Macquarie Group, Ltd. · ASX:MQG

Macquarie — H1 2016 Earnings Presentation

68 slides from Macquarie's earnings presentation, Oct 30, 2015

  1. Slide 1: Presentation to investors and analysts: 1H16 result announcement

    For personal use only Presentation to investors and analysts Result announcement for the half-year ended 30 September 2015 30 October 2015

  2. Slide 2: Disclaimer

    Disclaimer For personal use only The material in this presentation has been prepared by Macquarie Group Limited ABN 94 122 169 279 (Macquarie) and is general background information about Macquarie’s activities current as at the date of this presentation. This information is given in summary form and

  3. Slide 3: Agenda

    Agenda For personal use only 1 Introduction – Karen Khadi 2 Overview of Result – Nicholas Moore 3 Result Analysis and Financial Management – Patrick Upfold 4 Outlook – Nicholas Moore 5 Appendices PAGE 3

  4. Slide 4: Introduction

    For personal use only 1 Introduction Karen Khadi – Head of Investor Relations

  5. Slide 5: Overview of Result

    For personal use only 2 Overview of Result Nicholas Moore – Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer

  6. Slide 6: About Macquarie

    About Macquarie For personal use only Building for the long term Macquarie Asset • Top 50 global asset manager with $A502.3b1 of assets under management Management • Provides clients with access to a diverse range of capabilities and products, including infrastructure and real asset management, secu

  7. Slide 7: 1H16 Result

    1H16 Result For personal use only $A1,070m • Net profit $A1,070m, up 58% on 1H15 and up 16% on 2H15 • Operating income $A5.3b, up 24% on 1H15 and up 7% on 2H15 • Improved result largely driven by performance fees, foreign exchange and improved trading conditions • All operating groups’ net profit co

  8. Slide 8: 1H16 Result

    1H16 Result For personal use only 1H16 2H15 1H15 1H16 v $Am $Am $Am 1H15 Net operating income 5,318 4,978 4,284 24% Total operating expenses (3,699) (3,577) (3,163) 17% Operating profit before income tax 1,619 1,401 1,121 44% Income tax expense (530) (467) (432) 23% Profit attributable to non-contro

  9. Slide 9: Financial performance

    Financial performance For personal use only 1H16 Operating income of $A5,318m 1H16 Profit of $A1,070m $Am 1H16 up 24% on 1H15 $Am 1H16 up 58% on 1H15 6,000 1H16 up 7% on 2H15 1,250 1H16 up 16% on 2H15 5,000 1,000 750 4,000 500 3,000 250 2,000 - 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15

  10. Slide 10: Assets under management of $A504.3 billion

    Assets under management of $A504.3 billion1 For personal use only AUM increased $A18.0b since 31 Mar 15, mainly due to additional investments and favourable currency movements, partially offset by asset realisations $Ab 550 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 - Mar 12 Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15 Sep 15

  11. Slide 11: Diversification by region

    Diversification by region International income 71% of total income1 For personal use only Total staff 13,582; International staff 54% of total Europe, Middle East & Africa Asia Americas Income: $A1,262m (24% of total) Income: $A850m (16% of total) Income: $A1,677m (31% of total) Staff: 1,360 Staff:

  12. Slide 12: Diversification by region

    Diversification by region For personal use only • 71% of total income1 in 1H16 was generated offshore • A 10% movement2 in AUD is estimated to have approx. 7% impact on full year NPAT – Given currency movements, we estimate approx. a quarter of the increase in 1H16 NPAT on 1H15 is attributable to fo

  13. Slide 13: Macquarie Asset Management

    Macquarie Asset Management Operating income of $A1,669m, up 36% on 1H15 and up 40% on 2H15 For personal use only Net profit contribution of $A1,139m, up 45% on 1H15 and up 71% on 2H15 AUM of $A502.3b1 up 4% on Mar 15 Macquarie Infrastructure and Real Assets Macquarie Investment Management Macquarie

  14. Slide 14: Corporate and Asset Finance

    Corporate and Asset Finance Operating income of $A863m, up 25% on 1H15 and down 5% on 2H151 For personal use only Net profit contribution of $A611m, up 31% on 1H15 and down 5% on 2H151 Asset and loan portfolio of $A32.3b2 up 13% on Mar 15 Lending Asset Finance • Lending’s funded loan portfolio of $A

  15. Slide 15: Banking and Financial Services

    Banking and Financial Services Operating income of $A736m, up 11% on 1H15 and up 8% on 2H15 For personal use only Net profit contribution of $A170m, up 21% on 1H15 and up 18% on 2H15 Australian client numbers 1.1 million Personal Banking Wealth Management Business Banking  Serves Personal Banking c

  16. Slide 16: Macquarie Securities

    Macquarie Securities Operating income of $A718m, up 67% on 1H15 and up 47% on 2H15 For personal use only Net profit contribution of $A240m, up from $A17m in 1H15 and up from $A47m in 2H15 Cash Derivatives and Trading  Increased client activity across the Asia-Pacific region driven by macroeconomic

  17. Slide 17: Macquarie Capital

    Macquarie Capital Operating income of $A516m, up 18% on 1H15 and down 16% on 2H15 For personal use only Net profit contribution of $A170m, up 13% on 1H15 and down 39% on 2H15 208 transactions valued at $A116b in 1H16 (242 transactions valued at $A68b in 1H15 and 239 transactions valued at $A75b in 2

  18. Slide 18: Commodities and Financial Markets

    Commodities and Financial Markets Operating income of $A811m, up 12% on 1H15 and down 27% on 2H15 For personal use only Net profit contribution of $A282m, up 13% on 1H15 and down 52% on 2H15 Commodity Markets (Physical & Financial) Financial Markets (Primary & Secondary) 55% of operating income 31%

  19. Slide 19: Strong funding and balance sheet position

    Strong funding and balance sheet position For personal use only • Diverse and stable funding base, minimal reliance on short term wholesale funding markets • Total customer deposits1 continuing to grow, up 7.8% to $A42.8b at Sep 15 from $A39.7b at Mar 15 • Long term funding continues to be raised to

  20. Slide 20: Funded balance sheet remains strong

    Funded balance sheet remains strong For personal use only 30 September 2014 31 March 2015 30 September 2015 $Ab $Ab $Ab 130 4 130 130 120 120 120 ST wholesale issued paper (9%) 110 110 ST wholesale issued paper 110 Other debt maturing in the next 12 Cash, liquids and self securitised (11%) mths1 (7%

  21. Slide 21: Basel III capital position

    Basel III capital position For personal use only • APRA Basel III Group capital at Sep 15 of $A16.9b, Group surplus of $A3.1b (1 Jan 16 requirements1) • Bank Group APRA Basel III CET1 ratio: 9.9%; Tier 1 ratio: 11.1% • Bank Group Harmonised Basel III CET1 ratio: 11.6%; Tier 1 ratio: 12.8%2 $Ab Exclu

  22. Slide 22: Strong regulatory ratios

    Strong regulatory ratios For personal use only Macquarie Bank Group (Sep 15) Harmonised ratios 6.0% 14.0% 6% 200% 11.6% 170% 5% 10.5% 150% 4% 7.0% 3% 100% 2% 3.5% 50% 1% 0.0% 0% 0% CET1 ratio Leverage ratio 0 1 LCR 2 3 BCBS Basel III minimum Macquarie Bank Group (Harmonised) 1. Average LCR for Sep 1

  23. Slide 23: Interim dividend

    Interim dividend For personal use only • 1H16 dividend set at $A1.60 (40% franked), 51% payout ratio – 1H16 dividend up on 1H15 dividend of $A1.30 (40% franked) and down on 2H15 dividend of $A2.00 (40% franked) – Record date for 1H16 dividend is 11 Nov 15 and payment date is 16 Dec 15 • Dividend Rei

  24. Slide 24: Board changes

    Board changes For personal use only • On 24 Sep 15, MGL and MBL announced that Kevin McCann AM will retire as Chairman and a Voting Director of both companies effective 31 Mar 16. Kevin McCann was appointed an Independent Voting Director in 1996 and succeeded David Clarke AO as Chairman in 2011 • In

  25. Slide 25: Result Analysis and Financial Management

    For personal use only 3 Result Analysis and Financial Management Patrick Upfold – Chief Financial Officer

  26. Slide 26: Income Statement key drivers

    Income Statement key drivers For personal use only 1H16 2H15 1H15 • Foreign exchange movements impacting all income statement key drivers $Am $Am $Am – Approx. a quarter of the increase in 1H16 NPAT on 1H15 due to FX Net interest and trading income 2,273 2,176 1,643 • Net interest and trading income

  27. Slide 27: Macquarie Asset Management result

    Macquarie Asset Management For personal use only Result 1H16 2H15 1H15 • Base fees of $A784m, up 22% on 1H15; AUM up 19% $Am $Am $Am – Favourable foreign exchange and market movement impacts Base fees 784 731 641 – MIM - net inflows into higher fee earning products Performance fees 609 294 373 – MIR

  28. Slide 28: Corporate and Asset Finance result

    Corporate and Asset Finance For personal use only Result 1H16 2H15 1H15 • Net interest and trading income of $A460m, up 41% on 1H15 $Am $Am $Am – Lending book benefiting from favourable foreign exchange impact, Net interest and trading income1 460 411 326 realisations and accretion of interest on lo

  29. Slide 29: Banking and Financial Services result

    Banking and Financial Services For personal use only Result 1H16 2H15 1H15 • Net interest and trading income of $A456m, up 12% on 1H15 $Am $Am $Am – Solid growth in Australian residential mortgages, business lending Net interest and trading income1 456 419 406 and deposits Platform and other fee and

  30. Slide 30: Macquarie Securities result

    Macquarie Securities For personal use only Result 1H16 2H15 1H15 • Brokerage and commissions of $A311m, up 19% on 1H15 $Am $Am $Am – Higher brokerage and commissions in Asia and Australia partially offset by Brokerage and commissions 311 280 262 lower brokerage and commissions in North America and E

  31. Slide 31: Macquarie Capital result

    Macquarie Capital For personal use only Result 1H16 2H15 1H15 • Fee and commission income of $A501m, up 39% on 1H15 $Am $Am $Am – Increased fee income across all product classes (M&A, ECM, DCM) Fee and commission income 501 499 361 – US and Australia experienced particularly strong growth in M&A Inv

  32. Slide 32: Commodities and Financial Markets result

    Commodities and Financial Markets For personal use only Result 1H16 2H15 1H15 • Commodities income of $A583m, up 39% on 1H15 $Am $Am $Am – Risk management products - increased client activity across most of the Commodities1 583 707 418 platform as a result of price volatility and continued business

  33. Slide 33: Provisions for impairment

    Provisions for impairment For personal use only Collective allowance for credit losses Individually assessed provisions and write-offs Non-financial assets Investments (AVS and associates) $Am 300 250 200 150 100 50 - (50) 2H15 1H16 2H15 1H16 2H15 1H16 2H15 1H16 2H15 1H16 2H15 1H16 2H15 1H16 MAM CAF

  34. Slide 34: Legislative tax disclosures by the Australian Tax Office

    Legislative tax disclosures by the Australian Tax Office For personal use only • The Australian Tax Office (ATO) will be publicly disclosing specific information on the tax position of certain corporate taxpayers including Macquarie • This information will relate to Macquarie’s Australian Tax Consol

  35. Slide 35: Balance sheet highlights

    Balance sheet highlights For personal use only • Balance sheet remains solid and conservative – Term assets covered by term funding, stable deposits and equity – Minimal reliance on short term wholesale funding markets • Total customer deposits1 continuing to grow, up 7.8% to $A42.8b at Sep 15 from

  36. Slide 36: Diversified issuance strategy

    Diversified issuance strategy1 For personal use only FY16 Term funding - diversified by currency, tenor and type 2yrs Private EUR 15% OTH 2% Securitisations 12% Placements 16% PUMA RMBS • Well diversified issuance and funding sources & Other Syndicated 15% • Term funding beyond 1 year (excluding equ

  37. Slide 37: Continued customer deposit growth

    Continued customer deposit growth For personal use only Macquarie has been successful in pursuing its strategy of diversifying its funding sources through growing its deposit base • In excess of 1.1 million BFS clients, of which approx. 600,000 are depositors • Focus on the composition and quality o

  38. Slide 38: Loan portfolio growth – Funded Balance Sheet

    Loan portfolio1 growth – Funded Balance Sheet For personal use only Sep 15 Mar 15 Balance predominately relates to the financing of Category $Ab $Ab gold producers. Positions well secured and Predominately financing oil counterparties generally hedge their commodity producers. Positions well secured

  39. Slide 39: Equity investments of $A5.5b

    Equity investments of $A5.5b1 For personal use only Carrying value2 Carrying value2 Sep 15 Mar 15 Category $Am $Am Description MIRA-managed funds 1,653 1,479 Macquarie Infrastructure Corporation, MPF Holdings Limited, Macquarie SBI Infrastructure Fund, Macquarie Atlas Roads, Macquarie Korea Infrastr

  40. Slide 40: Regulatory update

    Regulatory update For personal use only • Conglomerates – In Aug 14, APRA issued its final rules for Conglomerates with implementation timing yet to be announced. We continue to work through the application of the rules with APRA and our current assessment remains that Macquarie has sufficient capit

  41. Slide 41: Bank Group Basel III

    Bank Group Basel III Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) Ratio For personal use only • APRA Basel III CET1 ratio: 9.9%1 • Harmonised Basel III CET1 ratio: 11.6%2 Bank Group Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) Ratio: Basel III (Sep 15) 14% 12% 0.1% 0.1% 11.4% 11.6% (1.7%) 10% 9.9% 8% 6% 11.4% 11.5% Basel III minimum

  42. Slide 42: Strong liquidity position maintained

    Strong liquidity position maintained For personal use only • 170% average LCR for Sep 15 quarter, based on month-end observations – Maintained well above regulatory minimums – Includes APRA approved AUD CLF allocation of $A5b for 2015 calendar year • Reflects long-standing conservative approach to l

  43. Slide 43: Net assets per share

    Net assets per share For personal use only $A 50.00 Net tangible assets/share Net intangible assets/share assets/share 2.40 (1.65) 45.00 43.84 3.93 43.84 43.09 40.00 2.81 40.30 36.35 39.16 35.00 36.35 32.50 30.00 25.00 30 Sep 14 Retained earnings Movement in reserves Capital raisings Increase in num

  44. Slide 44: Capital management update

    Capital management update For personal use only • On-market share purchases since 31 Mar 15 – FY15 MEREP $A383m at a weighted average price of $A80.68 • In Oct 15, the Group issued $A0.4b in equity via an Institutional Placement (Placement) to provide capital for the acquisition of the Esanda dealer

  45. Slide 45: Outlook

    For personal use only 4 Outlook Nicholas Moore – Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer

  46. Slide 46: Short term outlook

    Short term outlook For personal use only • Summarised below are the outlook statements for each Operating Group • FY16 results will vary with market conditions, particularly the capital markets facing businesses Net profit contribution FY08–FY15 FY08–FY15 FY16 outlook as announced Update to FY16 FY1

  47. Slide 47: Short term outlook

    Short term outlook For personal use only • While the impact of future market conditions makes forecasting difficult, Macquarie currently expects the FY16 combined net profit contribution1 from operating groups to be up on FY15 • The FY16 tax rate is currently expected to be broadly in line with 1H16

  48. Slide 48: Medium term

    Medium term For personal use only • Macquarie remains well positioned to deliver superior performance in the medium term • Deep expertise in major markets • Build on our strength in diversity and continue to adapt our portfolio mix to changing market conditions – Annuity-style income is provided by

  49. Slide 49: Approximate business Basel III Capital & ROE

    Approximate business Basel III Capital & ROE For personal use only 1 APRA Basel III Capital Approx. 1H16 Return Approx. 9-Year Average 2 Operating Group @ 8.5% ($Ab) on Ordinary Equity2 Return on Ordinary Equity Annuity-style businesses 7.7 Macquarie Asset Management 1.6 Corporate and Asset Finance

  50. Slide 50: Medium term

    Medium term For personal use only • Annuity-style business that is diversified across regions, products, asset classes and investor types • Diversification of capabilities allows for the business to be well placed to grow assets under management in different MAM market conditions • Well positioned f

  51. Slide 51: Additional information: Funding

    For personal use only A Additional information Funding

  52. Slide 52: Group funding structure

    Group funding structure For personal use only • MGL and MBL are the Group’s two primary external funding vehicles which have separate and distinct funding, capital and liquidity management arrangements • MBL provides funding to the Bank Group • MGL provides funding predominately to the Non-Bank Grou

  53. Slide 53: Funded balance sheet reconciliation

    Funded balance sheet reconciliation For personal use only • The Group’s statement of financial position is prepared based on generally accepted accounting principles which do not represent actual funding requirements • A funded balance sheet reconciliation has been prepared to reconcile the reported

  54. Slide 54: Funding for the Group

    Funding for the Group For personal use only • Well diversified funding sources Sep 15 Mar 15 Sep 14 $Ab $Ab $Ab Funding sources Negotiable certificates of deposits 0.7 1.4 1.7 • Minimal reliance on short term wholesale funding markets Commercial paper Net trade creditors 10.8 1.0 11.1 2.0 10.0 0.3 •

  55. Slide 55: Funding for the Bank Group

    Funding for the Bank Group For personal use only • Bank balance sheet remains liquid, well capitalised and Sep 15 Mar 15 Sep 14 $Ab $Ab $Ab Funding sources Negotiable certificates of deposits 0.7 1.4 1.7 with a diversity of funding sources Commercial paper 10.8 11.1 10.0 • Term funding beyond one ye

  56. Slide 56: Funding for the Non-Bank Group

    Funding for the Non-Bank Group For personal use only Sep 15 $Ab Mar 15 $Ab Sep 14 $Ab • Non-Bank Group is predominately term funded Funding sources • Term funding beyond one year (excluding equity) has a Net Trade Creditors (0.1) 0.1 (0.7) Structured notes 0.5 0.5 0.5 weighted average term to maturi

  57. Slide 57: Explanation of Funded Balance Sheet reconciling items

    Explanation of Funded Balance Sheet reconciling items For personal use only  Self funded trading assets: Macquarie enters into stock borrowing and lending as well as repurchase agreements and reverse repurchase agreements in the normal course of trading activity that it conducts with its clients an

  58. Slide 58: Conservative long standing liquidity risk management framework

    Conservative long standing liquidity risk management framework For personal use only Liquidity Policy  The key requirement of MGL and MBL’s liquidity policies is that the entities are able to meet all liquidity obligations during a period of liquidity stress: ‒ a minimum 12 month period with constr

  59. Slide 59: Additional information: Capital

    For personal use only B Additional information Capital

  60. Slide 60: Macquarie Group Basel III regulatory capital

    Macquarie Group Basel III regulatory capital For personal use only Surplus calculation Harmonised APRA Basel III Basel III 30 September 2015 $Am $Am Macquarie Group eligible capital: Bank Group Gross Tier 1 capital 12,668 12,668 Non-Bank Group eligible capital 4,244 4,244 Eligible capital 16,912 16,

  61. Slide 61: Macquarie Group APRA Basel III regulatory capital

    Macquarie Group APRA Basel III regulatory capital For personal use only Bank Group contribution Risk-weighted assets Tier 1 Deductions Capital Requirement1 30 September 2015 $Am $Am $Am Credit risk On balance sheet2 54,865 3,841 Off balance sheet2 19,746 1,382 Credit risk total2 74,611 5,223 Market

  62. Slide 62: Macquarie Group regulatory capital: Non-bank Group contribution

    Macquarie Group regulatory capital For personal use only Non-bank Group contribution • APRA has specified a regulatory capital framework for MGL • A dollar capital surplus is produced; no capital ratio calculation is specified • APRA has approved Macquarie’s Economic Capital Adequacy Model (ECAM) fo

  63. Slide 63: Macquarie Group regulatory capital: Non-bank Group contribution

    Macquarie Group regulatory capital For personal use only Non-bank Group contribution Capital Assets Requirement Equivalent Risk 30 September 2015 $Ab $Am Weight Funded assets Cash and liquid assets 1.7 19 14% Loan assets1 1.8 169 117% Debt investment securities 0.5 48 120% Co-investment in Macquarie

  64. Slide 64: Glossary

    For personal use only C Glossary

  65. Slide 65: Glossary

    Glossary For personal use only $A / AUD Australian Dollar BIS Bank for International Settlements $C Canadian Dollar BFS Banking and Financial Services $US / USD United States Dollar CAF Corporate and Asset Finance £ British Pound CCB Capital Conservation Buffer € Euro CET1 Common Equity Tier 1 1H15

  66. Slide 66: Glossary

    Glossary For personal use only EMEA Europe, the Middle East and Africa JV Joint Venture EPS Earnings Per Share LCR Liquidity Coverage Ratio FUM Funds Under Management LNG Liquefied Natural Gas FX Foreign Exchange LP Limited Partner FY07 Full Year ended 31 March 2007 Ltd Limited FY08 Full Year ended

  67. Slide 67: Glossary

    Glossary For personal use only MIM Macquarie Investment Management RWA Risk Weighted Assets MIRA Macquarie Infrastructure and Real Assets SBI State Bank of India MPW Macquarie Private Wealth SGX Singapore Exchange MQA Macquarie Atlas Roads SME Small and Medium Enterprise MSG Macquarie Securities Gro

  68. Slide 68: Presentation to investors and analysts: 1H16 result announcement

    For personal use only Presentation to investors and analysts Result announcement for the half-year ended 30 September 2015 30 October 2015

Macquarie Group — H1 2016 Earnings Presentation on 6ix