Next Plc · LSE:NXT

Next — H1 2020 Earnings Presentation

82 slides from Next's earnings presentation, July 2020

  1. Slide 1: July 2020 Summary

    July 2020 Next

  2. Slide 2: Summary results July 2020 vs July 2019

    £m July 2020 July 2019 Total sales 1,357 2,059. Operating profit 30 341 Interest (74)) (AD) Profit before tax 9 320. The financial information presented excludes IFRS 16. Including IFRS 16 the statutory loss before tax for the 6 months to July 2020 is - £16.5m, compared to a profit before tax of £32

  3. Slide 3: Income Statement

    Income Statement next July 2020 1,357 30 (21) Profit before tax 320 Non-recurring profit and loss items Property profit 37 Business rates reduction 32 Stock provisions & fabric (39) Property provisions/impairment (37) Bad debt provision (20) Total (27)

  4. Slide 4: Income Statement

    Income Statement next July 2020 1,357 30 (21) Profit before tax KYO) Remove property profit (37) Taxable loss (28) Tax credit (offset H2 profit) 6

  5. Slide 5: Income Statement

    £m July 2020 July 2019 ae Total sales 1,357 2,059 - 34% - 33% Operating profit 30 34] Interest (21) (21) Profit before tax 9 320 Tax credit / (charge) 6 (59) Profit after tax 15 261 The financial information presented excludes IFRS 16. Including IFRS 16 the statutory loss before tax for the 6 months

  6. Slide 6: Income Statement: brand full price sales

    Income Stateme next Brand July 2020 Full Price Total sales £80m £70m e £60M og wae epee Tt 26 02 09 16 23 ol 08 15 22 29 05 12 19 26 03 10 7 24 3 07 14 2i 28 0 12 19 : Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul

  7. Slide 7: Income Statement: SS20 poor performers

    Income Statement next Total sales 2,059 - 34% - 33% SS20 Poor performers Formal Occasion Holiday Shoes & accessories FP sales - 53%

  8. Slide 8: Income Statement: SS20 poor performers

    Income Statement next Total sales 1,357 2,059 - 34% - 33% S$S20 Poor performers 2019 Split Formal Poor ; performers Occasion 48% Holiday Shoes & accessories FP sales - 53%

  9. Slide 9: Income Statement: retail store sales

    Income Statement next Total sales 2,059 - 34% -33% Retail store full price LFL sales | vs LY by store type Participation % by sales . . . Year to Jan 2020 City Regional Retail centre shopping centres parks 0% 10% — City centre - 20% — ‘onal | coca “oguaay “is - 30% —— centres sl - 40% Cumulative sal

  10. Slide 10: £m July 2020 July 2019 Var

    £m July 2020 July 2019 Var Operating profit 30 34] Interest (21) (CAD) Tax credit / (charge) 6 (59) Profit after tax 15 261

  11. Slide 11: Income Statement

    Income Statement next £m July 2020 Total lost sales - 702 Reduction in cost of stock Cancelled contracts Reduced buy Hibernated until Spring Summer 2021 Stock provisions & fabric

  12. Slide 12: Income Statement

    Income Statement next July 2020 Reduction in cost of stock + 220 Reduced wages +102 Reduced occupancy costs +45 Online marketing + 2] Other operational costs and group items +3 Profit before tax

  13. Slide 13: Cash Flow

    Cash Flow next July 2020 Var 9 - 311 Depreciation / disposals 61 Property disposal cash proceeds +147 Gain on sale and leaseback (non cash) - 37 +110

  14. Slide 14: Cash flow summary

    £m July 2020 July 2019 Var Profit before tax 9 320 - 311 Depreciation / disposals 174 61 +113 I Capital expenditure (47) (65) +18 Working capital / other 300 (3) Tax paid (77) (70) ESOT 7 (35) Cash flow before distribution 366 183 The cash flow statement is not presented on a statutory basis.

  15. Slide 15: Cash Flow: capital expenditure

    Cash Flow next Capital expenditure (47) Latest estimate £135m £139m mB £14m Bs & Head Off ace stems & Hea ice Space £241 ¥ 5 £39m Cosmeticrefts pace £29m £14m | Stores Cosmetic refits £10m Warehouse Jan 2021© Jan 2020

  16. Slide 16: Cash Flow: 5 Year View

    Cash Flow | 5 Year View next Capital expenditure | Systems & Head Office | Stores Warehouse £100m £100m Average spend £125m/pa Jan 2021 Jan 2022© Jan 2023 Jan 2024©) Jan 2025©

  17. Slide 17: Cash Flow: 5 Year View

    Cash Flow | 5 Year View next Capital expenditure | Systems | ezsm | | Head Office Jan 2021 Jan 2022© Jan 2023 Jan 2024©) Jan 2025©

  18. Slide 18: Capital expenditure: Systems

    Capital expenditure Cash Flow | 5 Year View next Systems | Capital spend | Revenue spend oa £98m £68m £8m Jan 2017 Jan 2021©

  19. Slide 19: Cash Flow: capital expenditure average

    Cash Flow next Capital expenditure 5 year average Jan 2021 to 2025 —» £125m/pa | Systems & Head Office | Stores Warehouse

  20. Slide 20: Cash Flow: customer receivables

    Cash Flow next July 2020 Var 9 - 311 174 +113 (47) +18 Working capital / other (28) Customer receivables + 220 14% Monthly payments as a % of customer balance 2020 13% <ce seen 12% eects — woe ec aec cease °° 2019 11% 10% Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul

  21. Slide 21: Cash Flow: working capital

    Cash Flow next July 2020 Var 9 - 311 174 +113 (47) +18 Working capital / other (28) Customer receivables + 220 Stock reduction +94 VAT deferral + 20 Other -6

  22. Slide 22: Cash flow with buybacks and net cash flow

    £m July 2020 July 2019 Var Profit before tax 9 320 - 311 Depreciation / disposals 174 61 +113 Capital expenditure (47) (65) +18 Working capital / other 300 (239) +328 Tax paid (77) (70) -7 ESOT y | (35) +42 Cash flow before distribution 366 183 Buybacks (19) (280) + 261 I Net cash flow 347 (97) = +4

  23. Slide 23: Net Debt and Financing Headroom

    Net Debt and Financing | Headroom Jan 2020 Jul 2020 Jan 2021© £1.5bn Net debt £1.1bn £1.0bn £0.5bn fbn

  24. Slide 24: Net Debt and Financing Headroom

    Net Debt and Financing | Headroom next Jan 2021© £1.6bn £1.5bn £1.0bn + £1.1bn Bonds £0.5bn fbn Net debt Financing

  25. Slide 25: Net Debt and Financing Headroom

    Net Debt and Financing | Headroom next £1.5bn £1.25bn t E10 feeseon’ —— v 2021/22 Peak) £100m £0.5bn fbn Net debt Financing

  26. Slide 26: Net Debt and Financing Headroom

    Net Debt and Financing | Headroom Jan 2021© £1.5b6n £ibn £1.0bn Customer receivables £0.5bn fbn Net debt

  27. Slide 27: Balance sheet July 2020 vs July 2019

    £m July 2020 July 2019 Fixed assets and investments 465 575 Goodwill and intangibles 44 45 I stock 515 584 - 12% Debtors / receivables 1,111 1,309 Creditors / derivatives (865) (914) Dividends payable O (140) Pension surplus 88 142 Net debt (765) (1,193) Net assets 593 408 The financial information

  28. Slide 28: Balance Sheet: debtors and receivables

    Balance Sheet next July 2020 Var 465 44 515 - 69 Debtors / receivables 1,309 July 2019 £1.2bn “193 Increased debt provisions -2% = 29 ay20e0 Panentins to Accelerated payments in AW19 -2% July 2019 Customer receivables Full year credit sales

  29. Slide 29: Balance sheet with variances

    £m July 2020 July 2019 Var Fixed assets and investments 465 575 Goodwill and intangibles 44 45 Stock 515 584 - 69 Debtors / receivables 1,111 1,309 - 198 Creditors / derivatives (865) (914) Dividends payable O (140) Pension surplus 88 142 Net debt (765) (CRISES) I Net assets 593 408 +185 The financi

  30. Slide 30: Slide 30

  31. Slide 31: Online: Sales and Profit Analysis

    Online | Sales and Profit Analysis Full price sales analysis + 6% v LY - 28% v LY + 21% v LY £40m 2019, geetteoettyer” ots te ee? rom s——- «wp i Sa © FEE — *@eece- f2om- = = 4 SB 4 WE BS 8beed £10m 7 26 Jan Feb 23Feb 8Mar 22Mar 5 17 Ma IMay 14Jun 28Jun 12 £0m

  32. Slide 32: Online: Sales and Profit Analysis

    Online | Sales and Profit Analysis next ; Lipsy UK - 48% Full price sales analysis = Increase on last year Other fashion brands - 19% NEXT brand UK - £46m - 10% Beauty & Home + 24% LABEL -£41m - 21% UK total - £87m - 13%

  33. Slide 33: Online: Sales and Profit Analysis

    Online | Sales and Profit Analysis next July 2020 Full Price 863 - 14% - 11% 128 . . Overseas Full price sales analysis by quarter Increase on last year Ql . 25% UK total - £87m - 13% Q2 + 19% Overseas -£8m - 3% Total -£95m -11% — + UKorders prioritised * Russian/German warehouse

  34. Slide 34: Online: Sales and Profit Analysis

    Online | Sales and Profit Analysis next July 2020 Full Price 863 - 14% - 11% 128 . . Overseas Full price sales analysis by channel Increase on last year 3rd parties + 55% UK total - £87m -13% NEXT Direct - 9% Overseas - £8m - 3% Total - £95m -11%

  35. Slide 35: Online: Sales and Profit Analysis

    Online | Sales and Profit Analysis next July 2020 Full Price 863 - 14% - 11% 128 . . Overseas Full price sales analysis by channel Increase on last year UK total - £87m -13% NEXT Direct - 9% Overseas -£8m Total - £95m -11%

  36. Slide 36: Online: Sales and Profit Analysis

    Online | Sales and Profit Analysis next July 2020 Full Price 863 - 14% - 11% 4 2:} Customer growth Full price sales Avg. customers UK total - 13% + 2.5% Overseas - 3% 0% Total -11% +1.9%

  37. Slide 37: Online: Sales and Profit Analysis

    Online | Sales and Profit Analysis next July 2020 Full Price 863 - 14% - 11% 4 2:} Customer growth Full price sales Avg. customers UK credit - 21% 0% UK cash + 16% + 6% UK total - 13% + 2.5%

  38. Slide 38: Online: Sales and Profit Analysis

    Online | Sales and Profit Analysis next Total sales Reduction in cost of stock +45 Reduced wages + 32 Marketing + 2) Logistics costs -5 Operating profit

  39. Slide 39: Divisional Analysis: NEXT Finance

  40. Slide 40: NEXT Finance: Key drivers of sales and profit

    NEXT Finance | Key drivers of sales and profit next £m July 2020 July 2019 Il creait sales* 620 833 - 26% Average number of customers (000s) 2,569 2,568 0% Sales per customer £241 £325 - 26% Credit merchandise sales 6 months to July 2019 Markdown Children & Home Adult fashion * Includes Online and R

  41. Slide 41: NEXT Finance: Key drivers of sales and profit

    NEXT Finance | Key drivers of sales and profit next £m July 2020 July 2019 Credit sales* 620 8535 - 26% i Average number of customers (000s) 2,569 2,568 0% Sales per customer £241 £325 - 26% + 3% 0% Active credit customers v LY - AY 8 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug * Includes Online and Retail sale

  42. Slide 42: NEXT Finance: Income Statement

    NEXT Finance | Income Statement Bad debt charge (4:)) (19) + 53% Lower provision due to lower credit sales 6 Sale of previously written off debt 4 Provision for potential defaults from COVID (20) July 2020 (29)

  43. Slide 43: NEXT Finance: Income Statement

    NEXT Finance | Income Statement next Profit 59 76 - 22% Avg. customer receivables 1,094 1,167 Annual return on capital employed** 10.8% 13.0%

  44. Slide 44: Divisional Analysis

    DIVISIONAL ANALYSIS

  45. Slide 45: Retail: Sales and Profit Analysis

    Retail | Sales and Profit Analysis Full price sales analysis £40m ° e . ee H . e i . ° . H : 2019 8° “seeesaee a . £30m i =o, * ee eoeeey . : 5 ry ecoe® peee : . .° ° H H . H é e £20m = eT : - £10m ee 1 op boEEES £0m : 26Jan O9Feb 23Feb O8Mar 22Mar OSApr 19 Api 17 Ma 1 Ma: 14 Jun 28 Jun 1 Week comme

  46. Slide 46: Retail: 2020/21 Occupancy

    Retail | 2020/21‘) Occupancy Next Store openings = SS pextg’ ed FAVE STONE) Mainline stores only

  47. Slide 47: Retail: 2020/21 Occupancy

    Retail | 2020/21‘) Occupancy next Store openings Store closures Lease renewals Mainline stores only

  48. Slide 48: Retail: 2020/21 Rent Negotiations

    Retail | 2020/21) Rent Negotiations Including short term leases (< 2 years) f Annualised impact ! Includes amortisation of unspent capital contributions / rent free periods over the lease length 2 Average profit based on sales for the year to January 2020, less 20%

  49. Slide 49: NEXT PLC Scenarios: Full Year Sales and Profit

    NEXT PLC SCENARIOS Full Year Sales and Profit

  50. Slide 50: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul

    26 02 09 16 23 01 08 15 22 29 05 12 19 26 03 10 7 24 31 07 05 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul

  51. Slide 51: 2020/21 Full Price Brand Sales Analysis

    2020/21 Full Price Brand Sales Analysis next £80m £70m £60m £50m £40m £30m £20m £10m £m

  52. Slide 52: 2020/21 Full Price Brand Sales Analysis

    2020/21 Full Price Brand Sales Analysis Next £80m £60m £50m £40m

  53. Slide 53: 2020/21 Full Price Brand Sales Analysis

    2020 /21 Full Price Brand Sales Analysis Scenario v LY Upside Central Downside H1 - 33% H2 Todate +4% H2©) Rest of year -4% -12% - 34% H2©) -2% - 8% - 25%

  54. Slide 54: 2020/21 Full Price Brand Sales Analysis

    2020 /21 Full Price Brand Sales Analysis Scenario v LY Upside Central Downside H1 - 33% H2) -2% - 8% - 25% Full Year -17% - 20% - 29% Underlying PBT“ £370m £300m £110m Net Debt * £635m £650m £825m * As at 53" week

  55. Slide 55: Talking Points

  56. Slide 56: Sales resilience

    Sales resilience

  57. Slide 57: Financial stability

    Financial stability

  58. Slide 58: New opportunities

    New opportunities

  59. Slide 59: Childsplay Clothing Autumn/Winter 20

    AUTUMN / WINTER ‘20 GUCCI Explore iconic Gucci styles reimagined 11:19 BBO - OQ | @ childsplayclothing.co.uk Se Se GIVENCHY Evoncmen MOSCHINO BALeNciAGa GUCCI BURBERRY FEP NEWIN BABY BOYS GIRLS SHOES perRY MOSCHINO FENDI — re > So Le >

  60. Slide 60: Childsplay sign in with Next account

    < SIGN IN / REGISTER QQ @ childsplayclothing.co.uk/sec ic SIGN IN / REGISTER Great news, Childsplay is now partnered with Next! If you Great news, Childepayis now partnered with Next! fyou have previously registered with Next, please use your have previously red with Next, please use your ISA oe cr

  61. Slide 61: Payment options with Nextpay credit

    < o PAYMENT Hep (] Order Value £150.00 Total (Incl. Delivery: £4.95) £154.95 <« a Order Value ‘Total (Incl. Delivery: £4.95) ne XC pay Pay later 23.9% APR Representative Variable. pay Pay later Comgare our adh enters PAY WITH CREDIT® PAY WITH CREDIT* NEXCDAY Spree tne cost amore 22.9% APR varie Next

  62. Slide 62: Childsplay Clothing packaging

  63. Slide 63: Childsplay Clothing packing stations

  64. Slide 64: NEXT Total Platform

  65. Slide 65: NEXT Total Platform

    NEXT Total Platform next Sales Channels Retail systems Retail logistics

  66. Slide 66: TOTAL: Pre-integrated

    TOTAL ‘@) Pre-integrated

  67. Slide 67: TOTAL: Commission model

    Wa TOTAL ‘@) Pre-integrated ‘@) Commission model ¢ Variable cost base * Capex free ¢ Interests aligned

  68. Slide 68: TOTAL: Better service at lower cost

    WA TOTAL ‘@) Pre-integrated ‘@) Commission model ‘@) Better service at lower cost ‘@) Painless growth

  69. Slide 69: Brand Focus and NEXT Operations

    ‘@) Brand Focus » Design » Sourcing » Buying » Photography ~ Branding © NEXT Operations

  70. Slide 70: Victoria's Secret

    VICTORIA'S SECREM Owned by Lbrands.

  71. Slide 71: NEXT Total Platform: Victoria's Secret

    NEXT Total Platform VICTORIA'S SECRET (0) Joint Venture 49 %o UK & Eire Licence Agreement subject to regulatory clearances.

  72. Slide 72: Joint Venture / UK & Eire Licence

    Joint Venture UK & Eire Licence victoriassecret.com/GB next.co.uk

  73. Slide 73: Joint Venture / UK & Eire Licence

    Joint Venture UK & Eire Licence

  74. Slide 74: Joint Venture: Profits / UK & Eire Licence

    Joint Venture Profits UK & Eire Licence

  75. Slide 75: Joint Venture: Profits / UK & Eire Licence

    Joint Venture Profits UK & Eire Licence

  76. Slide 76: Joint Venture / UK & Eire Licence

    Joint Venture UK & Eire Licence

  77. Slide 77: Joint Venture / UK & Eire Licence

    Joint Venture UK & Eire Licence next.co.uk

  78. Slide 78: next.co.uk

    next.co.uk

  79. Slide 79: Leverage: Total Platform

  80. Slide 80: Four tests...

    Four tests... Create Play to our Make a Return value strengths margin on capieal RaBiored Leverage

  81. Slide 81: July 2020 Summary

  82. Slide 82: Slide 82

Next — H1 2020 Earnings Presentation on 6ix