Forestar Group Inc · NYSE:FOR

Forestar — FY2014 Earnings Presentation

36 slides from Forestar's earnings presentation, Mar 5, 2015

  1. Slide 1: Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2014 Financial Results

    Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2014 Financial Results March 5, 2015

  2. Slide 2: Notice to Investors

    Notice to Investors This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Forward-looking statements are typically identified by words or phrases such as “will,” “anticipate,” “estimate,” “expect,” “project,” “intend,” “plan,” “believe,” “target,”

  3. Slide 3: Focused On Delivering Shareholder Value in 2014

    Focused On Delivering Shareholder Value in 2014  Delivering Record Real Estate Segment EBITDA of $100 Million  Growing Oil and Gas Production and Reserves 20%  Repurchasing almost $25 million of common stock  Adding Two New Directors To The Board  Proposing To Declassify Board of Directors  Ev

  4. Slide 4: Q4 and Full Year 2014 Results Impacted By Impairments Related To Lower Oil Prices

    Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2014 Results Impacted By Impairments Principally Related To Lower Oil Prices 4 ($ in Millions, except per share data) Q4 2014 Q4 2013 Full Year 2014 Full Year 2013 Net Income (Loss) - As Reported ($11.8) $13.0 $16.6 $29.3 Earnings (Loss) Per Share - As Reported ($0.34) $

  5. Slide 5: Delivering Record Real Estate Segment Results

    Delivering Record Real Estate Segment Results Segment Earnings (Loss) Q4 2014 Q4 2013 Full Year 2014 Full Year 2013 Real Estate $30.0 $27.7 $96.9 $68.4 Oil and Gas (39.0) 1.0 (22.7) 18.9 Other Natural Resources 3.3 3.7 5.5 6.5 Total Segment Earnings (Loss) ($5.7) $32.4 $79.7 $93.8 • Q4 2014 real est

  6. Slide 6: Real Estate

    Real Estate Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2014 Highlights Morgan Farms - Tennessee

  7. Slide 7: Delivering Higher Lot Margins and Increasing Lot Profits

    1,707 $0 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 $30,000 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Est.Bulk Lot Sales Lot Sales Average Lot Margin Average Lot Margin Excl. Bulk Sales Delivering Higher Lot Margins and Increasing Lot Profits Annual Lot

  8. Slide 8: Lower Oil Prices Expected to Slow Texas Job Growth, But Real Estate Markets Well Positioned

    Lower Oil Prices Expected to Slow Texas Job Growth, But Real Estate Markets Well Positioned With Low Housing Inventories and Increased Affordability 8 Texas Market Summary • Texas markets expected to experience slower job growth with recent decline in oil prices • Energy industry = 2.9% of TX employ

  9. Slide 9: Delivering Record Real Estate Earnings

    Delivering Record Real Estate Earnings $96.9 $68.4 $26.0 $19.5 $7.0 $1.4 ($11.9) ($11.3) ($2.2) $0 $25 $50 $75 $100 $125 FY 2013 Gain on Asset Purchase, Exchange and Sale Undeveloped Land Sales Lot Sales Asset Impairments Residential & Commercial Tract Sales Multifamily and Income Producing Properti

  10. Slide 10: Real Estate - Accelerating Value Realization

    Real Estate - Accelerating Value Realization $1.5 ($12.4)$27.7 $7.9 $4.6 $1.9 ($0.8) ($0.4) $30.0 $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 Q4 2013 Gain on Asset Purchase, Exchange and Sale Undeveloped Land Sales Multifamily and Income Producing Properties Asset Impairments Residential & Commercial Tract Sales Lot Sal

  11. Slide 11: Cibolo Canyons – Accelerating Value Realization

    Cibolo Canyons – Accelerating Value Realization Cibolo Canyons Community Cibolo Canyons - Cumulative Cash Flows YE 2014 11 • 2,800 acre master plan community - San Antonio • 1st and 2nd move-up, custom, active adult, multifamily and condominium products Cibolo Canyons Special Improvement District (C

  12. Slide 12: Solid Pipeline of Multifamily Developments

    Solid Pipeline of Multifamily Developments Multifamily Development Projects Project Market % Complete Units FOR Ownership Expected Total Development Cost Expected Total FOR Contribution Eleven Austin 100% 257 100% $40 $25 Midtown Dallas 95% 354 100% 35 - 40 10 – 11 360° Denver 80% 304 20% 50 - 55 4

  13. Slide 13: Real Estate Business Well Positioned

    Real Estate Business Well Positioned $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140 $160 2011 2012 2013 2014 T o t a l R e v e n u e s ( $ i n m i l l i o n s ) Residential Lots Residential Tracts Commercial Tracts Income Producing Forestar Real Estate Revenues (Excluding Timberland & Multifamily Revenues) Note:

  14. Slide 14: Other Natural Resources

    < ee. a g eae teat as : > mee ee Others Natural Resources P Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2014 Highlights Georgia

  15. Slide 15: Harvesting Value From Timberland and Water Rights

    Harvesting Value From Timberland and Water Rights $6.5 ($3.5) $1.3 ($0.4) $1.6 $5.5 $0.0 $2.0 $4.0 $6.0 $8.0 $10.0 FY 2013 Operating Expenses Water Sales Fiber Sales Gain on Termination of Timber Lease FY 2014 S e g m e n t E a r n i n g s Segment Earnings Reconciliation FY 2013 vs. FY 2014 ($ in mi

  16. Slide 16: The Bakken - North Dakota

    The Bakken - North Dakota The Bakken - North Dakota

  17. Slide 17: Working Interest Investments and Asset Sales Drive Higher EBITDAX

    Working Interest Investments and Asset Sales Drive Higher EBITDAX $18.9 $7.2 ($32.2) $25.5 ($16.8) ($8.1) ($6.6) ($6.1) ($4.5) ($22.7)($30.0) ($20.0) ($10.0) $0.0 $10.0 $20.0 $30.0 $40.0 $50.0 FY 2013 Working Interest Volume Gain on Sales Impairments Working Interest Cost of Sales Working Interest P

  18. Slide 18: Non-Cash Asset Impairments Result in Fourth Quarter Segment Loss

    Non-Cash Asset Impairments Driven By Lower Oil Prices Result in Fourth Quarter Segment Loss $1.0 ($30.1) $0.7 ($2.5) ($2.2) ($4.7) ($39.0)($1.8) ($50.0) ($40.0) ($30.0) ($20.0) ($10.0) $0.0 $10.0 Q4 2013 Working Interest Volumes Exploration Costs Impairment Costs Working Interest Pricing Working Int

  19. Slide 19: Delivering Reserve Growth

    Delivering Reserve Growth 2.4 3.0 5.6 8.5 10.1 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Year-End Proved Reserves (MMBOE) Note: MMBOE = million barrels of oil equivalent *PV-10 represents present value of estimated future oil and gas revenues, net of estimated direct expenses, discounted at an annual discount rate o

  20. Slide 20: Reserve Growth Driven By Bakken / Three Forks

    Reserve Growth Driven By Bakken / Three Forks Reserve Growth (MMBOE) Production Replaced (MMBOE) Net Reserve Increase (MMBOE) % Oil* 2.9 1.3 1.6 76% 4.0 1.1 2.9 69% 3.3 0.7 2.6 57% 1.0 0.4 0.6 36% 0.7 0.4 0.3 25% Proved Reserves (MMBOE) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 North Dakota Texas & Louisiana Other K

  21. Slide 21: Bakken / Three Forks Driving Production and Reserve Growth

    Bakken / Three Forks Driving Production and Reserve Growth 490 680 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 2013 2014 NSAI Avg. Bakken Reserves Per New PDP Well* (MBOE) * Based on YE 2013 and YE 2014 Proved Developed Producing wells based on reserve estimates prepared by independent petroleum engineering f

  22. Slide 22: Oil and Gas Operating Plan

    Oil and Gas Operating Plan Bakken/Three Forks Illustrative Returns* • Significant planned 2015 capital investment reductions, principally reflecting existing well commitments • 20 wells waiting on completion at year-end 2014 • Planned to reduce annual operating expenses by 50%*, focused on generatin

  23. Slide 23: Strategic Review Update

    FORESTAR Strategic Review Update

  24. Slide 24: Focused On Maximizing Long-Term Shareholder Value

    Focused On Maximizing Long-Term Shareholder Value Board, management and financial advisors exploring strategic alternatives to enhance shareholder value, including review of the oil and gas business Comprehensive strategic review driven by commitment to maximize long‐term shareholder value Concurren

  25. Slide 25: For questions, please contact:

    For questions, please contact: 1a Torma Building Two, Sulte 500 Austin, TX 78746 512-433-5312 j|a@forestergroup.com FORESTAR

  26. Slide 26: Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2014 Appendix

    Foul yeh Quarier & Full Year 2014 Appendix - Segment - Earnings Re Reconeliations ~ Proved Reserves: FORESTAR

  27. Slide 27: Real Estate Segment KPI's

    Real Estate Segment KPI’s Q4 2014 Q4 2013 FY 2014* FY 2013** Residential Lot Sales Lots Sold 509 530 2,343 1,883 Average Price / Lot $71,800 $66,000 $58,100 $58,300 Gross Profit / Lot*** $35,700 $27,700 $25,600 $25,000 Commercial Tract Sales Acres Sold 25 115 32 171 Average Price / Acre $227,500 $21

  28. Slide 28: Oil and Gas Segment KPI's

    Oil and Gas Segment KPI’s Q4 2014** Q4 2013 FY 2014*** FY 2013 Fee Leasing Activity Net Fee Acres Leased 40 800 3,905 9,200 Avg. Bonus / Acre $200 $310 $320 $270 Total Oil and Gas Interests* Oil Produced (Barrels) 236,900 184,400 869,700 648,000 Average Price / Barrel $63.91 $88.97 $83.43 $93.74 NGL

  29. Slide 29: Other Natural Resources Segment KPI's

    Other Natural Resources Segment KPI’s Q4 2014 Q4 2013 FY 2014 FY 2013 Fiber Sales Pulpwood Tons Sold 52,000 60,800 209,900 375,200 Average Pulpwood Price / Ton $9.49 $10.01 $10.62 $9.26 Sawtimber Tons Sold 20,000 31,600 120,000 234,300 Average Sawtimber Price / Ton $22.94 $21.26 $22.47 $22.31 Total

  30. Slide 30: Full Year 2014 Earnings Reconciliation

    Full Year 2014 Earnings Reconciliation $29.3 $16.6 $8.7 $18.5 ($27.0) ($11.8) ($0.7) ($0.4) $0.0 $10.0 $20.0 $30.0 $40.0 $50.0 $60.0 2013 Real Estate Share Based Comp Oil & Gas Interest, Taxes & Other Expenses Other Natural Resources G&A 2014 N e t I n c o m e ($ in millions) Net Income Reconciliati

  31. Slide 31: Fourth Quarter 2014 Earnings Reconciliation

    Fourth Quarter 2014 Earnings Reconciliation $13.0 ($11.8) $1.5$1.7 $0.2 ($26.0) ($1.9) ($0.3) ($15.0) ($10.0) ($5.0) $0.0 $5.0 $10.0 $15.0 $20.0 Q4 2013 Share Based Comp Real Estate G&A Oil & Gas Interest, Taxes & Other Expenses Other Natural Resources Q4 2014 N e t I n c o m e ( L o s s ) Net Incom

  32. Slide 32: Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Unaudited)

    Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Unaudited) Forestar’s Segment EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure within the meaning of Regulation G of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Non-GAAP financial measures are not in accordance with, or an alternative to, U.S. Generally Accepted Acco

  33. Slide 33: Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Unaudited)

    Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Unaudited) Forestar’s Oil and Gas Segment EBITDAX is a non-GAAP financial measure within the meaning of Regulation G of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Non-GAAP financial measures are not in accordance with, or an alternative to, U.S. Generally

  34. Slide 34: Proved Reserves Summary

    Proved Reserves Summary ($ in millions) 2014 2013 2012 2013-2014 % Change 2012-2013 % Change Proved Developed Producing Reserves1 Oil and NGL Reserves MBBL 4,588.4 3,224.6 2,105.2 42% 53% Gas Reserves BCF 12.2 13.3 12.2 (8%) 9% Future Net Revenues* $282.5 $222.6 $162.2 27% 37% PV-10 3* $174.6 $140.5

  35. Slide 35: Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Unaudited)

    Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Unaudited) In our full year and fourth quarter 2014 earnings release and conference call presentation materials furnished to the Securities and Exchange Commission on Form 8-K on March 5, 2015, we used certain non-GAAP financial measures. The non-GAAP f

  36. Slide 36: For questions, please contact:

    For questions, please contact: 1a Torma Building Two, Sulte 500 Austin, TX 78746 512-433-5312 j|a@forestergroup.com FORESTAR

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