Transat A.t. Inc. · TSX:TRZ

Transat A.t — Investor Presentation (January 2010)

31 slides from Transat A.t's investor presentation, Jan 27, 2010

  1. Slide 1: January 27th, 2010

    o a i=) N = =] nn N > -— Janua

  2. Slide 2: Forward-looking Statements

    Forward-looking Statements This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to the Corporation. These forward-looking statements, by their nature, necessarily involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by the

  3. Slide 3: Agenda

    Agenda Introduction to Transat Vision and strategy Review by market Destination and airlift strategy Financial Review Summary and outlook Appendix: Valuation metrics 3

  4. Slide 4: A vertically-integrated holiday travel tour operator

    A vertically-integrated holiday travel tour operator ACCOMODATION CRUISE DESTINATION AIRLINES COMPANIES SERVICES TRANSAT OUTGOING & INCOMING TOUR OPERATORS WIDE RANGE OF PACKAGED PRODUCTS, AIRLINE SEATS, FIT TRAVEL INTERNATIONAL MULTI-CHANNEL DISTRIBUTION NETWORK TRAVEL AGENCIES • INTERNET & CALL CE

  5. Slide 5: A vertically-integrated holiday travel tour operator

    A vertically-integrated holiday travel tour operator Among the largest tour operators worldwide by revenue and number of travellers Main source markets: Canada, United Kingdom, France, and other European countries Nearly 3 million travellers/year, going to more than 60 destination countries Largest

  6. Slide 6: Our Vision for 2014

    Our Vision for 2014 To be a leader in the Americas with a solid competitive position in several European countries 6

  7. Slide 7: Strategies for the 2009-2011 period

    Strategies for the 2009-2011 period 1 Focus on product differentiation 2 Optimize input costs (airlift, hotels, …) 3 Increase control over distribution of our sales 4 Open new outgoing markets (Americas and south-Europe) 5 Invest in technologies (inventory & yield, distribution) 6 Capitalize on our

  8. Slide 8: Canada to Sun destinations: Overview

    Canada to Sun destinations: Overview Growth market:  Commoditized market with positive growth pattern (last year: 2.7 million packages sold; + 13% for Mexico/Caribbean; + 17% for Transat)  Highly competitive market, showing signs of consolidation in the tour operator segment, marked by intensified

  9. Slide 9: Canada to Sun Destinations: Market

    Canada to Sun Destinations: Market Market share based on deployed capacity at end of season - (all inclusive packages, Mexico/Caribbean, winter) Sunwing 18% Signature (TUI) 9.5% Transat Sunwing Signature(TUI) AVC TMR Others Sunquest (TCG) WesJet 9

  10. Slide 10: Canada to sun destinations: Strategy

    Canada to sun destinations: Strategy Canjet 5-year agreement  Enhanced ability to expand and contract capacity in a very cost-competitive way Hotel costs and commitments  Adjusted product mix vs. demand for winter 2009-2010  Increased purchasing power due to lower demand from other countries Dist

  11. Slide 11: Transatlantic Market: Overview

    Transatlantic Market: Overview Europe, especially France and UK, remains the number one regional market for international tourism (incoming and outgoing) New liberalization agreements could bring challenges and growth opportunities Easy for travellers to compare rates; fair proportion of air-only an

  12. Slide 12: Transatlantic Market: Market

    Transatlantic Market: Market 2006 2009 UK Transat Air Canada Air India British Airways MyTravel Zoom Airlines Other FRANCE Transat Air Canada Air France Zoom Airlines Other 12

  13. Slide 13: Transatlantic Market: Strategy

    Transatlantic Market: Strategy Unique value proposition to the traveller:  Only player with a point-to-point strategy between 9 Canadian and 34 European destinations  Offering uniquely suited to the leisure traveller (no connection, possibility of open jaws, etc.)  Only major tour operator with a

  14. Slide 14: Outgoing market from France: Overview

    Outgoing market from France: Overview Fragmented market, with market consolidating  5 tour operators represent 61% of the market, vs. ten 5 years ago  Nearly 250 tour operators share the remaining 30%  Large players growing their market share International travel has recorded slow growth (1.4% CA

  15. Slide 15: Tour operators: Distribution

    Outgoing market from France: Market Tour operators: Distribution: $5.7 B market 4,750 travel agencies in France Transat Thomas Cook AFAT Selectour Tourcom Kuoni FRAM TUI + Havas + CWT Other Club Med TUI/NF Thomas Cook/Jet Tours Other 15

  16. Slide 16: Outgoing market from France: Strategy

    Outgoing market from France: Strategy Added efficiency and lower costs through:  Creation of Transat France in 2009  Use of an Air Transat aircraft for long-haul during winter 2010 (XL Airways) Well-adapted, broad portfolio of products, most notably growing number of Clubs Lookéa (35 in summer 200

  17. Slide 17: Destination Strategy

    Destination Strategy Pursue vertical integration in high-margin destination services in high-potential markets  Already present in Florida, Dominican Republic, Mexico, and Greece  Potential in Southern Europe, North Africa Add outgoing tour operator from countries where we fly from Canada  Mexico

  18. Slide 18: Airlift capacity management

    Airlift capacity management More holistic, supply-driven approach, with embedded flexibility (third party suppliers, access to a mixed fleet) Objectives:  Ability to expand and contract depending on demand fluctuations or external events, per market  Priority: have the most efficient aircraft for

  19. Slide 19: Historical Performance

    Financial Review Historical Performance Revenues Profitability (in billions of $) (in millions of $) Adjusted margin Adjusted income after taxes (1) Before impact of fuel hedge accounting, ABCP revaluation, repurchase of preferred shares and restructuring costs (2) Restated for new accounting polici

  20. Slide 20: Statement of income & cash flow

    Financial Review Statement of income & cash flow Q4 Year 2009 2008(2) Variance 2009 2008(2) Variance Revenues 720 790 -9% 3,545 3,513 1% Margin 35.6 23.2 53% 42.2 71.6 -41% Net income(1) 17.8 10.1 76% 33.7 55.4 -39% EPS diluted(1) 0.51 0.31 65% 1.01 1.67 -40% $ flow - Operations (99.4) (104.9) -5% 4

  21. Slide 21: Statement of income & cash flow

    Financial Review Statement of income & cash flow Winter Summer 2009 2008(2) Variance 2009 2008(2) Variance Revenues 2 006 1 863 8% 1 539 1 650 -7% Margin 30.6 90.0 -66% 62.8 37.8 66% Net income(1) 8.9 43.2 -79% 24.8 12.2 103% EPS diluted(1) 0.27 1.28 -79% 0.73 0.38 95% $ flow - Operations 113.6 169.

  22. Slide 22: Statement of income

    Financial Review Statement of income Main variances 2009 vs. 2008 Direct costs: Salaries: Aircraft Other Interest maintenance: operating income:  Canjet agreement  Annual salary and lower fuel increases and expenses: Renegotiated $10 million lower costs 2009 bonus contracts, leases as interest r

  23. Slide 23: Strengthening our balance sheet

    Financial Review Strengthening our balance sheet Share issue in September 2009  Share offering (4.9 million shares at $13.00)  Proceeds of $63.5 million ($60.5 million, net of fees)  Proceeds to be used for general corporate purposes: • Working capital needs • Capital expenditures • Possible futu

  24. Slide 24: Cash and Balance Sheet

    Financial Review Cash and Balance Sheet (at Oct 31) 2009 2008 Cash ABCP Cash ABCP $ and investments 181 71 145 86 Drawn credit line (17) (61) (39) (61) Other debt (33) (50) Net $ 131 10 56 25 Highlights Cash flow from operations 45 Proceeds from share issue improved net Share issue (repurchase) 62 c

  25. Slide 25: Summary of 2009

    Summary of 2009 Despite challenging environment, flu, etc.  Maintain market share  Increase control over distribution of our sales  Pursue IT strategic projects  Reduce costs through contracts and processes  Globally, a solid performance 25

  26. Slide 26: Outlook for 2010

    Financial Review Outlook for 2010 Reservations from Canada to sun for winter 2010  Currently lower than record volumes recorded last year  Transat adjusted capacity in the first quarter to protect its load factors  Capacity currently aligned with last year’s volumes for second quarter • Taking in

  27. Slide 27: Strategies for the 2009-2011 period

    Strategies for the 2009-2011 period 1 Focus on product differentiation 2 Optimize input costs (airlift, hotels, …) 3 Increase control over distribution of our sales 4 Open new outgoing markets (Americas and south-Europe) 5 Invest in technologies (inventory & yield, distribution) 6 Capitalize on our

  28. Slide 28: Appendix

    Financial Review Appendix 28

  29. Slide 29: Valuation Metrics

    Financial Review Valuation Metrics (in C$ millions, unless otherwise noted) Margins (LTM) Adjusted Share Equity Enterprise Adj. EV / Enterprise EV / EBITDA P/E Ratio EBITDAR EBITDA Price Value Value EBITDAR(1) Value 09-Dec-09 2009A 2010E(2) 2009A 2010E(2) 2009A 2010E(2) Tour Operators TUI Travel PLC

  30. Slide 30: Capital structure

    Financial Review Capital structure (in C$ millions, unless otherwise noted) Capital Structure ($) Capital Structure ($) Adjusted Short Long Market Adj. Market Total Cash Net Term Term Leases Other Leases Cash Other EV Cap EV Cap Debt Debt(1) Debt Debt Closest Comparables TUI Travel PLC $693 $8,869 $

  31. Slide 31: Leverage & Cash Considerations

    Financial Review Leverage & Cash Considerations Adj. Net Adj. Net Adj. Cash/ Cash/LTM Cash/Adj. Adj. Debt/ Debt/ Debt/ Debt/LTM Market Cap. Sales Debt(1) Adj. EV(1) LTM Adj. EV(1) EBITDAR(1) EBITDAR(1) 2009A 2009A Closest Comparables TUI Travel PLC (as of June 30, 09) 14% 3% 7% 72% 66% 4.6x 3.9x Tho

Transat A.T. — Investor Presentation (January 2010) on 6ix