Western Asset Core Plus Bond Fund Class R · NASDAQ:WAPRX
Western Asset Core Plus Bond Fund Class R — Western Asset Management — Investor Presentation (April 2023)
15 slides from Western Asset Core Plus Bond Fund Class R's investor presentation, Apr 26, 2023
Slide 1: Strategy Update: US Core and Core Plus
Follow us on social media! April 26, 2023 Thank you for joining our webcast. Strategy Update: US Core and Core Plus The presentation will begin shortly. 1
Slide 2: Strategy Update: US Core and Core Plus
Strategy Update: US Core and Core Plus April 26, 2023 Julien A. Scholnick, CFA Travis M. Carr, CFA Portfolio Manager Product Specialist 2
Slide 3: Bloomberg US Aggregate Index – Annual Performance
Bloomberg US Aggregate Index – Annual Performance March 31, 2023 Bloomberg US Aggregate Performance 25 20 18.5 16.0 15 11.6 9.7 9.7 10.3 10 8.9 8.7 8.4 7.8 8.7 7.4 7.0 7.5 6.5 6.0 6.3 5.2 5.9 Total Return (%) 5 3.6 4.1 4.3 4.3 4.2 3.5 2.4 2.6 0.5 0.0 0 -0.8 -1.5 -2.0 -5 -2.9 -10 -15 -15.7 -20 Oct 20
Slide 4: Correlation Between Rates and Credit
Correlation Between Rates and Credit Growth risks contribute to negative correlation. Rolling Correlation: OAS vs UST Yield 60-40 Portfolio - Annual Return 1Yr Correlation (Corp OAS, 10yr UST Yield) 40% 1.0 0.8 30% 0.6 Rolling 12M Total Return 20% 0.4 0.2 10% 0.0 0% -0.2 -10% -0.4 -0.6 -20% -0.8 -30
Slide 5: Fixed Income Valuations
Fixed Income Valuations Yield to Worst Across Fixed Income Sectors (Past 10 Years) 16 Current 10-Year Median 14 12 11.3% 10 Yield to Worst (%) 8.5% 8.5% 8.2% 8 7.2% 6.6% 6 5.5% 5.2% 4.9% 6.3% 4.5% 6.1% 4.2% 5.6% 5.7% 3.8% 4 5.1% 4.5% 3.9% 3.2% 2 2.8% 1.5% 1.6% 1.0% 0 USTs Municipals IG MBS ABS Euro
Slide 6: A Bumpy Process of Getting Inflation Back Down to 2%
A Bumpy Process of Getting Inflation Back Down to 2% But there are some signs of improvement in supply chains and wages are decelerating. Core Inflation Components Declining, Average Hourly Earnings: Nonsupervisory Workers Housing Is Lagging Measure (6-mo a.r.) (3 Months, annualized) 12% 8% Core CPI
Slide 7: March FOMC Meeting
March FOMC Meeting Focus on financial stability; limited scope for rate cuts Financial Stability: FOMC Forecasts FOMC Median Market “The Federal Reserve working with the Treasury Department and Range FOMC Member Pricing the FDIC took decisive actions to protect the U.S. economy and 7 strengthen publ
Slide 8: US Treasury Cash and Forward Curve
US Treasury Cash and Forward Curve Curve is currently inverted; forwards are lower and steeper. 10-Year Note Less 2-Year Note US Treasury Actives Curves 400 6.00 300 5.00 200 Cash Curve, 24 Apr 23 4.00 100 Index 3.00 1 Year Fwd, 24 Apr 23 0 2.00 -100 Largest Inversion Cash Curve, 31 Dec 2019 since 1
Slide 9: Range of Outcomes More Skewed to the Downside
Range of Outcomes More Skewed to the Downside Fundamental concerns growing Real GDP in the United States (%) Unemployment Rate in the United States (%) 15 8 Range of Model-Implied Forecasts Bloomberg Survey Consensus Forecast 10 6 5 4 0 2 Range of Model-Implied Forecasts Bloomberg Survey Consensus F
Slide 10: Investment-Grade Credit
Investment-Grade Credit Cash Flow and Debt Metrics are Healthy Non-Financial Corporate Businesses: Profit Margins Cash and Cash Equivalents 34 3,500 32 3,000 30 2,500 USD (billions) Percent 28 2,000 26 1,500 24 1,000 22 500 20 0 1Q04 1Q06 1Q08 1Q10 1Q12 1Q14 1Q16 1Q18 1Q20 1Q22 201020112012201320142
Slide 11: The Two Tiers of the US Banking System
The Two Tiers of the US Banking System We prefer large US banks over regionals. Expectations: Large banks will get stronger while weaker regionals will consolidate Regulation (and issuance) will increase for regional banks Regional bank ratings will come under pressure Regulatory Balance Sheet
Slide 12: Agency MBS Currently Offer Attractive Fundamental Value
Agency MBS Currently Offer Attractive Fundamental Value Agency MBS ZV Spread (85 bps) MOVE (121 bps) (RHS) Mortgage Rates Weekly Refinancings (RHS) 200 225 8 8,000 7,000 MBA Refinancing Index 160 185 7 Mortgage Rate (%) 6,000 6 Basis Points Basis Points 120 145 5,000 5 4,000 80 105 3,000 4 2,000 40
Slide 13: Questions & Answers
Questions & Answers 13 OA a “> WrSTERN ASSET New’
Slide 14: Thank you.
Thank you. © WosrernA “| WesTERN ASSET
Slide 15: Risk Disclosure
Risk Disclosure © Western Asset Management Company, LLC 2023. This publication is the property of Western Asset and is intended for the sole use of its clients, consultants, and other intended recipients. It should not be forwarded to any other person. Contents herein should be treated as confidenti
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