Orange Belgium Sa · EURONEXT:OBEL
Orange Belgium Sa — Q4 2019 Earnings Presentation
34 slides from Orange Belgium Sa's earnings presentation, Feb 6, 2020
Slide 1: Orange Belgium Q4 2019 Financial Results
Orange Belgium Q4 2019 Financial Results February 6, 2020
Slide 2: Disclaimer
Disclaimer This presentation might contain forward-looking statements about Orange Belgium in particular for 2019. Although we believe these statements are based on reasonable assumptions, they are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, including matters not yet known to us or not currently co
Slide 3: Section one: Q4 2019 Highlights
Section one Q4 2019 Highlights 3
Slide 4: From smart follower to Bold Challenger
From smart follower to Bold Challenger November October July May Google Mini Nest with a mobile plan or Love September package June June Google April Chromecast February 1st operator is now available to to offer Love VoWiFi and customers VoLTE for deep indoor coverage 4 Orange Restricted 4 2018 2019
Slide 5: Q4 2019 Key achievements
Q4 2019 Key achievements Mobile contract excl. M2M Convergent customers Net additions 15.9% 2.6 m 258 k Mobile contract excl. + 31 k of total postpaid mobile +4.5% yoy +43.5% yoy M2M base is convergent Convergent customer + 25 k Belgium Belgium Belgium Belgium Revenues Retail service revenues EBITDA
Slide 6: Results 2019 within upper range of guidance
Results 2019 within upper range of guidance What we guided What we achieved Revenues growth Slight growth vs. 2018 +3.3% EBITDAaL €285-305 m €300.1m eCapex Stable vs. 2018 0.3% 6
Slide 7: Section two: Operational Results
Section two Operational Results 7
Slide 8: Convergence: continued success with 25k new Love customers
Convergence: continued success with 25k new Love customers 21 19 19 25 20 25 14 16 17 Love (‘000) 258 Love customer net adds, 180 200 216 233 +25k 1.5% yoy 155 122 136 103 Love customers yoy 43.5% variation Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Convergent mobile of
Slide 9: Mobile postpaid: customer base continues its steady growth
Mobile postpaid: customer base continues its steady growth +4.5% Customer base (‘000) 2,469 2,490 2,516 2,548 2,579 244 272 294 319 352 2,225 2,218 2,222 2,229 2,227 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 61 Net adds (‘000) 34 32 31 21 26 25 27 29 22 33 4 7 -7 -2 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4
Slide 10: Mobile prepaid: acceleration of decline due to higher churn
Mobile prepaid: acceleration of decline due to higher churn -11 -6.2% Customer base (‘000) -4 -4 -6 -10 Net adds (‘000) 567 561 557 553 -21 532 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 10
Slide 11: Average mobile data usage increased by 38% yoy, reaching 4.5GB
Mobile: Average mobile data usage increased by 38% yoy, reaching 4.5GB +38% +79% Average mobile data usage (GB) (excl. MVNO) +35% 4.5 +55% +57% 3.2 3.2 3.7 +120% 2.5 2.5 1.3 1.3 1.8 Average mobile data 0.3 4.5 GB 0.9 0.9 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 usage (smartphone), EoP 2013 EoP 2014 EoP 2015 EoP 2016 EoP 201
Slide 12: B2C convergent ARPO continued to grow while mobile-only ARPO contracted
B2C convergent ARPO continued to grow while mobile-only postpaid ARPO slightly contracted Quarterly B2C convergent ARPO (€) Quarterly mobile only ARPO (€) + 7.0% + 7.7% + 4.1% -1.8% -1.1% -1.6% + 1.6% -3.2% -2.6% + 1.3% 77.4 76.8 77.7 76.7 20.8 20.8 20.6 21.2 20.4 75.5 7.1 7.1 6.9 6.6 6.7 7.1 6.6 7.
Slide 13: Delayed 5G launch in Belgium, but Orange first to launch 5G testing hub
Delayed 5G launch in Belgium, but Orange is 1st to launch a 5G testing hub with industrial partners 13 Orange Restricted 13
Slide 14: Spectrum and 5G auction
Spectrum and 5G auction The Royal Decrees regarding the allocation of the 700, 1400 and 3400-3800 MHz band and the renewal/reallocation conditions of the 900, 1800 and 2100 MHz bands were not finalised End December, the BIPT launched a consultation regarding various spectrum related matters Fo
Slide 15: RAN sharing agreement with Proximus signed
RAN sharing agreement with Proximus signed Less antenna sites Total energy consumption: -20% €300 m Financial data savings over 10 years (= consumption of 10k households) Benefits Improvement of overall mobile experience thanks to: €130 m wider outdoor + deeper indoor coverage Initial set-up
Slide 16: Belgian Competition Authority decision on sharing agreement
Orange Belgium takes note of the decision of the Belgian Competition Authority giving the telecom regulator until 16 March 2020 to further examine the sharing agreement with Proximus The Belgian Competition Authority has decided to suspend until 16 March 2020 the execution of the mobile network sh
Slide 17: OBE acquired BKM S.A. to extend its B2B offering
OBE acquired BKM S.A. to extend its B2B offering Team members Enterprise Value 230 €52.4m 17 17
Slide 18: Regulatory update: Cable and Fiber Regulation
Regulatory update Cable Regulation Cost model – Wholesale pricing: Consultation draft decision published on July 5 and ended on September 6 Final decision: expected in Q2 2020 Orange Belgium’s key comments: 1.The Company is pleased that the regulators have confirmed their intention to establis
Slide 19: Simplification, Digitalization, Empowerment
Simplification Digitalization Empowerment Offer simplification Change the distribution Increase Customer Service first Simplification of IT landscape channel mix contact resolution Organization and process Increase of digital interaction End-to-End responsibility simplification Diver
Slide 20: Section three: Financial Results
Section three Financial Results 20
Slide 21: Retail service revenues: another quarter of solid growth
Retail service revenues: another quarter of solid growth +9.8% +13.5% +9.6% +7.1% +6.5% Retail service revenues (€ m) 221.8 222.8 199.3 205.7 207.0 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Retail service revenues yoy 21
Slide 22: Convergent service revenues: sustained growth
Convergent service revenues: sustained growth +94.6% +83.4% Convergent service revenues (€ m) +69.9% +54.2% +47.7% 48.2 41.0 44.3 38.1 32.7 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Convergent service revenues yoy 22
Slide 23: Mobile only service revenues slightly decreased
Mobile only service revenues slightly decreased, despite strong increase in convergence revenues Mobile only service revenues (€ m) +0.7% +3.0% +0.1% -2.2% -2.5% 154.4 154.4 153.3 155.4 150.5 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Mobile only service revenues yoy 23
Slide 24: Orange Belgium Group: 2019 key financial results
Orange Belgium Group: 2019 key financial results +3.3% +5.1% 1,340.8 300.1 1,298.1 285.6 369.5 +4.8% 79.6 +5.5% 352.5 75.5 EBITDAaL (€ m) Revenues (€ m) 334.3 +2.5% 83.6 +1.1% 326.0 82.7 +1.9% +18.2% 313.0 318.9 67.2 78.9 318.2 +3.8% -3.8% 306.6 60.3 58.0 2018 2019 2018 2019 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 • Q1’18, Q2’
Slide 25: Revenues driven by increase in retail service revenues and equipment sales
Revenues driven by increase in retail service revenues and equipment sales, despite lower MVNO revenues Revenues evolution (€ m) +4.8% + 13.6 369.5 Convergent -2.9 service +12.3 +15.6 revenues -6.0 MVNO -8.9 352.5 +1.9 Fixed & IT service revenues -3.9 Mobile service + revenues +10.3 342.2 Q4 2018 BK
Slide 26: EBITDAaL increased thanks to higher retail service revenues
EBITDAaL increased thanks to higher retail service revenues, continuous improvements in the cable operations and cost efficiencies with Bold Inside EBITDAaL evolution (€ m) +5.5% -9.9 + +17.0 -1.3 -1.7 79.6 77.4 -1.9 75.5 Q4 2018 BKM + IFRS 16 Q4 2018 Revenues Direct Labor Indirect Q4 2019 Reported
Slide 27: FY 2019 eCapex stable
FY 2019 eCapex stable eCapex (€ m) Net debt +0.3% 13.8% 180.2 €234.3 m 13.4% 179.7 43.7 38.5 Net debt/EBITDAaL 0.8x 135.9 141.6 2018 2019 Cable capex incl. CPE, IT & Network, etc. Core capex Total capex to total revenues ratio 27
Slide 28: Cable operations continue to improve in 2019
Cable operations continue to improve in 2019 Variations Revenues: €108.1 m +69% EBITDAaL: €6.8 m +€23.2 m eCapex: €38.5 m -12% Operating cash flow: - €31.7 m +€28.4 m 28
Slide 29: Section four: Dividend
Section four Dividend 29
Slide 30: Proposal to pay dividend of €0.60 for financial year 2019
Proposal to pay dividend of €0.60 for financial year 2019 Maintaining a balanced and sound financial position Orange Belgium aims to provide an appropriate cash returns to equity holders while maintaining a balanced and sound financial position, thereby leaving sufficient leeway to continue to inv
Slide 31: Section five: 2020 guidance
Section five 2020 guidance 31
Slide 32: 2020 guidance
2020 guidance 2020 Guidance Revenues growth Low-single digit growth vs. 2019 EBITDAaL €310-330 m eCapex Stable vs. 2019 (excluding the RAN sharing agreement) Outlook Further uptake of the postpaid and convergent Love customer base Limited headwinds in comparison to 2019 Final decision on cable
Slide 33: Q&A
Section five Q&A 33
Slide 34: Orange Belgium Q4 2019 Financial Results
Orange Belgium Q4 2019 Financial Results February 6, 2020