Kinder Morgan, Inc. · NYSE:KMI

Kinder Morgan — Q2 2023 Earnings Presentation

57 slides from Kinder Morgan's earnings presentation, Jul 19, 2023

  1. Slide 1: Investor Presentation 2Q 2023

    INVESTOR PRESENTATION 2Q 2023 TransColorado Pipeline compressor station, Mancos, Colorado

  2. Slide 2: Disclosure

    Disclosure Forward-looking statements / non-GAAP financial measures / industry & market data General – The information contained in this presentation does not purport to be all-inclusive or to contain all information that prospective investors may require. Prospective investors are encouraged to con

  3. Slide 3: Leader in North American Energy Infrastructure

    Leader in North American Energy Infrastructure Energy infrastructure, especially natural gas pipelines & storage, has a decades-long time horizon moving and storing the energy of today and tomorrow Largest natural gas transmission network Delivering energy to improve lives & create a better world —

  4. Slide 4: Strategy

    Strategy Maximize the value of our assets on behalf of shareholders Stable, fee-based Invest in a lower Financial Disciplined Enhance assets carbon future flexibility capital allocation shareholder value Core energy Established Energy 4.0x 2023B Conservative Maintain strong infrastructure Transition

  5. Slide 5: Core Holding in Any Portfolio

    Core Holding in Any Portfolio Generating significant cash flow & returning value to shareholders ~$70 billion Largest energy infrastructure company in ~38% of market cap value returned enterprise value the S&P500 to shareholders since 2016 S&P500 CURRENT DIVIDEND YIELDS y-axis represents # of S&P500

  6. Slide 6: Highly-Contracted Cash Flows

    Highly-Contracted Cash Flows Stable cash flows with ~67% take-or-pay or hedged earnings CONTRACT MIX OF 2023B ADJUSTED SEGMENT EBDA Entitled to payment regardless of throughput Fixed fee collected regardless of commodity price Reservation fee for capacity Volumetric-based revenues Commodity-price ba

  7. Slide 7: Proven History of Cash Flow Generation and Shareholder Returns

    Proven History of Cash Flow Generation and Shareholder Returns $ billions ADJUSTED EBITDA NET DEBT DIVIDENDS PAID & SHARES REPURCHASED(a) $17.3 billion returned +18% -19% to shareholders $0.5 $0.4 $7.9 $38 $7.5 $7.7 $37 $0.4 $0.7 $0.5 $7.1 $7.2 $6.9 $34 $33 $6.5 $6.7 $32 $31 $31 $31 $2.5 $2.5 $2.4 $

  8. Slide 8: 2023 Budget

    2023 Budget Performance driven by strong market fundamentals and robust demand growth for our existing & expanded services Variance to Key metrics 2023 Budget 2022 Net income $2.5 billion -1% Adjusted EBITDA $7.7 billion +2% Distributable Cash Flow $4.8 billion -3% (DCF) Discretionary capital(a) $2.

  9. Slide 9: $3.7bn Committed Growth Capital Project Backlog

    $3.7bn Committed Growth Capital Project Backlog as of 3/31/2023 Expect 53% of backlog capital in service in 2023, 25% in 2024, and 22% beyond LOWER $ million TOTAL CARBON Natural Gas $ 2,567 $ 2,567 56% for end-use, 16% supply-push, 27% G&P, 1% CCS Products 145 67 Renewable diesel projects Terminals

  10. Slide 10: Market Fundamentals

    MARKET FUNDAMENTALS CIG Rawlins station, Sinclair, Wyoming

  11. Slide 11: Energy is Essential to Human & Economic Development

    Energy is Essential to Human & Economic Development The transition to a renewable-energy world will not be seamless and will require the ongoing use of hydrocarbons U.S. POPULATION, GDP & ENERGY SUPPLY BY SELECT FUEL TYPES 2022, 2030, 2040, 2050 400 +12% +15% 372 350 361 346 44 +13%40 333 42 300 +69

  12. Slide 12: Energy Transitions Take Time

    Energy Transitions Take Time Our assets and services will be needed for a very long time GLOBAL ENERGY MIX BY FUEL PWh Biomass Coal Oil Natural gas Renewables Nuclear % of energy mix 180 – Energy transitions take a long time and consist of adding energy forms, 160 not eliminating existing forms 12%

  13. Slide 13: Significant Additional LNG Capacity Will Be Needed to Meet Future Demand

    Significant Additional LNG Capacity Will Be Needed to Meet Future Demand US & Middle East account for ~75% of LNG supply growth to 2050 2021–2050 LNG IMPORT DEMAND GROWTH bcfd GLOBAL LNG VOLUMES bcfd Southeast Asia 21 Rest of the world 13 70 63 60 India 5 60 54 55 57 China 1 Japan and Korea -8 50 44

  14. Slide 14: U.S. Expected to Support Increasing Global Demand

    U.S. Expected to Support Increasing Global Demand Reliable trade partner with ample reserves & price-competitive production FULL CYCLE COST OF LNG PROJECTS U.S. proved natural gas reserves increased 32% in 2021 US Other U.S. LNG exports are globally competitive and can $/mmbtu provide reliable & aff

  15. Slide 15: U.S. CO2 Emissions Declined Since 2007 while GDP grew ~45%

    U.S. CO2 Emissions Declined Since 2007 while GDP grew ~45% Primarily due to converting coal power generation to natural gas generation U.S. ELECTRICITY GENERATION MIX U.S. CO2 EMISSIONS FROM ENERGY CONSUMPTION % of total generation billion metric tons 7 -17%, -1.0 billion metric tons 18% 6.0 6.0 6.0

  16. Slide 16: Replacing Coal Could Likewise Accelerate Global Emissions Reductions

    Replacing Coal Could Likewise Accelerate Global Emissions Reductions POTENTIAL FOR LOWER GLOBAL EMISSIONS Mt CO2 Potential Net 9,394 Reduction of 26% 36,639 27,245 2021 total global CO2 emissions decrease in coal emissions 2050 potential global CO2 emissions (mostly attributable to coal to natural g

  17. Slide 17: Reliable, Long-Duration Storage is Critical in Peak Demand Periods

    Reliable, Long-Duration Storage is Critical in Peak Demand Periods DAILY AVERAGE OF WEEK-OVER-WEEK DAILY POWER EQUIVALENT TWh per day CHANGES IN U.S. WORKING GAS bcfd send-out build 6.1 2050 U.S. APS forecasts only 20 ~1.5 TWh of daily battery 0 capacity -20 Reliability is critical during these weat

  18. Slide 18: Positioned for the Future of Energy

    Positioned for the Future of Energy Our vast network of strategically-located energy infrastructure will continue delivering energy for decades to come Moving fuels of today & the future U.S. is the world’s most responsible producer Building new infrastructure networks is difficult, of scale environ

  19. Slide 19: Valuable Networks

    VALUABLE NETWORKS Tall Cotton compressor station, Seminole, Texas

  20. Slide 20: Growing Demand for Our Natural Gas Transportation & Storage Assets

    Growing Demand for Our Natural Gas Transportation & Storage Assets Leading to Increased Value Transport Natural Gas Transport KM NATURAL GAS TRANSPORT & SALES VOLUMES U.S. natural gas demand grew 36% over tbtud the past 7 years, from 78 to 106 bcfd 39.2 39.8 41.0 41.5 35.3 30.8 30.4 31.4 Favorable r

  21. Slide 21: Provide High-Value Natural Gas Takeaway in all Major Basins

    Provide High-Value Natural Gas Takeaway in all Major Basins U.S. production expected to grow 23% by 2030 U.S. NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION TGP provides valuable egress for NE producers & serves RELEVANT TO OUR FOOTPRINT bcfd important domestic markets as well as LNG and Mexico 41 Northeast +6 bcfd 35 LNG

  22. Slide 22: Strong Gulf Coast Footprint Positioned to Serve Demand Growth

    Strong Gulf Coast Footprint Positioned to Serve Demand Growth >95% of demand growth is expected to occur in Texas & Louisiana, driven by exports & industrial U.S. NATURAL GAS DEMAND bcfd 127 LNG exports 24 106 LNG exports 11 LNG plant fuel 2 LNG plant fuel 1 LNG Terminals Processing/Treatment Plant

  23. Slide 23: Transporter of Choice for LNG Facilities

    Transporter of Choice for LNG Facilities due to Supply Diversity, Network Connectivity, & 700 bcf of Total Working Gas Storage U.S. LNG FEEDGAS & KM TRANSPORT POTENTIAL bcfd U.S. LNG Feedgas KM transport Contracted to move ~7 bcfd to facilities today & ~10 bcfd by the end of 2025 Evaluating ~10 bcfd

  24. Slide 24: Extensive Storage Capabilities & Premium Service Offerings

    Extensive Storage Capabilities & Premium Service Offerings Provide Valuable Solutions for Variable Demand from Utilities & Exports Largest storage position in U.S. with 700 bcf of storage Stagecoach provides CIG fully contracted for flexibility to serve NE Multi-turn storage facilities provide LDC &

  25. Slide 25: Continue to Serve the Permian's Growing Gas Takeaway Needs

    Continue to Serve the Permian’s Growing Gas Takeaway Needs Own interest in >7 bcfd of existing Permian takeaway capacity NGPL Highly utilized capacity with long-term contracts Advantaged Intrastates network, downstream of GCX and PHP, provides shippers with end-market optionality (Houston power & pe

  26. Slide 26: Products Segment Overview

    Products Segment Overview Refined products pipes deliver transportation fuels from refining centers to key demand markets; crude assets in major basins PRODUCTS SEGMENT Refined Products (mbbld) Crude G&P and transport (mbbld) Adjusted Segment EBDA ($mm) 2000 $1,400 1800 $1,200 1600 1400 $1,000 COVID

  27. Slide 27: Products Segment's West Coast Renewable Fuels Projects

    Products Segment’s West Coast Renewable Fuels Projects Recently announced commercial in-service of our Southern and Northern California renewable diesel hubs Subsidies & state goals for emissions reductions are driving increased RD volumes Particularly in California where stacked subsidies currently

  28. Slide 28: Terminals Segment Overview

    Terminals Segment Overview Refined products focused; providing customers with unmatched scale, service-offerings & market-making connectivity # of capacity ASSET SUMMARY terminals (mmbbls) Terminals segment – Bulk 28 Terminals segment – Liquids 47 78 Products segment 65 56 Total Terminals 140 134 Jo

  29. Slide 29: Tankers Meeting Domestic Maritime Demand

    Tankers Meeting Domestic Maritime Demand Most modern & efficient Jones Act tanker fleet American Petroleum Tankers firm charter renewal option – 16 fuel-efficient Jones Act tankers YE-22 2023 YE-23 2024 YE-24 2025 YE-25 – Largest, most modern fleet with an average age of 8.8 years Bay State Dramatic

  30. Slide 30: Industry-Leading Renewable Feedstock Storage & Logistics Offering

    Industry-Leading Renewable Feedstock Storage & Logistics Offering Expanding Lower Mississippi River Hub Modifying 30 tanks & enhancing rail, truck, and marine New heated storage capacity and various marine, rail, & capabilities for Neste at Harvey pipeline infrastructure improvements at GRT $80 mill

  31. Slide 31: CO2 Segment Overview

    CO2 Segment Overview World class, fully-integrated assets | CO2 source to crude oil production & takeaway in the Permian Basin Interest in 5 oil CO2 pipelines CO2 EOR & TRANSPORT FREE CASH FLOW $ millions FCF Capex Adj. Segment EBDA fields with 9.2 CO2 source fields Oil fields $789 $777 billion barr

  32. Slide 32: Growing RNG Portfolio

    Growing RNG Portfolio LANDFILL-RNG ANNUAL PRODUCTION PRIMARILY CONTRACTED IN CAPACITY net to KM GROWTH PLAN TRANSPORTATION MARKET TODAY 1.8 bcf operational (2.3 bcf gross) Potential to grow +0.6 bcf over next decade with little capex Long-term contracts in transportation/RIN market +3.9 bcf expected

  33. Slide 33: Red Cedar Carbon Capture and Sequestration

    Red Cedar Carbon Capture and Sequestration Utilizing KM’s assets and expertise to enable an accretive CCS project Overview CO2 pipelines Oil fields — Red Cedar Gathering (RCG) is a natural gas midstream joint-venture between Southern Red Cedar Facilities Ute Indian Tribe Growth Fund (51%) and Kinder

  34. Slide 34: Recognized as an ESG Leader

    Recognized as an ESG Leader Highly rated by multiple agencies improved ratings by publishing EEO-1 report and responding to CDP FTSE #3 MSCI A Sustainalytics #2 of Oil & Gas Oil & Gas Refining, of 117 Oil & Gas Pipelines subsector Marketing, Transportation Storage & Transportation & & Storage Indust

  35. Slide 35: Compelling Investment Opportunity

    Compelling Investment Opportunity Strategically-positioned assets generating substantial cash flow with attractive investment opportunities NATURAL GAS PRODUCTS TERMINALS CO2 Storage Terminals Terminals CO2 source fields Processing 16 Jones Act tanker Oil fields LNG facilities RNG plants RNG plants

  36. Slide 36: Appendix

    APPENDIX Terminal Pit 11, Pasadena, Texas

  37. Slide 37: Stable, Growing U.S. Production

    Stable, Growing U.S. Production U.S. NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION U.S. CRUDE PRODUCTION & REFINED PRODUCT SUPPLY bcfd mmbbld Road fuels Crude Jet Fuel 108 15 102 12 96 9 90 Crude production continues to grow Production increases to 106 bcfd by 2025 6 84 Refined product volumes remain stable 3 78 72 - 2018

  38. Slide 38: Natural Gas Gathering & Processing Assets Across Key Basins

    Natural Gas Gathering & Processing Assets Across Key Basins Volume recovery ongoing G&P BUSINESS AS % OF 2023B NATURAL GAS SEGMENT GATHERING SHORT-TERM PRODUCTION OUTLOOK KMI ADJUSTED SEGMENT EBDA VOLUMES bbtud dry gas, bcfd, 2019 – 2024 4,000 2024 +56% over 2% Haynesville pre-COVID levels KinderHaw

  39. Slide 39: Refined Products Volumes Continue to Recover

    Refined Products Volumes Continue to Recover GASOLINE mbbld DIESEL mbbld JET FUEL mbbld 2022 2023B 2022 2023B 2022 2023B 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,000 1,000 1,000 800 800 800 600 600 600 400 400 400 200 200 200 - - - 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Q1’23: 948 mbbld 328 mbbld 271 mbbld 2023B: 992 mbbld

  40. Slide 40: Products Segment Crude Volume Update

    Products Segment Crude Volume Update Business as % of 2023B KMI Adjusted Segment EBDA: 1% Crude Gathering; 3% Crude Transport CRUDE TRANSPORT & GATHERING VOLUMES(a) mbbld SHORT-TERM PRODUCTION OUTLOOK 2019 – 2023 crude, mmbld 900 1.5 2023 +12% 2023 +7% vs 2022 vs 2022 600 1.0 300 0.5 - - 1Q19 2Q19 3

  41. Slide 41: Our Integrated Terminal Network on the Houston Ship Channel

    Our Integrated Terminal Network on the Houston Ship Channel Refined products focused with an irreplaceable collection of assets, capabilities & market-making connectivity Our unmatched scale & flexibility: KM terminals & assets refined products terminals Colonial local refineries & processing Explor

  42. Slide 42: Energy Transition Ventures (ETV) Group

    Energy Transition Ventures (ETV) Group The group is evaluating commercial opportunities ETV Group focused on opportunities emerging from the lower carbon energy transition outside of our existing asset base Other business segments will continue to pursue their own energy transition opportunities on

  43. Slide 43: RNG Market Opportunity

    RNG Market Opportunity U.S. RNG PRODUCTION bcfd RNG DEMAND MARKETS transportation market voluntary market 3.6 RNG-based vehicles If RNG volumes are Parties interested in expect landfills to drive growth emit up to 75% less consumed by fleets voluntarily decarbonizing GHG emissions than in the transp

  44. Slide 44: Contract Strategy Insulates Cash Flow Through Commodity Cycles

    Contract Strategy Insulates Cash Flow Through Commodity Cycles Structure long-term contracts that minimize price & volume volatility 67% take- or-pay or 26% fee- hedged based 7% Avg. remaining 2023B Adjusted Volumes & price are Price is fixed, Commodity- contract life Segment EBDA: contractually fix

  45. Slide 45: 2023 Budget Sensitivities

    2023 Budget Sensitivities Limited overall commodity exposure 2023B assumptions Change Potential Impact to Adjusted EBITDA & DCF (full year) Natural Gas Products Terminals CO2 Total Natural gas G&P volumes 3,668 bbtud +/- 5% $40 million $40 million Refined products volumes (gasoline, diesel & jet fue

  46. Slide 46: Minimum Book Tax Detail

    Minimum Book Tax Detail High-level example of calculation Net income Add back: Book depreciation Add back: Book federal income tax Subtract: Tax depreciation 2022 budgeted tax depreciation of ~$5.2 billion Adjusted Financial Statement Income (AFSI) x 15% Minimum Book Tax (MBT) PayPay the the greater

  47. Slide 47: ESG Strategy

    ESG Strategy Provide energy transportation & storage services in a safe, efficient, and environmentally responsible manner for the benefit of people, communities, and businesses Environmental Social Governance Invest in lower carbon future Safety-focused culture Risks & opportunities are monitored a

  48. Slide 48: Supporting a Lower Carbon Future & Enabling Our Customers to Meet Their GHG Goals

    Supporting a Lower Carbon Future & Enabling Our Customers to Meet Their GHG Goals Methane emission reductions Economic opportunities to R&D for new technologies & transparent disclosure participate in energy transition — Annual or more frequent compressor — ~80% of 2023B discretionary capital — Chen

  49. Slide 49: Infrastructure is Essential to Reduce & Avoid GHG Emissions

    Infrastructure is Essential to Reduce & Avoid GHG Emissions ONGOING ACTIVITES ANNOUNCED PROJECTS Avoided or reduced 17.1mm metric tons CO2e in 2021 Potential to avoid or reduce 9.5mm metric tons CO2e annually CO2e Annual CO2e avoided/reduced avoided/reduced 2021 Activities (metric tons) Projects (me

  50. Slide 50: Non-GAAP Financial Measures & Reconciliations

    NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES & RECONCILIATIONS Elba liquefaction, Elba Island, Georgia

  51. Slide 51: Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures Our non-GAAP financial measures described below should not be considered alternatives to GAAP net income attributable to Kinder Morgan, Inc. or other GAAP measures and have important limitations as analytical tools. Our computations of these non-GAAP financial meas

  52. Slide 52: Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Continued)

    Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Continued) Amounts from Joint Ventures - Certain Items, DCF and Adjusted EBITDA reflect amounts from unconsolidated joint ventures (JVs) and consolidated JVs utilizing the same recognition and measurement methods used to record “Earnings from equity investments” a

  53. Slide 53: GAAP Reconciliations

    GAAP Reconciliations $ in millions Certain Items 2022 Fair value amortization $ (15) Legal, environmental and other reserves 51 Change in fair value of derivative contracts (a) 57 Income tax Certain Items (b) (37) Other 32 Total Certain Items (c,d) $ 88 2022 2023 Reconciliation of Net Debt 2022 Reco

  54. Slide 54: Net Income & DCF

    Net Income & DCF $ in millions 2023 2022 Change Budget Actual $ % Net income attributable to Kinder Morgan, Inc. $ 2,525 $ 2,548 $ (23) (1%) Certain Items Fair value amortization (12) (15) Legal, environmental and other reserves - 51 Change in fair value of derivative contracts - 57 Income tax Certa

  55. Slide 55: Net Income & Adjusted EBITDA

    Net Income & Adjusted EBITDA $ in millions 2023 2022 Change Budget Actual $ % Net income attributable to Kinder Morgan, Inc. $ 2,525 $ 2,548 $ (23) -1% Certain Items Fair value amortization (12) (15) Legal, environmental and other reserves - 51 Change in fair value of derivative contracts - 57 Incom

  56. Slide 56: Reconciliations of KMI FCF & CO2 Segment FCF

    Reconciliations of KMI FCF & CO2 Segment FCF $ in millions Reconciliation of KMI FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 CFFO $ 5,043 $ 4,748 $ 4,550 $ 5,708 $ 4,967 Capital expenditures (a) (2,904) (2,270) (1,707) (1,281) (1,621) FCF 2,139 2,478 2,843 4,427 3,346 Dividends paid(b) (1,774) (2,163) (2,362) (2,4

  57. Slide 57: Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA, Normalized for Divestitures

    Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA, Normalized for Divestitures $ in millions Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA, Normalized for Divestitures 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Net income attributable to Kinder Morgan, Inc. $ 708 $ 183 $ 1,609 $ 2,190 $ 119 $ 1,784 $ 2,548 Noncontrolling interest cert

Kinder Morgan — Q2 2023 Earnings Presentation on 6ix