Conagra Brands, Inc. · NYSE:CAG

Conagra Brands — Q4 2024 Earnings Presentation

53 slides from Conagra Brands's earnings presentation, Jul 11, 2024

  1. Slide 1: FY24 Q4 Earnings Presentation

    FY24 Q4 Earnings Presentation July 11, 2024 1

  2. Slide 2: Legal Disclosure

    Legal Disclosure Note on Forward-Looking Statements This document contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. These forward-looking statements are based on management's current expectations and are subject to uncertainty and changes in circumstances. Reader

  3. Slide 3: Sean Connolly, President and Chief Executive Officer

    Sean Connolly President and Chief Executive Officer 3

  4. Slide 4: Agenda

    Agenda Business Update Looking Ahead 4

  5. Slide 5: Key Messages

    Key Messages • Solid progress through FY24 amidst challenging consumer environment • Saw continued impact from investments in our brands o Sequential volume improvement in Domestic Retail business o Strengthened share position, especially in key Frozen and Snacks domains o Strong innovation pipeline

  6. Slide 6: FY24 Q4 and Full Year Results

    FY24 Q4 and Full Year Results Q4 vs. FY24 2YR Q4 FY24 CAGR or YA vs. YA Change Organic Net Sales1 $2,901 (2.4)% $12,022 (2.1)% +2.2% Adj. Gross Margin1 27.6% +62 bps 27.7% +58 bps +284 bps Adj. Operating Margin1 14.8% +22 bps 16.0% +34 bps +159 bps Adj. EPS1 $0.61 (2.0)% $2.67 (3.6)% +6.4% 1. Non-GA

  7. Slide 7: Five Year Key Performance Indicators

    Five Year Key Performance Indicators Reported Net Sales Operational Margin 1 $12.1 16.0% 15.4% $9.5 ONS1+3.8% 1,2 CAGR Adj. Op. Margin Volume (1.6)% +55 bps Price Mix +5.3% FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 Adjusted EPS 1 Net Leverage 1 $2.67 5.53 $2.01 3.37 Adj. EPS 1 Net

  8. Slide 8: Volume Trajectory Improved as the Year Progressed

    Volume Trajectory Improved as the Year Progressed Total Domestic Retail Shipments (Conagra CSU Volume, % Change vs. YA) -1.8% -5.2% H1 FY24 H2 FY24 Note: Total Domestic Retail consists of Refrigerated and Frozen and Grocery and Snacks segments. Data represents Conagra shipments which equates to repo

  9. Slide 9: Consumption Continued to Improve in Key Snacks and Frozen Domains

    Consumption Continued to Improve in Key Snacks and Frozen Domains Conagra Retail Sales (Volume Sales, % Change vs. YA) Snacks Frozen +0.4% (0.4)% (2.5)% (2.5)% (3.0)% (2.8)% (5.0)% (7.5)% Q1 FY24 Q2 FY24 Q3 FY24 Q4 FY24 Q1 FY24 Q2 FY24 Q3 FY24 Q4 FY24 Source: Circana POS, Total US- MULO+ with Conven

  10. Slide 10: Strong Share Gains Throughout FY24

    Strong Share Gains Throughout FY24 % of Conagra Portfolio Holding or Gaining Volume Share 65.1% 57.4% 37.2% 39.8% 80% For Strategic Frozen & Snacks Domains Q1 FY24 Q2 FY24 Q3 FY24 Q4 FY24 Source: Circana POS, Total US-MULO+ with Convenience, Syndicated Hierarchy, Fiscal Quarters 10

  11. Slide 11: Strong Conagra Share Performance, Near Top of Peer Set

    Strong Conagra Share Performance, Near Top of Peer Set % of Portfolio Holding or Gaining Volume Share (13 Weeks Ended May 26, 2024) 86% 65% 65% 22% 15% 5% Peer A Peer B Peer C Peer D Peer E Source: Circana POS, Total US-MULO+ with Convenience, Syndicated Hierarchy, 13 Weeks Ended May 26, 2024 11

  12. Slide 12: Conagra Drove Category Improvement in Frozen Single-Serve Meals

    In FY24, Conagra Drove Category Improvement in Frozen Single-Serve Meals Frozen Single-Serve Meals Volume Sales % Change vs. YA Total SSMs Conagra SSMs +1.0% (2.5)% (2.1)% SSM Category (4.4)% (5.3)% (6.8)% (9.2)% (9.3)% Q1 FY24 Q2 FY24 Q3 FY24 Q4 FY24 Source: Circana POS, Total US-MULO+ with Conveni

  13. Slide 13: Investments in Frozen Single-Serve Meals Contributed to Record Share

    Our Investments in Frozen Single-Serve Meals Contributed to Record Share Levels Conagra Frozen Single-Serve Meals Volume Share of Category Enhanced Investments 52.6% 52.0% 52.0% +1.3 pts vs. YA +1.5 pts +1.6 pts 50.5% 50.4% vs. YA vs. YA +0.2 pts +0.6 pts 49.2% vs. YA vs. YA NC vs. YA Q3 FY23 Q4 FY2

  14. Slide 14: Investments in Frozen Vegetables Helped Improve Volume Trends

    Investments in Frozen Vegetables Helped Improve Volume Trends Frozen Vegetables Volume Sales % Change vs. YA Total Fz Veg Birds Eye -0.1% -2.5% -2.7% Category -3.8% -4.1% -5.2% -6.4% -9.5% Q1 FY24 Q2 FY24 Q3 FY24 Q4 FY24 Source: Circana POS, Total US-MULO+ with Convenience, Conagra Custom Hierarchy,

  15. Slide 15: Frozen Meals: 40-Years of Growth in Consumer Usage Occasions

    Frozen Meals: 40-Years of Growth in Consumer Usage Occasions Frozen Meals Share of In-Home Occasions +4% 4 0 - Ye a r CAGR 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023 Source: Circana / National Eating Trends; Sourced IH/Retail, 1984-2019 12 Months Ended December; 2020-2023

  16. Slide 16: Positive Momentum in Q4 on Key Snacking Brands

    Positive Momentum in Q4 on Key Snacking Brands CAG Outpacing Total Snacks Growth Drivers Q4 Volume Sales Q4 Volume Sales % Change vs. YA % Change vs. YA +0.4% +1.3% +2.1% -1.5% +11.4% Total Snacks Source: Circana POS, Total US-MULO+ with Convenience, Conagra Custom Hierarchy, Fiscal Quarters – 13 We

  17. Slide 17: Staples Remains a Work In Progress

    Staples Remains a Work In Progress Staples Volume Sales • Supply Disruption Recovery: % Change vs. YA +17.5% Q4 volume sales increase on canned meat and chili H1: (6.3)% H2: (1.9)% (1.6)% • FY24 Brand Building Investments: (2.3)% +3.7% Q4 volume sales increase on select refrigerated brands • FY25 Br

  18. Slide 18: Our Strong Innovation Track Record Continued

    Our Strong Innovation Track Record Continued Conagra Innovation Retail Sales (Dollars in Millions) $1,512MM $387MM FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 The Wendy’s name and design and Cameo design are registered trademarks of Quality Is Our Recipe, LLC, used with permission Source: Circana POS, Total US-MU

  19. Slide 19: Full Year Adj. Gross Margin Expansion Fueled Significant Brand Building Investments

    Full Year Adj. Gross Margin Expansion Fueled Significant Brand Building Investments Strong Supply Chain Productivity REDUCED CASH SAVINGS AS SERVICE LEVELS2 CONVERSION % OF COGS1 CYCLE 3.9 % 97% 95% 5 DAYS Remain on track to deliver $1B of cost savings by end of FY25 1 Includes productivity and othe

  20. Slide 20: Agenda

    Agenda Business Update Looking Ahead 20

  21. Slide 21: Still Progressing Towards A Normalized Operating Environment

    Still Progressing Towards A Normalized Operating Environment FY25 Normalized Inflation Consumer COVID Operating Super-Cycle Adaptation Environment 21

  22. Slide 22: FY25 Assumptions

    FY25 Assumptions • Expect brands to continue to benefit from ongoing investments • Volumes will further improve as year progresses: Q1 volumes will be lowest • Expect to achieve 4% cost savings as a percent of COGS that will more than offset projected inflation and support investments to drive compe

  23. Slide 23: Fiscal 2025 Guidance

    Fiscal 2025 Guidance 1 1 Updated Guidance Organic Net Sales1 Growth (vs. FY24) (1.5)% to Flat Adj. Operating Margin1 15.6% to 15.8% Adj. EPS1 $2.60 to $2.65 1. Forward-looking non-GAAP financial measure. See the appendix for more information. 23

  24. Slide 24: Dave Marberger, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

    Dave Marberger Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer 24

  25. Slide 25: Performance Summary

    Performance Summary Dollars in Millions, except per share data Increase/(Decrease) Q4 vs. YA FY24 vs. YA Reported Net Sales $2,906 (2.3)% $12,051 (1.8)% Organic Net Sales1 Growth (2.4)% (2.1)% Adj. Gross Profit1 803 Flat 3,336 +0.3% Adj. Gross Margin1 27.6% +62 bps 27.7% +58 bps A&P 73 5.6% 290 (0.2

  26. Slide 26: Net Sales Bridge vs. Year Ago

    Net Sales Bridge vs. Year Ago Q4 Drivers of Net Sales Change (% Change vs. YA) Organic Net Sales1: (2.4)% +0.1% (0.6)% (1.8)% (2.3)% Volume Price/Mix Foreign Total (incl. Retailer Exchange Conagra Investments) Brands 1. Non-GAAP financial measure. See the appendix for certain definitions and reconci

  27. Slide 27: Net Sales by Segment

    Net Sales by Segment Dollars in Millions Increase/(Decrease) Q4 1 1 1 Organic Net Sales Price/Mix Volume vs. YA Grocery & Snacks $1,175 (2.1)% 1.5% (3.6)% Refrigerated & Frozen 1,173 (3.8)% (4.7)% 0.9% International 267 +4.3% 0.2% 4.1% Foodservice 291 (3.9)% 6.4% (10.3)% Total Conagra Brands $2,906

  28. Slide 28: Q4 Operating Margin Bridge

    Q4 Operating Margin Bridge Q4 Adj. Operating Margin1 (% Change vs. YA) Adj. Gross Margin1: +62 bps vs. YA 1 2 1. Non-GAAP financial measure. See the appendix for certain definitions and reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measure. 2. COGS Inflation reflects market inflation net of m

  29. Slide 29: Segment Adjusted Operating Profit & Margin Summary

    Segment Adjusted Operating Profit1 & Margin1 Summary Q4 Adj. Operating Profit1 & Margin1 Dollars in Millions Increase/(Decrease) Adj. Op. Profit1 Adj. Op. Margin1 1 1 Q4 vs. YA Q4 vs. YA Grocery & Snacks $255 +8.9% 21.8% +220 bps Refrigerated & Frozen 190 (13.1)% 16.2% (172) bps International 29 (15

  30. Slide 30: Q4 & FY Adjusted EPS Bridge

    Q4 & FY Adjusted EPS1 Bridge Drivers of Q4 Adjusted EPS1 vs. YA Flat Flat 1 1 1 1 1 Drivers of FY Adjusted EPS1 vs. YA 1 1 1 1 1 1. Non-GAAP financial measure. See the appendix for certain definitions and reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measure. Numbers may not add due to roundi

  31. Slide 31: Key Balance Sheet & Cash Flow Metrics

    Key Balance Sheet & Cash Flow Metrics May 26, May 28, (dollars in millions) 2024 2023 Debt $8,441 $9,234 Cash $78 $93 Ending Net Debt1 $8,364 $9,140 (dollars in millions) FY24 FY23 Net Cash Flow from Operating $2,016 $995 Activities Capital Expenditures $388 $362 Free Cash Flow1 $1,628 $633 Dividend

  32. Slide 32: Historical Net Leverage Ratio

    Historical Net Leverage Ratio1 FY19-FY24 Net Leverage Ratio1 5.53x 3.99x 3.63x 3.37x FY19 FY22 FY23 FY24 1. Non-GAAP financial measure. See the appendix for certain definitions and reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measure. Numbers may not foot due to rounding. 32

  33. Slide 33: Fiscal 2025 Guidance

    Fiscal 2025 Guidance 1 1 Updated Guidance Organic Net Sales1 Growth (vs. FY24) (1.5)% to Flat Adj. Operating Margin1 15.6% to 15.8% Adj. EPS1 $2.60 to $2.65 1. Forward-looking non-GAAP financial measure. See the appendix for more information. 33

  34. Slide 34: FY25 P&L Considerations

    FY25 P&L Considerations • Expect lowest volume & top line in Q1 with sequential improvement after Top Line • Continued brand-building investments • Q2: wrapping tomato-based pricing; new targeted cocoa pricing • Q1 lowest margin due to tough comp, investments, & seasonality Gross Margin / • ~3% for

  35. Slide 35: Dividend Update

    Dividend Update • Dividend to remain at $0.35 per quarter or $1.40 annualized • Represents a 53% payout ratio based on FY25 guidance 35

  36. Slide 36: Appendix

    <b VY wbx CONAGRA “BRANDS -° Appendix

  37. Slide 37: Notes on Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    Notes on Non-GAAP Financial Measures This document includes certain non-GAAP financial measures. Management considers GAAP financial measures as well as such non-GAAP financial information in its evaluation of the company’s financial statements and believes these non-GAAP financial measures provide

  38. Slide 38: Reconciliation of Q4 FY24 Organic Net Sales by Segment

    Reconciliation of Q4 FY24 Organic Net Sales by Segment (in millions) & YOY Change 38

  39. Slide 39: Reconciliation of FY19 to FY24 Organic Net Sales and CAGR

    Reconciliation of FY19 to FY24 Organic Net Sales (in millions) and CAGR FY24 FY23 FY22 FY21 FY20 Net Sales $ 12,050.9 $ 12,277.0 $ 11,535.9 $ 11,184.7 $ 11,054.4 Impact of foreign exchange (28.6) 20.9 (16.2) 1.4 18.2 Impact of 53rd week1 — — — — (211.8) Net sales from acquired businesses — — — — (1,

  40. Slide 40: Reconciliation of Q4 FY24 Adj. Operating Profit by Segment

    Reconciliation of Q4 FY24 Adj. Operating Profit by Segment (in millions)– YOY Change 40

  41. Slide 41: Reconciliation of Q4 FY24 Adj. Operating Profit by Segment Cont.

    Reconciliation of Q4 FY24 Adj. Operating Profit by Segment (in millions) – YOY Change Cont. 41

  42. Slide 42: Reconciliation of Q4 FY24 Adj. Gross Margin and Adj. EPS

    Reconciliation of Q4 FY24 Adj. Gross Margin, Adj. Gross Profit, Adj. SG&A, Adj. Net Income, (in millions) and Adj. EPS – YOY Change 1. Operating profit is derived from taking Income before income taxes, adding back Interest expense, net and removing Pension and postretirement non-service income and

  43. Slide 43: Reconciliation of Q4 FY24 Adj. Gross Margin and Adj. EPS Cont.

    Reconciliation of Q4 FY24 Adj. Gross Margin, Adj. Gross Profit, Adj. SG&A, Adj. Net Income, (in millions) and Adj. EPS – YOY Change Cont. 1. Operating profit is derived from taking Income before income taxes, adding back Interest expense, net and removing Pension and postretirement non-service incom

  44. Slide 44: Reconciliation of FY24 Adj. Gross Margin and Adj. EPS

    Reconciliation of FY24 Adj. Gross Margin, Adj. Gross Profit, Adj. SG&A, Adj. Net Income, (in millions) and Adj. EPS – YOY Change & CAGR FY24 Diluted EPS from income Net income attributable to Selling, general attributable to Conagra Brands, and administrative Conagra Brands, Inc common Gross profit

  45. Slide 45: Reconciliation of FY23 Adj. Gross Margin and Adj. EPS

    Reconciliation of FY23 Adj. Gross Margin, Adj. Gross Profit, Adj. SG&A, Adj. Net Income, (in millions) and Adj. EPS – YOY Change FY23 Diluted EPS from income Net income attributable to Selling, general attributable to Conagra Brands, and administrative Conagra Brands, Inc common Gross profit expense

  46. Slide 46: Reconciliation of FY22 Adj. Gross Margin and Adj. EPS

    Reconciliation of FY22 Adj. Gross Margin, Adj. Gross Profit, Adj. SG&A, Adj. Net Income, (in millions) and Adj. EPS – YOY Change FY22 Diluted EPS from income Net income attributable to Selling, general attributable to Conagra Brands, and administrative Conagra Brands, Inc common Gross profit expense

  47. Slide 47: Reconciliation of FY21 Adj. Gross Margin and Adj. EPS

    Reconciliation of FY21 Adj. Gross Margin, Adj. Gross Profit, Adj. SG&A, Adj. Net Income, (in millions) and Adj. EPS – YOY Change FY21 Diluted EPS from income Net income attributable to Selling, general attributable to Conagra Brands, and administrative Conagra Brands, Inc common Gross profit expense

  48. Slide 48: Reconciliation of FY20 Adj. Gross Margin and Adj. EPS

    Reconciliation of FY20 Adj. Gross Margin, Adj. Gross Profit, Adj. SG&A, Adj. Net Income, (in millions) and Adj. EPS – YOY Change FY20 Diluted EPS from income Net income attributable to Selling, general attributable to Conagra Brands, and administrative Conagra Brands, Inc common Gross profit expense

  49. Slide 49: Reconciliation of FY19 Adj. Gross Margin and Adj. EPS

    Reconciliation of FY19 Adj. Gross Margin, Adj. Gross Profit, Adj. SG&A, Adj. Net Income, (in millions) and Adj. EPS – YOY Change FY19 Diluted EPS from income from continuing operations Net income attributable to Selling, general attributable to Conagra Brands, and administrative Conagra Brands, Inc

  50. Slide 50: Reconciliation of FY24 Free Cash Flow and Net Debt

    Reconciliation of FY24 Free Cash Flow and FY19, FY22 to FY24 Net Debt (in millions) Q4FY24 Q4 FY23 Q4 FY22 Q4 FY19 Notes payable $ 928.4 $ 636.3 $ 180.0 $ 1.0 Current installments of long-term debt 20.3 1,516.0 707.3 20.6 Senior long-term debt, excluding current installments 7,492.6 7,081.3 8,088.2

  51. Slide 51: Reconciliation of Net Leverage Ratio

    Reconciliation of FY19, FY22 to FY24 Net Leverage Ratio (in millions) FY24 FY23 FY22 FY19 Net Debt $ 8,363.6 $ 9,140.3 $ 8,893.3 $10,440.7 Net income attributable to Conagra Brands, Inc. $ 347.2 $ 683.6 $ 888.2 $ 678.3 Less: Loss from discontinued operations, net of tax and noncontrolling interest —

  52. Slide 52: Reconciliation of Q4 FY24 EBITDA

    Reconciliation of Q4 FY24 EBITDA (in millions) 1. Excludes comparability items related to depreciation 2. Excludes comparability items attributable to noncontrolling interests. 52

  53. Slide 53: Reconciliation of FY24 EBITDA

    Reconciliation of FY24 EBITDA (in millions) 1. Excludes comparability items related to depreciation 2. Excludes comparability items attributable to noncontrolling interests. 53

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