Anz Group Holdings Limited · ASX:ANZ

Anz — Australia and New Zealand Banking Group — Debt Investor Presentation (2019)

125 slides from Anz's debt investor presentation, 2019

  1. Slide 1: 2019 Full Year Results - Debt Investor Update

    2019 FULL YEAR RESULTS — D E B T I N V E S TO R U P D AT E AUSTRALIA & NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED ABN 11 005 357 522

  2. Slide 2: Contents

    CONTENTS 2019 FULL YEAR RESULTS ANZ Tier 2 Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) Bond Presentation 3 CEO and CFO Results Presentations 33 CEO Presentation 34 CFO Presentation 41 Group & Divisional Financial Performance 54 Group including impact of large / notable items 55 Australia Retail & Commercial

  3. Slide 3: ANZ Tier 2 Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) Bond

    ANZ TIER 2 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS (SDG) BOND — I N V ESTOR P R ES EN TATI ON AUSTRALIA & NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED ABN 11 005 357 522

  4. Slide 4: Disclaimer

    DISCLAIMER This document has been prepared by Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Limited (ABN 11 005 357 522) (the "Bank") for the information of intended recipients only (being persons who meet the requirements described in the following paragraphs). This document is intended to be general bac

  5. Slide 5: Disclaimer (Cont.)

    DISCLAIMER (CONT.) The Bank provides no guarantees, representations or warranties regarding the accuracy of this information. No third party liability is accepted by the Bank, its directors and employees in respect of errors and omissions other than under the duties and liabilities of the FSMA. • In

  6. Slide 6: TLAC & Tier 2 Capital Update

    TLAC & TIER 2 CAPITAL UPDATE — 6

  7. Slide 7: ANZ's Internationally Comparable Regulatory Capital Position

    ANZ’S INTERNATIONALLY COMPARABLE1 REGULATORY CAPITAL POSITION APRA Level 2 CET1 – 30 September 2019 11.4% Corporate undrawn EAD and Australian ADI unsecured corporate lending LGDs and undrawn CCFs exceed those applied in many jurisdictions 1.6% unsecured LGD adjustments APRA requires 100% deduction

  8. Slide 8: CET1 and Leverage in a Global Context

    CET1 AND LEVERAGE IN A GLOBAL CONTEXT CET1 RATIOS1 LEVERAGE RATIOS1,2 5% 10% 15% 20% 2% 4% 6% 8% ABN Amro OCBC Svenska Handelsbanken UOB SEB DBS Swedbank Morgan Stanley BBVA Danske Bank Erste Bank ANZ Raiffeisen Bank International (RBI) RBS Intesa Sanpaolo Rabobank Groupe BPCE ANZ Credit Agricole Gr

  9. Slide 9: Australia's TLAC Regime

    AUSTRALIA’S TLAC REGIME Regulatory Minimum APRA’S TLAC REQUIREMENTS Additional 3% Including Buffers 17% (~AUD12b) of Tier 2 Sedse2 – capital by 1 Jan 2024 • APRA has announced that it will require Australian D-SIB’s to 5%dsedwsdgf meet TLAC requirements by an increase in Total Capital of 14.0% T2 3%

  10. Slide 10: Potential Loss Absorption

    CET1 VOLUME IN EXCESS AT UNQUESTIONABLY STRONG, MANAGEMENT ACTIONS AND PROFITABILITY PROTECT TIER 2 INVESTORS BUFFERS AND PROTECTIONS FOR TIER 2 INVESTORS ANZ’S BALANCE SHEET AND EARNINGS BUFFERS Possible actions that may be considered to Future Earnings1 strengthen capital include: Potential loss a

  11. Slide 11: ANZ's Tier 2 Capital Profile

    ANZ’S TIER 2 CAPITAL PROFILE1 ANZ’S TIER 2 CAPITAL REQUIREMENT TO PROGRESSIVELY INCREASE POST TLAC ANNOUNCEMENT TIER 2 CAPITAL • Issued AUD1.75b in July 2019 Notional amount • Current portfolio includes 38% in AUD (32% domestic AUD) – strong capacity By Format By Currency remaining in AUD • Annual t

  12. Slide 12: Australian Tier 2 in a TLAC/MREL Context

    AUSTRALIAN TIER 2 IN A TLAC/MREL CONTEXT APRA’S CONSERVATIVE RISK WEIGHTS COMBINED WITH “UNQUESTIONABLY STRONG” CET1 REQUIREMENTS PROVIDE STRONG PROTECTIONS FOR TIER 2 INVESTORS. AN ILLUSTRATIVE LOSS OF 5% OF ASSETS IS PRESENTED BELOW % over Assets T2 AT1 CET1 MREL 2.1 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.5 Loss A

  13. Slide 13: Proposed Transaction Overview

    PROPOSED TRANSACTION OVERVIEW ANZ IS CONSIDERING AN INAUGURAL SDG TIER 2 TLAC ELIGIBLE BOND ISSUE • On January 1 2016, the SDGs came into effect. The 17 goals and 169 targets are aimed at solving the world’s most pressing sustainable development challenges – ending global poverty, protecting our pla

  14. Slide 14: ANZ EMTN EUR Tier 2 Subordinated SDG Notes Key Terms

    ANZ EMTN EUR TIER 2 SUBORDINATED SDG NOTES KEY TERMS Issuer Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Limited (ABN 11 005 357 522) (“ANZ”) Issuer Senior Ratings Aa3 (Stable) | AA- (Stable) | AA- (Negative) (Moody’s/S&P/Fitch) Expected Issue Rating2 Baa1 | BBB +| A+ (Moody’s/S&P/Fitch) Information Memo

  15. Slide 15: Non-Viability Trigger Event Loss Absorption

    A Non-Viability Trigger Event occurs when APRA has provided a written determination to ANZBGL that the conversion or write- Non-Viability Trigger off of certain securities of ANZBGL is necessary because without either such Conversion or Write-Off or a public sector injection Event of capital, ANZBGL

  16. Slide 16: Sustainability at ANZ

    SUSTAINABILITY AT ANZ — 16

  17. Slide 17: ANZ and the SDGs

    ANZ AND THE SDGs ANZ IS A SIGNATORY TO THE CEO STATEMENT OF SUPPORT ISSUED BY THE UN GLOBAL COMPACT NETWORK OF AUSTRALIA IN SEPTEMBER 2016 In November 2019, we announced our commitment to a new AUD50b 2025 Sustainability Target aligned to the SDGs On January 1 2016, the United Nations SDGs came into

  18. Slide 18: ANZ Has an Integrated Approach to Sustainability

    ANZ HAS AN INTEGRATED APPROACH TO SUSTAINABILITY PURPOSE ESG TARGETS TEAM ANZ’s purpose is to shape a world where people and We exceeded our 2015 commitment to fund and facilitate at ANZ Group Treasury has implemented Green and communities thrive least AUD15bn in environmentally sustainable solution

  19. Slide 19: FY19 ESG Target Performance

    FY19 ESG TARGET PERFORMANCE SCORECARD SNAPSHOT We are committed to the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Our ESG targets support 10 of Not achieved Achieved In progress the 17 SDGs. ESG target Progress Outcome Relevant SDGs FAIR AND RESPONSIBLE BANKING Implement new Dispute Resolu

  20. Slide 20: ESG Performance Trends

    ESG PERFORMANCE TRENDS COMMUNITY INVESTMENT1 MONEYMINDED & SAVER PLUS ENVIRONMENTAL FINANCING $15B TARGET Total community investment (AUDm) Estimated # of people reached Funded and facilitated (AUDb) 137 142 88,308 90,724 19.1 131 80,074 11.5 90 69,826 65,549 75 6.9 2.5 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2015

  21. Slide 21: ANZ's ESG Rating Scorecard

    ANZ’S ESG RATING SCORECARD TRACKING OF EXTERNAL ESG RATING PERFORMANCE Context: Our reputation indicators identify our key weakness, scrutinised in the Royal Commission, as our failure to always responsibly deliver products and services, e.g. fees for no service. Bank industry median, 46 86, Highest

  22. Slide 22: SDG Bond Framework & Eligible Assets

    FURTHER INFORMATION AND SDG BOND FRAMEWORK & ELIGIBLE ASSETS — 22

  23. Slide 23: ANZ SDG Bond Programme Overview

    ANZ SDG BOND PROGRAMME OVERVIEW ANZ SDG Bond Framework Governance Progress • Aligned to the UN SDGs and updated to align ANZ’s SDG Programme adheres to the four • Issued first SDG Bond in February 2018 to the 2018 ICMA Principles and Guidelines pillars: 1. Use of Proceeds – • Reported/reporting Use

  24. Slide 24: ANZ Is a Lead Issuer in Sustainability Bonds

    ANZ IS A LEAD ISSUER IN SUSTAINABILITY BONDS ANZ’S INAUGURAL SDG BOND WAS ISSUED IN FEBRUARY 2018 • The ANZ SDG Bond Framework was developed in line with the International Capital Market Association (“ICMA”) Green Bond Principles (“GBP”), Social Bond Principles (“SBP”) 2017, and related Sustainabili

  25. Slide 25: ANZ's Inaugural SDG Bond Impact Report

    ANZ’S INAUGURAL SDG BOND IMPACT REPORT WAS PUBLISHED IN JULY 2019 INAUGURAL REPORTED IMPACTS1 AS AT 31 MARCH 2019 SDGs Impact (at project/asset level)2 • Hospitals: ~4,180 beds in total • Aged Care: 149 homes and ~12,700 beds • Operation of existing 3,700 student beds across 9 sites • Construction o

  26. Slide 26: Evolution of Eligible Asset Pool

    EVOLUTION OF ELIGIBLE ASSET POOL FEBRUARY 2018 SEPTEMBER 2019 Pool Size: EUR925m Pool Size: EUR2,096m 0.5% 15.7% 7.9% 0.2% 31.3% 21.2% SDG 3 SDG 6 SDG 9 SDG 11 13.2% By SDGs SDG 4 SDG 7 SDG 10 55.2% 5.4% 11.3% 9.8% 20.0% 8.4% 0.5% 0.2% 32.8% 39.6% Allocated to Corporate Transactions By Loan Allocate

  27. Slide 27: Eligible Assets

    ELIGIBLE ASSETS1 Total by SDGs Total by SDGs SDGs GBP/SBP Category2 Asset / Type Location % (AUD) (EUR) Access to essential services; Socioeconomic advancement and Aged Care & Hospital / Corporate & Project Australia, VIC, QLD, NSW, SA 1,062m 656m 31.3% empowerment; Finance Affordable basic infrastr

  28. Slide 28: Independent Review

    INDEPENDENT REVIEW SUSTAINALYTICS OPINION AND ERNST & YOUNG ASSURANCE ANZ retains a second party opinion from ANZ has also obtained pre-issuance assurance from Sustainalytics1 to confirm the alignment of the ANZ Ernst & Young (“EY”)2 to confirm that the proposed SDG Bond Framework with the GBPs, SBP

  29. Slide 29: Contacts & Appendices

    FURTHER INFORMATION AND CONTACTS & APPENDICES — 29

  30. Slide 30: Further Information

    FURTHER INFORMATION Key contacts Adrian Went Scott Gifford Mary Makridis Group Treasurer Head of Debt Investor Relations Associate Director +61 3 8654 5532 +61 3 8655 5683 Investor Relations +61 412 027 151 +61 434 076 876 +61 3 8655 4318 Adrian.went@anz.com scott.gifford@anz.com Mary.Makridis@anz.c

  31. Slide 31: Appendix 1: Eligible Asset Categories

    APPENDIX 1: ELIGIBLE ASSET CATEGORIES Eligibility Criteria: Activities that provide access to essential health-care services, promote metal health and wellbeing and achieve universal health coverage Examples: Public hospitals, private hospitals that are non-for-profit or provide social benefit progr

  32. Slide 32: Appendix 1: Continued

    APPENDIX 1: CONTINUED Eligibility Criteria: Activities that upgrade infrastructure and retrofit industries and make them sustainable, with increased resource use efficiency and greater adoption of clean and environmentally sound technologies Examples: Construction, renovation or operation of sustain

  33. Slide 33: 2019 Full Year Results - CEO

    2019 FULL YEAR RESULTS — S H AY N E E L L I O T T CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER 33

  34. Slide 34: Financial Snapshot

    FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT FY19 FY19 v FY18 Statutory Profit ($m) 5,953 -7% Cash Profit (continuing operations)1 ($m) 6,470 0% Return on Equity 10.9% -10bps Earnings Per Share (cents) 228 +2% Dividend Per Share (cents) 160 flat Franking (FY19 avg) 85% -15% CET1 Ratio (APRA) 11.4% stable Total Capital (CET1)

  35. Slide 35: 6 Point Plan

    6 POINT PLAN FOCUSING RESOURCES TO DELIVER FOR CUSTOMERS, SHAREHOLDERS & THE COMMUNITY 1 Running the business well 2 Maintaining discipline within Institutional 3 Resolving our challenges in NZ 4 Investing to prepare Australia for growth 5 Driving further simplification 6 Building the team’s resilie

  36. Slide 36: Run the Business Well

    RUN THE BUSINESS WELL AUSTRALIA RETAIL AND COMMERCIAL  Changed our management structure & team LAUNCHED A MAJOR HOUSING MARKETING CAMPAIGN  Continuing to invest in process redesign  Refining credit policies within a prudent risk appetite  Delegating more decisions to front line  Monitoring key

  37. Slide 37: Run the Business Well - Customer Remediation

    RUN THE BUSINESS WELL CUSTOMER REMEDIATION CUMULATIVE CUSTOMER REMEDIATION CHARGE Pre tax $m 1,579 928 753 220 153 51 Mar-17 Sep-17 Mar-18 Sep-18 Mar-19 Sep-19 Continuing operations Discontinued (Wealth businesses) >1,000 people progressing remediation activities 37

  38. Slide 38: Run the Business Well - New Zealand

    RUN THE BUSINESS WELL NEW ZEALAND BS11 (Outsourcing Policy) RBNZ Capital Review Paper 4 Expected to be finalised in Dec 2019 Requires all large banks in New Zealand to have compliant outsourcing arrangements Relates to the amount of regulatory capital by 2022 required of locally incorporated banks I

  39. Slide 39: Investing for Growth

    INVESTING FOR GROWTH GROUP INVESTMENT SPEND1 PREPARING FOR CHANGE $m LAST DECADE NEXT DECADE? 1,403 Universal services Specialisation Mass share Targeted share 1,234 1,218 1,153 1,179 One price for all Risk based pricing 564 Transactions Discussions 430 Value from branches Value from data 410 473 49

  40. Slide 40: Capitalised Software Balance

    CAPITALISED SOFTWARE BALANCE1 $b 3 2 1 0 Sep-08 Sep-10 Sep-12 Sep-14 Sep-16 Sep-18 Sep-19 ANZ Peer 3 Peer 2 Peer 1 1. Source: Capitalised software balances sourced from publicly available company financials; 2019 numbers are based on the most recently disclosure financial statements 40

  41. Slide 41: 2019 Full Year Results - CFO

    2019 FULL YEAR RESULTS — M I C H E L L E J A B L KO CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER 41

  42. Slide 42: Overview

    OVERVIEW CASH PROFIT1,2 CASH EPS1,2 ROE1,2 CET1 RATIO (LEVEL 2) $m cents % % 6,809 6,487 6,470 233 11.7 11.4 11.4 223 228 11.0 10.9 10.6 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY17 FY18 FY19 Sep-17 Sep-18 Sep-19 1. Cash Profit from continuing operations 2. FY17 has not been restated for AASB15 impacts 42

  43. Slide 43: Regulatory Developments

    REGULATORY DEVELOPMENTS IN CONSULTATION STAGE APRA LEVEL 1 & LEVEL 2 FY19 NET ORGANIC CAPITAL SEP-19 CET1 RATIOS  APRA - Investments in subsidiaries (APS111) GENERATION bps  RBNZ - Capital proposals  APRA - Ongoing APRA regulatory reviews1 RECENTLY FINALISED (IMPLEMENTING) 165 11.4% 11.4% ~136 AP

  44. Slide 44: Financial Performance

    FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE CASH PROFIT CONTINUING OPERATIONS CASH PROFIT DRIVERS $m 79 6,487 1 131 6,470 -94 -134 -21% 0% 0% 20% -5% FY18 Large / Notable Revenue Expenses Provisions Tax & NCI FY19 items after tax1 CASH PROFIT DIVISIONAL PERFORMANCE $m 79 Australia Retail & 6,487 151 6,470 FY19 v FY18 Ins

  45. Slide 45: Australia Retail & Commercial

    AUSTRALIA RETAIL & COMMERCIAL INCOME EXCLUDING LARGE / NOTABLE ITEMS AND HOUSING PORTFOLIO INCOME COMPOSITION HOUSING PORTFOLIO1,2 $m $b 10,165 264 272 265 9,575 9 8 7 26 37 49 3,238 14 3,114 22 33 54 49 39 4,807 4,768 1,590 1,524 6,927 6,461 164 156 134 3,217 3,244 FY18 FY19 1H19 2H19 Sep-17 Sep-18

  46. Slide 46: Australia Retail & Commercial - Housing Momentum

    AUSTRALIA RETAIL & COMMERCIAL - HOUSING MOMENTUM IMPROVING MOMENTUM HOME LOAN APPLICATION TREND 3 month rolling average (Index Sep 2017 = 100)  Clarity and consistency on policy and risk settings “Offer So Good” campaign – July 2 to August 31 110  Approval turnaround times 100 90  Industry condit

  47. Slide 47: Institutional

    INSTITUTIONAL INCOME CONTINUING OPERATIONS EXCLUDING LARGE / NOTABLE ITEMS INSTITUTIONAL INCOME COMPOSITION1 MARKETS INCOME COMPOSITION $m $m +5% -1% 5,198 1,780 1,766 4,970 42 63 38 48 446 1,766 566 1,780 -4% -12% 2,657 940 2,541 470 23 361 19 826 448 271 256 48 940 826 1,296 190 1,173 236 234 235

  48. Slide 48: Net Interest Margin

    NET INTEREST MARGIN CONTINUING OPERATIONS GROUP NET INTEREST MARGIN (NIM) bps 180 -2 1 175 -2 2 -1 172 -4 -2 -6bps impact of lower rates -5bps -8bps 1H19 Asset & Treasury Deposits Wholesale Assets 2H19 Markets Large / 2H19 Funding Mix Funding Cost Underlying1 Balance Sheet Notable Items Activities2

  49. Slide 49: Margin Environment

    MARGIN ENVIRONMENT LOW RATE ENVIRONMENT SWITCHING FROM INTEREST ONLY TO PRINCIPAL & INTEREST Sep-19 $b Sensitivity to a 25bps drop in AUD, NZD and USD interest rates 23 24 20 Deposits & earnings on capital ~3 bps 10 8 16 6 11 $b 7 6 13 16 14 ~110 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23+ Early conversions

  50. Slide 50: Expenses

    EXPENSES CONTINUING OPERATIONS EXCLUDING LARGE / NOTABLE ITEMS FY19 EXPENSE DRIVERS $m 136 8,563 170 8,562 -259 -48 Includes Personnel & Includes Property Regulatory & productivity Compliance (net of $160m $125m inflation) -1.6% 0% FY18 FX BAU D&A Investment FY19 50

  51. Slide 51: Investment Spend

    INVESTMENT SPEND CONTINUING OPERATIONS TOTAL INVESTMENT SPEND BY DIVISION1 Capex and Opex $m 1,403 113 1,234 1,218 1,179 85 1,153 61 204 66 75 127 150 137 129 160 169 252 164 175 197 204 164 204 187 164 135 144 176 177 564 473 491 430 410 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 Australia Retail & Commercial Proper

  52. Slide 52: Customer Remediation

    CUSTOMER REMEDIATION TOTAL REMEDIATION - POST TAX IMPACT $m 559 Financial impact 154 377  $826m ($682m post tax) charge in FY19 127 405  $1,579m ($1,216m post tax) charges since 1H17 123 72 250 40 45 53 70  $1,139m provisions on balance sheet at 30 Sep 2019 1H17 2H17 1H18 2H18 1H19 2H19 Discontin

  53. Slide 53: Dividend

    DIVIDEND GEOGRAPHIC EARNINGS AUSTRALIA GEOGRAPHY EARNINGS & DPOR1 GEOGRAPHIC EARNINGS1 % of total Group Statutory Profit 82% 76% 11% 10% 11% 16% 16% 73% 72% 69% 25% 26% 64% 64% 22% 28% 62% 29% 61% 55% 62% 64% 64% 61% 55% FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 DPOR Australia Geography earn

  54. Slide 54: Group & Divisional Performance

    2019 FULL YEAR RESULTS — I N V E S TO R D I S C U S S I O N PA C K GROUP & DIVISIONAL PERFORMANCE

  55. Slide 55: Financial Performance - Statutory to Cash Profit

    FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE – STATUTORY TO CASH PROFIT STATUTORY PROFIT CASH PROFIT REPORTED CASH PROFIT CONTINUING OPERATIONS $m $m $m -7% 0% 6,406 6,938 +6% 6,809 6,400 5,953 6,487 6,470 5,709 6,161 5,889 5,889 5,805 FY161 FY171 FY18 FY19 FY161 FY171 FY18 FY19 FY161,2 FY171 FY18 FY19 STATUTORY TO CASH A

  56. Slide 56: Large / Notable Items

    LARGE / NOTABLE (L/N) ITEMS1 1H17 2H17 1H18 2H18 1H19 2H19 Cash Profit Continuing Operations ($m) 3,355 3,454 3,493 2,994 3,564 2,906 Gain / (Loss) on sale from divestments -284 14 138 53 187 18 Divested business results 274 187 70 56 25 7 Customer remediation -40 -72 -45 -250 -70 -405 Restructuring

  57. Slide 57: Balance Sheet Composition

    BALANCE SHEET COMPOSITION BY SEGMENT NET LOANS & ADVANCES CUSTOMER DEPOSITS $b $b 606 615 512 580 4 1 487 4 468 7 2 150 165 132 217 206 189 96 97 97 14 14 13 95 98 102 331 341 339 182 184 189 -1 Sep-17 Sep-18 Sep-19 Sep-17 Sep-18 Sep-19 Housing (Aus & NZ) Commercial (Aus & NZ) Other Retail (Aus & NZ

  58. Slide 58: Expense Management

    EXPENSE MANAGEMENT CONTINUING OPERATIONS TOTAL EXPENSES FULL TIME EQUIVALENT STAFF CONTINUING OPERATIONS EX LARGE / NOTABLE ITEMS CONTINUING OPERATIONS $b $b #‘000s #‘000s -4% 9.4 0% 9.0 9.1 8.5 8.6 8.6 50.2 37.9 37.6 1.7 3% 3% 1.5 1.9 46.6 1.4 1.5 44.9 1.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 39.9 39.1 28% 29% 1.6 1.9 1.5

  59. Slide 59: Australia Retail & Commercial

    AUSTRALIA RETAIL & COMMERCIAL BALANCE SHEET NET LOANS & ADVANCES1 CUSTOMER DEPOSITS $b Commercial Customer preferences favouring saving Subdued system growth & increased competition $b products in low rate environment and offset by specialist segment growth transactional digital payments offering Re

  60. Slide 60: Australia Retail & Commercial

    AUSTRALIA RETAIL & COMMERCIAL FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE: CONTINUING OPERATIONS EXCLUDING LARGE / NOTABLE ITEMS Productivity initiatives including Slower credit demand, tighter Lower collective provision charge workforce and branch optimisation home loan origination risk reflects reduced FUM. have offset

  61. Slide 61: Institutional

    INSTITUTIONAL FY19 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE: CONTINUING OPERATIONS EXCLUDING LARGE / NOTABLE ITEMS Continued momentum and Productivity focus maintained, Credit charges remained below Targeted profitable growth and customer revenue growth absolute cost reduction long run trend improved returns Income ($

  62. Slide 62: New Zealand Division

    NEW ZEALAND DIVISION FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE: CONTINUING OPERATIONS EXCLUDING LARGE / NOTABLE ITEMS Margin compression, compliance Solid home lending growth within Increased regulatory compliance Provisions returning to more costs and provisions impacting a competitive environment requirements normali

  63. Slide 63: Treasury

    2019 FULL YEAR RESULTS — I N V E S TO R D I S C U S S I O N PA C K TREASURY

  64. Slide 64: Regulatory Capital

    REGULATORY CAPITAL CAPITAL UPDATE APRA LEVEL 2 COMMON EQUITY TIER 1 (CET1)  APRA Level 2 CET1 ratio of 11.4% (16.4% on an Internationally Comparable basis 1), % which is in excess of APRA’s ‘unquestionably strong’ benchmark2. Net Organic Capital  APRA Level 1 CET1 ratio of 11.4%. Level 1 consolida

  65. Slide 65: Regulatory Capital Generation

    REGULATORY CAPITAL GENERATION COMMON EQUITY TIER 1 GENERATION 2H averages Full Year average 2H19 FY19 (bps) 2H12-2H18 FY12-FY18 Cash NPAT1 95 83 189 172 Organic Capital Generation RWA movement 1 (10) (13) (7) Capital Deductions2 (6) 2 (18) -  Net organic capital generation of Net capital generation

  66. Slide 66: Balance Sheet Structure

    BALANCE SHEET STRUCTURE1 BALANCE SHEET COMPOSITION NSFR COMPOSITION Sep 2019 $515b Wholesale $443b Funding & Other3 Liquids Non Financial and Other Assets4 Corporates Other Short Term Wholesale Debt & Loans5 Liquid and Other Assets Other Funding2 Retail/SME 29% 25% Residential Mortgages6,7 Capital <

  67. Slide 67: Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) Summary

    LIQUIDITY COVERAGE RATIO (LCR) SUMMARY1 LCR COMPOSITION (AVERAGE) MOVEMENT IN AVERAGE LCR SURPLUS ($b) FY19 FY18 v FY19 $188b Internal RMBS Other ALA2 FY18 FY19 LCR 138% LCR 140% HQLA2 2 6 54 53 $134b 1 Wholesale funding -4 HQLA1 0 -4 Customer deposits & other3 Liquid Assets Net Cash Outflow FY18 CL

  68. Slide 68: Term Wholesale Funding Portfolio

    TERM WHOLESALE FUNDING PORTFOLIO1 • ANZ’s term funding requirements depend on market conditions, balance sheet needs and exchange rates, amongst other factors • ANZ estimates an FY20 funding requirement broadly consistent with previous years at ~$25b ISSUANCE MATURITIES $14.5b in AUD $b and NZD 32 2

  69. Slide 69: Impacts of Rate Movements

    IMPACTS OF RATE MOVEMENTS BILLS/OIS SPREAD CAPITAL & REPLICATING CAPITAL2 & REPLICATING DEPOSITS PORTFOLIO DEPOSITS PORTFOLIO (AUSTRALIA) bps % 65 3.0 60 AUST NZ APEA 55 2.5 50 Volume ($A) ~60bn ~20bn ~10bn 45 40 2.0 Target Duration Rolling 3 to 5 years Various 35 30 1.5 Proportion Hedged ~70% ~75%

  70. Slide 70: Capital Framework

    CAPITAL FRAMEWORK CURRENT REGULATORY PROPOSALS AND RECENT FINALISATION1 1H19 2H19 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 RBNZ capital framework Consultation Finalise2 Transition Implementation Counterparty Credit Risk3 Implementation Leverage ratio Consultation Finalise Implementation Advanced approach to credit

  71. Slide 71: Risk Management

    2019 FULL YEAR RESULTS — I N V E S TO R D I S C U S S I O N PA C K RISK MANAGEMENT

  72. Slide 72: Key Risk Metrics

    KEY RISK METRICS CREDIT IMPAIRMENT CHARGE INDIVIDUAL PROVISION (IP) CHARGE COLLECTIVE PROVISION (CP) BALANCE & COVERAGE Sep-19 CP/CRWA impacted -3bps by increase in CRWA’s $m $m $m 787 from regulatory & methodology changes (incl. SA-CCR) 554 720 430 343 398 3,378 3,376 380 2,785 2,662 479 2,579 2,52

  73. Slide 73: Risk Management - Provisions

    RISK MANAGEMENT PROVISIONS CREDIT IMPAIRMENT CHARGE ANZ HISTORICAL LOSS RATES $m bps 1,500 250 1,200 1,038 918 200 900 720 479 150 600 408 280 393 402 300 100 0 50 -300 0 1H16 2H16 1H17 2H17 1H18 2H18 1H19 2H19 Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep 90 93 96 99 02 05 08 11 14 17 18 19 Consu

  74. Slide 74: Collective Provision

    COLLECTIVE PROVISION COLLECTIVE PROVISION BALANCE COLLECTIVE PROVISION CHARGE1 $m AASB9 813 90 27 23 3,376 $m 1H19 2H19 FY19 CP charge 13 4 17 -79 -21 2,523 Volume/Mix -28 -51 -79 Change in Risk -40 19 -21 CP charge 17 Economic outlook 73 17 90 sensitivity Other 8 19 27 Sep-18 Transition Volume / Ch

  75. Slide 75: Impaired Assets

    RISK MANAGEMENT IMPAIRED ASSETS CONTROL LIST GROSS IMPAIRED ASSETS BY DIVISION Index Sep 09 = 100 $m 150 3,173 2,883 2,940 3,000 100 2,384 2,034 2,139 2,128 2,029 2,000 50 1,000 0.51% 0.55% 0.51% 0.41% 0.34% 0.33% 0.33% 0.33% 0 Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep 0 Mar-16 Sep-16 Mar-17 Sep-1

  76. Slide 76: Risk Weighted Assets

    RISK MANAGEMENT RISK WEIGHTED ASSETS TOTAL RISK WEIGHTED ASSETS 2H19 increase includes op. risk modelled increase CRWA MOVEMENT Increase driven by SA-CCR implementation, a regulatory overlay for Australia Home Loans as well as of +$3b combined with an overlay +$6.25b and implementation of APRA Risk

  77. Slide 77: Portfolio Composition

    RISK MANAGEMENT PORTFOLIO COMPOSITION % of Portfolio in Non Portfolio Balance EXPOSURE AT DEFAULT (EAD) DISTRIBUTION Category % of Group EAD Performing in Non Performing Sep-18 Mar-19 Sep-19 Sep-18 Mar-19 Sep-19 Sep-19 TOTAL GROUP EAD (Sep-19) Consumer Lending 39.7% 38.8% 37.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% $549m

  78. Slide 78: Commercial Property Portfolio

    RISK MANAGEMENT COMMERCIAL PROPERTY PORTFOLIO COMMERCIAL PROPERTY OUTSTANDINGS BY REGION COMMERCIAL PROPERTY OUSTANDINGS BY SECTOR $b % % 42.9 100 42.4 12 80 40.2 2.8 2.8 38.4 37.9 37.7 37.6 11 60 37.5 2.9 3.9 3.6 2.7 2.4 3.0 10 40 10.7 10.5 9.8 20 9 8.8 9.5 9.5 9.7 9.7 8 Mar-17 Sep-17 Mar-18 Sep-18

  79. Slide 79: Residential Development

    RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OVERVIEW PROFILE (SEP-19) Total Residential Limits: $10.6b 31% • Average qualifying pre-sales for Inner City Apartment 20% Development loans and corresponding LVRs were 101% and 52%, respectively as at Sep 19 (as compared to presales of Apartment Development 101% and LVR of 4

  80. Slide 80: Group Agriculture Portfolio

    RISK MANAGEMENT GROUP AGRICULTURE PORTFOLIO AGRICULTURE EXPOSURE BY SECTOR (% EAD) GROUP AGRICULTURE EAD SPLITS1 6.6% Total EAD (Sep-19) As a % of Group EAD 3.3% A$35.2b 3.6% 6.1% 3.0% 43.5% 44.9% 15.9% 14.9% 10.4% 98.9% 98.9% 74.2% 76.0% 56.2% 54.9% 12.8% 35.0% 0.3% 0.2% 1.1% 1.1% Sep-18 Sep-19 Sep

  81. Slide 81: Group Resources Portfolio

    GROUP RESOURCES PORTFOLIO TOTAL ANZ PORTFOLIO RESOURCES PORTFOLIO THERMAL COAL EXPOSURE EAD $b EAD $b EAD $b 2.0 977 Resources: 944 17 1.8% of ANZs 1.5 903 15 20.0 Thermal 898 895 total portfolio 20 16 14 coal 1.0 1.7 mining: 0.6 17.3 <0.1% of 0.5 ANZs total 1.3 16.1 0.8 0.0 portfolio 15.3 0.7 Sep-1

  82. Slide 82: ANZ Institutional Portfolio

    RISK MANAGEMENT ANZ INSTITUTIONAL PORTFOLIO (COUNTRY OF INCORPORATION1) INSTITUTIONAL PORTFOLIO SIZE & TENOR (EAD2) ANZ INSTITUTIONAL INDUSTRY COMPOSITION $b EAD (Sep-19): A$447b2 Finance (Banks and Central Banks) Government Admin. 400 26% 30% Services to Fin. & Ins. Property Services3 350 Basic Mat

  83. Slide 83: ANZ Asian Institutional Portfolio

    RISK MANAGEMENT ANZ ASIAN INSTITUTIONAL PORTFOLIO (COUNTRY OF INCORPORATION1) COUNTRY OF INCORPORATION1 ANZ ASIA INDUSTRY COMPOSITION EAD (Sep-19): A$121b2 EAD (Sep-19): A$121b2 Finance (Banks & Central Banks) 5% 19% Basic Material Wholesaling 3% 3% Machinery & Equip Mnfg 5% 26% 2% Petroleum,Coal,Ch

  84. Slide 84: Housing Portfolio

    2019 FULL YEAR RESULTS — I N V E S TO R D I S C U S S I O N PA C K HOUSING PORTFOLIO

  85. Slide 85: Australia Home Loans - Portfolio Overview

    AUSTRALIA HOME LOANS PORTFOLIO OVERVIEW Portfolio1 Flow2 Portfolio1 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY18 FY19 FY17 FY18 FY19 Number of Home Loan Average LVR at Origination7,8,9 69% 67% 67% 1,009k 1,011k 983k 170k3 119k3 accounts1 Average Dynamic LVR (excl offset)8,9,10,11,12 55% 55% 57% Total FUM1 $264b $272b $265b

  86. Slide 86: Australia Home Loans - Portfolio Growth

    AUSTRALIA HOME LOANS PORTFOLIO GROWTH HOME LOAN COMPOSITION1,2 LOAN BALANCE & LENDING FLOWS1 $b $b 256 264 271 272 269 265 16 8 7 29 10 9 9 8 272 -2 31 26 265 43 37 54 49 -50 14 17 22 29 33 54 52 38 49 44 39 33 Sep-18 New Sales Net OFI Refi Redraw & Repay / Other Sep-19 exc Refi-In Interest ANZ MORT

  87. Slide 87: Australia Home Loans - Portfolio and Flow Composition

    AUSTRALIA HOME LOANS PORTFOLIO1,2 & FLOW3 COMPOSITION BY PURPOSE BY ORIGINATION LVR4 Portfolio Flow Flow 4% 3% 3% 1% 20% 18% 17% 30% 26% 33% 32% 19% 17% 16% 65% 67% 73% 65% 67% 63% 61% Sep-17 Sep-18 Sep-19 FY19 FY17 FY18 FY19 Owner Occ Investor Equity <80% LVR 80% LVR >80% LVR BY LOCATION BY CHANNEL

  88. Slide 88: Australia Home Loans - Portfolio Dynamics

    AUSTRALIA HOME LOANS PORTFOLIO DYNAMICS HOME LOANS REPAYMENT PROFILE1,2 HOME LOANS ON TIME & <1 MONTH AHEAD PROFILE1,2 76% of accounts ahead of repayments % composition of accounts (September 19) 27% Investment:5 Interest payments may receive 20% 21% 38 37 negative gearing/tax benefits 21 19 New Acc

  89. Slide 89: Australia Home Loans - Portfolio Performance

    AUSTRALIA HOME LOANS PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE PRODUCT 90+ DAY DELINQUENCIES1,2,3 HOME LOAN DELINQUENCIES1,2,5 % % 5.0 2.5 4.0 2.0 3.0 1.5 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Home Loans Personal Loans 30+

  90. Slide 90: Australia Home Loans - Western Australia

    AUSTRALIA HOME LOANS WESTERN AUSTRALIA • Exposure to WA has decreased since Mar-16 driven by the economic WA OUTSTANDING BALANCE environment and credit policy tightening (mining town lending) $b • Currently WA comprises 13% of portfolio FUM (and is decreasing), 40 however it comprises 27% of 90+ del

  91. Slide 91: Australia Home Loans - New South Wales/ACT

    AUSTRALIA HOME LOANS NEW SOUTH WALES/ACT Portfolio HOUSING PORTFOLIO1 HOUSING FLOW • NSW/ACT makes up 32% of portfolio FUM and 25% of 90+ days past due. $b $b • 76% in advance of repayments which is in line with the total portfolio. 272 264 271 269 265 • 18% of the portfolio is Interest Only & reduc

  92. Slide 92: Australia Home Loans - Interest Only

    AUSTRALIA HOME LOANS INTEREST ONLY INTEREST ONLY FLOW COMPOSITION • Serviceability assessment is based on ability to repay principal & interest repayments calculated over the residual term of loan % APRA’s 30% limit removed December 2018 • 86% of Interest Only customers have net income >$100k p.a. (

  93. Slide 93: Underwriting Practices and Policy Changes

    AUSTRALIA HOME LOANS UNDERWRITING PRACTICES AND POLICY CHANGES1 • End-to-end home lending responsibility managed within ANZ Multiple checks during origination process • Effective hardship & collections processes Pre – application2 Income & Expenses • Full recourse lending • ANZ assessment process ac

  94. Slide 94: Underwriting Practices and Policy Changes - June 2015 to September 2019

    AUSTRALIA HOME LOANS UNDERWRITING PRACTICES AND POLICY CHANGES1 - JUNE 2015 TO SEPTEMBER 2019 ANZ LVR Caps • LVR cap reduced to 70% in high risk mining towns in June 2015; reduced to 90% for investment loans (July 2015) • Restricted new housing lending (new security to ANZ) to max. 80% LVR for all a

  95. Slide 95: Stress Testing the Australian Mortgage Portfolio

    AUSTRALIAN HOME LOANS STRESS TESTING THE AUSTRALIAN MORTGAGE PORTFOLIO • ANZ conducts regular stress tests of its loan portfolios to meet risk management Assumptions Base1 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 objectives and satisfy regulatory requirements. Unemployment 5.1% 5.5% 9.8% 10.5% rate • Stress tests are h

  96. Slide 96: Lenders Mortgage Insurance

    LENDERS MORTGAGE INSURANCE SEPTEMBER FULL YEAR 2019 RESULTS LMI & REINSURANCE STRUCTURE Australian Home Loan portfolio LMI and Reinsurance Structure at 30 Sep 19 (% New Business FUM Oct-18 to Sep-19) Gross Written Premium ($m) $80.7m LVR<80% Not LMI Insured Net Claims Paid ($m) $31.4m 86% Loss Rate

  97. Slide 97: New Zealand Home Loans - Portfolio Overview

    NEW ZEALAND HOME LOANS PORTFOLIO OVERVIEW1 Portfolio Flow Portfolio FY17 FY18 FY19 FY19 FY17 FY18 FY19 Number of Home Loan Accounts 520k 526k 527k 118k Average LVR at Origination2 59% 58% 56% Total FUM NZD77b NZD81b NZD85b NZD19b Average Dynamic LVR2 43% 41% 42% Average Loan Size2 NZD148k NZD153k NZ

  98. Slide 98: New Zealand Home Loans - Lending and Arrears Trends

    NEW ZEALAND HOME LOANS HOME LENDING & ARREARS TRENDS1 NZ DIVISION 90+DAYS HOUSING FLOWS2 HOUSING PORTFOLIO DELINQUENCIES % 1.5 1.0 21% 18% 15% 34% 39% 40% 0.5 79% 82% 85% 66% 61% 60% 0.0 Sep- Sep- Sep- Sep- Sep- Sep- Sep- Sep- Sep- Sep- Sep- Sep- FY17 FY18 FY19 Sep-17 Sep-18 Sep-19 08 09 10 11 12 13

  99. Slide 99: Royal Commission Update & Regulatory Reforms

    2019 FULL YEAR RESULTS — I N V E S TO R D I S C U S S I O N PA C K R OYA L C O M M I S S I O N U P D AT E & R E G U L ATO R Y R E F O R M S

  100. Slide 100: Royal Commission - Our Approach, Our Response

    ROYAL COMMISSION OUR APPROACH, OUR RESPONSE WE ARE RESPONDING TO THE ‘SPIRIT AND THE LETTER’ OF THE ROYAL COMMISSION. Initial response • Committed in February 2019 to sixteen actions that we can take now including: • removing overdrawn and dishonour fees on our Pensioner Advantage account • improvin

  101. Slide 101: Strengthening Our Risk Culture

    STRENGTHENING OUR RISK CULTURE • We have strengthened the way we deal with risk events SENIOR LEADER CONSEQUENCES IN 2019* through an enhanced Accountability and Consequence Framework, which is applicable to all of our people. Remuneration consequence 23 • In 2019 across the Group, 151 employees wer

  102. Slide 102: Corporate Overview & ESG

    2019 FULL YEAR RESULTS — I N V E S TO R D I S C U S S I O N PA C K C O R P O R AT E O V E R V I E W & E N V I R O N M E N T, S O C I A L A N D G O V E R N A N C E ( E S G )

  103. Slide 103: ESG - Governance Overview

    ESG – GOVERNANCE OVERVIEW BOARD OF DIRECTORS Chaired by David Gonski, Chairman Audit Committee Risk Committee Ethics, Environment, Digital Business Human Resources Nomination and Social and Technology Committee Board Operations and Governance Committee Committee Committee Chair: Chair: Chair: Chair:

  104. Slide 104: Board and Executive Committees Work Together

    BOARD AND EXECUTIVE COMMITTEES WORK TOGETHER INDICATIVE RESPONSIBILITIES DEMONSTRATE HOW COMMITTEES MANAGE ESG Ethics, Environment, Social and Governance Ethics and Responsible Business Board committee Management committee Purpose: Establish ethical and ESG guidelines and Purpose: Operationalise Boa

  105. Slide 105: What We Care About Most - A Year in Review

    ‘WHAT WE CARE ABOUT MOST’ – A YEAR IN REVIEW More Australians and New Zealanders • Joint Lead Manager on $315m National Housing Finance and Investment Corporation bond, and have access to affordable, liveable, NZD$500m and NZD$600m bonds for Housing New Zealand to provide new and upgraded social hou

  106. Slide 106: Creating Value for Our Stakeholders

    CREATING VALUE FOR OUR STAKEHOLDERS CUSTOMERS COMMUNITY • 8.7m total retail, commercial • $142m contributed in and Institutional customers community investment3 EMPLOYEES SHAREHOLDERS • $291b in retail & commercial • 134,930 volunteering hours customer deposits in Australia • 39,060 people employed

  107. Slide 107: Climate-Related Financial Disclosures

    2019 FULL YEAR RESULTS — C L I M AT E - R E L AT E D F I N A N C I A L D I S C L O S U R E S

  108. Slide 108: Climate-Related Financial Disclosures (TCFD)

    CLIMATE-RELATED FINANCIAL DISCLOSURES (TCFD)1 Governance Strategy Risk Management Metrics & targets • Board Risk Committee oversees • Low carbon financial products and • Climate-related risks identified as • 29 engagements with large management of climate-related services potential credit risk emitt

  109. Slide 109: Supporting Our Customers and Training Our Staff

    SUPPORTING OUR CUSTOMERS AND TRAINING OUR STAFF ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF LOW CARBON TRANSITION PLANS CUSTOMER MANAGEMENT AND STAFF TRAINING CUSTOMER EXAMPLE: BHP’S TRANSITION PLANNING BHP has an integrated strategy including: ANZ customer management informed by climate-related engagement • Targets to h

  110. Slide 110: Economics

    2019 FULL YEAR RESULTS — D E B T I N V E S TO R P R E S E N TAT I O N ECONOMICS

  111. Slide 111: Economics - Australia Forecast Table

    ECONOMICS AUSTRALIA FORECAST TABLE1 2016 2017 2018 2019F 2020F Australia – annual % growth GDP 2.8 2.4 2.8 1.9 2.8 Domestic final demand (% q/q) 1.8 3.0 2.8 1.0 1.7 Headline CPI (% y/y) 1.3 1.9 1.9 1.4 1.7 Core CPI (%y/y) 1.5 1.8 1.9 1.4 1.7 Employment (%y/y) 1.0 3.3 2.3 2.0 1.9 Wage Price Index (%y

  112. Slide 112: Australian Economy

    AUSTRALIAN ECONOMY GDP GROWTH1 CONSUMER PRICE INFLATION1 CREDIT GROWTH BY SECTOR1 AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUDGET BALANCE2 (year ended) Per cent of nominal GDP 112 Sources: 1. RBA Chart Pack Oct 2019

  113. Slide 113: Australian Economy and Population

    AUSTRALIAN ECONOMY AND POPULATION POPULATION GROWTH1 – AUSTRALIA AND G7 CONSUMER SPENDING GROWTH4 % yoy 2.5% 2.0% Australia 1.5% 1.0% G7 weighted average 0.5% 0.0% 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 POPULATION GROWTH – MAJOR STATES3 STATE S

  114. Slide 114: Australian Labour Market

    AUSTRALIAN LABOUR MARKET UNEMPLOYMENT AND UNDEREMPLOYMENT1 JOB VACANCIES AND ADVERTISEMENTS1 (Per cent of labour force) WAGE PRICE INDEX GROWTH2 LABOUR COSTS AND INFLATION3 7 5.0 4.5 6 4.0 5 3.5 % change y/y % change y/y 4 3.0 3 2.5 2 2.0 1 1.5 0 1.0 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 1

  115. Slide 115: Commodity Prices

    COMMODITY PRICES1 RBA INDEX OF COMMODITY PRICES BASE METALS, RURAL, AND OIL PRICES SDR, 2016/17 Average = 100, log scale Weekly BULK COMMODITY PRICES TERMS OF TRADE* Free on board basis 2016/17 average = 100, log scale 115 1. RBA Chart Pack Oct 2019

  116. Slide 116: Australian Economy - State by State

    AUSTRALIAN ECONOMY – STATE BY STATE STATE FINAL DEMAND (STATE GDP)1 CHANGE IN EMPLOYMENT BY STATE1 % yoy Past 3 years 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 -4.0 NSW VIC TAS SA QLD WA -6.0 -8.0 -10.0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 POPULATION GROWTH1 MAJOR INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS2 000’s % yoy 22 North-South - River Tor

  117. Slide 117: Australian Economy - WA and QLD

    AUSTRALIAN ECONOMY – WA AND QLD1 WA GDP HAS IMPROVED 6 MONTHS OF JOB GROWTH IN WA AND QLD 16 30 14 26 NT 12 22 Tas 10 18 8 ACT 14 y/y % change (trend) y/y % change (trend) 6 10 WA 4 6 2 SA 2 0 -2 Qld -2 -6 -4 WA improved NSW -6 -10 -8 -14 Vic -10 -18 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18

  118. Slide 118: Australian Economy - Service Exports

    AUSTRALIAN ECONOMY – SERVICE EXPORTS SERVICE EXPORTS AND AUD1 INTERNATIONAL TOURIST VISA’S GRANTED2 3.0 40 2.5 45 49% growth 2.0 50 6 1.5 55 5 AUDbn, 3-month sum 1.0 60 4 Index 0.5 65 0.0 70 3 -0.5 75 -1.0 80 2 -1.5 85 1 -2.0 90 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 - Net tourism & education relate

  119. Slide 119: Australian Housing Dynamics: A Cooling Market

    AUSTRALIAN HOUSING DYNAMICS: A COOLING MARKET HOUSING PRICE FORECASTS BY STATE3 HOUSE PRICE GROWTH1 16 5 yr Cumulative Sep 14-Sep yoy % 5 yr Cumulative 2013-2018 19 Total housing prices, y/y % change (calendar year) 12 All All All Sep 2019 Houses Units Houses Units Houses Units dwellings dwellings d

  120. Slide 120: Rental Vacancy Rates Remain Low

    RENTAL VACANCY RATES REMAIN LOW RENTAL VACANCY RATES1 VACANCY RATES BY STATE2,3 Seasonally adjusted* 8 7 6 Vacancy rates, % 5 4 3 2 1 0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Australian capital cities Sydney Melbourne Brisbane Perth RENTS2,3 RENTS & VACANCY RATES2,3 15 4.5 0 4.0

  121. Slide 121: Australian Housing Dynamics

    AUSTRALIAN HOUSING DYNAMICS PRIVATE RESIDENTIAL BUILDING APPROVALS1 HIGH DENSITY APARTMENT COMPLETIONS2 Monthly 4+ Storey buildings, share of 2016 dwelling stock HOUSING LOAN APPROVALS1 HOUSING STARTS AND COMPLETIONS3 121 Sources: 1. RBA Chart Pack Oct 2019, ABS 2. RBA Financial Stability Review, Ap

  122. Slide 122: Australian Housing - Household Debt and Income

    AUSTRALIAN HOUSING HOUSEHOLD DEBT AND INCOME HOUSEHOLD DEBT AND DEPOSITS1 HOUSEHOLD DEBT-TO-INCOME RATIOS2 % of annual household disposable income HOUSING PRICE-TO-INCOME RATIO3 HOUSEHOLD MORTGAGE DEBT INDICATORS2 Sources: 1. ABS, RBA. Housing Debt refers to ratio of housing debt to annualised house

  123. Slide 123: Australian Housing - Household Debt

    AUSTRALIAN HOUSING HOUSEHOLD DEBT HOUSEHOLD DEBT1 HOUSEHOLD BALANCE SHEET2 Per cent of household disposable income Relative to disposable income Sources: 1. RBA Speech: "Property, Debt and Financial Stability", March 2019. 2. RBA. Financial Stability Review, October 2019 123

  124. Slide 124: Australian Housing - Low Levels of High LVR Lending

    AUSTRALIAN HOUSING LOW LEVELS OF HIGH LVR LENDING - ISOLATED NEGATIVE EQUITY1 ADIs’ HIGH LVR LOANS1 LOANS IN NEGATIVE EQUITY2 Share of new loan approvals Share of balances, February 2019 CURRENT DYNAMIC LVR DISTRIBUTION1 Share of balances, February 2019 Sources: 1. RBA. Financial Stability Review, A

  125. Slide 125: Australian Mortgage Stability

    AUSTRALIAN MORTGAGE STABILITY OFFSET BALANCES AND SMALL SHADOW BANKING SECTOR HOUSEHOLD MORTAGE BUFFERS1 NON-BANK HOUSING CREDIT AND RMBS ISSUANCE2 • Aggregate buffers of 16.5% of outstanding mortgage balance or 2.5 years scheduled payments (at current interest rates) • Of those with <1 month buffer

Australia and New Zealand Banking Group — Debt Investor Presentation (2019) on 6ix