Wec Energy Group, Inc. · NYSE:WEC
Wec Energy — Investor Presentation (November 2024)
51 slides from Wec Energy's investor presentation, Nov 8, 2024
Slide 1: Energizing the Future: Investor Update November 2024
1 Energizing the Future Investor Update: November 2024
Slide 2: Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Information
2 Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Information Much of the information contained in this presentation is forward-looking information based upon management’s current expectations and projections that involve risks and uncertainties. Forward-looking information includes, among other thin
Slide 3: The Premier Energy Company in America's Heartland
3 The Premier Energy Company in America’s Heartland * As of Oct. 31, 2024 $30.2 billion market cap* 4.7 million retail customers 60% ownership of American Transmission Company $45.2 billion of assets
Slide 4: A History of Strong Earnings Growth
4 A History of Strong Earnings Growth $0.00 $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 $5.00 $6.00 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23 '24 * 2024 Guidance (GAAP) is $4.74 – $4.84. 2024 Adjusted Guidance is $4.80 – $4.90. __CAGR is estimated based on 2024 adjusted guidance mi
Slide 5: EPS Guidance Exceeded: Consistent Performance Over Time
5 EPS Guidance 2023 Exceeded* 2022 Exceeded 2021 Exceeded 2020 Exceeded 2019 Exceeded 2018 Exceeded 2017 Exceeded 2016 Exceeded 2015 Exceeded 2014 Exceeded 2013 Exceeded 2012 Exceeded 2011 Exceeded 2010 Exceeded 2009 Exceeded 2008 Exceeded 2007 Exceeded 2006 Exceede
Slide 6: Strong Dividend Growth Continues
6 In January, raised the dividend by 7.0% to a new annual rate of $3.34 per share* 21st consecutive year of rewarding shareholders with higher dividends Top-decile dividend growth in industry** Included in S&P's High Yield Dividend Aristocrats Index Strong Dividend Growth Continues * Annuali
Slide 7: What's New?
7 What’s New?
Slide 8: Wisconsin Rate Review Outcome
8 Wisconsin Rate Review Outcome Authorized return on equity maintained at 9.80 percent Equity ratio maintained at 53.0 percent Updated earnings sharing mechanism at Wisconsin Electric: Final written order expected before year-end WE WG and WPS Treatment 9.80% - 9.95% 9.80% - 9.95% No sharing
Slide 9: Wisconsin Rate Review Outcome by utility
9 Wisconsin Electric Wisconsin Gas Wisconsin Public Service Electric Natural Gas Natural Gas Electric Natural Gas Authorized ROE 9.80% 9.80% 9.80% 9.80% 9.80% Authorized Equity Ratio 53.00% 53.00% 53.00% 53.00% 53.00% 2025 Rate Increase % 4.1%2 7.0% 4.3% 3.7%2 3.7% 2025 Rate Increase $ (in millions)
Slide 10: Powering Industry Leaders in Our Region
10 Powering Industry Leaders in Our Region
Slide 11: 1,800 MW of Additional Demand through 2029
11 1,800 MW of Additional Demand through 2029 ‘Mount Pleasant AI data center will be among the world’s most advanced’ –Brad Smith, President of Microsoft BizTimes Milwaukee Strong Regional Growth Robust demand along I-94 Milwaukee to Chicago corridor: Microsoft announced $3.3 billion investment (2
Slide 12: Longer-Term Sales and Load Growth Remain Strong
12 Longer-Term Sales and Load Growth Remain Strong Wisconsin Segment Year-Over-Year 2027-2029 Electric 4.5%-5.0% Gas 0.7%-1.0% Sales Growth Forecast (weather-normalized) 2025-2029 adding 1,800 MWs (~20%) of electric demand
Slide 13: Capital Plan – Key Drivers Identified
13 Capital Plan – Key Drivers Identified $4.3 billion of additional investments compared to previous five-year plan: Regulated renewables – $2.1 billion increase Natural gas generation – $0.9 billion increase LNG capacity – $400 million increase Electric distribution – $700 million increase
Slide 14: 2025-2029 Capital Plan Increasing by $4.3 Billion
14 $9.5 $13.2 $1.0 $1.4 $3.8 $4.5 $5.2 $5.3 $3.0 $3.2 $1.2 $0.4 $23.7 $28.0 2024-2028 2025-2029 WEC Infrastructure (WECI) Electric Transmision (ATC)* Gas Distribution** Electric Distribution WI LNG Capacity Electric Generation N e w p la n F o rm e r p la n $ In billions *ATC is accounted for using
Slide 15: Robust Growth in Asset Base
15 $29.4 billion $48.8 billion 2023A 2029E* Robust Growth in Asset Base *Estimated year-end average asset base. Expect compound annual EPS growth of 6.5% to 7.0% 8.8% Growth
Slide 16: Diverse Portfolio of Businesses
16 Diverse Portfolio of Businesses Based on average asset base. 62% 16% 5% 7% 10% WI IL MI/MN WECI ATC* By Jurisdiction By Business 48% 33% 2% 7% 10% Electric generation and distribution Natural gas distribution LNG (distribution and generation) WECI Electric transmission* *ATC is accounted for usin
Slide 17: Exiting Coal
17 We plan to eliminate coal as an energy source by end of 2032. Since 2018, we have retired nearly 2,500 MW of fossil fuel generation, including Oak Creek Units 5-6 (May 2024). Retirements planned: Oak Creek Units 7-8: 611 MW (late in 2025) Columbia Units 1-2: 300 MW Weston Unit 3: 328 MW
Slide 18: Investing $9.1 Billion in Regulated Renewables
18 Solar Total 2,900 MW $5.5 billion Battery Storage Total 565 MW $0.9 billion Wind Total 900 MW $2.7 billion Grand Total 4,365 MW $9.1 billion 2025-2029 Plan includes: Plan to build and own 4,300 MW – more than quadrupling our carbon-free generation. Investing $9.1 Billion in Regulated Renewables
Slide 19: Modernizing Our Gas-Fueled Generation Fleet
19 Modern, efficient natural gas generation serves as a critical resource in our energy transformation. Modernizing Our Gas-Fueled Generation Fleet 2025-2029 Capital Plan Weston RICE * Filed and pending regulatory approval. Combustion Turbines Filed: Oak Creek * 1,100 MW planned Expected investm
Slide 20: Investing in Reliability for Our Natural Gas Network
20 Investing in Reliability for Our Natural Gas Network New proposed LNG storage facilities are needed to ensure gas supply for winter reliability. Oak Creek LNG facility* 2 Bcf Expected investment: $456 million Plans underway for an additional 4 Bcf Expected investment: $940 million LNG p
Slide 21: Future Transmission Investment
21 $812 $908 $1,133 $1,250 $1,250 $487 $545 $680 $750 $750 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 ATC WEC portion 60% Capital Drivers: Economic Growth Reliability / Asset Renewal LRTP Tranche 1 in 2024 dollars: ATC: $1.2 billion WEC portion: $700 million $580 million in this plan LRTP Tranche 2 plan
Slide 22: Projected Cash Flows and Financing Plan
22 Projected Cash Flows and Financing Plan ($ in billions) Cash from Operations $18.5 - $19.5 (60%) Common Equity $2.7 - $3.2 (9%) Dividends $6.8 - $7.0 Capital Plan $24.8 Cash Uses Cash Sources Incremental Debt 2 $9.5 - $10.0 (31%) 1. Excludes ATC’s capital. ATC is accounted for using the equity me
Slide 23: Credit Quality – Maintaining a Healthy Balance Sheet
23 Credit Quality – Maintaining a Healthy Balance Sheet Current Issuer Credit Ratings Entity S&P Rating Moody’s Rating WEC Energy Group A- Baa1 Wisconsin Electric A- A2 Wisconsin Gas A A3 Wisconsin Public Service A- A2 Peoples Gas A- A2 FFO/Debt Metrics 2025-2029 WEC Energy Group Target GAAP FFO to
Slide 24: Carbon Reduction Goals – Electric Generation
24 *Includes projection of potential carbon offsets by 2050. Carbon Reduction Goals – Electric Generation We have established aggressive carbon reduction goals for our electric generating fleet, aligned with or surpassing global emissions pathways aimed at limiting warming to 1.5°C. Reduction goals:
Slide 25: Methane Reduction
25 -100% -80% -60% -40% -20% 0% 2011 2023 2030 Achieved1 and anticipated methane emission reduction from natural gas distribution. Aligns with effort to limit warming to 1.5°C. -23% Goal: Net zero by end of 20302 Use of renewable natural gas (RNG) is expected to contribute to our goal.3 Methane Redu
Slide 26: Key Takeaways for WEC Energy Group
26 Consistent, industry leading earnings growth. Top-decile dividend growth. Capital plan supported by economic growth Drives premium long-term EPS growth of 6.5% to 7.0%. 98%+ of capital allocated to regulated businesses. Aggressive environmental goals in place. By end of 2030, we exp
Slide 27: Appendix
Appendix Wa wec VA Energy Group
Slide 28: Electric Distribution Electric Transmission 60% ownership Electric Generation Energy Infrastructure Natural Gas Distr…
28 Electric Distribution Electric Transmission 60% ownership Electric Generation Energy Infrastructure Natural Gas Distribution
Slide 29: Regulated Renewable Generation and Storage Projects – Solar
29 Solar Projects Docket Anticipated Approval WEC Capacity (MW) WEC Investment ($M) Ownership Anticipated In-Service Paris Solar Park 5-BS-254 Approved 180 319E WEPCO/ WPS 90%1 2024 Darien Solar Park 5-BS-255 225 427E 2025 Koshkonong Solar Park 5-BS-258 270 621E 2026 High Noon Solar Park 5-BS-276 Q4
Slide 30: Battery and Wind Projects
30 Battery Projects Docket Anticipated Approval WEC Capacity (MW) WEC Investment ($M) Ownership Anticipated In-Service Paris Battery Park 5-BS-254 Approved 99 223E WEPCO/WPS 90%1 2025 Darien Battery Park 5-BS-255 68 140E 2026 Koshkonong Battery Park 5-BS-258 149 309E 2027 High Noon Battery Park 5-BS
Slide 31: Commitment to ESG
31 Reduce carbon dioxide emissions from electric generation 60% by end of 2025 and 80% by end of 2030 – both from a 2005 baseline. Long- term goal of net-zero carbon emissions from our generating fleet by 2050 Planned exit from coal by end of 2032 Targeting net-zero methane emissions from natural ga
Slide 32: Electricity Supply by Fuel Type
32 Electricity Supply by Fuel Type (megawatt-hours delivered to regulated utility customers) 73% 32% 7% 37% 43% 17% 22% 21% 3% 9% 34% 2005 2023 2030E 2032 2050 Coal Natural Gas Nuclear Renewables Exiting Coal <2% Net carbon neutral goal Planned exit from coal
Slide 33: Investing in Innovation: Clean Energy Pilot Projects
33 Organic Flow Battery Storage Leading a pilot project to test a new ‘green battery’ – a form of long-duration energy storage that incorporates environmentally friendly materials. Partnering with EPRI and CMBlu Energy Project will test battery system performance, including the ability to stor
Slide 34: WEC Infrastructure Portfolio
34 In service Under development 1. Investment is part of the 2025-2029 capital plan. WEC Infrastructure Portfolio Total Project Capacity (MW) Investment (in millions) Wind ● Upstream 200 $307 ● Bishop Hill III 132 166 ● Coyote Ridge 97 145 ● Blooming Grove 250 389 ● Tatanka Ridge 155 240 ● Jayhawk 1
Slide 35: Infrastructure Projects and Offtake Agreements
35 Project Investment Offtake Agreement WEC Commercial Operations Bishop Hill III Wind Energy Center $166M for 90% ownership WPPI Energy – 22 years 8/31/18 Upstream Wind Energy Center $307M for 90% ownership Affiliate of Allianz – 10 years 1/10/19 Coyote Ridge Wind Farm $145M for 80% ownership and 9
Slide 36: Utility Capital Plan Drives EPS Growth
36 Utility Capital Plan Drives EPS Growth $27.6 Billion Projected Capital Spend From 2025-2029 1,334 2,550 2,610 2,854 2,611 2,560 32 243 299 529 345 - 877 940 943 840 877 925 984 998 1,118 1,179 963 1,085 410 487 545 680 750 750 $3,637 $5,218 $5,515 $6,082 $5,546 $5,320 - 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,
Slide 37: Capital Plan Projections
37 Company 2024 2025 2026 Wisconsin Electric $1,792.7 $3,047.3 $3,281.2 Wisconsin Gas 216.3 216.0 283.9 Wisconsin Public Service 562.5 801.8 806.4 Upper Michigan Energy 121.1 137.3 39.2 Wisconsin Segment $2,692.6 $4,202.4 $4,410.7 Peoples Gas 314.2 321.6 343.5 North Shore Gas 39.2 52.1 61.3 Illinois
Slide 38: Composition of Asset Base
38 Composition of Asset Base Total 2023 Average Asset Base of $29.4 Billion Note: We Power value represents investment book value. Company Asset Base - $B % of Total Wisconsin Electric $8.2 27.9% Wisconsin Gas 2.1 7.1 Wisconsin Public Service 4.6 15.6 Upper Michigan Energy Resources 0.4 1.4 Peoples
Slide 39: Power the Future Investments
39 Power the Future Investments 1 Port Washington (Natural Gas) Oak Creek Expansion (Coal/Co-Fire Gas3) Capacity 1,090 MW 1,030 MW 2 Investment $664 million $2 billion 2 ROE 12.7% 12.7% Equity 53% 55% In Service Dates Unit 1 – July 2005 Unit 2 – May 2008 Unit 1 – February 2010 Unit 2 – January 2011
Slide 40: National Leader in Operating Efficiency and Financial Discipline
40 National Leader in Operating Efficiency and Financial Discipline $29.47 $12.20 $17.50 $18.40 $18.50 $21.10 $22.00 $24.00 $25.40 $42.70 $92.90 $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70 $80 $90 2023 Non-Fuel O&M per MWh* Source: FERC Form 1 Reports *For all companies, excluded 1) pensions and other employee b
Slide 41: Focused on Efficiency
41 Focused on Efficiency $1,342 $1,281 $1,234 $1,143 $1,107 $1,088 $1,082 $1,088 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024E $ I n m ill io n s *Excludes costs that have a revenue offset such as operation and maintenance costs associated with the We Power generation units, transmission expenses th
Slide 42: External Financing Plans for 2024
42 External Financing Plans for 2024 1 $800 - $900 $100-$200 $0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 Holding Company Utilities & Energy Infrastructure Equity Issuances (i n m ill io n s ) YTD Financing Planned Financing $1,725 2 1. Amounts and timing are subject to material change based upon numerous fa
Slide 43: Projected Financing Plans for 2025
43 Projected Financing Plans for 2025 1 $1,000 - $1,400 $2,300 - $2,700 $700 - $800 $0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 Holding Company Utilities & Energy Infrastructure Equity Issuances (i n m ill io n s ) Planned Financing Existing Facilities $3.0B net liquidity (as of September 30, 2024) $
Slide 44: Balanced and Diverse Sales Mix
44 33% Large C&I by Segment Paper/Packaging 24% Mining/Minerals 11% Foundry (SIC 33) 10% Other Manufacturing 8% Metal (SIC 34,35,37) 7% Food/Agriculture 6% Medical 6% Education 4% Printing 2% Chemical 2% Office 2% Other 17% Balanced and Diverse Sales Mix Large C&I 33% Residential and Farm 31% Small
Slide 45: Regulatory Matters
45 Estimated Decision Date Wisconsin (apps.psc.wi.gov) Commission decision on general rate review for new base rates effective Jan. 1, 2025 (Dockets: WE and WG: 5-UR-111 and WPS: 6690-UR-128) Decision on Paris RICE generation (Docket: 6630-CE-316 filed 4/5/24) Q3 2025 Decision on Oak Creek C
Slide 46: Illinois Proceedings
46 Illinois Proceedings Safety Modernization Program (SMP) Review The Illinois Commerce Commission (ICC) ordered Peoples Gas to pause all spending on the Safety Modernization Program until it determines ‘the optimal method’ of pipe replacement and investment level. ICC order expected in the fi
Slide 47: Regulatory Environment
47 Regulatory Environment Wisconsin Governor Tony Evers (D) Term ends January 2027 Commission Gubernatorial appointment, Senate confirmation Chairman: Gubernatorial appointment 6-year staggered terms Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker (D) Term ends January 2027 Commission Gubernator
Slide 48: Rate-Making Parameters by Company
48 Rate-Making Parameters by Company Utility Equity Layer1 Authorized ROE Wisconsin Electric 50.50%-55.50% 9.80% Wisconsin Public Service 50.50%-55.50% 9.80% Wisconsin Gas 50.50%-55.50% 9.80% Peoples Gas 50.79% 9.38% North Shore Gas 52.58% 9.38% Minnesota Energy Resources 53.00% 9.65% Michigan Gas U
Slide 49: Key Rate-Making Components
49 Key Rate-Making Components Area Illinois– Gas Minnesota– Gas Michigan– Electric and Gas Wisconsin– Gas Wisconsin– Electric Gas Pipeline Replacement Rider MGU Bad Debt Rider ✓ Bad Debt Escrow Accounting Residential Residential Decoupling ✓ ✓ Fuel Cost Recovery 1 for 1 recovery of prudent fuel cost
Slide 50: Reconciliation of EPS (GAAP) to Adjusted EPS (Non-GAAP)
50 Reconciliation of EPS (GAAP) to Adjusted EPS (Non-GAAP) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2023 2024 Guidance EPS – GAAP basis $2.59 $2.34 $ 2.96 $ 3.79 $4.22 $4.74 - $4.84 Acquisition Costs 0.06 0.39 0.01 – Integrys Earnings (0.47) Impact of Additional Shares 0.47 Tax Benefit Related to Tax Cuts and Jobs Act o
Slide 51: Contact Information
51 Contact Information M. Beth Straka Senior Vice President – Investor Relations and Corporate Communications Beth.Straka@wecenergygroup.com 414-221-4639 Ashley Pless Investor Relations Analyst Ashley.Pless@wecenergygroup.com 414-221-4088
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