Imperial Brands Plc · LSE:IMB
Imperial Brands — Imperial Tobacco Group — Corporate Update (September 2005)
34 slides from Imperial Brands's corporate update, Sep 20, 2005
Slide 1: Trading Update
Trading Update 20 September 2005 Imperial Tobacco Group PLC
Slide 2: Agenda
Agenda Trading Update Gareth Davis Central Europe Richard Gretler 2
Slide 3: Trading Update
Trading Update “…overall performance for the current year remains in line with management expectations…” 3
Slide 4: Trading Update: UK and Germany
Trading Update UK - continued to perform well - cigarette share maintained - growth in RYO share Germany - good improvements in profit - increased cigarette share 4
Slide 5: Trading Update: Rest of Western Europe, Rest of World
Trading Update Rest of Western Europe - cigarette share growth Rest of World - improving volume trends Cost focus - productivity & efficiency gains 5
Slide 6: Richard Gretler, Regional Director Central Europe
Richard Gretler Regional Director Central Europe
Slide 7: Our Central Europe Region
Our Central Europe Region market dimensions TOTAL SCANDINAVIA Pop.: 187.4 m Pop.: 24.0 m FMC: 259.9 bn FMC: 22.2 bn OTP: 49.1 bn OTP: 4.3 bn Snuff: 5.1 bn GERMANY Pop.: 82.5 m BALTICS FMC: 101.0 bn Pop.: 7.1 m OTP: 39.0 bn FMC: 9.8 bn OTP: 0.0 bn AUSTRIA POLAND Pop.: 8.1 m Pop.: 38.1 m FMC: 12.7 bn
Slide 8: Today's Focus
Today’s Focus Key accession markets - Poland - Czech Republic - Slovak Republic - Hungary - Slovenia Scandinavia - Sweden 8
Slide 9: Accession Markets
Accession Markets Macro-economic trends Business environment Market dynamics Portfolio strategy 9
Slide 10: Macro-Economic Trends
Macro-Economic Trends Significant GDP growth rates Relative political stability Moderate inflation rates Stable currency rates Euro zone aspirations - Slovenia 1/2007 - Slovak Republic 1/2009 10
Slide 11: Business Environment
Business Environment Communication restrictions - mainly advertising at point of sale SIPPs - less advanced than Western Europe Litigation - generally benign environment Excise tax derogation 11
Slide 12: Excise Taxes EU-25
Excise Taxes EU-25 229 192 160 Based on MPPC July 2005 128 €/000 115 114 110 105 103 103 95 88 84 82 78 74 61 54 €64/000 46 41 38 37 33 20 13 UK IRL F D FIN DK M NL S B A I CY L GR P E SI H SK CZ PL EST LT LV 12
Slide 13: Status: FMC Excise Tax Derogation
Status: FMC Excise Tax Derogation EU-minimum tax: 57% of retail selling price of most popular price category and €64/thousand cigarettes Status at July '05 Derogation Further Price Incidence €/'000 cigs. up to … increase of MPPC Poland 51.9% 37.2 Dec '08 65% Czech Republic 48.0% 37.8 Dec '07 45%
Slide 14: Market Dynamics
Market Dynamics Cross-border flows Competition Value King Size offerings 14
Slide 15: Retail Price Differentials
Retail Price Differentials Premium RRP/20 sticks, March 2005 Sweden Finland €4.26 €4.09 EU-15 Norway Accession Countries €7.87 Neighbours Estonia €1.51 Ireland Denmark Latvia €6.35 €4.03 €0.95 Russia Lithuania U.K. Netherlands € 1.27 €0.77 €4.00 €7.22 Belarus €0.92 Belgium Germany Poland €3.85 €1.69
Slide 16: FMC Market Size Progression
FMC Market Size Progression 80 bns cigarettes 60 40 20 0 Poland C zech Slovak Hungary Slovenia Republic Republic HY02 HY05 Note: Imperial estimates – HY annualised 16
Slide 17: FMC Competitive Environment
FMC Competitive Environment market shares Others Imperial Skandinavisk 7% Tobacco Tobak 16% 10% Gallaher 5% Philip Morris BAT 46% 16% Note: Imperial estimates ex factory data HY05 17
Slide 18: FMC Competitive Environment: Market Share
FMC Competitive Environment 100 90 market share % 80 70 60 50 40 30 62.5 20 28.4 10 14.0 12.9 10.1 0 Poland Czech Republic Slovak Republic Hungary Slovenia Imperial Philip Morris BAT Gallaher Skandinavisk Tobak Others Note: Imperial estimates ex factory data HY05 18
Slide 19: Our FMC Market Shares
Our FMC Market Shares 70 market share % 62.5 60 50 40 30 28.4 20 14.0 12.9 10.1 10 0 Poland Czech Slovak Hungary Slovenia Republic Republic Local Regional International Note: Imperial estimates ex factory data HY05 19
Slide 20: Fine Cut Tobacco
Fine Cut Tobacco relevance as a % of white sticks 12 10 Hungary market share % 8 6 Czech Republic 4 Poland 2 Slovak Republic Slovenia 0 FY03 FY04 HY05 Note: Imperial estimates 20
Slide 21: Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Strategy balancing profit and volume Focus on international brands Consistent approach with regional brands Tailored strategies for local brands Developing fine cut tobacco products Right sized cost base 21
Slide 22: Poland
Poland What has happened? - aggressive pricing of international players - competition increased with new entrant - absorption of tax increases - rapid growth of King Size value segment 22
Slide 23: Poland: Price Segmentation
Poland: Price Segmentation market share % 100 11.4 11.4 11.0 11.0 10.8 11.1 10.8 10.8 10.9 10.9 10.8 10.8 10.9 11.3 10.9 90 80 30.1 28.8 28.1 27.4 27.4 26.7 26.6 26.4 26.7 25.8 25.4 25.0 27.0 31.3 34.0 70 60 50 17.8 21.1 24.4 26.4 27.9 28.9 30.0 31.4 11.7 30.2 32.3 32.9 34.4 36.0 36.9 40 30 20 39.4
Slide 24: Poland
Poland What has happened? - aggressive pricing of international players - competition increased with new entrant - absorption of tax increases - rapid growth of King Size value segment What has changed? - minimum incidence of duty from 12/04 - general excise tax increase in 01/05 - repositioned
Slide 25: Poland: Market Share Progression
Poland: Market Share Progression 50 45 40 Philip Morris market share % 35 30 25 20 BAT Imperial Tobacco 15 Skandinavisk Tobak 10 Altadis 5 Gallaher 0 Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug 2003 2004 2005 Note: Imperial estimates ex factory data HY05 25
Slide 26: Slovakia: Market Share Progression
Slovakia: Market Share Progression 8.7% market share % 70 Philip Morris 2.4% 60 50 40 Imperial Tobacco 30 Apr05-Aug05 20 10 Others 0 Jan05 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Note: Imperial estimates ex factory data HY05 26
Slide 27: Czech Republic: Market Share Progression
Czech Republic: Market Share Progression market share 65% 4% 60% Philip Morris 15% 0% Imperial Tobacco BAT 10% Jun05–Aug05 Gallaher 5% Skandinavisk Tobak 0% Jan05 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Note: Imperial estimates ex factory data HY05 27
Slide 28: Slovenia: Market Share Progression
Slovenia: Market Share Progression 100 market share % 80 60 40 66.6 65.0 62.5 20 Launched in Sep05 0 FY03 FY04 HY05 Imperial Tobacco Philip Morris Others Note: Imperial estimates ex factory data HY05 28
Slide 29: Accession Market Outlook
Accession Market Outlook Challenging environment Balancing profit & volume - short & long term Margin opportunities 29
Slide 30: Scandinavia
Scandinavia 30
Slide 31: Sweden: Market Overview
Sweden: Market Overview Cigarettes (bns) Snus (tonnes) CAGR -2.0% Roll your own (tonnes) CAGR +2.5% 7,500 7,300 7,200 CAGR 7,400 7,585 7,215 -2.4% 840 850 800 2003 2004 2005 2003 2004 2005 2003 2004 2005 GLH:38%;HoP:31%; GLH:70%;Orlik:20% Swedish Match:95% PMI:21% Note: Imperial estimates 31
Slide 32: Strategy in Sweden
Strategy in Sweden Acquisition of Skruf: 14 Sep05 Experienced sales organisation Extending our portfolio 32
Slide 33: Overall Summary & Outlook
Overall Summary & Outlook Challenging market dynamics Profitability limited in the mid-term A sustainable approach - balancing profit & volume Fine cut tobacco potential Scandinavia development 33
Slide 34: Trading Update
Trading Update 20 September 2005 www.imperial-tobacco.com
Imperial Tobacco Group — Corporate Update (September 2005) on 6ix