Beazley Plc · LSE:BEZ

Beazley — H1 2023 Earnings Presentation

42 slides from Beazley's earnings presentation, Sep 7, 2023

  1. Slide 1: Results for the period ended 30th June 2023

    Results for the period ended 30th June 2023 7th September 2023

  2. Slide 2: Adrian Cox, CEO; Sally Lake, CFO; Jahan Anzsar, Chief Actuary

    Adrian Cox, CEO Sally Lake, CFO Jahan Anzsar, Chief Actuary

  3. Slide 3: Contents

    Contents 05 Highlights 07 IFRS 17 13 Financial performance 17 Platform strength 20 Our underwriting 29 Capital strategy 37 Outlook 39 Questions 3

  4. Slide 4: Disclaimer notice

    Disclaimer notice Certain statements made in this presentation, both oral and written, are or may constitute “forward looking statements” with respect to the operation, performance and financial condition of the Company and/or the Group. These forward-looking statements are not based on historical f

  5. Slide 5: Highlights HY23

    Highlights HY23 • Record half year profit of $366.4m • On track to achieve full year guidance • Leaning into the property opportunity • Momentum continues in cyber – strong growth in Europe • Platform strength continues to be built out – US E&S carrier • Deployment of raised capital continues in 202

  6. Slide 6: Key financials

    Key financials • Gross insurance written premiums - $2,921.1m (2022HY: $2,574.3m) • Insurance service result - $342.2m (2022HY: $540.6m) • Discounted combined ratio - 84% (2022HY: 71%) • Undiscounted combined ratio - 88% (2022HY: 74%) • IFRS 4 combined ratio - 88% (2022HY: 87%) • Profit before tax -

  7. Slide 7: IFRS 17

    IFRS 17 Adrian Cox 7

  8. Slide 8: Reserving under IFRS 17

    Reserving under IFRS 17 100% • Preferred confidence level is between the 80th to 90th percentile 90% 89% • Risk Adjustment is estimated using 85% 85% the Cost of Capital Approach 80% • IFRS 17 reserves are underpinned by best estimates 70% HY2022 FY2022 HY2023 8

  9. Slide 9: Reserving under IFRS 17

    Reserving under IFRS 17 If we materially grow lines of business that are expected to have higher returns, then this will initially contribute to a higher risk adjustment On our Property Risks business, we currently have a combination of the following effects driving the claims ratio: • Rapid and mat

  10. Slide 10: IFRS 4 to IFRS 17 HY2023 discounted COR bridge

    IFRS 4 to IFRS 17 HY2023 discounted COR bridge IFRS 4 COR Impact of Rebased Expenses Onerous Other Undiscounted Discounting IFRS 17 IFRS 17 on COR contracts COR COR claims ratio 10

  11. Slide 11: Discounting YE2022 to HY2023

    Discounting YE2022 to HY2023 • Increases profit by $85m in H12023 • Continued increase in discounting credit to half year 2023 • Driven by the change in discount rates during 2023 YE 2022 Unwind New and change Change in HY 2023 in undiscounted discount estimates rates 11

  12. Slide 12: Discount Rate Sensitivity Analysis

    Discount Rate Sensitivity Analysis We have conducted sensitivity analysis on the yield curves as at HY23 and YE22 on both the assets and liabilities. The below table shows the net of reinsurance impact on Profit after Tax (“PAT”) of each scenario considered. USD(m) Assets Liabilities Total PAT Impac

  13. Slide 13: Financial performance

    Financial performance — beazley 13

  14. Slide 14: Financial performance

    Financial performance HY ended HY ended 30 June 2023 30 June 2022 % movement Gross Insurance Written Premiums ($m) 2,921.1 2,574.3 13% Net Insurance Written Premiums ($m) 2,349.6 1,808.2 30% Net Insurance Revenue ($m) 2,089.5 1,857.8 12% Insurance Service Result ($m) 342.2 540.6 (37%) Profit before

  15. Slide 15: Investment return

    Investment return 300.0 5.0% 4.0% 93.4 200.0 3.0% 104.1 2.0% 100.0 33.8 170.3 143.9 Investment return Investment result 1.0% 84.0 82.6 0.0 13.3 0.0% 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 (1.0%) (100.0) (193.0) (2.0%) (3.0%) (200.0) (4.0%) (300.0) (5.0%) 1st half 2nd half Investment Return 15

  16. Slide 16: Investment Portfolio

    Investment Portfolio 60% 56% Portfolio: $9,644.1m (31 Dec 2022: $8,998.1m) 50% 49% 40% 30% 26% 23% 20% 10% 10% 7% 6% 6% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 0% 0% Sovereign Debt Investment Grade Debt Hedge Funds Cash and Cash High Yield Debt Equities Illiquid Credit Assets Other Equivalents Q4 2022 Q2 2023 16

  17. Slide 17: Platform strength

    beazley Ay Platform strength aA

  18. Slide 18: Three platform strategy update

    Three platform strategy update • Our US, European and global wholesale platforms allow us to access business in locations where there is demand for our specialist products and expertise • We plan to begin writing on new US Beazley E&S carrier (subject to regulatory approval) from 1/1/2024 • We expec

  19. Slide 19: Platform strength – cycle management and delivering growth

    Platform strength – cycle management and delivering growth Europe North America Global Wholesale Via Lloyd’s Long term Long-term growth typically Growth at same rate as the Multi decade growth journey trajectory above market trend market Currently fast moving due to demand in Short/medium Fast growi

  20. Slide 20: Our underwriting

    Our underwriting 20

  21. Slide 21: Cyber Risks - continued momentum

    Cyber Risks - continued momentum • IWP $541.4m (2022HY $473.7m) • Undiscounted COR 78% (2022HY 48%) • Rate change (3%) (2022HY: 71%) • Rates 2.8x higher than end of 2019 • Increasing frequency of ransomware has not impacted our book yet • War wording uncertainty continues to dissipate • Prior invest

  22. Slide 22: Cyber risks - platform premium split

    Cyber risks - platform premium split Europe North America Global Wholesale Via Lloyd’s 50% % premium share 18% 32% 22% 78% Admitted business Non admitted business Growth HY23 v HY22 34% 22% 4% 22

  23. Slide 23: Property Risks – capitalising on opportunity

    Property Risks – capitalising on opportunity • IWP $805.2m (2022HY: $487.4m) • Undiscounted COR 84% (2022HY: 88%) • Rate change 22% (2022HY: 9%) • Property reinsurance in line with expectations and growth plan • Property insurance growth slightly higher • 1 in 250 risk appetite as a percentage of sh

  24. Slide 24: Property risks - platform premium split

    Property risks - platform premium split Europe North America Global Wholesale Via Lloyd’s 37% % premium share 3% 60% 0% 100% Admitted business Non admitted business Growth HY23 v HY22 -11% 127% 48% 24

  25. Slide 25: Specialty risks – balancing our portfolio

    Specialty risks – balancing our portfolio • IWP $941.3m (2022HY: $950.9m) • Undiscounted COR 91% (2022HY: 70%) • Rate change (1%) (2022HY: 4%) • Growth focused on niches – such as and M&A and specialty casualty • D&O will be a lower share and reduced growth driver • Continued caution on areas expose

  26. Slide 26: Specialty risks - platform premium split

    Specialty risks - platform premium split Europe North America Global Wholesale Via Lloyd’s 39% % premium share 8% 53% 41% 59% Admitted business Non admitted business Growth HY23 v HY22 -14% 7% -4% 26

  27. Slide 27: MAP Risks – Leveraging specialism

    MAP Risks – Leveraging specialism • IWP $522.4m (2022HY: $551.0m) • Undiscounted COR 102% (2022HY: 100%) • Rate change 6% (2022: 5%) • Economic recovery and complex geopolitical environment generated increasing demand for our specialist products e.g. marine, aviation, war, contingency, political ris

  28. Slide 28: MAP risks - platform premium split

    MAP risks - platform premium split Europe North America Global Wholesale Via Lloyd’s 10% % premium share 5% 85% 79% 21% Admitted business Non admitted business Growth HY23 v HY22 50% 7% -8% * *Gross premium has reduced due to the portfolio underwriting business now being written by syndicate 5623 wh

  29. Slide 29: Capital strategy

    Capital strategy 29

  30. Slide 30: Our capital strategy

    Our capital strategy • Focus is on maintaining a balanced portfolio, resilience and deploying capital to profitable classes • Moving to internationally comparable SCR model from Lloyd's focused ECR model • Capital raised in Nov 22 is being actively deployed in 2023 and 2024 • Approach to capital man

  31. Slide 31: Active capital management

    Active capital management 25.0 50% 45% 20.0 40% 35% 36% 35% 1 in 250 risk to SHE 35% 15.0 Dividend (p) 30% 25% 20% 10.0 20% 12% 11% 15% 15% 5.0 7% 10% 6% 4% 3% 3% 5% 0.0 0% 2012* 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Special dividend Interim and second interim ordinary dividend Surplus over ECR post Dividend Act

  32. Slide 32: New capital framework

    New capital framework Old basis New basis • Capital position representative of a global specialty insurer • Consistent basis for comparison vs. peers Surplus over Lloyd’s ECR Group SCR Coverage in the UK and Europe • Capital position is point in time at date reported Calculated as: Calculated as: •

  33. Slide 33: YE surplus over ECR shows capital actively deployed for growth in 2023/2024

    YE surplus over ECR shows capital actively deployed for growth in 2023/2024 • Our estimated surplus over Lloyd’s ECR at YE2023 is 23% above Lloyd’s ECR which anticipates 2024 growth • Surplus position currently contemplates around 20% growth net of reinsurance for 2024 Year ended Year ended 31 Dec 2

  34. Slide 34: HY capital position group solvency ratio

    HY capital position group solvency ratio • The latest view of our group solvency capital ratio as at HY2023 is 273% • Half year position does not include following years business plan and is therefore typically expected to be higher than year end position 30th June 2023 31st Dec 2022 $m $m Eligible

  35. Slide 35: Capital seasonality

    Capital seasonality Illustrative example of SCR ratio movements between HY and FY 29%  Strong underwriting performance drives significant own funds generation – delivering positive HY SCR • We typically expect HY SCR ratio to be higher than FY 273% SCR as HY only includes current year capital 244%

  36. Slide 36: Resilient capital position can withstand external shocks

    Resilient capital position can withstand external shocks Coverage remains strong even in the event of Cyber, Natural Catastrophe and Interest rate scenarios happening simultaneously (based on Solvency Capital Ratio as at 30 June 2023 ) SCR ratio estimate as at HY 2023 273% Scenario Impact on solvenc

  37. Slide 37: Outlook

    Outlook 37

  38. Slide 38: Outlook

    Outlook • Platform strength to deliver stable and consistent growth • Continue to build on cyber opportunity in Europe and Property in US E&S • Cyber war concerns dissipate and growth persists • We reiterate year end growth of mid 20s net and mid-teens gross • We expect a low 80s combined ratio on a

  39. Slide 39: Questions

    Questions 39

  40. Slide 40: Appendices

    Appendices 40

  41. Slide 41: Discounting YE2022 to HY2023

    Discounting YE2022 to HY2023 Discounting figures are calculated at a granular class level, by currency and updated quarterly. The key components driving the $85m increase in profit as a result of discounting are shown below. Category Amount: HY23 vs HY22 Calculation approach P&L line item Unwind $(1

  42. Slide 42: Other Key Information

    Other Key Information Discount rates & Liability Mean Terms • Risk Free Rates derived using Moody’s government bond yields by currency (USD/CAD/GBP EUR) • Illiquidity premium also sourced from Moody’s and adjusted to reflect the Group’s own asset portfolio • Discount rates as at HY23 and YE23 are sh

Beazley — H1 2023 Earnings Presentation on 6ix