Agree Realty Corporation · NYSE:ADC

Agree Realty — Q3 2024 Earnings Presentation

42 slides from Agree Realty's earnings presentation, Oct 23, 2024

  1. Slide 1: Agree Realty Retail October 2024

    AGREE REALTY RETAIL OCTOBER 2024

  2. Slide 2: Agree Realty Overview (NYSE: ADC)

    Agree Realty Overview (NYSE: ADC) NET LEASE REIT FOCUSED ON THE ACQUISITION & DEVELOPMENT OF HIGH-QUALITY RETAIL PROPERTIES Founded in Public on $10.8 billion(1) 2,271 retail Investment OUR 1971 by the NYSE retail net properties grade issuer COMPANY Executive since 1994 lease REIT totaling ratings o

  3. Slide 3: consistency

    consistency [ kuh n-sis-tuh n-see ] noun steadfast adherence to the same principles, course, or form © 2024 AGREE REALTY CORPORATION. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. CONFIDENTIAL. 2

  4. Slide 4: Recent Highlights

    Recent Highlights Raised lower end of 2024 AFFO per share guidance to $4.12 to $4.14, representing Fortress balance sheet with total approximately 4.6% growth at the midpoint(1) liquidity of over $1.9 billion(3) Increased 2024 acquisition guidance Approximately $725 million of to approximately $850

  5. Slide 5: ADC's Retail Thought Leadership

    ADC’s Retail Thought Leadership  Launched acquisition platform in 2010 with a focus on e-commerce resistance  Launched RETHINK RETAIL campaign to challenge misperceptions about the future of brick & mortar  Published proprietary ADC White Papers highlighting omnichannel retail trends  Avoided or

  6. Slide 6: Omni-Channel Vision

    Omni-Channel Vision IDENTIFIED CRITICAL ROLE OF NET LEASE IN DRIVING OMNI-CHANNEL STRATEGY “So, I think as retailers look forward in “COVID reaffirmed our belief that, 2016 and beyond and they're one, we're heading toward a world looking in the omni-channel world, where all retailers are omni- how i

  7. Slide 7: Investment Foresight (Tractor Supply)

    Investment Foresight A DEEPER DIVE ON ADC’S THOUGHT LEADERSHIP & TRACK RECORD OF EXECUTION Q3 2018 “We have a fantastic relationship with their real estate team. October 2020 Q1 2017 The business is really thriving. Rated BBB by S&P “…it's a great company, They have no national competition. it's got

  8. Slide 8: Investment Foresight (Gerber Collision)

    Investment Foresight A DEEPER DIVE ON ADC’S THOUGHT LEADERSHIP & TRACK RECORD OF EXECUTION Q1 2022 “…identifying early on a Q4 2018 retailer that we thought Q1 2018 “…We think they're the was in a tremendous “Now you see Gerber premier auto collision position to access a Collision in the operator in

  9. Slide 9: Investment Foresight (Sunbelt Rentals)

    Investment Foresight A DEEPER DIVE ON ADC’S THOUGHT LEADERSHIP & TRACK RECORD OF EXECUTION Q1 2022 “Our decision to invest in Sunbelt Rentals was recently reinforced by their upgraded BBB rating by Fitch.” Q4 2019 “… the only investment-grade operator in the country. If you look at the equipment own

  10. Slide 10: Investment Foresight (TJX)

    Investment Foresight A DEEPER DIVE ON ADC’S THOUGHT LEADERSHIP & TRACK RECORD OF EXECUTION Q4 2023 “the off-price retailers, it's all the TJX Q4 2017 concepts…These operators have the “the TJX Companies …is desire to continue to expand across now our #5 tenant. We all of their different flags.” have

  11. Slide 11: Investment Foresight (Walgreens and CVS)

    Investment Foresight A DEEPER DIVE ON ADC’S THOUGHT LEADERSHIP & TRACK RECORD OF EXECUTION 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 30% 27% 22% 17% 12% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% Q1 2019 Q1 2021 2023 2024 “I think the “With this Downgraded Downgraded pharmacy space, transaction,

  12. Slide 12: Capital Markets Leader

    Capital Markets Leader INNOVATIVE BALANCE SHEET MANAGEMENT A ADC was the first net A Since 2018, $31B A Lowest cost A Closed market- lease REIT to issue of forward equity preferred equity leading 5.5-year term forward equity in has been raised issuance in net loan at a fixed rate March 2018 in t

  13. Slide 13: Disciplined Capital Allocator

    Disciplined Capital Allocator CONSERVATIVE WACC CALCULATION DRIVES CONSISTENT & SUPERIOR EARNINGS GROWTH NET LEASE INVESTMENT SPREADS  Cost of equity is based on forward 150+ bps – Pedal to the Metal! 12-month consensus AFFO per share 100 - 150 bps – Investments Generate Healthy Accretion  Cost of

  14. Slide 14: The Country's Leading Retail Portfolio

    The Country’s Leading Retail Portfolio

  15. Slide 15: Agree Realty Snapshot

    Agree Realty Snapshot Company Overview Top Tenants ($ in millions) ANNUALIZED Share Price(1) $75.58 TENANT / CONCEPT BASE RENT % OF TOTAL $37.7 6.3% Equity Market Capitalization(1)(2) $7.9 Billion 28.2 4.7% Property Count 2,271 27.6 4.6% 20.4 3.4% Net Debt to EBITDA 4.9x / 3.6x(3) 19.1 3.2% Investme

  16. Slide 16: Strong Investment Grade Portfolio

    Strong Investment Grade Portfolio BEST-IN-CLASS RETAILERS WITH CONSERVATIVE BALANCE SHEETS 67% INVESTMENT GRADE(1) Retail Credit Type (%ABR) 17% 16% SUB-INVESTMENT GRADE NOT RATED As of September 30, 2024. Any differences are a result of rounding. (1) Based on ABR derived from tenants, or parent ent

  17. Slide 17: National and Super-Regional Retailers

    National and Super-Regional Retailers INDUSTRY-LEADERS OPERATING IN E-COMMERCE RESISTANT SECTORS 87% NATIONAL Retail Tenant Type (%ABR) 2% 11% FRANCHISE SUPER-REGIONAL As of September 30, 2024. Any differences are a result of rounding. © 2024 AGREE REALTY CORPORATION. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. CONFIDENTI

  18. Slide 18: Ground Lease Portfolio Breakdown

    Ground Lease Portfolio Breakdown FEE SIMPLE OWNERSHIP + SIGNIFICANT TENANT INVESTMENT Ground Lease Portfolio Overview Top Ground Lease Tenants (% ABR) 10.9% 9.8 14% 223 of total years weighted- Leases portfolio average ABR lease term 12% 12% 6% 87% 6% INVESTMENT GRADE(1) 6% Ground Lease Credit Overv

  19. Slide 19: Ground Lease Value Creation

    Ground Lease Value Creation FIRST EXPIRATION HIGHLIGHTS EMBEDDED VALUE WITH 159% RECAPTURE RATE Chase Bank - Stockbridge, GA Prior Lease New Lease Rent Per Square Foot $29.26 Rent Per Square Foot $46.54 Remaining Lease Term(1) 0.1 years New Lease Term 15 Years Rental Increases None Remaining Rental

  20. Slide 20: Disciplined Investment Strategy & Active Portfolio Management

    Disciplined Investment Strategy & Active Portfolio Management

  21. Slide 21: Our Investment Strategy

    Our Investment Strategy Agree leverages its three distinct investment platforms to target industry-leading THREE-PRONGED retailers in e-commerce and GROWTH STRATEGY recession resistant sectors COMPREHENSIVE REAL ESTATE SOLUTIONS FOR LEADING RETAILERS DEVELOPER FUNDING ACQUISITIONS DEVELOPMENT PLATFO

  22. Slide 22: What Has ADC Been Investing In?

    What Has ADC Been Investing In? The retail landscape continues to dynamically evolve as market forces cause disruption and change. To mitigate risk in a period of continued disruption, the Company adheres to a number of investment criteria, with a focus on four core principles: OMNI-CHANNEL RECESSIO

  23. Slide 23: Large & Fragmented Opportunity Set

    Large & Fragmented Opportunity Set TOP-DOWN FOCUS ON LEADING RETAILERS IN THE U.S. PAIRED WITH A BOTTOMS-UP REAL ESTATE ANALYSIS ADC reviewed over $88 billion of opportunities since 2018 MARKET RENTS • Rents ≤ market • Fungibility of building COMPETITION • Limited competition • Strong market presenc

  24. Slide 24: Sandbox Offers Runway for Growth

    Sandbox Offers Runway for Growth 168,000+ NET LEASE OPPORTUNITIES AND GROWING WITH BEST-IN-CLASS RETAILERS 10,900+ 9,000+ 5,600+ 27,400+ 36,700+ Grocery Home Tire & Auto Convenience Dollar Stores Improvement Stores Service Stores Stores Stores 6,400+ 23,700+ 7,000+ 2,200+ 1,300+ Off-Price Auto Parts

  25. Slide 25: Track Record of Execution

    Track Record of Execution ADC HAS INVESTED $9.3 BILLION IN HIGH-QUALITY RETAIL NET LEASE PROPERTIES SINCE 2010 Investment Activity ($ in millions) $ 2,000 1,800 $118.5 1,600 $1.59B $40.0 1,400 $43.2 $1.39B $1.31B $149.9 1,200 $1.19B 1,000 $134.8 800 $32.4 $74.4 $701.4 600 $607.0 400 ~$850 $62.7 $336

  26. Slide 26: Active Portfolio Management

    Active Portfolio Management FOCUSED ON NON-CORE ASSET SALES & CAPITAL RECYCLING Total Dispositions 2010-2024: $526 million MICHIGAN (3) BELTON, MO AURORA, CO CORAL GABLES, FL UPLAND, CA MAPLEWOOD, MN JACKSONVILLE BEACH, FL SC (1) & MN (1) PENSACOLA, FL APOPKA, FL FLOWOOD, MS KIRKLAND, WA JACKSONVILL

  27. Slide 27: Fortified Balance Sheet

    Fortified Balance Sheet

  28. Slide 28: Leading With Our Fortress Balance Sheet

    Leading With Our Fortress Balance Sheet NO MATERIAL DEBT MATURITIES UNTIL 2028 $600 Debt Maturities ($ in millions) $500 $450 $475 $450 $400 $410 $300 $300 $300 $200 $100 $125 $50 $2 $50 $42 $0 $0 $0 (1) 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 UNSECURED SECURED CAPITALIZATION STATISTI

  29. Slide 29: Capital Markets Track Record

    Capital Markets Track Record STRONG CAPITAL MARKETS EXECUTION HAS PROVIDED AMPLE LIQUIDITY; $9.3 BILLION OF ACTIVITY SINCE 2010 Capital Markets Activity ($ in millions) $2,000 $175 $1,750 $42 $1,500 $1,250 $1,095 $1,000 $1,322 $988 $672 $750 $371 $500 $531 $22 $433 $650 $250 $450 $229 $350 $300 $350

  30. Slide 30: Low Leverage = Strong Positioning

    Low Leverage = Strong Positioning ADC HAS BEEN AT OR BELOW 4.5X PROFORMA NET DEBT TO RECURRING EBITDA SINCE 2018 5.0x 5.0x 4.9x 4.9x 4.9x 4.7x 4.8x 4.5x 4.5x 4.5x 4.5x 4.4x 4.4x 4.3x 4.3x 4.3x 4.1x 4.1x 4.0x 3.8x 3.7x 3.7x 3.6x 3.4x 3.1x 3.1x Q3 2021 Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q

  31. Slide 31: Growing, Well-Covered Monthly Dividend

    Growing, Well-Covered Monthly Dividend 152 CONSECUTIVE COMMON DIVIDENDS PAID; AVERAGE AFFO PAYOUT RATIO OF 76% OVER PAST 10 YEARS $3.10 $2.90 Annual Dividends Declared Per Share $2.70 $2.50 $2.30 $2.10 $1.90 $1.70 $1.50 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 As of October 18, 2024. R

  32. Slide 32: Agree Realty's ESG Practices

    Agree Realty’s ESG Practices DEDICATED TO SUSTAINABILITY AND GOOD CORPORATE CITIZENSHIP ENVIRONMENTAL SOCIAL CORPORATE PRACTICES RESPONSIBILITY GOVERNANCE Focus on industry leading, The Agree Wellness program ADC’s Board has 10 directors, national & super-regional focuses on Health Wellness & eight

  33. Slide 33: Investment Summary Highlights

    Investment Summary Highlights trajectory growth Robust Well-covered FORTIFIED BALANCE SHEET &dividend consistent HIGHEST-QUALITY RETAIL REAL ESTATE MULTI-YEAR INVESTMENT GRADE TRACK RECORD OF EXECUTION ISSUER RATINGS © 2024 AGREE REALTY CORPORATION. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. CONFIDENTIAL. 32

  34. Slide 34: Appendix

    APPENDIX © 2024 AGREE REALTY CORPORATION. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. CONFIDENTIAL. 33

  35. Slide 35: Earnings Guidance

    Earnings Guidance Prior 2024 Revised 2024 Guidance(1) Guidance (2) AFFO per share $4.11 to $4.14 $4.12 to $4.14 (3) General and administrative expense (% of adjusted revenue) 5.7% to 6.0% 5.7% to 5.9% (3) Non-reimbursable real estate expenses (% of adjusted revenue) 1.0% to 1.5% 1.0% to 1.4% Income

  36. Slide 36: Debt Summary

    Debt Summary Total Debt Outstanding All-in Interest Rate Maturity as of September 30, 2024 Senior Unsecured Revolving Credit Facility (1) Revolving Credit Facility 5.66% August 2028 $49,000 Total Credit Facility 5.66% $49,000 Unsecured Term Loan (2) 2029 Unsecured Term Loan 4.52% January 2029 $350,0

  37. Slide 37: Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures Q3 2021 Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Mortgage notes payable, net $32,607 $32,429 $32,249 $71,824 $71,721 $47,971 $47,842 $47,701 $42,952 $42,811 $42,666 $42,518 $42,366 Unsecured term loa

  38. Slide 38: Reconciliation of Net Income to FFO, Core FFO and AFFO

    Reconciliation of Net Income to FFO, Core FFO and AFFO 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Net Income $20,190 $18,913 $39,762 $45,797 $58,790 $58,798 $80,763 $91,972 $122,876 $153,035 $170,547 Series A Preferred Stock Dividends 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 (2,148) (7,437) (7,437) Net Income at

  39. Slide 39: Forward-Looking Statements

    Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”) and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”). The Company intends such forwar

  40. Slide 40: Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    Non-GAAP Financial Measures This presentation includes a non-GAAP financial measure, Net Debt to Recurring EBITDA, which is presented on an actual and proforma basis. A reconciliation of this non-GAAP financial measure to the most directly comparable GAAP measure is included in the following pages.

  41. Slide 41: Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    Non-GAAP Financial Measures This presentation also includes the non-GAAP measures of Annualized Base Rent (“ABR”), Annualized Net Income, Weighted-Average Capitalization Rate, Funds From Operations (“FFO” or “Nareit FFO”), Core Funds From Operations (“Core FFO”) and Adjusted Funds From Operations (“

  42. Slide 42: Contact

    CONTACT PETER COUGHENOUR Chief Financial Officer (248) 737-4190 investors@agreerealty.com © 2024 AGREE REALTY CORPORATION. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. CONFIDENTIAL. 41

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