Cms Energy Corporation · NYSE:CMS
Cms Energy — Investor Presentation (December 2019)
38 slides from Cms Energy's investor presentation, Dec 2, 2019
Slide 1: Investor Meetings December 2019
Investor Meetings December 2019 FOCUSED ON WORLD CLASS PERFORMANCE
Slide 2: Forward-looking statements and non-GAAP disclaimer
This presentation is made as of the date hereof and contains “forward-looking statements” as defined in Rule 3b-6 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, Rule 175 of the Securities Act of 1933, and relevant legal decisions. The forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties. All f
Slide 3: CMS Overview
CMS ENERGY CMS Overview
Slide 4: CMS Energy Overview
CMS Energy Overview Corporate Structure Key Information CMS Energy 2018 Financial Statistics (NYSE: CMS) Based in Jackson, MI a Employees (37% unionized) Consumers Energy Enterprises EnerBank Revenue 2018 Adjusted net income b Avg. Rate Base 92% of c Operating Growth for past 16 years Income Gas $5.
Slide 5: Consumers Energy
Consumers Energy . . . 4th Largest Combination Utility • Electric Utility 1.8 million electric customers 8,261 MW of capacity • Gas Utility 1.8 million gas customers 309 bcf gas storage (#1 in the U.S.) • Serving 6.7 million Michigan residents Consumers Energy Planet Goals Next 5 Years By 2040 gallo
Slide 6: Compelling Investment Thesis
Compelling Investment Thesis . . . Aging Infrastructure Clean Energy Leader Constructive Regulation Strong Cash Flow & Affordable Prices Balance Sheet Diversified Service Territory . . . adaptive to changing conditions. 6
Slide 7: Large and Aging System
Large and Aging System . . . Electric 25 years of distribution main replacement system is through our older than Enhanced Infrastructure peers Replacement Program Age of coal fleet is more ~1,670 miles of gas than transmission pipeline; most 50 years built in the WWII era . . . requires significant
Slide 8: Electric System Investment
Electric System Investment . . . Current Generation Capital Investment (Bn): Plan Existing Fleet Electric Utility $ 5 $1.0 Bn New Utility Renewables 1¾ Gas Utility 5 New Renewables Total $11¾ $1¾ Bn System Reliability & Maintenance ~$2 Bn New Business & Support a $2 Bn a Support includes IT, Fleet &
Slide 9: Gas System Investment
Gas System Investment . . . Current Capital Investment (Bn): Plan Compression and Storage Electric Utility $ 5 $0.6 Bn #1 Underground New Utility Renewables 1¾ storage Gas Utility 5 Total $11¾ Pipelines $1 Bn #5 Transmission #5 Distribution miles miles a Distribution & Support U.S. LDC Rank, Source:
Slide 10: Utility Customer Investment Plan
Utility Customer Investment Plan . . . Investment Plan Upside Opportunities Prior Revised New a 10-Yr Plan ‘19-‘23 ‘19-‘23 10-Yr (Bn) Capital Investment (Bn): Plan Plan Plan Electric Reliability Electric Utility $ 5 $ 5 $ 11 Grid Modernization New Utility Renewables 1 1¾ 4 Gas Distribution Gas Utili
Slide 11: Michigan Offers Supportive Policy
Michigan Offers . . . Supportive Policy Premium Regulatory • Economic growth (tax policies, Tier Michigan skilled labor, balanced budgets) 2013 - Present 1 7 • Bipartisan Energy Law 2 10 2012 • Forward-looking test year (10-month rate case) 2008 3 18 • Energy efficiency incentive (20% of spend) 4 9
Slide 12: Our Self-Funding Model
Our Self-Funding Model . . . Plan a EPS Growth 6% - 8% Self-Funding: - Cost management (O&M, fuel, purchased power) 2 - 3 pts - Sales (economic development, energy efficiency) 1 - Other (Enterprises, tax planning, etc.) 2 INVESTMENT SELF-FUNDED 5 - 6 pts Customer Prices “at or below inflation” <2% _
Slide 13: Managing Customer Bills
Managing Customer Bills . . . Cost Components Residential Bills as % of Wallet a 100% 100% (Electric & Gas) Utility Bill Down 90% 50 bps! Utility Bill ~ 4% ~ 3½% 80% Fuel and Power Costs TV & Phone ~ 4% TV & Phone ~ 4% Healthcare ~ 5% Healthcare ~ 9% 70% Food ~ 12% ~70% Food ~ 13% 60% ~70% Transport
Slide 14: Economic Development is Robust
Economic Development is Robust . . . Customer Committed Load Diversified Customer Base Economic Grand (2018 Electric & Gas Rate Mix) b Indicators: Rapids U.S. Building Permits a 210% 124 % Population Growth 8% 6% Auto Other 2010→2018 Other 2% 2% Unemployment* 3.0% 3.5 % Industrial *Sept. 2019 Unempl
Slide 15: Credit Metrics Maintained
Credit Metrics Maintained . . . S&P / S&P Moody’s Fitch Fitch Moody’s (Oct. ‘19) (Jul. ‘19) (Oct. ‘19) Ratings Drivers AA- Aa3 A+ A1 • Strong financial position Consumers A A2 Secured A- A3 BBB+ Baa1 • Growing operating BBB Baa2 cash flow BBB- Baa3 BB+ Ba1 BBB+ Baa1 BBB Baa2 CMS Unsecured • Return o
Slide 16: Consistent Growth Through Changing Circumstances
Consistent Growth Through . . . 7% CAGR b a EPS +6% to +8% Dividend +7% Weather Recession Recession Help Hurt a Adjusted EPS (non-GAAP) b Non-GAAP Cold 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Feb. Cold Mild Hot Warm Mild Cold Summer- Hot Hot Warm Mild Pol
Slide 17: Managing Work Every Year
Managing Work Every Year . . . a 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 EPS $2.60 Reinvestment $2.40 +7% Weather & Storms $2.20 Mild +7% Summer Hot Cost +7% Summer $2.00 productivity above plan +7% Cost productivity $1.80 Reinvestment +7% above plan Cost productivity Hot Mild Storms Summer Win
Slide 18: CMS' Trading Performance
CMS’ Trading Performance . . . Stock Performance Total Shareowner Return a b CMS CMS UTY UTY S&P 500 S&P 500 500% 400% 604% 391% 300% 117% 200% 178% 100% 51% 69% 8% 0% -100% '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year 10 Year _____ _____ a 10-year stock performance as of Decembe
Slide 19: Top of Mind
CMS ENERGY Top of Mind
Slide 20: Top of Mind
Top of Mind . . . • New 10-Year $25 Billion Capital Plan • 2019 Earnings and 2020 Guidance • Pending Rate Case Filings • Sales & Economy • Utility Renewables & Targets . . . People, Planet, Profit. 20
Slide 21: Utility Customer Investment Plan
Utility Customer Investment Plan . . . Investment Plan Upside Opportunities Prior Revised New a 10-Yr Plan ‘19-‘23 ‘19-‘23 10-Yr (Bn) Capital Investment (Bn): Plan Plan Plan Electric Reliability Electric Utility $ 5 $ 5 $ 11 Grid Modernization New Utility Renewables 1 1¾ 4 Gas Distribution Gas Utili
Slide 22: EPS Results and Guidance
EPS Results and Guidance . . . a First nine months 2019: at $1.81 remains on track with Plan 2019 Full-year guidance reaffirmed: • at $2.47 - $2.51, up 6% to 8% 2020 Full-year guidance introduced: • at $2.63 - $2.68, up 6% to 8% Future long-term annual growth: • at +6% to +8% a Adjusted EPS (non-GAA
Slide 23: 2019 EPS
2019 EPS . . . a First Nine Months Three Months To Go (12)¢ 26¢ - 30¢ $2.47 - $2.51 6% - 8% $2.33 10¢ 2¢ 15¢ 13¢ (2)¢ - 2¢ (16)¢ (8)¢ Absent 2018: Weather (7)¢ Reinvestment 22 15¢ YTD YTD $1.81 $1.93 Weather Storm Costs Rates and Usage, Absence of Rates & Usage, 2018 Investments Enterprises 2018 We
Slide 24: Managing Work Every Year
Managing Work Every Year . . . a 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 EPS $2.60 Reinvestment $2.40 +7% Weather & Storms $2.20 Mild +7% Summer Hot Cost +7% Summer $2.00 productivity above plan +7% Cost productivity $1.80 Reinvestment +7% above plan Cost productivity Hot Mild Storms Summer Win
Slide 25: Michigan Energy Policy is Supportive
Michigan Energy Policy is Supportive . . . • Bipartisan Energy Law (2016 law enhanced 2008 law) • Forward-looking test year (10-month rate case) • Energy Efficiency incentive (20% of spend) • Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) • Constructive ROEs Michigan Public Service Commission Sally Talberg (I),
Slide 26: Regulatory Outlook
Regulatory Outlook . . . 2019 2020 Regulatory / Policy 2016 Energy Law fully 9/26: Calc. C implemented order U-20309 Electric Q1: Dec. File next Expected electric rate final order case Gas Gas 9/26: Final order $156.5 MM Dec. File next Q4: Expected U-20322 final order a gas rate 9.9% ROE case a
Slide 27: Solid Rate Case History
Solid Rate Case History . . . Electric Rate Base a Gas Rate Base (Bn) (Bn) 2013A 2019E 2013A 2019E b b Residential Electric Bill $106 $106 Residential Gas Bill $87 $60 (Weather-normalized) Flat (Weather-normalized) (31)% $11.1 $6.4 $10.7 $10.7 $9.8 Settled $5.2 Order 9/26 Stay $4.1 $4.3 out $8.5 $
Slide 28: Michigan Election Results
Michigan Election Results . . . Governor State Senate Gretchen Whitmer 16 38 22 Democrat 2018 Election: Democrats +5 seats 4-year terms, concurrent with Governor’s term, 2-term limit Energy policy is State House not a key issue Key Issues: 52 110 58 • Infrastructure • Health Care • Education 2018 El
Slide 29: Economic Development is Robust
Economic Development is Robust . . . Customer Committed Load Diversified Customer Base Economic Grand (2018 Electric & Gas Rate Mix) b Indicators: Rapids U.S. Building Permits a 210% 124 % Population Growth 8% 6% Auto Other 2010→2018 Other 2% 2% Unemployment* 3.0% 3.5 % Industrial *Sept. 2019 Unempl
Slide 30: Utility Renewables
Utility Renewables . . . Renewable Portfolio Standard Integrated Resource Plan (15% RPS) (20-Year IRP) • 525 MW of Wind • 1,100 MW of Solar • $1 Bn of Capital Investment • 550 MW Rate Base, ~$600 MM • 550 MW PPA, Earn WACC • Approved in the REP Filing (5.88% x PPA Price) • Projects (COD): • $600 MM
Slide 31: IRP Settlement Approved
IRP Settlement Approved . . . Near-Term Additional Details • Financial Compensation Mechanism Energy Efficiency (FCM) for PPAs as an incentive • FCM = PPA payment x Company’s WACC a Demand Response (currently 5.88%) Expiration of Palisades PPA • Includes 525 MW of wind approved in Karn 1&2 closu
Slide 32: Clean Energy Future
Clean Energy Future . . . Elimination of Coal More Renewable Energy Innovative Energy Solutions Consumers Energy Capacity Mix Earn incentive mechanisms 10% 20% 8% 22% 9% 6% 8% 12% 11% 14% 10% Rate based 31% 10% or earn FCM 56% 20% 42% 11% 2019 2030 2040 a Renewables Coal Natural Gas Storage Pe
Slide 33: Clean and Lean
Clean and Lean . . . Old Utility Model Clean And Lean Big Build Supply Supply Fully utilize Modular Retirement assets Excess supply Big Excess Build supply Modular Actual Modular Demand Demand EE & DR Excess O&M O&M supply Expected Demand Fuel Fuel Big Bets Lower Risk Results in excess capacity, hig
Slide 34: GAAP Reconciliation
GAAP Reconciliation
Slide 35: Reconciliations of GAAP Net Income to Non-GAAP Adjusted Net Income
CMS ENERGY CORPORATION Reconciliations of GAAP Net Income to Non-GAAP Adjusted Net Income (Unaudited) In Millions, Except Per Share Amounts Three Months Ended Twelve Months Ended 12/31/18 12/31/17 12/31/18 12/31/17 Net Income (Loss) Available to Common Stockholders $ 108 $ (3) $ 657 $ 460 Reconcilin
Slide 36: Reconciliation of GAAP EPS to Non-GAAP Adjusted EPS by Segment
CMS ENERGY CORPORATION Reconciliation of GAAP EPS to Non-GAAP Adjusted EPS by Segment (Unaudited) In Millions, Except Per Share Amounts Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended 9/30/19 9/30/18 9/30/19 9/30/18 Electric Utility Reported net income per share $ 0.78 $ 0.70 $ 1.47 $ 1.65 Reconciling items: O
Slide 37: Reconciliation of GAAP Net Income to Non-GAAP Adjusted Net Income by Quarter
CMS ENERGY CORPORATION Reconciliation of GAAP Net Income to Non-GAAP Adjusted Net Income by Quarter (Unaudited) In Millions, Except Per Share Amounts 2019 1Q 2Q 3Q Net Income Available to Common Stockholders $ 213 $ 93 $ 207 Reconciling items: Electric utility and gas utility - - - Tax impact - - -
Slide 38: Earnings Per Share By Year GAAP Reconciliation
CMS ENERGY CORPORATION Earnings Per Share By Year GAAP Reconciliation (Unaudited) GAAP GAAP 2018 over 2018 over 2003 2017 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 CAGR Growth Reported earnings (loss) per share - GAAP ($0.30) $0.64 ($0.44) ($0.41) ($1.02) $1.20