Lamda Development S.a. · ATHEX:LAMDA

Lamda Development — Investor Day (July 2023)

78 slides from Lamda Development's investor day presentation, Jul 6, 2023

  1. Slide 1: 2023 Investor Day

    2023 Investor Day July 6, 2023 Presentation

  2. Slide 2: Disclaimer

    Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared by LAMDA Development S.A. (the “Company”) for the purposes of the Company’s Investor Day 2023 event. The information contained in this presentation has not been independently verified and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to,

  3. Slide 3: Contents

    Contents Today’s Presenters page 4 LAMDA – At the right place, at the right time page 6 The Investment Opportunity page 10 Malls – A compelling value and growth play page 16 The Ellinikon – A unique development at an inflection point page 29 Closing Remarks page 49 Appendix page 56

  4. Slide 4: Today's Presenters

    Today’s Presenters Odisseas Melina Angeliki Theodoros Harris Apostolos Dimitris Athanasiou Paizi Touziou Gavriilidis Goritsas Zafolias Haralabopoulos Chief Executive Chief Officer – Chief Officer – Chief Investment Chief Financial Chief Strategy & Investor Relations Officer Malls & Leisure Residenti

  5. Slide 5: LAMDA at a glance

    LAMDA at a glance A leading Greek Real Estate player with a premier, diversified portfolio of assets in a rebounding market Investment Assets Development Assets A top-quality portfolio of Malls and Marinas with The Ellinikon: Europe's pioneering 15-minute, unmatched footprint in the Greek market gre

  6. Slide 6: LAMDA: At the right place, at the right time

    O1 LAMDA At the right place, at the right time | 6

  7. Slide 7: Greece is poised for sustained macroeconomic growth

    Greece is poised for sustained macroeconomic growth A growing economy decoupled from global trends Strong 2022 GDP growth* (5.9%), way ahead vs. the rest of Europe (3.5%) and the U.S. (2.1%) Solid GDP growth outlook* (+2.4% in 2023), ahead of EU peers (+1% in 2023) On track to regain Investment Grad

  8. Slide 8: Greek Real Estate to rebound after a prolonged under-investment period

    Greek Real Estate to rebound after a prolonged under-investment period Average Annual New Dwellings in Attica Net FDI in Greek real estate (‘000 units) (€m) 2019-22: € 5.5bn 1.975 2007-18: € 3.1bn 1.450 34,0 1.176 1.128 -90% 875 415 7,4 308 239 222 3,6 129 98 63 89 101 156 153 2007 2008 2009 2010 20

  9. Slide 9: Athenian Riviera is the prime focal point of the real estate resurgence

    Athenian Riviera is the prime focal point of the real estate resurgence A Supply & Demand Imbalance which The Ellinikon project is uniquely positioned to capitalize on Remarkable influx of local and international residents and investors to the revamped Athenian Riviera create a demand wave that exis

  10. Slide 10: The Investment Opportunity

    O2 The Investment Opportunity | 10

  11. Slide 11: LAMDA has a proven track record of value creation

    LAMDA has a proven track record of value creation… NAV (€bn) Incl. €650m 1,4 SCI 1,2 0,6 The Ellinikon 0,4 0,6 Malls HoldCo Net Debt & 0,2 Other Investments 2018 2019 2022 The Ellinikon NAV, as per IFRS rules, reflects only the land acquisition cost for the residential projects, thus it understates

  12. Slide 12: Set up for significant upside potential

    …and has set itself up for significant upside potential on the back of: a substantial potential value creation from The Ellinikon b Malls organic growth and development NAV (€bn) Even further upside potential €3.0bn from residential development selling price appreciation 1.8 The €1,000/sqm extra res

  13. Slide 13: Further upside potential from remaining residential developments

    Further upside potential from remaining residential developments selling price appreciation Other Phases 2027-2037 Residential Developments Gross Saleable Area Weighted Average Assumed (GSA) Selling Price at 2023 levels (‘000 sqm) (€‘000/sqm) 50m High-Rise c.500 9.0 Upper Mainstream c.300 7.2 Entry

  14. Slide 14: Premium location of The Ellinikon, at competitive pricing

    Further upside potential from remaining residential developments selling price appreciation Recent Transactions in the Athenian Riviera Location Voula Location Elliniko Status Under development Status Under development Completion 2024 Completion 2023 Transaction (2022) (€/sqm GSA) Transaction (2021)

  15. Slide 15: Why invest in LAMDA?

    Why invest in LAMDA? The platform to capitalize on positive country macro fundamentals Investment Assets Development Assets Malls & Other portfolio assets The Ellinikon ✓ #1 player in Malls in Greece ✓ Europe's pioneering 15- ✓ Self-financed with already minute, green, smart, c€1.4bn secured proceed

  16. Slide 16: Malls: A compelling value and growth play

    O3 Malls A compelling value and growth play | 16

  17. Slide 17: A top-quality, diversified portfolio with unmatched footprint in the retail market

    A top-quality, diversified portfolio with unmatched footprint in the retail market The Mall Athens FY2022 Golden Hall The largest shopping and entertainment center in Greece GAV The most premium shopping and leisure center in Greece €1.0bn Mediterranean Cosmos Designer Outlet Athens The largest shop

  18. Slide 18: Best ever profitability in the Malls' history

    2022 Financial results Best ever profitability in the Malls’ history Incl. Designer Outlet Athens €3.7m Record high EBITDA 68.6 (c5 months since Aug 2022) €m Record high Tenant Sales 651 GAV exceeded €1bn Incl. Designer Outlet €47m since Aug 2022 €m Incl. Designer Outlet €116m 1.0 €bn Rent Collectio

  19. Slide 19: New record high Q1 2023

    Q1 2023 Financial results New record high Q1 2023 Growth vs. 2022 EBITDA Tenant Sales Footfall 4 Malls incl. Designer Outlet1 +36% +38% +35% 3 Malls +20% +38% +32% 1. EBITDA includes 4 Malls in Q1 2023 vs 3 Malls in Q1 2022 (excl. Designer Outlet Athens acquired in Aug’22). Tenant Sales and Footfall

  20. Slide 20: Existing Malls

    Existing Malls Achieving 2022 EBITDA historical record and poised for strong growth outlook EBITDA (€m) 7.7% CAGR 2022-26 Total Malls 92 5.4% 89 CAGR 2014-19 83 10 Designer Outlet 75 9 69 9 64 8 23 Med. Cosmos 41 23 COVID 21 49 19 19 19 45 24 Golden Hall 13 37 23 22 17 14 19 20 13 11 13 10 35 The Ma

  21. Slide 21: Uniquely positioned to exploit the upside opportunity

    Uniquely positioned to exploit the upside opportunity Norway 857 Greece has the lowest Shopping Centres density in Europe Finland 464 Sweden 380 High barriers to entry for new competitors (lack of sizeable plots and complicated permitting process) Spain 248 Prolonged macro crisis resulted in concent

  22. Slide 22: Significant yield premium against relevant European peers

    Significant yield premium against relevant European peers 2022 Exit yields1 vs Selected Peers 7.5% 6.1% 6.3% 5.8% 6.0% Average 5.5% 5.7% 5.0% 5.1% 4.4% Peer France Spain France Central Iberia Iberia Central Italy LD Malls Country Europe Europe 1. Exit yields (cap rates) used by Independent Valuers S

  23. Slide 23: The Ellinikon Malls | Vouliagmenis Mall

    The Ellinikon Malls | Vouliagmenis Mall Designed to become the Mall of the Future – A hybrid experiential mall Completion Lead Architect: Aedas Project Management: Mace-Jacobs Q1 2027 ECI Consultant: Rizzani de Eccher- AVAX Progress of works 2023 Milestones • Permitting and Design at completion stag

  24. Slide 24: The Ellinikon Malls | Riviera Galleria

    The Ellinikon Malls | Riviera Galleria Designed to become one of the best premium boutique retail developments in Europe Completion Lead Architect: Kengo Kuma Q1 2026 Project Management: Mace-Jacobs Progress of works 2023 Milestones • Permitting and Design at completion stage • Early Works commencem

  25. Slide 25: The Ellinikon Malls: Outstanding commercial leasing progress

    The Ellinikon Malls Outstanding commercial leasing progress 3 years ahead of opening Agreed/Signed Heads of Terms Expression of (% of GLA) interest (% of GLA) Target May 2023 End 2023 Vouliagmenis Mall 152% 53% 70% Riviera Galleria 190% 30% 50% | 25

  26. Slide 26: The Ellinikon Malls Funding

    The Ellinikon Malls Funding Vouliagmenis Mall & Riviera Galleria (2022-2026) Uses Sources Building CAPEX 656 Own Equity 271 ✓ Land & Infrastructure 263 Bank Debt 575 ✓ Other Costs Offices Above Mall Sale & (financing, marketing, etc.) 133 Other Funding 206 ✓ Total 1,052 Total 1,052 | 26

  27. Slide 27: Projected Pro-forma EBITDA: €168m

    Projected Pro-forma EBITDA: €168m | Existing & The Ellinikon Malls EBITDA 4 Malls 6 Malls (in €m) 2022 The Ellinikon Malls 1st full year in operation1 168 72 The Ellinikon Malls 69 96 Existing Malls Existing Malls Existing Malls Metrics: Metrics: Yield 6.7% | Net LTV 49% | NAV €0.6bn Yield 6.5% | Ne

  28. Slide 28: Strategy going forward

    Strategy going forward Provide transparency to investors and unlock value by creating a separate Malls company Aim for Lamda Malls IPO within 2024 subject to market conditions. IPO to include all 6 Malls Target a primary offering (€150m), subject to market conditions, used for: (i) funding the devel

  29. Slide 29: The Ellinikon

    O4 The Ellinikon A unique development at an inflection point | 29

  30. Slide 30: Europe's pioneering 15-minute, green, smart, coastline city-within-a-city

    Europe's pioneering 15-minute, green, smart, coastline city-within-a-city Land GFA The Ellinikon Park Coastline & Beach Phase I (2021-26) Revenues 6.2m sqm 2.7m sqm 2m sqm 3.5 km €3.3bn | 30

  31. Slide 31: A Unique Master Plan

    Α Unique Master Plan An exemplar "15-minute City” where people can walk or cycle, within 15 minutes, to Work, Shops, School, Cultural & Sports Venues, Park & the Beach Shopping Education Destination Private School & Health & 1 Mega Mall & Residences Higher Education 1 Luxury Destination Medical Faci

  32. Slide 32: A Unique Location

    A Unique Location Enjoying the Mediterranean climate, at only 20min distance from the Acropolis, the cradle of Western civilization With Public Transport Accessibility (Metro, Tram etc.)… FALIRO COVE STAVROS NIARCHOS FOUNDATION CULTURAL CENTER MARINA FLISVOS PIRAEUS PORT ALIMOS MARINA THE ELLINIKON

  33. Slide 33: Working with world-class advisors and expert partners

    Working with world-class advisors and expert partners to mitigate execution risks While having lined-up all our partners to quickly move to the execution phase of the project CONTRACTORS • Bouygues-Intrakat JV • Rizzani de Eccher-AVAX JV • AVAX • EKTER ARCHITECTS & DESIGNERS OTHER • Foster + Partner

  34. Slide 34: Phase I

    O4.1 Phase I Project Overview | 34

  35. Slide 35: 2023 Construction progress to date

    2023 Construction progress to date PwD Trachones Experience Park & Experience Centre Site Remediation Posidonos Underpass Riviera Tower | 35

  36. Slide 36: Construction to start within 2023

    Construction to start within 2023 PwD Vouliagmenis Mall Sports Complex Trachones Experience Park & Experience Centre Site Remediation Poseidonos Underpass The Cove Residences The Cove Villas Beach Riviera Riviera Galleria Tower | 36

  37. Slide 37: Phase I Projects

    Phase I Projects Office Park PwD Education Mixed-use Tower Vouliagmenis Mall Sports Complex Trachones Education Healthcare Experience Park & Experience Centre Site Mainstream Remediation Residential Poseidonos Underpass Integrated Resort Residential Casino (IRC) The Cove Residences The Cove Marina H

  38. Slide 38: Phase I Projects overview

    Phase I Projects overview Office Park PwD Education Mixed-use Tower Vouliagmenis Mall Sports Complex Trachones Education Healthcare Experience Park & Experience Centre Site Mainstream Remediation Residential Posidonos Underpass Integrated Resort Residential Casino (IRC) The Cove Residences The Cove

  39. Slide 39: The Project in numbers

    O4.2 The Project in numbers | 39

  40. Slide 40: Progress of Coastal Front Residential Sales

    Progress of Coastal Front Residential Sales (part of Phase I) Units Contract Value SPAs & Final stage Available/ Total Total Reservation of negotiation On the Market Units (€m) Agreements Riviera Tower 157 13 0 170 625 The Cove Residences 104 11 0 115 279 The Cove Villas 27 1 0 28 214 313 1,118 | 40

  41. Slide 41: Cash Collection Update

    Cash Collection Update in €bn Cash proceeds Total cash proceeds Expected total cash proceeds 27 June 2023 end-2023 Coastal Front Residential1 0.28 0.6 Land Plot Sales & Leases2 0.05 0.1 TOTAL 0.33 0.7 1.Cash proceeds (i) from signed SPAs and (ii) from pre-agreement customer deposits 2.Cash proceeds

  42. Slide 42: Phase I Residential Developments | Estimated Gross Profit: €0.9bn

    Phase I Residential Developments | Estimated Gross Profit: €0.9bn Coastal Front projects 100% sold-out Residential to be brought to the market from H2 2023 Riviera Cove Cove Mainstream Mainstream Neighborhood Tower Villas Residences High-Rise Posidonos Alimos Retail Total Metric GSA sqm 44.6 20.9 25

  43. Slide 43: Phase I | Estimated Net Cash Flow generation: €0.6bn

    Phase I | Estimated Net Cash Flow generation: €0.6bn A self-financed project, despite heavy upfront investment, on the back of a successfully tested Residential “Design-Sell-Build” model in €bn Phase I Phase I Residential to be Coastal Front residential brought to the market in H2 2023 0,3 3,3 1,4 H

  44. Slide 44: Other Phases | Estimated Net Cash Flow generation: €1.7bn

    Other Phases | Estimated Net Cash Flow generation: €1.7bn Significant embedded value in the Residential projects in €bn 0,8 0,2 6,0 10,3 9,3 0,8 0,4 0,6 0,8 1,7 Residential Other1 Land Plot Total Residential Infrastructure Land General Tax & Net Cash Sales Inflows & Park Acquisition Expenses Finance

  45. Slide 45: The Ellinikon | Estimated Cash Flow Generation

    The Ellinikon | Estimated Cash Flow Generation Significant embedded value from the Ellinikon anticipated cash flow generation… Net Cash Flow after Tax Present Value end-2026 in €bn Nominal Value (8% discount rate) Phase I (2021-2026) 0.6 0.6 Other Phases (2027-2037) 1.7 1.2 The Ellinikon 2.3 1.8 €1,

  46. Slide 46: Risks & Mitigation

    ~~ ~~ _< IN isk S & M hile a tio al

  47. Slide 47: De-risked business model focusing on self-sustainable growth

    De-risked business model focusing on self-sustainable growth Construction cost increase mitigants ✓ “Guaranteed Maximum Price” (GMP) contract with Contractors Riviera Tower Bouygues-Intrakat JV Vouliagmenis Mall Rizzani de Eccher-AVAX JV ✓ Construction kick-off at advanced Design stage ensures safe

  48. Slide 48: Mitigants against rising interest rates

    Mitigants against rising interest rates Reduced interest rate exposure through active debt & cash collections management Group Debt (March 2023) Balance Interest Rate (in €bn) Bond I 2020 (fixed coupon, bullet) 0.3 3.4% Green Bond 2022 (fixed coupon, bullet) 0.2 4.7% 57% hedged Bank Debt Hedged 0.1

  49. Slide 49: Closing Remarks

    C lo sINg R e m fe rks ~~ OW” | TC

  50. Slide 50: The Development Cycle | Critical milestones achieved so far

    The Development Cycle | Critical milestones achieved so far A prolonged period of value build-up has been completed, leading to exceptional Residential Pre-Sales and significant progress of Construction Works SPA Signing Funding Organization build up Construction Tenders: Sales • Rights Issue • Bouy

  51. Slide 51: Sustainability Strategy Pillars

    Sustainability Strategy Pillars Decarbonization Circularity People & Prosperity Transition to net zero and build Achieve net zero water and waste Create economic value, accelerate Ambition resilience to a changing climate social vitality and engage people Energy- Net Zero Climate Design out Keep pro

  52. Slide 52: Value-adding Development Strategy

    Value-adding Development Strategy Ultimately striking a balance between extracting the maximum amount of value, while ensuring timely and successful execution Full Development Value Project De-risking JVs Land Develop Sale or Lease Malls, Marina Strategic JVs Masterplan-enhancing & Residential deals

  53. Slide 53: The path towards 2026 | Group Cash & Debt Evolution

    The path towards 2026 | Group Cash & Debt Evolution in €bn Group Cash* Group Debt Ellinikon: €0.6bn • Peak of Residential Sales €0.2bn payment to • Office SPV exit the Greek State 1,7 (2nd instalment) 0,8 1,5 0,7 Peak of 0,6 Ellinikon 1,2 1,2 0,4 Malls 0,2 Residential & 1,2 Infra CAPEX 0,1 0,1 0,6 0

  54. Slide 54: The path towards 2026 | Important Milestones

    The path towards 2026 | Important Milestones Segregate Income-producing Assets (Malls) from Development Assets (Ellinikon) 2024 Lamda Malls IPO End-2024 End-2026 Existing Malls EBITDA €83m €92m End-2024 End-2026 Existing Malls NAV €0.7bn €0.9bn 1st year of 6 malls operation 6 Malls EBITDA (Existing

  55. Slide 55: Why invest in LAMDA?

    Why invest in LAMDA? The ultimate platform to capitalize on: • positive Country macro fundamentals and • rebounding real estate sector after years of underinvestment Unlocking the value of a unique Malls portfolio Significant NAV appreciation potential (projected FY2026 NAV at €3bn) Further upside p

  56. Slide 56: Appendix

    O6 Appendix

  57. Slide 57: Corporate Governance

    O6.1 Corporate Governance | 57

  58. Slide 58: Corporate Governance

    Corporate Governance LAMDA has adopted the Hellenic Corporate Governance Code of the Hellenic Corporate Governance Council1 Board of Directors (BoD) Main Adopted Policies 11 members elected on an individual basis • Code of Conduct • Procurement • Chair is independent, non-executive with distinct rol

  59. Slide 59: The Ellinikon: The Project in numbers

    O6.2 The Ellinikon The Project in numbers | 59

  60. Slide 60: Phase I | Total Cash Proceeds build-up

    Phase I (2021-2026) | Total Cash Proceeds build-up in €bn 1.0 3.3 Total 0,7 0,1 0.9 0,2 2,3 Residential 0,6 0.5 0,2 0,1 0,4 0.6 0,1 0,3 Other (IRC & JV exit) 0,4 0.3 0,1 0,8 Land Plot Sales & JVs 0,1 0,2 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total | 60

  61. Slide 61: Phase I | Residential Developments

    Phase I (2021-2026) | Residential Developments GSA Units Proceeds Gross Profit 244k sqm 1,534 €2.3bn €0.9bn Mainstream Alimos High-rise Mainstream Posidonos The Cove Villas Riviera Tower The Cove Residences | 61

  62. Slide 62: Phase I | Coastal Front Residential Cash Collections

    Phase I (2021-2026) | Coastal Front Residential Cash Collections SPAs / Reservation Agreements Cash proceeds (€m) 15 June 2023 Riviera Tower 149 End-2023 The Cove Residences 26 €0.6bn The Cove Villas 99 TOTAL 274 | 62

  63. Slide 63: Phase I | Residential Cash proceeds

    Phase I (2021-2026) | Residential Cash proceeds A carefully laid-out strategy to ensure collection of €2.3bn A comprehensive plan in place to target International Buyers to further broaden the customer base Already registered strong demand for residential projects: over 8,000 buyers from 52 countrie

  64. Slide 64: Phase I | Cash Inflows from Land Plot Sales & Other

    Phase I (2021-2026) | Cash Inflows from Land Plot Sales & Other in €bn Total cash proceeds Total cash proceeds Total cash proceeds Cash proceeds 27 June 2023 end-2023 end-2026 Land Plot Sales & Other 0.05 0.1 0.6 Ellinikon Malls (intragroup land plot sale) 0.19 0.2 0.2 TOTAL 0.24 0.3 0.8 Signed Deal

  65. Slide 65: Integrated Resort Casino (IRC) monetization

    Integrated Resort Casino (IRC) monetization (end-2025) Counterparty HARD ROCK-GEK TERNA JV Land Agreement Agreement type (Signed in Sep. 2022) Long-term lease Land plot use (30 years) Integrated Resort Casino Project type (IRC) GFA 168k sqm Total project over €1bn investment End-2025 Cash €0.3bn Pro

  66. Slide 66: Other Phases 2027-2037 | Residential projects overview

    Other Phases 2027-2037 | Residential projects overview GSA Units Proceeds Gross Profit c0.9m sqm c6,500 €9.3bn €3.3bn | 66

  67. Slide 67: The Ellinikon: Progress of Works

    O6.3 The Ellinikon Progress of Works | 67

  68. Slide 68: Poseidonos Underpass | Progress of works

    Poseidonos Underpass | Progress of works 50% of the total volume Completion has been excavated End 2025 Excavation work front 1 km 25% of total already concreted 1.5 km in total (more than 1 km underpass) | 68

  69. Slide 69: Site Remediation | Progress of works

    Site Remediation | Progress of works 2022 Completion • 250 tons of hazardous waste removed from the site surfaces July 2023 2023 • 1,000 m3 of contaminated underground water treated • More than 6,000 tons of contaminated soil has been treated on site in the bioremediation cell. • 5.5 km of fuel pipe

  70. Slide 70: Trachones | Progress of works

    Trachones | Progress of works 2023 Completion • Completion of 40% of excavation works Dec. 2024 • Trees transplant activities in progress | 70

  71. Slide 71: PwD building: 11 months ago vs today

    PwD Building constructed within 1 year; scheduled opening in Sep 2023 11 months ago Today | 71

  72. Slide 72: Riviera Tower | Timeline

    Riviera Tower | Timeline 2021 Completion • Foster + Partners mobilization • Successful Launch of Pre-sales Q1 2026 2022 • JV Bouygues Intrakat JV appointed for ECI & early works contract • Building Permit Issuance • SPA signing 2023 • Completion of early works • Bouygues-Intrakat JV awarded Main Wor

  73. Slide 73: Riviera Tower | Progress of works

    Riviera Tower | Progress of works Today 300 piles (diam. 1.5m and 1.0m) in place, in 35-55 m. depth. • Piles Completed to date 90% Diaphragm Wall (520m) completed Excavations works have commenced Year end 2nd floor visible at 21 metres | 73

  74. Slide 74: The Cove Residences | Timeline

    The Cove Residences | Timeline 2021 Completion ISV and BOBOTIS team mobilization Q1 2026 2022 • Design Progress • KAS & KESA Approvals • Successful Launch of Presales 2023 • Issuance of Building Permits • Mobilization on Site / Demolitions • Project Management Consultant: Hill International • Early

  75. Slide 75: Malls: Yields & Market Positioning

    O6.4 Malls Yields & Market Positioning | 75

  76. Slide 76: Relatively well positioned against the current rising interest rates cycle

    Relatively well positioned against the current rising interest rates cycle 10-year Greek Government Bond (GGB) vs. LAMDA Malls Exit Yield 8,5% 8,0% Exit Yield 7,3% 7,3% 7,4% 7,5% 7,5% Malls 6,0% 4,2% 4,3% 3,7% 10-year 3,5% GGB 2,6% 1,3% 0,9% 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 31.03.2023 30.06.2023 1. Wei

  77. Slide 77: The undisputed leader in prime retail assets in Greece

    The undisputed leader in prime retail assets in Greece Factory Pireos 13,0 Factory Airport 14,0 GLA (sqm) Athens Heart 18,4 Existing: 178 287 Riviera Galleria 19,0 Ellinikon: 109 Fashion City 20,0 VS Peers: 214 Designer Outlet 21,2 Metro Mall 21,5 River West 21,6 Avenue 22,8 One Salonica 29,3 Med. C

  78. Slide 78: Thank you

    Thank you

LAMDA Development — Investor Day (July 2023) on 6ix