Aimia Inc. · TSX:AIM

Aimia — Q1 2017 Earnings Presentation

60 slides from Aimia's earnings presentation, May 10, 2017

  1. Slide 1: Inspiring Loyalty

    /\IMI/A INSPIRING LOYALTY

  2. Slide 2: Q1 2017 Highlights

    Q1 2017 HIGHLIGHTS May 10, 2017

  3. Slide 3: Forward-Looking and Cautionary Statements

    FORWARD-LOOKING AND CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS Forward-looking statements are included in this presentation. These forward-looking statements are typically identified by the use of terms such as “outlook”, “guidance”, “target”, “forecast”, “assumption” and other similar expressions or future or condition

  4. Slide 4: Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES Aimia uses the following non-GAAP financial measures which it believes provides investors and analysts with additional information to better understand results as well as assess its potential. GAAP means generally accepted accounting principles in Canada and represents In

  5. Slide 5: GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation

    GAAP TO NON-GAAP RECONCILIATION* Three months ended Mar 31, (in millions of Canadian dollars, except per share amounts) 2017 2016 Operating income (loss) 5.5 (8.9) Depreciation and amortization 11.4 12.9 Amortization of Accumulation Partners' contracts, customer relationships and 25.8 32.8 technolog

  6. Slide 6: Q1 2017 Income Statement

    Q1 2017 INCOME STATEMENT Three Months Ended March 31, (in millions of Canadian dollars, except per share 2017 2016 amounts) (unaudited) (unaudited) Revenue 524.8 570.1 Cost of sales Cost of rewards and direct costs 331.4 369.5 Depreciation and amortization 11.4 12.9 Amortization of accumulation part

  7. Slide 7: ROIC Reconciliation

    ROIC RECONCILIATION* Twelve Months Ended March 31, (in millions of Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted) 2017 2016 Calculation of adjusted operating income after taxes Operating loss (72.0) (36.3) Depreciation, amortization & impairment charges 240.6 208.0 Operating income excluding depreciation,

  8. Slide 8: Q1 2017 Financial Highlights

    Q1 2017 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS* (in millions of Canadian dollars) As Reported Q1 2017 Q1 2016 Gross $525.2 $573.0 Billings (8.3%)(1) (1)(2) (4.3%) in c.c. Operating $150.7 $163.8 Expenses Adjusted $58.8 $48.7 EBITDA 11.2% margin 8.5% margin Capital $12.1 $19.5 expenditures FCF before dividends paid $(

  9. Slide 9: Quarterly Highlights

    QUARTERLY HIGHLIGHTS DAVID JOHNSTON

  10. Slide 10: Update on Air Canada

    UPDATE ON AIR CANADA • Air Canada and Aeroplan have had a powerful and successful partnership pairing one of the best airlines with one of the best loyalty providers since 2002 • Aeroplan offers value, flexibility, and availability that differentiate our program for 5 million members • Aeroplan is A

  11. Slide 11: Q1 2017 Financial Highlights

    Q1 2017 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS* (in millions of Canadian dollars) Q1 2017 Q1 2016 Gross Coalition Gross $492.0 $531.1 Billings(6) decline of Billings(3) (7.4%)(1) 2% on a constant (1)(2) Adjusted EBITDA (3.2%) in c.c. currency basis margin benefitting Operating from operational Expenses(4) $119.9 $132

  12. Slide 12: Q1 2017 Gross Billings and Operational Highlights

    Q1 2017 GROSS BILLINGS AND OPERATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS* (in millions of Canadian dollars and Q1 operational highlights reported YoY variance (%) ) Americas Coalitions $319.6 • Aeroplan Gross Billings up 5%(2), 65% of core +3.3% Gross Billings contributing (alongside lower unit 19.7% AE cost and lower ope

  13. Slide 13: Returns to Shareholders

    RETURNS TO SHAREHOLDERS* FCF per Common Share before Dividends Quarterly Dividend per Common Share Paid(1) and FCF Yield(2) and FCF Payout Ratio(3) $1.40 12.7% 14.0% $0.22 109% 120% $1.20 11.2% 12.0% $0.20 85% 100% $1.00 10.0% Around 20% $0.18 70% 80% $0.80 8.0% 5.4% increase in $0.16 60% $0.60 6.0%

  14. Slide 14: Q1 2017 Consolidated Gross Billings

    Q1 2017 CONSOLIDATED GROSS BILLINGS* (in millions of Canadian dollars) $10.2 ($45.2) $33.2 Americas ($4.2) $531.1(2)(3) Coalitions International Global $525.2 Non-core Coalitions Loyalty $492.0(2)(3) Solutions • Aeroplan • Nectar Loyalty Loyalty Units Units decline of Gross Billings • Underlying $23

  15. Slide 15: Aeroplan Gross Billings

    AEROPLAN GROSS BILLINGS* (in millions of Canadian dollars) 5.0% 350.0 35.0 $308.9 $294.1 300.0 30.0 Aeroplan Gross Aeroplan Gross Billings 250.0 5.4% 25.0 Billings up 5% YoY YoY driven by strong (billion miles) (million CAD) Miles Issued Growth* * financial cards and 200.0 20.0 Air Canada 5.7% YoY u

  16. Slide 16: Aeroplan Financial Card Trends

    AEROPLAN FINANCIAL CARD TRENDS One month average actives (1) (Aeroplan TD + CIBC credit cardholders) 2013-2017 CAGR = 5%(2) 2010 to 2013 CAGR = 1%(2) Active base up 7% YOY in the quarter(3) as a result of card acquisitions and improving card attrition 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Q1 2017 (1) O

  17. Slide 17: International Coalitions Gross Billings

    INTERNATIONAL COALITIONS GROSS BILLINGS* (in millions of Canadian dollars) (27.1)% YoY; (14.4)% YoY in c.c** 250.0 30,000 $166.8 $121.6 Gross Billings 25,000 down 14% on a 200.0 constant currency 20,000 basis 150.0 15,000 100.0 (20)% 10,000 YoY 50.0 5,000 Nectar issuance down 20% YoY 0.0 0 due to th

  18. Slide 18: Phasing of Sainsbury's Campaigns

    PHASING OF SAINSBURY’S CAMPAIGNS Sainsbury’s points issuance Phasing of promotional campaigns driving lower points issuance in Q1 Q1 Q2 Q2 Q3 Q3 Q4 Q4 Q1 and strong 2016A 2017A 2016A 2017E 2016A 2017E 2016A 2017E expected issuance in Q4 Significant 10x campaign in market in May 18

  19. Slide 19: Global Loyalty Solutions Gross Billings

    GLOBAL LOYALTY SOLUTIONS GROSS BILLINGS* (in millions of Canadian dollars) (7.6)%; (5.6)% in c.c.** Continued transition out of rewards fulfillment $55.1 contract with a UK $50.9 rewards client Platform-based recurring sales continued to grow, accounting for around 14% of Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

  20. Slide 20: Q1 2017 Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA

    Q1 2017 CONSOLIDATED ADJUSTED EBITDA* (in millions of Canadian dollars) $0.4 ($0.9) $13.0 ($3.5) $0.4 International Global Corporate Non-core Coalitions Loyalty and Other Solutions Americas Coalitions • Lower • Higher $49.4(1) • Higher operating share-based spend on expenses IT and compensation $58.

  21. Slide 21: Aeroplan Redemption and Unit Cost Trends

    AEROPLAN REDEMPTION AND UNIT COST TRENDS Favourable cost per mile trend Mileage burn and unit cost Mileage burn up 1.06 1.05 1.05 1.04 3.9% YoY driven 5.0% 1.02 1.03 1.03 1.01 0.98 by higher Market Fare Flight 3.0% 4.9% rewards in the 3.6% 4.2% 3.9% quarter 1.0% 2.1% (1.3%) (0.7%) -1.0% (1.6%) (3.6%

  22. Slide 22: Aeroplan Burn/Earn Ratio

    AEROPLAN BURN/EARN RATIO* Improving accumulation trend Seasonally normal burn earn Burn/Earn Burn/earn ratio in line with normal 102% seasonal 98% patterns 97% 93% 89% (inverse of 11% breakage) 83% 84% 84% 84% 80% 79% 77% 74% 72% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2014 2014 2014 2014 2015 2015 2

  23. Slide 23: Club Premier Overview

    CLUB PREMIER OVERVIEW • Through its joint venture with Aeromexico, Mexico's flagship airline, Aimia owns 48.9% of PLM Premier, S.A.P.I. de C.V (PLM), which operates Club Premier. • Club Premier is the leading coalition program in Mexico with a growing member base and over 100 partners, and the opera

  24. Slide 24: Progress on Operating Expenses

    PROGRESS ON OPERATING EXPENSES* (in millions of Canadian dollars) $26.6 ($6.9) ($9.2) $1.8 $1.4 Americas Coalitions Corporate Non-core International Global Loyalty and Other Coalitions Solutions $132.7(1)(2) • Operational • Higher share- • Increased $146.5(1) efficiencies, • Lower based spend on IT

  25. Slide 25: Free Cash Flow in Line with Seasonal Patterns

    FREE CASH FLOW IN LINE WITH SEASONAL PATTERNS* Normalized FCF before Dividends Paid (10) Seasonal redemption (3) patterns driving (6) (2) (8) FCF outflow in (9) Q1 (4) (5) (7) ($20.1) (11) (1) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2014 2015 2016 2017 *THIS SLIDE CONTAINS NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES

  26. Slide 26: Working Capital Quarterly Trends

    WORKING CAPITAL QUARTERLY TRENDS* (in millions of Canadian dollars) $122.7 $76.4 Timing of working capital $35.6 $7.4 $22.9 in 2016 driving unfavourable ($19.7) ($15.6) ($40.2) ($33.0) ($31.4) variance ($46.1) ($63.0) ($58.8) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2014 2014 2014 2014 2015 2015 2015

  27. Slide 27: Capital Expenditures

    CAPITAL EXPENDITURES (in millions of Canadian dollars) FY 2015: $93.6 Capex down FY 2014: $81.5 c.40% in the quarter FY 2013: $54.4 $30.0 $29.4 FY 2016: $68.2 $23.7 $21.9 $21.6 $20.5 $20.0 $19.5 $18.1 $18.2 $16.1 Focus on $14.4 delivering $11.2 $12.2 $11.8 $12.1 $9.1 improving returns and driving ca

  28. Slide 28: Financial Position at March 31, 2017

    FINANCIAL POSITION AT MARCH 31, 2017* (in millions of Canadian dollars) As of March 31, 2017 Cash + Restricted Cash + Investments $557 Investments including Aeroplan Reserve + Restricted Cash $327 Other reserves $108 Excess cash (ROIC basis) c.$120 Working capital c.$60 to $90 Available cash c.$30 t

  29. Slide 29: Strategic Update

    STRATEGIC UPDATE DAVID JOHNSTON

  30. Slide 30: Strategic Progress

    STRATEGIC PROGRESS 1. Key partnerships Simplified and cash 2. Aligning our operating model generative business 3. Supportive financing profile 4. Returns to shareholders 30

  31. Slide 31: Key Coalition Partners

    KEY COALITION PARTNERS % of Consolidated Gross Billings* - FY 2016 18% TD (10yr) 11% CIBC (10yr) CIBC (10yr) Contracts run between 4 and 15 years, with three top contracts 11% Air Canada (15yr) successfully renewed since 2005 9% AMEX (>5yr) AMEX (4yrs+1) 15% Sainsbury’s (5+5yr) Sainsbury’s (7yr) 200

  32. Slide 32: Aeroplan Value to Members

    AEROPLAN VALUE TO MEMBERS Cost of rewards (in millions of Canadian dollars) 1.9m flight $819 $777 rewards $659 issued in $698 2016 $131 $140 $125 $127 $656 $685 $682 $477 50% of flight rewards are MFFR or purchased from Star partners; 2013 2014 2015 2016 the remaining 50% are Fixed Price, representi

  33. Slide 33: Improvements in Aeroplan Availability

    IMPROVEMENTS IN AEROPLAN AVAILABILITY 97% 96% 91% Aeroplan 2016 88% 79% 79% Aeroplan 2013 Improved 72% 70% availability that differentiates 58% Aeroplan from 50% frequent flyer programs June July August September October Aeroplan 2016 Market 2016 Aeroplan 2013 Market 2013 Sources: • IdeaWorks Compan

  34. Slide 34: Operating and Financial Highlights

    OPERATING AND FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS TOR LØNNUM

  35. Slide 35: Aligning Our Operating Model

    ALIGNING OUR OPERATING MODEL • Measures already being taken which are expected to underpin 12.0% Adjusted EBITDA margin for 2017 – $5 million in operating efficiencies achieved in the quarter driving core OPEX down to $119(1) million (vs $131(1) million in Q1 2016) – FTEs down by around a third sinc

  36. Slide 36: Introduction of a ROIC Metric

    INTRODUCTION OF A ROIC METRIC* Adjusted EBITDA (Reported) Return = - Depreciation ROIC of 6.3% at Adjusted operating - Tax the end of Q1 income after taxes 2017 (TTM) Equity Invested Capital + Accumulated Focus on (Average) amortization of partner improving ROIC contracts and customer longer term re

  37. Slide 37: Capital Structure and Financing

    CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND FINANCING Aimia capital structure (in millions of Canadian dollars) Maturity profile March 31, 2017 extended to June 2017 $2,500 2020 with early (forecast) $300 redemption of (undrawn) 2018 senior $200 secured notes $2,000 (drawn) Debt/Adjusted $450 $250 EBITDA* maintained at $

  38. Slide 38: 2017 Guidance

    2017 GUIDANCE* (in millions of Canadian dollars) 2016 2017 Guidance (1)(2) (4) Gross Billings (core business) $2,142 Core business broadly stable Gross Billings $2,340 around $2.1 billion (1) Adjusted EBITDA $239 (4) (1) Core business around 12.0% and margin 11.2% margin Free Cash Flow before Divide

  39. Slide 39: Quarterly Dividend

    QUARTERLY DIVIDEND • Board has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.20 per common share • Reflects a payout of 55% of the annual Quarterly Dividend Per Share $0.22 Free Cash Flow before Dividends Paid* on $0.20 the basis of current guidance $0.18 $0.16 • New dividend policy and dividend level $0.14 r

  40. Slide 40: Concluding Remarks

    CONCLUDING REMARKS DAVID JOHNSTON

  41. Slide 41: Conclusion

    CONCLUSION • Solid start to Q1 • Reconfirming 2017 guidance with normal seasonality expected in the second half A simpler, more • Strategic decisions being taken to reinforce focused business with financial flexibility; key coalition partnerships, a an aligned operating strongly aligned operating mo

  42. Slide 42: Aimia: Inspiring Loyalty

    AIMIA INSPIRING LOYALTY

  43. Slide 43: Why Invest in Aimia?

    WHY INVEST IN AIMIA?* Aeroplan • >80% of Gross Billings • 5 million active members from Americas and • Partners include: TD bank, CIBC, Europe(1) Air Canada, AMEX, and Esso Pure play marketing Strong retail, • c.80% of Gross Billings and loyalty financial and Nectar from coalitions and • 20 million

  44. Slide 44: Progress on Strategy

    PROGRESS ON STRATEGY SIMPLIFY AND FOCUS Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 • Exited Nectar • Exited the • Completed the • Investment in China • Exited investment in Italia and Cardlytics UK sale of Enhancement Rewards written down Travel Club and presence LATAM presence card-linked Services to

  45. Slide 45: Balance Sheet

    BALANCE SHEET DEBT Interest March CASH & INVESTMENTS March (in millions of Canadian Rate Maturing 31, 2017 (in millions of Canadian dollars) 31, 2017 dollars) Revolving Facility(1) Apr. 23, 2020 - Cash and cash equivalents 230 Senior Secured Notes 5 4.35% Jan. 22, 2018 200.0 Restricted cash 21 Senio

  46. Slide 46: Quarterly Consolidated Cost of Rewards Trend

    QUARTERLY CONSOLIDATED COST OF REWARDS TREND (in millions of Canadian dollars) $200 $301 $287 $182 $258 $152 $106 $174 $145 $129 $164 $144 $120 $223 $231 $218 $225 $181 $201 $202 $189 $197 $192 $193 $196 $195 Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q3 Q3 Q3 Q4 Q4 Q4 2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 20

  47. Slide 47: Increasing Adjusted EBITDA Margin

    INCREASING ADJUSTED EBITDA MARGIN* EXCLUDING SEVERANCE COSTS (in millions of Canadian dollars, FY 2016: 10.4%(4) 150 percentages) except FY 2015: 9.5%(2)(3) 14.0% FY 2014: 8.1%(1) 130 11.4%(5) 12.0% 11.0%(3) 11.2%(4) 10.5%(4) 10.1% 10.2%(2) 10.0%(4) 110 9.1% 10.0% 8.8% 8.5%(3) 8.8%(4) 8.7% 90 8.0% 7

  48. Slide 48: Q1 2017 Adjusted EBITDA to Free Cash Flow Bridge

    Q1 2017 ADJUSTED EBITDA TO FREE CASH FLOW** BRIDGE* (in millions of Canadian dollars) $58.8 ($8.4) $4.2 ($3.4) ($4.1) ($12.1) ($58.8) Non-cash items ($23.8) Adjusted Change in Stock-based Cash Net cash Capex Working capital Free Cash EBITDA FRC compensation taxes interest paid and other Flow Reporte

  49. Slide 49: Q1 2017 Free Cash Flow Bridge

    Q1 2017 FREE CASH FLOW BRIDGE* (in millions of Canadian dollars) $7.4 ($25.8) ($18.9) ($23.8) $6.2 $15.2 $2.0 ($0.2) Capital expenditures ($47.8) Income Net Distributions from equity- taxes (paid) / cash Q1 2016 $38.1 accounted received, interest Reported investments net paid Working Q1 2017 OPEX ca

  50. Slide 50: Q1 2017 Gross Billings to Free Cash Flow Walk

    Q1 2017 GROSS BILLINGS TO FREE CASH FLOW WALK* (in millions of Canadian dollars) Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Gross Billings 573.0 525.2 Less: Cost of rewards and direct costs (369.5) (331.4) Less: Operating expenses (excluding share-based Operational discipline driving (161.7) (146.5) compensation and impairmen

  51. Slide 51: Americas Coalitions Gross Billings

    AMERICAS COALITIONS GROSS BILLINGS* (in millions of Canadian dollars) 3.3% 360 50.0 350 $309.4 $319.6 45.0 340 40.0 330 35.0 Americas 320 30.0 Coalitions Gross 310 25.0 Billings up on the 300 5.4% 20.0 back of Aeroplan YoY 290 5.7% 15.0 growth 280 YoY 10.0 270 5.0 260 0.0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

  52. Slide 52: Drivers Impacting Gross Billings and Redemptions

    DRIVERS IMPACTING GROSS BILLINGS AND REDEMPTIONS Consumer debt continues to rise Canadian Household Consumption Expenditure Final (HCE)* and impact 3.0% 2.7% 2.6% spend through 2.5% 2.3% 2.1% 2.2% 2.1% 2.0% the year 2.0% 1.7% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% Canadian FX 0.0% expected to Q1-16 (A) Q2-16 (A) Q3-16 (A)

  53. Slide 53: A Mutually Beneficial Relationship

    A MUTUALLY BENEFICIAL RELATIONSHIP Gross Billings from Payments from Air Canada*† Aeroplan to Air Canada Q1 2017: FY 2016: >2x AC up 8% YoY Gross Billings FY 2016: FY 2016: Incremental c.$185 c.$250 million million(1) Relationship continues to drive Gross Billings from Air Canada and Aeroplan purcha

  54. Slide 54: Q1 2017 Financial Highlights – Americas Coalitions

    Q1 2017 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS – AMERICAS COALITIONS* Three Months Ended Mar 31, (in millions of Canadian dollars) 2017 2016 Reported Reported % Gross Billings Aeroplan 308.9 294.1 5.0% Loyalty Services & Other 19.8 37.7 -47.5% Intercompany eliminations (9.1) (22.4) Total revenue Aeroplan 324.7 309.5

  55. Slide 55: Aeroplan Revenue

    AEROPLAN REVENUE (in millions of Canadian dollars) Q1 2017 Q1 2016 Miles Revenue $280.6 $266.6 Breakage Revenue $34.7 $32.9 Other Revenue $9.4 $10.0 Total Revenue $324.7 $309.5 55

  56. Slide 56: Focusing on Core Assets

    FOCUSING ON CORE ASSETS* • c.($20) million Enhancement Americas Americas Coalitions Services Coalitions $1,296 million (57%)(1) • c.($150) million US Channel • Coalitions (Aeroplan) $1,495 million (64%) and Employee Loyalty Assets • Canada Rewards held for sale International Coalitions 2016 $618 mil

  57. Slide 57: Accounting: Key Things to Remember

    ACCOUNTING: KEY THINGS TO REMEMBER* Gross Billings from the sale of Loyalty Units: Revenue Recognition:  Recognize upon redemption of Loyalty Units  Recognize upon issuance of Loyalty Units  Key indicator of top line growth Breakage Recognition:  Recognize upon redemption of Loyalty Units Liabil

  58. Slide 58: Gross Billings from Sale of Loyalty Units by Major Partner

    GROSS BILLINGS FROM SALE OF LOYALTY UNITS BY MAJOR PARTNER* Other CIBC Other CIBC Other CIBC 16.0% 15.2% 17.6% 14.7% Air Sainsbury’s Air Sainsbury’s Sainsbury’s Canada Canada 15.4% 14.2% Air Canada Q1 2016 21.9% 16.4% Q1 2017 $425.2M $397.9 AMEX AMEX AMEX TD 12.0% TD 13.2% TD 23.8% 19.6% *THIS SLIDE

  59. Slide 59: 2016 Quarterly Gross Billings and Adjusted EBITDA

    2016 QUARTERLY GROSS BILLINGS AND ADJUSTED EBITDA* (INCLUDING AND EXCLUDING CEL AND ES BUSINESSES) Business segmentation reflecting Business segmentation reflecting CEL and ES businesses CEL and ES businesses classified under Corporate and Other classified under Americas Coalitions Gross Billings Gr

  60. Slide 60: Foreign Exchange Rates

    FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATES Q1 2017 Q1 2016 % Change Average Average Period end Average Average Period end Average Average Period end quarter YTD rate quarter YTD rate quarter YTD rate £ to $ 1.6387 1.6387 1.6593 1.9691 1.9691 1.8744 -16.8% -16.8% -11.5% AED to $ 0.3603 0.3603 0.3627 0.3740 0.3740 0.3545

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