Cms Energy Corporation · NYSE:CMS

Cms Energy — Investor Presentation (October 2020)

52 slides from Cms Energy's investor presentation, October 2020

  1. Slide 1: Investor Meetings October 2020

    Investor Meetings October 2020

  2. Slide 2: Forward-looking statements and non-GAAP disclaimer

    This presentation is made as of the date hereof and contains “forward-looking statements” as defined in Rule 3b-6 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, Rule 175 of the Securities Act of 1933, and relevant legal decisions. The forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties. All f

  3. Slide 3: Investment Thesis

    CMS ENERGY > Investment Thesis

  4. Slide 4: Investment Thesis Takeaways

    Investment Thesis . . . Investment Thesis Takeaways Prudent Liquidity Management • 2020 financings largely completed • No pension contributions required in 2020 Aging Operational Excellence and Track Record Infrastructure • Increased productivity driven by the CE Way Clean Energy Constructive Lead

  5. Slide 5: Large and Aging System

    Large and Aging System . . . Electric 25 years of distribution main replacement system is through our older than Enhanced Infrastructure peers Replacement Program Age of coal fleet is more >2,400 miles of gas than transmission pipeline; most 50 years built in the WWII era . . . requires significant

  6. Slide 6: Utility Customer Investment Plan

    Utility Customer Investment Plan . . . Investment Plan Rate Base Growth Gas Electric Renewables $24½ 2020 ‘20-’24 +7% Capital Investment (Bn): Plan Plan Renewables $0.4 $ 1¾ $17½ Electric Utility 0.9 5½ Gas Utility 0.9 5 Total $2.2 On Track $12¼ $25 Bn 10-Yr Plana with $3 - $4 Bn of Opportunities 20

  7. Slide 7: Michigan Regulatory Environment

    Michigan Regulatory Environment . . . • Bipartisan Energy Law (2016 enhanced 2008 law) • Forward-looking test year (10-month rate case) • Energy efficiency incentive (20% of spend) • Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) • Constructive ROEs • Appointed Commissioners with staggered terms • Ranked Tier I

  8. Slide 8: Our Entire Cost Structure

    Our Entire Cost Structure . . . Cost Components Residential Bills as % of Walleta 100% (Electric & Gas) Utility Bill Down Utility Bill ~4% 50 bps ~3½% Fuel and Power Costs TV & Phone 4% TV & Phone 4% Healthcare 5% Healthcare 8% ~70% Food 12% Non-capital Food 13% related Transportation 15% ~$17 Bn Tr

  9. Slide 9: Financing Plan Largely Completed

    Financing Plan Largely Completed . . . Planned 2020 Financing Existing Facilities b Plan YTD (MM) (MM) Consumers Energy: $525 MM $250 MM “lowest ever” (Nov-2021) $3.1Bna of First Mortgage Bonds $650 $1,234 40-yr at net liquidity Term Loan $300 $300 2.50% position with no CP outstanding (as of 6/30/2

  10. Slide 10: Credit Metrics Maintained

    Credit Metrics Maintained . . . Consumers Energy S&P Moody’s Fitch Ratings Drivers Senior Secured A Aa3 A+ • Strong financial Commercial Paper A-2 P-1 F-2 position Outlook Stable Negative Stable • Growing operating cash flow CMS Energy Senior Unsecured BBB Baa1 BBB • Return on regulated investment J

  11. Slide 11: Clean and Lean

    Clean and Lean . . . Old Utility Model Clean and Lean Big Build Supply Fully utilize Modular Supply assets Retirement Excess supply Big Excess Build supply Demand Modular Actual Modular Demand EE & DR O&M O&M Excess Economic supply Expected Fuel incentives for Fuel Demand demand side Big Bets resour

  12. Slide 12: Net Zero Plans

    Net Zero Plans . . . Carbon Emissionsa Methane Emissionsb (Electric System) (Gas Delivery System) 2018 2024 2032 2040 2018 2025 2030 Classic Karn Campbell Campbell VSR c Continued Asset 7 retirement 1&2 retirement 1&2 retirement 3 retirement (17)% EIRP VSRc & EIRP retirements Methane Emissions R

  13. Slide 13: Managing Work Every Year

    Managing Work Every Year . . . EPSa 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 $2.60 Reinvestment Cold January +23¢ +7% Weather Cost offsets & storms +7% (9)¢ +7% Storms Hot summer Mild +17¢ summer +7% +18¢ +7% Cost Cost productivity (16)¢ productivity above plan above plan +7% Cost +13¢ (13)¢ Storms p

  14. Slide 14: Consistent Growth Through Changing Circumstances

    Consistent Growth Through . . . a 7% CAGR a EPS +7% Dividend Weather Recession Recession Help Hurt 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Cold Mild Warm Warm Mild Cold Summer- Hot Hot Warm Mild Polar Cold Feb Warm Warm Hot Storms winter summer winte

  15. Slide 15: CMS' Trading Performance

    CMS’ Trading Performance . . . Stock Performancea Total Shareowner Returnb 350% CMS CMS UTY UTY 300% 301% S&P S&P 468% 250% 200% 190% 150% 100% 110% 98% 50% 65% 0% 30% -50% '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 1-yr 3-yr 5-yr 10-yr a b 10-year stock performance as of December 31, 2019 Dividend

  16. Slide 16: Top of Mind

    Top of Mind “us evens

  17. Slide 17: Top of Mind

    Top of Mind • People, Planet, Profit – Triple Bottom Line (ESG) • Managing the Work • Regulatory Matters • Non-Regulated Businesses Enter “so what” if necessary – Century Gothic, Bold, Size 18 or smaller 17

  18. Slide 18: Triple Bottom Line Focus

    Triple Bottom Line Focus . . . People Planet Profit • COVID-19 update: • <15% rate base mix attributable to • 6% to 8% long-term EPSc and DPS • Focus on employee safety coala growth • Supports all customers in creative • Industry-leading Net Zero Plan and agile ways • Net zero methane emissionsb by

  19. Slide 19: Declining Exposure to Coal

    Declining Exposure to Coal . . . Coal % of Rate Basea Growing Utility Renewables b 20% 2016 (Estimated % EPS ) $3 - $6 Bn Classic 7 Investment retirement opportunity PLUS Incentives on PPAs 2023 and Demand <15% Karn 1&2 Response retirement <10% <10% ~9½% 2031 Campbell Campbell (4)% 1&2 1&2 2039 ~4%

  20. Slide 20: Breathing Easier

    Breathing Easier . . . Air Emissions Reduction Net Zero (2005-2019) Carbon Emissions by 2040 93% 86% 91% 96% 37% Added emission control equipment Shut down Classic 7 & added Jackson Gas Plant Sulfer Nitrogen Mercurya Particulate Matter Carbon Dioxide a Tracking began 2007 . . . doing our part to cle

  21. Slide 21: Energy Efficiency

    Energy Efficiency . . . Energy Efficiency Programs Electric Saved customers over $3 Bn on their energy bills since 2009 • From 1½% to 2% annually (by 2021) Equivalent to • Next 5 years: Reduced usage by ~4,500 GWh since 2009 power1plant! a • Spend ~$160 MM/yr a • Pre-tax incentive ~$33 MM/yr Recy

  22. Slide 22: Exceptional Governance

    Exceptional Governance . . . Board of Directors JOHN G. RUSSELL PATRICIA K. POPPE JON E. BARFIELD DEBORAH H. BUTLER with Diverse Backgrounds Independent Chair KURT L. DARROW WILLIAM D. HARVEY MYRNA M. SOTO JOHN G. SZNEWAJS By the Numbers 11 Members LAURA H. WRIGHT SUZANNE F. SHANK ~6 RONALD J. TANSK

  23. Slide 23: Safety in the Workplace

    Safety in the Workplace . . . Safety Performance 2019 Successes (Recordable Safety • Zero fatalities Incidents) • Ranked top quartile by EEI utility standards in 355 safety performance Down • Partnered with EEI to develop a new risk-based (70)% safety model with focus on proactively avoiding serious

  24. Slide 24: ESG Disclosures

    ESG Disclosures . . . Corporate Responsibility People • CMS Energy & Consumers Energy Websites • SEC Filings (10-K & Proxy) • 2019 Carbon Disclosure Project • Report Scope 1, 2 & 3 Emissions Planet • Water • Climate Assessment Report • Considers TCFD Guidelines • EEI & AGA ESG Templates Profit • Sus

  25. Slide 25: Utility Sales Are Recovering

    Utility Sales Are Recovering . . . a b Weather-Normalized Electric Deliveries 2019 Electric & Gas Rate Mix YTD Sales by Class (vs. 2019) Auto Other 4% Other 2% 2% Industrial (7)% (18)%c (5)%c 11% Res. Com. Ind. Total Residential Full Year Forecast (vs. 2019) Electric Commercial 39% ~5% 23% (7)%-(12)

  26. Slide 26: Regulatory Outlook

    Regulatory Outlook . . . 2019 2020 Regulatory / Policy 2016 Energy 4/15: U-20757  9/18:  Filed for securitization Law fully COVID-19 order for deferred of Karn 1&2 coal plants implemented ~$703 MM accounting Electric 2/27: U-20697 a  Dec. Expected Filed $244 MM a final order Updated $230 MM 10.5%

  27. Slide 27: Solid Rate Case History

    Solid Rate Case History . . . Electric Rate Basea Gas Rate Base (Bn) (Bn) 2013A 2020E 2013A 2020E b b Residential Electric Bill $108 $103 Residential Gas Bill $88 $61 (Weather-normalized) ~(5)% (Weather-normalized) ~(30)% $12.5 $7.4 Request $6.5 $10.7 $10.7 $11.1 2/27/20 Settled $5.2 $9.8 Settled

  28. Slide 28: Michigan Legislative Environment

    Michigan Legislative Environment . . . Governor State Senate Gretchen Whitmer 16 38 22 Democrat 2018 Election: Democrats +5 seats 4-year terms, concurrent with Governor’s term, 2-term limit State House Key Issues: 58 Energy policy is not a key issue 52 110 • Infrastructure • Health Care • Education

  29. Slide 29: Utility Renewables

    Utility Renewables . . . Renewable Portfolio Standard Integrated Resource Plan (15% RPS) (20-Year IRP) • 525 MWs of wind • 1,100 MWs of solar • 550 MWs rate base, ~$600 MM • $1 Bn of capital investmenta • 550 MWs PPA, earn WACC (5.88% x PPA price) • Approved in the REP filing • $600 MM of capital in

  30. Slide 30: CMS Enterprises Continues to Perform

    CMS Enterprises Continues to Perform . . . DIG & Other Renewable Platform • ~1,000 MWs in MI • Aviator, 525 MWs of contracted wind • 51% cash equity ownership (tax equity utilized) • DIG long-term energy (>95% contracted) & short-term • Funded with cash on hand, no new equity capacity (100% contract

  31. Slide 31: DIG (750 MW) & Peakers (200 MW)

    DIG (750 MW) & Peakers (200 MW) . . . Pre-Tax Income Planning Year (MISO) Opportunities a (MM) 2020 Through 2023 (MM) $100 Contracted Capacity 100% ~$90 $90 (~$2.00/kw-month) $80 Energy >95% $70 $7.50 b • LCR upheld by MI Supreme Court $60 • MISO Zone 7 PY ’20/’21 cleared $50 $45 at CONE ~$45 $40 $3

  32. Slide 32: CMS Overview

    CMS Overview “us evens

  33. Slide 33: CMS Energy Overview

    CMS Energy Overview Corporate Structure Key Information CMS Energy 2019 Financial Statistics (NYSE: CMS) Based in Jackson, MI a ~8,100 Employees (37% unionized) Consumers Enterprises EnerBank Energy $6.8 Bn Revenue 2019 b Avg. Rate Base $708 MM Adjusted net income 91% of Gas $6.1 Bn c Operating 7% E

  34. Slide 34: Consumers Energy

    Consumers Energy . . . 4th Largest Combination Utility • Electric Utility 1.8 MM electric customers 8,241 MWs of capacity • Gas Utility 1.8 MM gas customers 309 bcf gas storage (#1 in the U.S.) • Serving 6.7 MM Michigan residents Consumers Energy Planet Goals Near-Term By 2040 1 Bn Net zero gallons

  35. Slide 35: Large and Aging System

    Large and Aging System . . . Electric 25 years of distribution main replacement system is through our older than Enhanced Infrastructure peers Replacement Program Age of coal fleet is more >2,400 miles of gas than transmission pipeline; most 50 years built in the WWII era . . . requires significant

  36. Slide 36: Utility Customer Investment Plan

    Utility Customer Investment Plan . . . Investment Plan Rate Base Growth Gas Electric Renewables $24½ 2020 ‘20-’24 +7% Capital Investment (Bn): Plan Plan Renewables $0.4 $ 1¾ $17½ Electric Utility 0.9 5½ Gas Utility 0.9 5 Total $2.2 On Track $12¼ $25 Bn 10-Yr Plana with $3 - $4 Bn of Opportunities 20

  37. Slide 37: Electric System Investment

    Electric System Investment . . . Capital Generation Capital Investment (Bn): Plan Electric Utility $ 5½ Existing Fleet $1 Bn New Utility Renewables 1¾ Gas Utility 5 AND Total $12¼ New Renewables $1¾ Bn System Reliability & Maintenance New Business & Supporta ~$2¾ Bn $1¾ Bn a Support includes IT, Fle

  38. Slide 38: Gas System Investment

    Gas System Investment . . . Capital Capital Investment (Bn): Plan #1 Compression & Storage Underground storage $½ Bn Electric Utility $ 5½ New Utility Renewables 1¾ Storage field Compressor station Gas Utility 5 Total $12¼ City gate Pipelines Medium pressure regulator station ~$1 Bn #5 #5 Distributi

  39. Slide 39: Clean Energy Future

    Clean Energy Future . . . Elimination of coal More renewable energy Innovative energy solutions Earn incentive Consumers Energy Capacity Mix mechanisms 11% 20% 22% 8% 12% 6% 8% 12% 11% 10% 14% Rate based or 10% earn FCM 28% 56% 56% 20% 42% 10% Today 2030 2040 a Renewables Coal Natural Gas Storage

  40. Slide 40: CMS Performance

    CMS Performance . . . Total Shareholder Returna EPSc Performance b Guidance Actual YoY EPS Growth Dividend Yield ~8½% to 11½% 2019 $2.46 - $2.50 $2.49 +7% 2018 $2.29 - $2.33 $2.33 +7% >10% 6% to 8% 2017 $2.13 - $2.17 $2.17 +7% 2016 $1.97 - $2.01 $2.02 +7% 7.0% 2015 $1.85 - $1.89 $1.89 +7% 2014

  41. Slide 41: CMS' Trading Performance

    CMS’ Trading Performance . . . Stock Performancea Total Shareowner Returnb 350% CMS CMS UTY UTY 300% 301% S&P S&P 468% 250% 200% 190% 150% 100% 110% 98% 50% 65% 0% 30% -50% '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 1-yr 3-yr 5-yr 10-yr a b 10-year stock performance as of December 31, 2019 Dividend

  42. Slide 42: Appendix

    Appendix 42

  43. Slide 43: First Half 2020 EPS

    First Half 2020 EPS . . . Year to Date Results By Business Segment 2019 2020 YTD EPS a EPS - (GAAP) $1.08 $1.33 Utility $1.43 Adjustments b -- 0.02 Enterprises 0.06 Adjusted (non-GAAP) $1.08 $1.35 EnerBank 0.08 Parent & other (0.22) CMS Energy $1.35 Second Quarter 2019 2020 EPS - (GAAP) 33¢ 48¢ b Ad

  44. Slide 44: 2020 Sensitivities

    2020 Sensitivities . . . Full-Year Impact Sensitivity EPSa OCF Salesb (¢) ($MM) Electric (~36,500 GWh) + 1% +6 + 25 Gas (~300 Bcf) +5 + 13 + 50 Gas Prices + 50¢ +0 + 55 Utility Earned ROE Electric + 10 bps + 1½ +6 Gas + 10 +1 +4 Interest Rates + 25 bps + <1 + 2 Effective Tax Rate (16%) + 100 bps + 3

  45. Slide 45: Utility Customer Investment Plan

    Utility Customer Investment Plan 5-Year Plan 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Total Renewables $0.4 $0.4 $0.3 $0.3 $0.4 $1.8 Electric Utility 0.9 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 5.4 Gas Utility 0.9 1.1 0.9 1.1 1.0 5.0 Total $2.2 $2.7 $2.3 $2.5 $2.5 $12.2 Depreciation & Amortization $1.0 $1.1 $1.1 $1.2 $1.2 $5.6 Enter “so w

  46. Slide 46: Operating Cash Flow Generation

    Operating Cash Flow Generation . . . Amount ~$10 Bn in aggregate (Bn) $2.2 $2.15 $2.05 a $1.85 $1.95 $1.79 $1.75 Investment Cash flow before dividend (1.1) 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 NOLs & Credits $0.2 $0.3 $0.5 $0.5 $0.6 $0.7 a Excludes $531 MM discretionary pension contributions in January 202

  47. Slide 47: GAAP Reconciliation

    GAAP Reconciliation 47

  48. Slide 48: Reconciliation of GAAP EPS to Non-GAAP Adjusted EPS by Segment

    CMS ENERGY CORPORATION Reconciliation of GAAP EPS to Non-GAAP Adjusted EPS by Segment (Unaudited) In Millions, Except Per Share Amounts Three Months Ended Six Months Ended 6/30/20 6/30/19 6/30/20 6/30/19 Electric Utility Reported net income per share $ 0.42 $ 0.32 $ 0.83 $ 0.69 Reconciling items: Ot

  49. Slide 49: Reconciliation of GAAP Net Income to Non-GAAP Adjusted Net Income

    CMS ENERGY CORPORATION Reconciliation of GAAP Net Income to Non-GAAP Adjusted Net Income (Unaudited) In Millions, Except Per Share Amounts Three Months Ended Six Months Ended 6/30/20 6/30/19 6/30/20 6/30/19 Net Income Available to Common Stockholders $ 136 $ 93 $ 379 $ 306 Reconciling items: Other e

  50. Slide 50: Reconciliations of GAAP Net Income to Non-GAAP Adjusted Net Income

    CMS ENERGY CORPORATION Reconciliations of GAAP Net Income to Non-GAAP Adjusted Net Income (Unaudited) In Millions, Except Per Share Amounts Three Months Ended Twelve Months Ended 12/31/19 12/31/18 12/31/19 12/31/18 Net Income Available to Common Stockholders $ 167 $ 108 $ 680 $ 657 Reconciling items

  51. Slide 51: Earnings Per Share By Year GAAP Reconciliation

    CMS ENERGY CORPORATION Earnings Per Share By Year GAAP Reconciliation (Unaudited) GAAP GAA 2019 over 2019 o 2003 201 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 CAGR Grow Reported earnings (loss) per share - GAAP ($0.30) $0.64 ($0.44) ($0.41) ($1.02) $1.20 $0

  52. Slide 52: Reconciliation of GAAP Operating Activities to Non-GAAP

    CMS ENERGY CORPORATION Reconciliation of GAAP Operating Activities to Non-GAAP Operating Activities (Unaudited) (mils) 2020 GAAP Net cash provided by operating activities $ 1,219 Add back discretionary pension contribution 531 Non-GAAP Net cash provided by operating activities $ 1,750 52

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