,499 1,360 1,059 961 Tons produced (in 000s) 1,643 1,490 1,129 1,024 Average

  26. Slide 26: Appendix

    Wa rri o r Met C o a l Page 25 Appendix For the nine months ended For the nine months ended September 30, 2022 (Unaudited) September 30, 2021 (Unaudited) Short Tons Metric Tons Short Tons Metric Tons Tons sold (in 000s) 4,169 3,782 4,834 4,385 Tons produced (in 000s) 4,847 4,397 4,496 4,079 Average

  27. Slide 27: Appendix Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    Wa rri o r Met C o a l Page 26 Appendix Non-GAAP Financial Measures Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA to Amounts Reported Under U.S. GAAP For the three months ended For the nine months ended September 30, (Unaudited) September 30, (Unaudited) (in thousands) 2022 2021 2022 2021 Net income $ 98,403 $

  28. Slide 28: Appendix Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    W ar r ior Met Coal Page 27 Appendix Non-GAAP Financial Measures Reconciliation of Free Cash Flow to Amounts Reported Under U.S. GAAP For the three months ended For the nine months ended September 30, (Unaudited) September 30, (Unaudited) (in thousands) 2022 2021 2022 2021 Net cash provided by opera

  29. Slide 29: Appendix Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    W ar r ior Met Coal Page 28 Appendix Non-GAAP Financial Measures Reconciliation of Adjusted Net Income to Amounts Reported Under U.S. GAAP For the three months ended For the nine months ended September 30, (Unaudited) September 30, (Unaudited) (in thousands) 2022 2021 2022 2021 Net income $ 98,403 $

  30. Slide 30: Appendix Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    W ar r ior Met Coal Page 29 Appendix Non-GAAP Financial Measures Reconciliation of Cash Cost of Sales (Free-On-Board Port) to Cost of Sales Reported Under U.S. GAAP For the three months ended For the nine months ended September 30, (Unaudited) September 30, (Unaudited) (in thousands) 2022 2021 2022

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