Anglo American Plc · LSE:AAL

Anglo American — FY2012 Earnings Presentation

40 slides from Anglo American's earnings presentation, Feb 15, 2013

  1. Slide 1: Preliminary Results Year Ended 31 December 2012

    PRELIMINARY RESULTS YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2012 15 February 2013

  2. Slide 2: Cautionary Statement

    CAUTIONARY STATEMENT Disclaimer: This presentation has been prepared by Anglo American plc (“Anglo American”) and comprises the written materials/slides for a presentation concerning Anglo American. By attending this presentation and/or reviewing the slides you agree to be bound by the following con

  3. Slide 3: I. Operational Performance

    I. OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE CYNTHIA CARROLL

  4. Slide 4: Key Themes

    KEY THEMES • Underlying earnings $2.8bn and underlying EPS $2.26 Underlying EPS $ 5.06 • Impairments and special items resulted in loss attributable to equity shareholders of $1.5bn 4.36 4.13 • Record production across five commodities driven by project ramp up and operational improvements; offset 2

  5. Slide 5: Sustainable Development Performance

    SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT PERFORMANCE Safety Safety • Significant reduction in fatalities 1.16 1.15 Fatalities LTIFR 1.04 • Lost time injury frequency rate (LTIFR) improved by 48% 0.76 since 2006 0.64 0.64 0.60 44 40 • Strong focus on eliminating repeat incidents and reduction 28 20 17 in operational

  6. Slide 6: Strong growth in production offset by grade decline and industrial action

    STRONG GROWTH IN PRODUCTION OFFSET BY GRADE DECLINE AND INDUSTRIAL ACTION Strong year-on-year production increases Kumba Iron Ore Kolomela ramp-up, offset by unprotected strike at Sishen +4% Export metallurgical Record production driven by long wall performance coal +24% and open cut asset optimisat

  7. Slide 7: Illegal Industrial Action - Impact on Bottom Line

    ILLEGAL INDUSTRIAL ACTION - IMPACT ON BOTTOM LINE Platinum Kumba Iron Ore 2012 2012 Operating profit ($bn) (0.4) Operating profit ($bn) (0.1) EPS ($/share) (0.18) EPS ($/share) (0.02) Production (koz) (306) Approximate production loss (Mt) (5) Waste mining (Mt) (17) • Significant production losses r

  8. Slide 8: Iron Ore and Manganese

    IRON ORE AND MANGANESE • Operating profit of $2,949m, down 33% due to 23% fall in Kolomela exceeded expectations in 2012 iron ore prices, partially offset by record iron ore export sales of 39.7 Mt, up 7% kt • Kumba ownership increased by 4.5% to 69.7% 1,200 Kumba • Record Kumba production of 43.1 M

  9. Slide 9: Metallurgical Coal

    METALLURGICAL COAL • Operating profit of $405m, down 66%, due to Reduced FOB cash unit costs(1) 29% weaker met coal prices AUD$/t 20% • Record metallurgical coal production of 17.7 Mt; 111 up 24%, despite cutting low margin production 88 • Production increases driven by productivity improvements at

  10. Slide 10: Thermal Coal

    THERMAL COAL • Operating profit of $793m, down 36% Record South African export production • Record export production of 28.7 Mt, despite safety Mt stoppages, industry strikes and planned closure of 0.1 high cost production – High cost production at Goedehoop, Greenside and Kleinkopje closed and mine

  11. Slide 11: Copper

    COPPER • Operating profit of $1,687m, down 31% mainly due Improving copper production profile despite lower to lower prices and higher costs grades • Production up 10% to 660 kt despite Los Bronces kt Grade mine constraints and Collahuasi’s lower grades and throughput 800 1.2% • Los Bronces expansio

  12. Slide 12: Nickel

    NICKEL • Operating profit of $26m, down 54% Record Nickel production up 35% • Price decline of 23% and the Venezuelan kt +35% government export ban significantly impacted results 39.3 • Underlying operating profit included $59m self-insurance recovery • Record production of 39 kt, up 35%, including

  13. Slide 13: Platinum

    PLATINUM • Operating loss of $120m mainly due to lower sales and Fatalities average realised prices 25 • Significant improvement in safety performance 18 • Challenging market and economic conditions resulted in: 14 – Lower revenue 12 – Production cuts – Asset write-downs of $0.6bn 8 7 1 H2 • Illegal

  14. Slide 14: Diamonds

    DIAMONDS • Operating profit of $496m(1), down 25% Production reflects focus on maintenance and waste stripping backlogs • Driven by weak demand, partly offset by the full M carats consolidation of De Beers from August 2012 9.3 • Production of 27.9 Mct, down 2.5 Mct(2) or 8% - 8.1 8.1 7.4 7.2 product

  15. Slide 15: II. Financials

    II. FINANCIALS RENE MEDORI

  16. Slide 16: Financial Overview

    FINANCIAL OVERVIEW Underlying EPS ($/share) Key financials(1) 4.13 5.06 2.26 ($bn) 2012 2011 change 2.58 2.48 2.29 EBITDA 8.7 13.3 (35%) 1.84 Operating profit 6.2 11.1 (44%) 1.38 Effective tax rate 29.0% 28.3% 0.88 Impact of strikes: (0.20) Underlying earnings 2.8 6.1 (54%) Capex(2) 5.7 5.8 (1%) Net

  17. Slide 17: Full Year Operating Profit Variances

    FULL YEAR OPERATING PROFIT VARIANCES ($bn) 12.0 (3.9) 11.0 10.0 (2.9) Bulks 9.0 8.0 11.1 (1.0) (0.6) 0.9 0.2 (0.3) (0.5) 7.0 Traded (0.2) (0.3) (0.2) (0.1) 6.0 7.6 6.2 0.0 Actual Price(1) Exchange Inflation(2) Sales Cash Strikes(5) Depre- Associates De Other Actual 2011 volume(3) Costs(4) ciation Be

  18. Slide 18: Operating Profit Variances: Price (Bulks)

    OPERATING PROFIT VARIANCES: PRICE (BULKS) 2012 vs. 2011(1) ($m) Iron ore(3) (Mt) Metallurgical coal (Mt) Thermal coal RSA (Mt) Realised $156/t $122/t $265/t(4) $191/t(4) $114/t $92/t price 39.7 15.5 16.5 17.2 37.1 1% Export 12.3 9% 2% 24% sales 27% 13% 1% Iron ore (1,359) volume 18% 56% 91% 98% 99%

  19. Slide 19: Operating Profit Variances: Price (Base and Precious)

    OPERATING PROFIT VARIANCES: PRICE (BASE AND PRECIOUS) 2012 vs. 2011(1) ($m) Platinum price $/oz Rand/oz 1,900 Marikana 26,000 2012 platinum market price: $1,555/oz(2) Strike 2012 achieved Rand basket price: R19,764/oz(2) 1,800 24,000 1,700 22,000 1,600 20,000 1,500 Platinum (698) 1,400 Platinum mark

  20. Slide 20: Operating Profit Variances: Sales Volume

    OPERATING PROFIT VARIANCES: SALES VOLUME 2012 vs. 2011(1) ($m) Sales performance(1) (% change vs. 2011) 151 26% 88 KIO Metallurgical 223 Coal 9% (118) Platinum (5%) (42) Other(2) Platinum KIO(3) Met Coal(4) (1) Total Business Unit variance; impact of strikes at Platinum and Kumba excluded from Volum

  21. Slide 21: Above-CPI Cash Cost Movements

    ABOVE-CPI CASH COST MOVEMENTS Non controllable costs Controllable costs 11% 4% 8% 3% 5% 1% 7% 5% 2% 4% 1% 2% 1% (2%) (3%) (5%) 2007(1) 2008(1) 2009(1) 2010 2011 2012(2) (1) 2007 to 2009 excludes AngloGold Ashanti, Mondi, Highveld Steel and Tongaat-Hulett/Hulamin; 2010 onwards is for core operations

  22. Slide 22: Group Capex and Net Debt Overview

    GROUP CAPEX AND NET DEBT OVERVIEW Capital expenditure ($bn) Net debt ($bn) 5.8 5.7 Opening net debt – 1 January 2012 1.4 1.0 0.9 Operating free cash flow (7.4) 0.4 0.2 Capital expenditure 5.7 0.2 Closed out 0.2 Grosvenor projects 0.7 Cash tax paid 1.7 0.4 1.4 Minas-Rio Net interest paid 0.5 0.1 0.9

  23. Slide 23: Diamonds

    DIAMONDS Operating profit (at 100%) Accounting impact 100% Anglo attributable Price index (% indicates change on previous half year) • On acquisition of a controlling interest in De Beers on ($bn) 16 August 2012: (45%) +34% (4%) – 100% of De Beers was restated to fair value 0% 1.5 (12%) including no

  24. Slide 24: Key Accounting Items

    KEY ACCOUNTING ITEMS Impairments and other charges Minas-Rio ($bn on a post-tax basis) • On the basis of the revised capital expenditure Minas-Rio 4.0 requirements and an assessment of the full potential of phase one of the project (excluding at this stage the Platinum projects 0.6 potential for fut

  25. Slide 25: III. Conclusion

    III. CONCLUSION CYNTHIA CARROLL

  26. Slide 26: 2012 – A Year of Significant External Challenges

    2012 – A YEAR OF SIGNIFICANT EXTERNAL CHALLENGES CHALLENGES Weak economic Continued cost environment Illegal strikes inflation  $3.9bn price impact on  $0.5bn strike impact on  $0.3bn cost inflation impact on operating profit operating profit operating profit  Minas-Rio capex increase by $3bn Sa

  27. Slide 27: A Focused Business Delivering Growth

    A FOCUSED BUSINESS DELIVERING GROWTH A more streamlined commodity profile Significant reduction in fatalities % of operating profit 44 40 28 20 17 15 13 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 New projects contributed $1.2bn in 2012 2007 2012 20% of operating profit Iron Ore & Manganese Metallurgical Coa

  28. Slide 28: Resilient Portfolio with Balanced Exposure to All Stages of Development

    RESILIENT PORTFOLIO WITH BALANCED EXPOSURE TO ALL STAGES OF DEVELOPMENT Long term fundamentals remain robust Unique portfolio composition Indexed intensity of use – China H1 2012 EBITDA % 2012e 1.1 1.0 0.9 Peer 1 0.8 0.7 Peer 2 0.6 0.5 Peer 3 Steel 0.4 Copper Autocat PGMs 0.3 Peer 4 Diamonds 0.2 2 4

  29. Slide 29: Q&A

    Q&A

  30. Slide 30: Appendix

    AngloAmerican APPENDIX

  31. Slide 31: Platinum Portfolio Review: Key Proposals

    PLATINUM PORTFOLIO REVIEW: KEY PROPOSALS • Reduce baseline production to 2.1–2.3 Moz pa to more closely align Significant margin compression output with expected demand while maintaining flexibility to meet potential demand upside 550 Platinum mining industry average unit cost +14% Rand platinum pri

  32. Slide 32: Minas-Rio Review

    MINAS-RIO REVIEW • Medium and long term attractiveness and strategic Beneficiation plant – 53% complete positioning of Minas-Rio remains intact • Cost and schedule review completed, including a detailed re-evaluation of all aspects of the outstanding schedule, with a focus on maximising value and mi

  33. Slide 33: Analysis of Operating Profit

    ANALYSIS OF OPERATING PROFIT $m 2012 2011 Iron Ore and Manganese 2,949  4,400 Metallurgical Coal 405  1,189 Thermal Coal 793  1,230 Copper 1,687  2,461 Nickel 26  57 Platinum (120)  890 Diamonds 496  659 Other Mining and Industrial 337  315 Exploration (206)  (121) Corporate Activities and

  34. Slide 34: Analysis of Underlying Earnings

    ANALYSIS OF UNDERLYING EARNINGS $m 2012 2011 Iron Ore and Manganese 1,037  1,457 Metallurgical Coal 275  844 Thermal Coal 523  902 Copper 908  1,610 Nickel 11  23 Platinum (225)  410 Diamonds 312  443 Other Mining and Industrial 229  175 Exploration (195)  (118) Corporate Activities and Una

  35. Slide 35: Average Market Prices

    AVERAGE MARKET PRICES 2012 2011 Iron ore (FOB Australia) - $/t 122  160 Thermal coal (FOB South Africa) - $/t 93  116 Thermal coal (FOB Australia) - $/t 94  121 HCC (FOB Australia average quarterly benchmark) - $/t 210  289 Copper (LME) - cents/lb 361  400 Nickel (LME) - cents/lb 794  1,035 Pl

  36. Slide 36: Underlying Earnings Sensitivities

    UNDERLYING EARNINGS SENSITIVITIES(1) Commodity / currency Change in price / exchange $m Iron ore + $10/t 157 Metallurgical coal + $10/t 102 Thermal coal + $10/t 225 Copper + 10c/lb 77 Nickel + 10c/lb 5 Platinum + $100/oz 98 Rhodium + $100/oz 14 Palladium + $10/oz 6 ZAR / USD + every 10 c movement 53

  37. Slide 37: Regional Analysis – Operating Profit

    REGIONAL ANALYSIS – OPERATING PROFIT $m 2012 2011 South Africa 3,335  6,059 Other Africa 437  501 South America 2,367  3,245 North America (138)  256 Australia and Asia 465  1,318 Europe (302)  (284) Total operating profit 6,164 11,095 37

  38. Slide 38: Capital Expenditure

    CAPITAL EXPENDITURE(1) $m 2012 2011 Iron Ore and Manganese 2,077 1,659 Metallurgical Coal 1,028 695 Thermal Coal 266 190 Copper 996 1,570 Nickel 100 398 Platinum 822 970 Diamonds 94 - Other Mining and Industrial 260 225 Exploration 6 1 Corporate Activities and Unallocated Costs 29 56 Total capital e

  39. Slide 39: Operating Profit Variances: Exchange

    OPERATING PROFIT VARIANCES: EXCHANGE (1) Principally 2012 comprises CLP, GBP vs. 2011 and Euro ($m) ZAR/US$ exchange rate 9.0 945 BRL 102 8.0 7.0 6.0 2011: 7.26 2012: 8.21 5.0 Jan 2011 Jul 2011 Jan 2012 Jul 2012 Dec 2012 ZAR 885 BRL/US$ exchange rate 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.6 AUD (30) 1.4 (12) 2011: 1.67 2012

  40. Slide 40: Liquidity Headroom and Debt Profile

    LIQUIDITY HEADROOM AND DEBT PROFILE Liquidity headroom ($bn) 20.2 18.6 17.6 12.8 8.4 9.3 11.1 9.5 11.7 9.3 3.3 6.5 (14.6) (13.8) (13.1) (13.1) (17.9) 2009 2010 2011 2012 Liquidity headroom Undrawn facilities Cash Gross debt Debt repayments(1) ($bn) 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 2013 2014 2015 2016 201

Anglo American — FY2012 Earnings Presentation on 6ix