Valero Energy Corporation · NYSE:VLO
Valero Energy — Investor Presentation (August 2019)
43 slides from Valero Energy's investor presentation, Aug 22, 2019
Slide 1: Investor Presentation August 2019
Investor Presentation August 2019 Exhibit 99.01
Slide 2: Disclaimers
Disclaimers This presentation contains forward-looking statements made by Valero Energy Corporation (“VLO” or “Valero”) within the meaning of federal securities laws. These statements discuss future expectations, contain projections of results of operations or of financial condition or state other f
Slide 3: Who We Are
Who We Are (NYSE: VLO) Refining Premier assets and low cost operations 15 refineries, 3.1 million barrels per day (BPD) of high-complexity capacity Logistics assets, including approximately 2,900 miles of active pipelines, over 123 million barrels of storage and over 50 docks Fuels marketing and dis
Slide 4: Strong Presence in Advantaged U.S. Gulf Coast and Mid-Continent
Strong Presence in Advantaged U.S. Gulf Coast and Mid-Continent UNITED STATES WHOLESALE MARKETING PRESENCE VALERO ETHANOL PLANTS VALERO REFINERIES BRANDED WHOLESALE PRESENCE VALERO TERMINALS DIAMOND GREEN DIESEL PIPELINES PERU LIMA LONDON PEMBROKE UNITED KINGDOM IRELAND CANADA BENICIA WILMINGTON MCK
Slide 5: Demonstrated Strategy for Value Creation
Demonstrated Strategy for Value Creation Proven history of operations excellence: Safe, reliable, environmentally responsible operations have driven higher profitability through multiple commodity cycles One of the lowest cash operating costs among peer group Visibility to earnings growth: Steady pi
Slide 6: Disciplined Capital Management is a Constant in Our Strategy
Disciplined Capital Management is a Constant in Our Strategy Maintain Strong Balance Sheet (1)Targeted debt-to-cap ratio based on total debt reduced by $2 billion of cash. (2)Peer group includes PSX, MPC, HFC, and PBF. (3)Payout ratio is the sum of dividends and stock buybacks divided by adjusted ne
Slide 7: Demonstrated Discipline in Capital Allocation
Demonstrated Discipline in Capital Allocation Steady investments in maintaining asset base and enhancing margin capability of portfolio. Non-discretionary Sustaining capex includes costs for turnarounds and catalysts and regulatory compliance. Growth capex includes joint-venture investments but excl
Slide 8: Delivering on our Commitment of Cash Returns to Stockholders
Delivering on our Commitment of Cash Returns to Stockholders Targeting continued buybacks and sustainable annual dividend growth. (1) 2019 weighted average shares outstanding through June 30, 2019. Dividends per share annualized based on most recent quarterly dividend. Energy Real Estate Utilities C
Slide 9: Safety and Reliability are Imperative for Profitability
Safety and Reliability are Imperative for Profitability See slide 22 for notes regarding this slide. Investments in reliability have contributed to operations excellence. 1st Quartile 2nd Quartile 3rd Quartile 4th Quartile
Slide 10: Increased Refinery Availability Has Driven Valero to be One of the Lowest Cost Producers
Increased Refinery Availability Has Driven Valero to be One of the Lowest Cost Producers See slide 22 for notes regarding this slide. 1st Quartile 2nd Quartile 3rd Quartile 4th Quartile (1) 2019 refining cash operating expenses per barrel of throughput through June 30. Peer group includes PSX, MPC,
Slide 11: Advantaged Crude Supply in U.S. Gulf Coast and Mid-Continent
Advantaged Crude Supply in U.S. Gulf Coast and Mid-Continent U.S. Mid-Continent U.S. Gulf Coast (1) CDU capacity as of January 1, 2019. See slide 22 for notes and slide 34 for capacity and Nelson complexity by refinery. (2) 2019 feedstock ranges through June 30. Feedstock ranges represent average qu
Slide 12: Our Portfolio Facilitates Global Optimization of Product Exports
Our Portfolio Facilitates Global Optimization of Product Exports See slide 22 for notes regarding this slide. Distillate volumes include diesel, jet fuel and ULSK. Distillate Gasoline Product shortages in Latin America, Eastern Canada, Europe, and Africa expected to drive import demand growth.
Slide 13: Visibility to Growth with a Steady Pipeline of High Return Projects
Visibility to Growth with a Steady Pipeline of High Return Projects Expect to spend approximately $1 billion annually on growth investments Approximately $340 MM in incremental EBITDA for 2018 from completed projects Diamond and Sunrise Pipelines, Wilmington cogeneration unit and Diamond Green Diese
Slide 14: Investing to Improve Margins and Light Product Yields
Investing to Improve Margins and Light Product Yields $975 MM anticipated cost for 55 MBPD delayed coker and sulfur recovery unit, with expected startup in 2022 Creates two independent CDU-VDU-coker trains, which should improve turnaround efficiency and reduce maintenance-related lost margin opportu
Slide 15: Investing to Increase Premium Renewable Fuels Production
Valero’s $550 MM portion of project cost expected to be funded from cash generated by DGD’s operations Independent parallel renewable diesel plant and renewable naphtha finishing facility adjacent to existing plant expected to be completed in late 2021 Expect increase in annual renewable diesel prod
Slide 16: Ethanol Operations
Ethanol Operations 14 plants with 1.73 billion gallons annual production capacity Dry mill production process, where corn is ground into flour and mixed with water before fermentation Plants purchased for approximately 37% of replacement cost Efficient plants with scale, located in corn belt Operati
Slide 17: Valero is Well Positioned for IMO 2020
Valero is Well Positioned for IMO 2020 Expected Impacts to Crude and Products Global sulfur cap on marine fuels drops from 3.5 wt% to 0.5 wt% beginning January 1, 2020 Sour crude oil and resid discounts expected to widen as low complexity refineries switch to sweeter crude and feedstocks Consultants
Slide 18: Delivered Solid Earnings and Free Cash Flow Even in a Low Margin Environment
2016 results are not a representation of management’s expectations for 2019. See slide 22 for notes regarding this slide. Peer group includes PSX, MPC, HFC, and PBF. See slides 38 – 42 for non-GAAP disclosures. Source: Bloomberg and company reports. Refining EBITDA Per Barrel of Throughput Free Cash
Slide 19: Demonstrated Lower Volatility in Earnings and Free Cash Flow
Demonstrated Lower Volatility in Earnings and Free Cash Flow See slide 22 for notes regarding this slide. Peer group includes PSX, MPC, HFC, and PBF. Source: Bloomberg and company reports. See slides 38 – 42 for non-GAAP disclosures. Volatility 2012 – 2019 Adjusted Earnings Per Share Free Cash Flow
Slide 20: We Believe Valero is a Compelling Investment
We Believe Valero is a Compelling Investment Premier asset portfolio and operations Disciplined growth strategy Invest in high return projects focused on operating cost control, market expansion and margin improvement Grow long term earnings and reduce earnings volatility Generate solid cash flow ac
Slide 21: Appendix Contents
Appendix Contents Topic Pages Notes 22 Guidance 23 Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) 24 Macro Environment Themes 25 Logistics Investments to Improve Feedstock Flexibility, Cost & Crude Quality 26 Valero Logistics Assets 27 Primary Export Markets 28 – 29 Project Price Set Assumptions 30 Proj
Slide 22: Notes Slide
Notes Slide 9 Contractor total recordable incident rate from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Tier 1 three-year rolling averages of process safety events per 20,000 work hours. Tier 1 defined within API Recommended Practice 754. Industry benchmarking and Valero’s performance statistics from Solomon
Slide 23: VLO Guidance
VLO Guidance 3Q19(1) Throughput (MBPD) U.S. Gulf Coast1,710 to 1,760 U.S. Mid-Continent 440 to 460 North Atlantic460 to 480 U.S. West Coast255 to 275 Refining cash operating expenses per barrel throughput$4.05 Ethanol Production (millions of gallons per day)4.3 Operating expenses per gallon of produ
Slide 24: Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG)
World’s 2nd largest renewable diesel (1) and corn ethanol producer Significant investment in renewable fuels of $2.6 billion(2) An industry safety leader Record low environmental events driven by improvements in process safety and reliability with growing throughput capacity 21% reduction in refinin
Slide 25: Supportive Macro Environment Expected
FEEDSTOCK SUPPLY Abundant and growing supply of crude oil and natural gas Expanding North American logistics capacity continues to add efficiency to crude oil movements, particularly in the U.S. Gulf Coast Supportive Macro Environment Expected PRODUCT DEMAND Macro environment themes represent indust
Slide 26: Logistics Investments to Improve Feedstock Flexibility, Cost and Crude Quality
Logistics Investments to Improve Feedstock Flexibility, Cost and Crude Quality Valero Terminals Valero Refineries Pipelines Terminal Projects Pipelines Projects Export Dock Projects Competitive Supply in the Mid-Continent Taking Advantage of Increasing Permian Production with Investments in Corpus C
Slide 27: Valero Logistics Assets
Valero Logistics Assets Racks, Terminals and Storage(1) Over 123 million barrels of active shell capacity for crude oil and products Over 200 truck rack bays Rail Approximately 5,250 purchased railcars Expected to serve long-term needs of ethanol, asphalt, aromatics, and other products Pipelines(1)
Slide 28: High Demand Continues for U.S. Products in Primary Export Markets
High Demand Continues for U.S. Products in Primary Export Markets North America +2.1% GDP annual average +14 MM population +395 MBPD product demand +290 MBPD CDU capacity High utilization needed to meet domestic and export demand Latin America +2.5% GDP annual average +31 MM population +440 MBPD pro
Slide 29: Investing to Grow Product Placement into Higher Netback Markets
Investing to Grow Product Placement into Higher Netback Markets (1) Includes terminals owned or leased by Valero. (1) U.S. Product Exports 12 Month Moving Average (MBPD) 72% Advantaged Refineries and Logistics Expansion of supply chain to high demand growth markets provides ratable product outlet an
Slide 30: Project Price Set Assumptions
Project Price Set Assumptions Driver ($/bbl) 2018 Average(1) ICE Brent 71.56 ICE Brent – WCS Houston 9.41 HSVGO – ICE Brent 6.03 3.5%S Fuel Oil – ICE Brent (10.39) USGC CBOB – ICE Brent 4.85 USGC ULSD – ICE Brent 14.05 Naphtha – ICE Brent (1.38) LPG – ICE Brent (34.77) Expect LCFS credit prices to c
Slide 31: Investing to Improve Margins
Investing to Improve Margins Octane demand expected to grow due to Tier 3 sulfur regulations and CAFE standards Abundant, low cost North American NGL supply provides advantage for Gulf Coast capacity additions Both units upgrade low value isobutane and amylenes into high value alkylate High octane,
Slide 32: Investing to Improve Access to North American Crude and Refinery Operating Cost Structure
Investing to Improve Access to North American Crude and Refinery Operating Cost Structure Diamond 200 MBPD capacity connecting Memphis to Cushing ($460 MM cost(1)), and Sunrise 100 MBPD undivided interest connecting Midland to Wichita Falls ($135 MM cost(1)) 200 MBPD expansion and extension of Diamo
Slide 33: Investing to Improve Margins, Product Export Capability and Biofuels Blending
Investing to Improve Margins, Product Export Capability and Biofuels Blending Central Texas pipelines and terminals to supply high-growth refined products market Approximately 205 miles of pipe(1), 960 MB of total storage capacity, and a truck rack Pasadena refined products terminal joint venture wi
Slide 34: Our Refining Capacity and Nelson Complexity
Our Refining Capacity and Nelson Complexity Refinery Capacities (MBPD)(1) Nelson Complexity Index Throughput Crude Corpus Christi(2) 370 290 14.4 Houston 250 205 7.3 Meraux 135 125 9.7 Port Arthur 395 335 12.7 St. Charles 340 215 16.1 Texas City 260 225 11.1 Three Rivers 100 89 13.2 U.S. Gulf Coast
Slide 35: U.S. Natural Gas Provides Opex and Feedstock Cost Advantages
U.S. Natural Gas Provides Opex and Feedstock Cost Advantages 2019 average natural gas prices through August 7, 2019 for U.S. and Europe. Estimated per barrel cost of 928,000 mmBtu/day of natural gas consumption at 12-month rolling average refinery throughput of 3.0 MMBPD. $0.8 billion pre-tax annual
Slide 36: Outperformed the Dow Jones Index, the S&P Index and all Companies in the XLE
Outperformed the Dow Jones Index, the S&P 500 Index and all Companies in the XLE(1) Index on TSR Since 2014 (1) XLE includes refining peers PSX, MPC, HFC, and 26 other energy companies such as XOM, CVX, SLB, COP, EOG, OXY, and KMI. (2) TSR from December 31, 2014, through August 7, 2019. TSR includes
Slide 37: Now vs. Then – A Shift In Refining Valuation
In the Past INDUSTRY/MACRO Range bound industry wide EV/EBITDA multiple +/- 4.5x Peer group fragmented with smaller scale, less efficient refiners U.S. importing products to meet domestic product shortage Stock prices driven by seasonal refining trading cycles Higher interest rates (10-yr Treasury ~
Slide 38: Non-GAAP Disclosures
Non-GAAP Disclosures Adjusted EBITDA and Net Debt-to-Adjusted EBITDA VLO defines EBITDA as net income before income tax expense, interest and debt expense, net of capitalized interest, and depreciation and amortization expense. VLO defines net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA as the ratio of total debt, net
Slide 39: Non-GAAP Disclosures (continued)
Non-GAAP Disclosures (continued) Adjusted Earnings Per Common Share – assuming dilution VLO defines adjusted earnings per common share – assuming dilution as earnings per common share – assuming dilution excluding the lower of cost or market inventory valuation adjustment and its related income tax
Slide 40: Non-GAAP Disclosures: Adjusted EBITDA and Net Debt-to-Adjusted EBITDA
Non-GAAP Disclosures: Adjusted EBITDA and Net Debt-to-Adjusted EBITDA RECONCILIATION OF NET INCOME TO ADJUSTED EBITDA AND NET DEBT-TO-ADJUSTED EBITDA (Unaudited, in Millions, Except Ratio Amount) Six Months Ended June 30, 2018 Year Ended December 31, 2018 Six Months Ended June 30, 2019 Net income $1
Slide 41: Non-GAAP Disclosures: Refining EBITDA Per Barrel of Throughput
Non-GAAP Disclosures: Refining EBITDA Per Barrel of Throughput RECONCILIATION OF REFINING EBITDA PER BARREL OF THROUGHPUT (Unaudited, in Millions, Except Per Barrel Amount) Year Ended Dec 31, 2016 Refining operating income $3,730 Plus: Operating expenses (excluding depreciation and amortization expe
Slide 42: Non-GAAP Disclosures: Adjusted Earnings Per Share and Free Cash Flow
Non-GAAP Disclosures: Adjusted Earnings Per Share and Free Cash Flow RECONCILIATION OF NET CASH PROVIDED BY OPERATING ACTIVITIES UNDER GAAP TO FREE CASH FLOW (Unaudited, in Millions) Year Ended December 31, 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Net cash provided by operating activities $5,270 $5,564 $4
Slide 43: Investor Relations Contacts
Investor Relations Contacts For more information, please contact: Homer Bhullar Vice President, Investor Relations 210.345.1982 homer.bhullar@valero.com Gautam Srivastava Manager, Investor Relations 210.345.3992 gautam.srivastava@valero.com Tom Mahrer Manager, Investor Relations 210.345.1953 tom.mah