Pennymac Mortgage Investment Trust · NYSE:PMT
Pennymac Mortgage Investment Trust — Q3 2024 Earnings Presentation
27 slides from Pennymac Mortgage Investment Trust's earnings presentation, Oct 22, 2024
Slide 1: 3Q24 Earnings Report
3Q24 EARNINGS REPORT PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust October 2024
Slide 2: Forward Looking Statements
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, regarding management’s beliefs, estimates, projections and assumptions with respect to, among other things, the Company’s financial re
Slide 3: Third Quarter Highlights
THIRD QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS Solid levels of income excluding market driven value changes bolstered by fair value changes including associated tax benefits 3Q24 Results Pretax income CREDIT excluding market Fair value of Net income SENSITIVE driven value organically-created attributable Pretax income cha
Slide 4: Origination Market Expectations Reflect Growth
ORIGINATION MARKET EXPECTATIONS REFLECT GROWTH U.S. Mortgage Origination Market(1) Mortgage Rates Have Declined ($ in trillions) Purchase Refinance Average 30-year fixed rate mortgage(2) • Current third-party estimates for industry originations average $1.7 trillion in 2024 and $2.3 trillion in 2025,
Slide 5: Seasoned Investments to Continue Performing Well
SEASONED INVESTMENTS TO CONTINUE PERFORMING WELL Approximately two-thirds of PMT’s shareholders’ equity is deployed to seasoned investments in MSRs and PMT’s unique GSE credit risk transfer investments with strong underlying fundamentals Mortgage Servicing Rights PMT GSE Credit Risk Transfer (50% of
Slide 6: Evolving Landscape Driving Emerging Investment Opportunities
EVOLVING LANDSCAPE DRIVING EMERGING INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES Top residential mortgage loan producer and synergistic partnership Potential for increased with manager and services provider, PFSI securitization activity in the Changing mortgage private label market landscape Access to a growing origina
Slide 7: Run-Rate Return Potential from PMT's Investment Strategies
RUN-RATE RETURN POTENTIAL FROM PMT’S INVESTMENT STRATEGIES Annualized Return WA Equity on Equity (ROE) Allocated (%)(1) • Represents the average annualized return and Credit sensitive strategies: quarterly earnings potential expected from its PMT GSE credit risk transfer 13.0% 15% strategies over th
Slide 8: Correspondent Production Highlights
CORRESPONDENT PRODUCTION HIGHLIGHTS Correspondent Acquisition Volume and Mix Key Financial Metrics (UPB in billions) 2Q24 3Q24 Segment pretax income as a percentage of 0.35% 0.17% interest rate lock commitments(2) Fulfillment fee as a percentage of 0.20% 0.19% acquisitions funded(3) Selected Operatio
Slide 9: Trends in MSR Investments
TRENDS IN MSR INVESTMENTS MSR Investments(1) ($ in millions) • MSR assets were $3.8 billion as of September 30, 2024 down slightly from June 30, 2024 ‒ Fair value declines and runoff from prepayments partially offset by new MSR investments ‒ UPB underlying PMT’s MSR investments increased slightly 9
Slide 10: Trends in PMT's Unique Investments in GSE Credit Risk Transfer
TRENDS IN PMT’S UNIQUE INVESTMENTS IN GSE CREDIT RISK TRANSFER • Fair value of PMT’s organically-created CRT investments Organically-Created GSE CRT Investments(1) was down slightly from June 30, 2024 primarily due to ($ in millions) prepayments • The 60+ day delinquency rate increased slightly from
Slide 11: Third Quarter Results and Return Contributions by Strategy
THIRD QUARTER RESULTS AND RETURN CONTRIBUTIONS BY STRATEGY Income Excluding Total Income Market-Driven WA Equity Annualized Return ($ in millions, except EPS) Market-Driven Value Contribution(1) Value Changes(2) Allocated(3) on Equity (ROE)(1) Changes(1)(2) Credit sensitive strategies: PMT GSE credi
Slide 12: Hedging Approach Central to Interest Rate Sensitive Investments
HEDGING APPROACH CENTRAL TO PMT’S INTEREST RATE SENSITIVE INVESTMENTS MSR Valuation Changes and Offsets • PMT seeks to manage interest rate risk ($ in millions) exposure on a “global” basis, recognizing Change in MSR fair value before realization of cash flows interest rate sensitivities across its i
Slide 13: Flexible and Sophisticated Financing Structures
FLEXIBLE AND SOPHISTICATED FINANCING STRUCTURES Debt Schedule by Year of Maturity(1) (in millions) Financing Unsecured and Exchangeable Senior Notes capacity across multiple banks / MSR Term Notes and Loans flexibility to CRT Term Notes finance fluctuating MSR and advance balances $1,147mm drawn Unsecu
Slide 14: Appendix
NAPPENDIX
Slide 15: PMT Is Focused on Unique Investment Strategies in Three Segments
PMT IS FOCUSED ON UNIQUE INVESTMENT STRATEGIES IN THREE SEGMENTS • Leading acquirer and producer of conventional conforming mortgage loans Correspondent • Significant growth in market share over PMT’s more than 15-year history driven by PFSI’s Production operational excellence and high service levels
Slide 16: Historical Earnings, Dividends and Book Value per Share
HISTORICAL EARNINGS, DIVIDENDS AND BOOK VALUE PER SHARE (1) ROE(2): 0% -2% 14% 4% 15% 12% 10% 4% 9% • Repurchased 29.1 million common shares from 3Q15 through 2Q24 (1) At period end 16 (2) Return on average common equity is calculated based on annualized quarterly net income attributable to common s
Slide 17: Current Market Environment and Macroeconomic Trends
CURRENT MARKET ENVIRONMENT AND MACROECONOMIC TRENDS Average 30-year fixed rate mortgage(1) 10-year Treasury Bond Yield(2) 6.86% 6.08% 4.40% 3.78% Macroeconomic Metrics(3) Footnotes 9/30/23 12/31/23 3/31/24 6/30/24 9/30/24 (1) Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey. 6.44% as of 10/17/24 (2) U.S. D
Slide 18: PMT's Investment Activity by Strategy During the Quarter
PMT’S INVESTMENT ACTIVITY BY STRATEGY DURING THE QUARTER Long-term mortgage Assets carrying Change in Assets carrying ($ in millions) Fair value changes asset value at 6/30/24 Investments(5) value at 9/30/24 PMT GSE credit $ 1,138 $ (28) $7 $ 1,117 risk transfer(1) Other GSE Credit Risk Credit $ 197
Slide 19: MSR Asset Valuation
MSR ASSET VALUATION September 30, 2024 Mortgage Unaudited ($ in millions) Servicing Rights Pool UPB(1) $228,127 Weighted average coupon 3.8% Weighted average servicing fee 0.28% Weighted average prepayment speed assumption (CPR) 7.5% Fair value $3,809 As a multiple of servicing fee 6.0 19 (1) Owned
Slide 20: Delinquency Trends and Servicing Advances Outstanding
DELINQUENCY TRENDS AND SERVICING ADVANCES OUTSTANDING Historical Trends in Delinquency and Foreclosure Rates(1) 30-60 Day 60-90 Day 90+ Day In foreclosure ● Overall mortgage delinquency rates increased slightly from the prior quarter ● Servicing advances outstanding for PMT’s MSR portfolio decreased
Slide 21: PMT's Owned MSR Portfolio Characteristics
PMT’S OWNED MSR PORTFOLIO CHARACTERISTICS As of September 30, 2024 Loan Remaining Loan size FICO credit 60+ UPB % of count Note Seasoning maturity ($ in score at Original Current Delinquency (2) Segment ($ in billions) Total UPB (in thousands) rate (months) (months) thousands) origination LTV LTV(3)
Slide 22: Interest Rate Sensitive Strategies Designed to Mitigate Interest Rate Volatility
INTEREST RATE SENSITIVE STRATEGIES DESIGNED TO MITIGATE INTEREST RATE VOLATILITY Gain in value with Gain in value with Estimated Sensitivity to Changes in Interest Rates at increasing rates decreasing rates September 30, 2024 % change in PMT’s shareholders’ equity MSRs Agency MBS Interest Rate Hedge
Slide 23: Performance of Organically-Created Investments in GSE Credit Risk Transfer in 3Q24
PERFORMANCE OF ORGANICALLY-CREATED INVESTMENTS IN GSE CREDIT RISK TRANSFER INVESTMENTS IN 3Q24 Income (Loss) ($ in millions) Contribution Comments Market-driven value changes: Valuation-related changes included $ 6.6 • Reflects impact of credit spread tightening in Net gain (loss) on investment Incom
Slide 24: Balance Sheet Treatment of PMT's Organically-Created Credit Risk Transfer Investments
BALANCE SHEET TREATMENT OF PMT’S ORGANICALLY-CREATED CREDIT RISK TRANSFER INVESTMENTS September 30, ($ in thousands) 2024 Current outstanding UPB of loans delivered to the CRT SPVs and UPB of loans subject to guarantee obligation....................................... $ 21,708,164 sold to Fannie Mae
Slide 25: PMT's Organically-Created Investments in Credit Risk Transfer
PMT’S ORGANICALLY-CREATED INVESTMENTS IN CREDIT RISK TRANSFER L Street Securities L Street Securities L Street Securities PMTT1 PMTT2 PMTT3 2017-PM1 2019-PMT1 2020-PMT1 Total (May 2015 - Jul 2015) (Aug 2015 - Feb 2016) (Feb 2016 - Aug 2016) (Aug 2016 - May 2018) (Jun 2018 - Mar 2019) (Apr 2019 - Sep
Slide 26: Correspondent Production Acquisitions and Locks by Product
CORRESPONDENT PRODUCTION ACQUISITIONS AND LOCKS BY PRODUCT Unaudited ($ in millions) 3Q23 4Q23 1Q24 2Q24 3Q24 Correspondent Acquisitions Conventional Conforming - for PMT $ 2,759 $ 2,477 $ 1,769 $ 2,195 $ 5,851 Conventional Conforming - for PFSI(1) 9,933 10,129 8,190 10,007 8,092 Government - for PF
Slide 27: PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust
PS PENNYMAC’ MORTGAGE INVESTMENT TRUST 27
PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust — Q3 2024 Earnings Presentation on 6ix