Old National Bancorp · NASDAQ:ONB

Old National Bancorp — Investor Presentation (November 2020)

53 slides from Old National Bancorp's investor presentation, Nov 2, 2020

  1. Slide 1: Investment Thesis

    Exhibit 99.1 Investment Thesis FINANCIAL DATA AS OF September 30, 2020 DATED: November 2, 2020

  2. Slide 2: Executive Summary

    Executive Summary Slides 3-18

  3. Slide 3: Forward-Looking Statements; Non-GAAP

    Forward-Looking Statements; Non-GAAP Forward-Looking Statements: This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements include, but are not limited to, descriptions of Old National Bancorp’s (“Old Na

  4. Slide 4: Snapshot of Old National

    Snapshot of Old National Summary Company Description Headquarters Evansville, IN • Largest bank holding company headquartered in Indiana with financial centers located in Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, Market Cap $2,311 Minnesota and Wisconsin P/ TBV 126% • 162 financial centers and 204 ATMs Dividend

  5. Slide 5: Old National's Footprint

    Old National’s Footprint Wisconsin $1.4 billion deposits Minnesota 8% of total franchise Wisconsin St.St. PaulPaul MinneapolisMinneapolis == ====== ========= == == ======== ====== == ==== Michigan EauEau ClaireClaire == == == ===== $1.6 billion deposits == == == == == AppletonAppleton Michigan 10% o

  6. Slide 6: Credit Quality

    Credit Quality Vulnerable Industries % of Industry Balance Total Loans Exposure Other CRE - Senior Housing $285 2.3% $325 Loans Vulnerable Restaurants $211 1.7% $230 92.9% Industries 7.1% Arts/Entertainment $142 1.1% $176 C&I - Retail $109 0.9% $253 Hotels $83 0.7% $85 Oil/Gas $54 0.4% $128 Total $8

  7. Slide 7: Client Relief Programs

    Client Relief Programs Deferrals Deferrals by Industry/CRE Collateral Ever Ever Active Active Educational Retail Trade 3% Services 3% Other 3% Deferred % of Portfolio1 Deferrals % of Portfolio1 Healthcare & Social $1,304 10% $138 1% Assistance 5% Arts, CRE - Office 22% Entertainment & Recreation 7%

  8. Slide 8: Strategy to Drive Long-Term Shareholder Value

    Strategy to Drive Long-Term Shareholder Value Basic Bank… Larger balance sheet capabilities with a strong product offering, delivered in-market with Broader Reach unequalled client care- “Out-product Community Banks, Out-service Large Regionals” M&A Repositioned Positioned in faster-growth Midwester

  9. Slide 9: Franchise Evolution

    Franchise Evolution Built a Better Bank… Key market expansions in Minnesota (2017/2018), Wisconsin (2016), Michigan (2014/2015) Deposits per Branch Assets per FTE $16,450 $22,460 $7,279 $9,544 $102 $7,846 $5,447 $9.04 $47 $40 $3.15 $3.56 2007 2012 3Q20 2007 2012 3Q20 Core Deposits Core Deposits/Bran

  10. Slide 10: …With Improved Scale

    …With Improved Scale Number of MSAs with Top 5 Rank Number of MSAs with Top 10 Rank 16 32 12 12 23 18 2007 2012 2020 2007 2012 2020 Number of MSAs with Top 5 Rank Number of MSAs with Top 10 Rank 44 23 18 32 16 14 14 27 26 25 FNB ASB ONB FFBC GWB FNB ONB GWB ASB FFBC 10 Source: S&P Global Market Inte

  11. Slide 11: Old National Top MSAs

    Old National Top 10 MSAs Percent of 2021-2026 2021 2021-2026 ONB Market Deposits 2021 Total 2020-2021 Projected Median Projected Franchise Share Per Branch Population Population Population Household HH Income (%) Rank ($M) (Actual) Change (%) Change (%) Income ($) Change (%) Minneapolis-St. Paul-Blo

  12. Slide 12: Quality Low-Cost Deposit Franchise

    Quality Low-Cost Deposit Franchise Deposit Composition Deposit Growth $16.2 $16.4 Time $14.2 $14.5 $14.2 Money 7.3% $12.4 Market Noninterest- $10.6 11.6% $11.0 $11.0 bearing $8.5 $8.3 $10.2 $10.4 $10.1 Demand $7.3 Savings $7.2 $8.7 33.2% $7.6 20.0% $6.1 $5.8 $5.3 $5.2 NOW $5.2 $5.4 $4.0 $4.1 $4.1 27

  13. Slide 13: Improved Balance Sheet Mix

    Improved Balance Sheet Mix Average Commercial Loans/Average Average Indirect Loans/Average Assets Assets 41.9% 40.3% 39.8% 40.3% 40.1% 7.8% 36.0% 7.5% 7.3% 32.9% 30.3% 28.5% 28.8% 6.2% 5.8% 5.0% 4.7% 4.7% 4.5% 4.5% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

  14. Slide 14: Credit

    Credit 30+ Day Delinquency Net Charge-offs 0.56% 0.53% 0.52% 0.48% 0.50% 0.48% 0.45% 0.43% 0.26% 1 0.23% 0.23% 0.38% 0.40% 0.20% 0.17% 0.18% 0.15% 0.31% 0.27% 0.05% 0.25% 0.21% 0.04% 0.20% 0.03% 0.02% 0.02% 0.17% -0.02% -0.09% 2015Y 2016Y 2017Y 2018Y 2019Y 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 2015Y 2016Y 2017Y 2018Y 2019

  15. Slide 15: Allowance for Credit Losses

    Allowance for Credit Losses Allowance for Credit Losses $11.0 $131.4 $128.4 ($7.8) Key Economic Assumptions ($0.2) 3Q20 4Q20 2021 2022 2023 2024 GDP Change 26.6% 2.9% 3.5% 5.0% 3.8% 2.4% Unemployment Rate 8.9% 9.1% 8.4% 6.4% 4.8% 4.5% BBB Spread/10Y Treasury 2.7% 2.7% 2.7% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% Other Key M

  16. Slide 16: Strong Credit Culture and CRE Concentration

    Strong Credit Culture 3 and 15-Year Cumulative NCOs/ Avg. Loans1 CRE Concentration (% of Loans)1,2 CRE/ Total 220% 204% 220% RBC 34.1% 7.55% 30.9% 6.08% 28.8% 3.84% 0.60% 0.63% 0.10% 3-Year 15-Year³ ONB Peer Average Banks $10B - $50B ONB Peer Average Banks $10B-$50B 15-Year Peak NCOs Average Loan Si

  17. Slide 17: Low-Risk Balance Sheet

    Low-Risk Balance Sheet Implies $2.0B increase in RWA to meet peer average 101% 83% 75% 67% 66% 60% Peer Min Lower Quartile Average Upper Quartile Peer Max ONB Risk Weighted Assets/ Total Assets Includes PPP Loans 17 Peer Group data as of 2Q20 and per S&P Global Market Intelligence - See Appendix for

  18. Slide 18: Commitment to Excellence

    u Commitment to Excellence Bloomberg Gender-Equality Index ©)|WORLD’S MOST ~ siETHICAL «1|COMPANIES® WWW.ETHISPHERE.COM ABA Foundation Sey Haveds Corporate Engagement AWARD OF Points of Light Institute = lo - D =| BEST PLACE TO WORK FOR [x4 = DISABILITY INCLUSION F4 100% DISABILITY EQUALITY INDEX ET

  19. Slide 19: Financial Details

    Financial Details FINANCIAL DATA AS OF September 30, 2020 DATED: November 2, 2020

  20. Slide 20: Third-Quarter 2020 Results

    Third-Quarter 2020 Results Change vs. 3Q20 2Q20 3Q19 Linked-Quarter Performance Drivers • Strong total commercial production of $978mm End of period total loans$ 13,978 $ 240 $ 1,902 End of period total deposits 16,507 188 2,059 • Noninterest-bearing demand deposit growth Net interest income (FTE) 1

  21. Slide 21: Pre-Provision Net Revenue

    Pre-Provision Net Revenue Adjusted Pre-Provision Net Revenue $94.6 $91.5 $92.1 • Adjusted pre-provision net revenue $77.4 increased 3.4% Y/Y $73.9 • Improvement driven by successful execution of our stated strategy • Strong commercial loan production • Improved fee income • Low cost core deposit fun

  22. Slide 22: Earning Assets

    Earning Assets1 Total Loans $13,978 $13,849 $13,738 $13,450 $1,479 $1,125 $1,477 $1,463 $12,091 $12,069 $12,192 Commercial loans, excl. PPP $2,785 $2,924 $2,798 $2,845 $3,064 $2,892 $2,907 • Commercial production of $978mm • Average new production size ~$1mm $5,020 $5,130 $5,189 $5,341 $5,546 $5,403

  23. Slide 23: Total Loan Portfolio Concentrations

    Total Loan Portfolio Concentrations1,2 By Product Type - $12,498 Repricing Type HELOC 4% Floating Other 6% Consumer 9% CRE Non-Owner Residential Real Occupied 33% Estate Variable 37% 19% Fixed 57% C&I 22% CRE Owner Occupied 13% 23 $ in millions As of 9/30/2020 1 Includes loans held for sale 2 Exclud

  24. Slide 24: C&I Loan Portfolio

    C&I Loan Portfolio1 C&I - $2,785 Repricing Type Manufacturing 15% Floating Other 19% 24% Public Admin 9% Ag, Forestry, Fishing, Fixed Construction 54% and Hunting 9% 5% Other Services Variable (Except Public 27% Admin) 6% Educational Services Finance & 7% Insurance Wholesale Trade 6% 7% Health Care

  25. Slide 25: Commercial Real Estate Loan Concentrations

    Commercial Real Estate Loan Concentrations Construction & Land Development - $574 CRE - $5,702 (Classed by Property Type) Other CRE 22% Multifamily Construction & Single Family 34% Religion 2% Land Dev 10% 3% Mixed Use 3% Mixed Use 2% Senior Housing Other CRE 15% 3% Retail 8% Office Single Family 14

  26. Slide 26: Auto Loan Portfolio

    Auto Loan Portfolio Direct $68 • Total portfolio average original loan term of 70 months and weighted average FICO score of 766 Indirect (Dealer) • Total portfolio LTV of 86% $933 • Total portfolio yield of 3.79% • 30+ Days Delinquency at 9/30/2020 = 0.49% New $424 Used $577 Loans are originated wit

  27. Slide 27: Investment Portfolio Purchases 3Q20

    Investment Portfolio Purchases 3Q20 Duration of Purchases Treasuries 0.00 Agencies 7.21 Pools 4.64 Q3 2020 CMOs 5.58 Purchases- Book Municipals 11.02 Value Corporates 6.40 Treasuries - ABS 0.00 Agencies $99,000,000 Total 6.69 Pools 39,988,184 0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 CMO 444,602,460 Muni

  28. Slide 28: Investment Portfolio

    Investment Portfolio Market Book Value Book Value Market Value Market Value Value $ Jun 30, 2020 Sep 30, 2020 Jun 30, 2020 Sep 30, 2020 Change Federal National Mortgage Association $0.0 $70.0 $0.0 $70.0 Federal Farm Credit Bank 251.2 220.2 253.4 223.3 Federal Home Loan Bank and Other 198.6 198.6 200

  29. Slide 29: Deposits

    Deposits Total Deposits $16,437 $16,319 $16,506 $15,653 $1,404 $1,263 $14,603 $1,472 Growth in noninterest-bearing and $14,331 $14,328 $1,446 $1,752 savings lead to higher deposit $1,915 $1,646 $5,291 $5,218 $5,463 $4,871 balances $4,047 $3,842 $3,965 0.52% Deposit costs continue to decline 0.43% •

  30. Slide 30: Net Interest Income & Net Interest Margin

    Net Interest Income & Net Interest Margin1 Net Interest Income Key Performance Drivers $156 $152 • Lower new business yields $147 $149 $149 $13 $10 • PPP 1% coupon + fees $7 $7 $9 $6 $5 • Increases NII, neutral to NIM • NIM decreased 11 bps vs. 2Q20 • - 17 bps asset yields • +5 bps funding costs • -

  31. Slide 31: Projected Purchase Accounting Impact

    Projected Purchase Accounting Impact Manageable declines in purchase accounting impact expected in future periods Projected Accretion Income Projected Remaining Discount $57.2 $40.7 $42.9 $40.7 $136.5 $129.7 $121.3 $21.5 $77.8 $52.4 $42.4 $10.0 $7.5 $34.9 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2016 2017

  32. Slide 32: Asset Liability Management Position

    Asset Liability Management Position Disciplined balance sheet management and well-positioned to both defend margin against lower rates and benefit from higher rates Interest Rate Risk Position Loan and Deposit Mix 1 • 42% of loans are variable/floating-rate1 Loans Deposits Floating • $400mm of downr

  33. Slide 33: Noninterest Income

    Noninterest Income Adjusted Noninterest Income1 $58 $60 $53 Key Performance Drivers $52 $9 $8 • 3Q20 adjusted noninterest income $8 $47 $5 $7 $6 • $1.1mm increase in service charges on $5 $7 $4 deposits $3 $9 $18 • $0.8mm increase in mortgage banking $6 $11 $17 revenue • Mortgage activity $14 $15 $1

  34. Slide 34: Noninterest Expense

    Noninterest Expense Adjusted Noninterest Expense1 $126 $122 $118 $115 $114 Key Performance Drivers $25 $24 • 3Q20 adjusted noninterest expense $24 $22 $22 • Additional ONB Way cost savings $12 $12 $11 $13 $9 • 3Q20 adjusted efficiency ratio of 53.1% $14 $12 $14 • 73 bps improvement from 2Q20 $13 $14

  35. Slide 35: Conservative Lending Limit/Risk Grades

    Conservative Lending Limit/Risk Grades Borrower Asset Quality Rating In-House Lending Limit1 (Risk Grades) 0 – Investment Grade $67.5 1 –Minimal Risk $57.5 2 –Modest Risk $52.5 3 – Average Risk $45.0 4 –Monitor $35.0 5 – Weak Monitor $25.0 6 –Watch $10.0 7 – Criticized (Special Mention) $5.0 Borrowe

  36. Slide 36: Capital Trends

    Capital Trends Tangible Common Equity to Tangible Tangible Common Book Value1 Assets1 $11.10 $10.75 8.95% 8.58% $10.18 8.45% 3Q19 2Q20 3Q20 3Q19 2Q20 3Q20 Share Repurchase Activity2 Shares Weighted Avg Price 1Q20 4.9 $16.05 2Q20 0 N/A 3Q20 0 N/A Total board authorization of up to 7.0mm shares to be

  37. Slide 37: Branch Actions

    Branch Actions • Driving efficiencies through increased branch size and investment in mobile and online banking • Consolidated 103 branches since January 2014 • Increased core deposits per branch by 199% since 2009 • Launched new online and mobile solution January 2016 • Increased mobile user by ove

  38. Slide 38: Outlook

    Outlook COVID-19 will impact performance going forward Category Outlook Commercial Loans Strong pipeline heading into the 4th quarter; PPP runoff expected to begin in 4Q but majority in 2021 Net Interest Margin FTE NIM, excluding accretion income, under pressure given the low interest rate environme

  39. Slide 39: Old National's Footprint

    Old National’s Footprint Wisconsin Population: 5.82 million Total Resident Labor Force: 3.88 million Unemployment Rate: 5.4% Minnesota (Sept. ‘20, Seasonally adjusted) Minnesota GDP (2019): $347.3B Population: 5.64 million Exports (2019): $21.7B Total Resident Labor Force: 3.93 million Wisconsin St.

  40. Slide 40: Attractive Midwest Markets

    Attractive Midwest Markets Median Household Income 2021 Projected Household Income Change $86.4 2021-2026 $78.2 $78.8 12.6%12.4% $66.2 $66.6 $68.8 $66.7 11.3% $64.5 $63.9 $60.9 $59.7 Average 10.0% 10.2% of ONB 9.8% 9.6% 9.5% 8.8% 9.4% 9.4% Footprint Projected Population Change 2021-2026 4.0% 3.7% 3.

  41. Slide 41: Attractive Midwest Markets

    Attractive Midwest Markets Minneapolis, MN Indianapolis, IN Milwaukee, WI Louisville, KY Grand Rapids, MI MSA Population: 3.7mm MSA Population: 2.1 mm MSA Population: 1.6mm MSA Population: 1.3mm MSA Population: 1.1mm Major industries include: Major industries include: Major industries include: Major

  42. Slide 42: Commitment to Strong Corporate Governance

    Commitment to Strong Corporate Governance • Stock ownership guidelines have been established for named executive officers as follows: Position or Salary Target Ownership Guidelines Chief Executive Officer 5X salary in stock or 200,000 shares Chief Operating Officer 4X salary in stock or 100,000 shar

  43. Slide 43: 2020 Executive Compensation

    2020 Executive Compensation • Tied to long term shareholder value Short Term Incentive Plan Proxy 5 Performance Measure Weight Corporate EPS 60% ROATCE 20% Efficiency Ratio 20% Long Term Incentive Plan Proxy 5 Performance Measure Weight Performance-based (50% 75% TSR & 50% ROATCE) Service-based 25%

  44. Slide 44: Commitment to Diversity & Inclusion

    Commitment to Diversity & Inclusion Old National is fully committed to supporting a rich culture of diversity as a cornerstone to our success • 27% of Old National’s Executive Operating Group are women • 68% of all Old National associates are women 44

  45. Slide 45: Board of Directors

    Board of Directors Director Market Background 34-year career in the energy industry, most recently serving as President and Chief Operating Officer of Vectren Andrew E. Goebel Evansville, IN Corporation Jerome F. Henry Jr. Ft. Wayne, IN Owner and President of Midwest Pipe & Steel, Inc., a company he

  46. Slide 46: Appendix

    Appendix Ml OLD NATIONAL BANCORP”

  47. Slide 47: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations 3Q19 2Q20 3Q20 As Reported: Net Interest Income (FTE) $156.3 $149.0 $149.0 Add: Fee Income 53.9 58.5 64.7 Total Revenue (FTE) $210.2 $207.5 $213.7 Less: Provision (1.4) (22.5) - Less: Noninterest Expense (122.6) (120.2) (120.2) Pre-Tax Income $86.2 $64.8 $93.5 Less: Income T

  48. Slide 48: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 As Reported: Net Interest Income (FTE) $156.3 $152.2 $147.1 $149.0 $149.0 Add: Fee Income 53.9 47.7 57.5 58.5 64.7 Total Revenue (FTE) $210.2 $199.9 $204.6 $207.5 $213.7 Less: Noninterest Expense 122.6 134.7 158.7 120.2 120.2 Pre-Provision Net Revenu

  49. Slide 49: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations 3Q19 2Q20 3Q20 Noninterest Expense As Reported $122.6 $120.2 $120.2 Less: ONB Way Charges (1.8) (4.9) (2.9) Less: Merger and Integration Charges (1.3) - - Noninterest Expense Less Charges $119.5 $115.3 $117.3 Less: Amortization of Tax Credit Investments (1.2) (0.3) (3.1) Adj

  50. Slide 50: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 Net Interest Income As Reported $143.8 $145.6 $145.6 FTE Adjustment 3.3 3.4 3.4 Net Interest Income (FTE) $147.1 $149.0 $149.0 Average Earning Assets $17,774.0 $19,007.7 $19,654.3 Net Interest Margin 3.24% 3.06% 2.96% Net Interest Margin (FTE) 3.31% 3.14% 3.03

  51. Slide 51: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations 3Q20 Net Income As Reported $77.9 Less: Securities Gains/Losses (net of tax) (3.7) Add: ONB Way Charges (net of tax) 2.2 Adjusted Net Income $76.4 Average Total Assets $22,273.7 Return on Average Assets 1.40% Adjusted Return on Average Assets 1.37% 3Q20 Net Income As Reporte

  52. Slide 52: Peer Group

    Peer Group Like-size, publicly-traded financial services companies, generally in the Midwest, serving comparable demographics with comparable services as ONB Associated Banc-Corp ASB BancorpSouth Bank BXS Bank OZK OZK Commerce Bancshares, Inc. CBSH Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. CFR F.N.B. Corporation F

  53. Slide 53: Old National Investor Relations Contact

    Old National Investor Relations Contract Additional information can be found on the Investor Relations web pages at www.oldnational.com Investor Inquiries: Lynell J. Walton, CPA SVP – Director of Investor Relations 812-464-1366 lynell.walton@oldnational.com 53

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