Premium Brands Holdings Corporation · TSX:PBH

Premium Brands — Q4 2022 Earnings Presentation

36 slides from Premium Brands's earnings presentation, Mar 16, 2023

  1. Slide 1: Fourth Quarter 2022 Conference Call

    SANDWICH La boulangerie chicken Fourth Quarter 2022 Conference Call March 16, 2023

  2. Slide 2: Disclaimer

    Disclaimer This presentation is not intended to form the basis of any investment decision and should not be considered as a recommendation by Premium Brands Holdings Corporation (the “Company”) or any other person in relation to the Company’s business or the securities of the Company. This presentat

  3. Slide 3: Forward Looking Statements

    Forward Looking Statements This presentation contains forward looking statements with respect to the Company, including, without limitation, statements regarding its business operations, strategy and financial performance and condition, acquisition opportunities, capital projects and plans, outlook

  4. Slide 4: Today's Presenters

    Today’s Presenters • George Paleologou President & Chief Executive Officer • Will Kalutycz Chief Financial Officer Staying the Course Through Adversity 3

  5. Slide 5: Key Messages

    Key Messages • Record fourth quarter results despite headwinds • Sales up 21.5% to $1.63 billion • Adjusted EBITDA up 20.3% or $23.0 million • Adjusted EPS flat at $1.19 per share • Record 2022 fiscal year results • Sales up 22.3% to $6.0 billion • Adjusted EBITDA up 17.1% or $73.5 million • Adjuste

  6. Slide 6: Acquisition Opportunities

    Acquisition Opportunities (millions of dollars except transactions) Agreed to terms and in Identified future Past discussions and In negotiations In discussions due diligence opportunity currently on hold Platform Advanced Active Early Stage Opportunity Inactive Total # Sales # Sales # Sales # Sales

  7. Slide 7: Q4-2022 Financial Update

    Q4-2022 Financial Update Staying the Course Through Adversity 6

  8. Slide 8: Quarter Sales Performance

    Quarter Sales Performance (millions of dollars except percentages) 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Revenue 843.9 959.1 1,056.2 1,345.4 1,634.8 OGR 4.6% 8.6% 5.5% 16.1% 12.3% 1,800.0 50.0% Drivers 1,600.0 Long-term targeted organic 45.0% • 53rd week – $80.0m growth rate (6% - 8%) 1,400.0 40.0% • Selling pri

  9. Slide 9: Organic Volume Growth Rate

    Organic Volume Growth Rate Long-term targeted organic volume growth rate range of 4% - 6% 20.0% Challenges impacting the Company’s Q4-2022 OVGR: 16.0% • Q4 is generally a lower growth quarter due to seasonal factors 12.0% • Lower retail sales resulting from consumer spending 8.0% shifting to foodser

  10. Slide 10: Revenue Trend

    Revenue Trend (millions of dollars except percentages) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023P Revenue 535.2 794.3 960.1 1,043.0 1,221.8 1,484.5 1,857.5 2,198.3 3,025.8 3,649.4 4,068.9 4,931.7 6,029.8 6,500.0 OGR 2.6% 6.0% 4.8% 4.9% 13.5% 18.0% 6.1% 4.7% 6.7% 5.9% 7.6%

  11. Slide 11: Weekly Sales Trend

    Weekly Sales Trend 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 $000's 60,000 40,000 20,000 - 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 Week # 2023 PBH Total 2022 PBH Total 2021 PBH Total 2020 PBH Total 2019 PBH Total Staying the Course Through Adversity 10

  12. Slide 12: Quarter Adjusted EBITDA Performance

    Quarter Adjusted EBITDA Performance (millions of dollars except percentages) 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 EBITDA 71.0 75.1 87.7 113.4 136.4 Margin 8.4% 7.8% 8.3% 8.4% 8.3% Positive factors 160.0 12.0% • Selling price increases net of cost inflation Reflects IFRS-16 • Organic sales growth 140.0 11.0% • P

  13. Slide 13: Margin Recovery

    Margin Recovery (millions of dollars except percentages) Q1-2022 Q2-2022 Q3-2022 Q4-2022 2022 Selling price increases 122.6 134.4 89.5 61.9 408.4 Raw material, wage and freight cost inflation (124.5) (130.9) (77.5) (45.8) (378.7) Margin dollar impact (1.9) 3.5 12.0 16.1 29.7 Margin impact - 2.6% 13.

  14. Slide 14: Quarter Adjusted EBITDA Margin Performance

    Quarter Adjusted EBITDA Margin Performance 10.0% Factors impacting the Company’s Q4- 2022 EBITDA margin relative to 10% 8.0% target: • Unutilized production capacity 6.0% • Q4 is generally a lower margin quarter as a result of seasonal 4.0% factors • Retailer selling price increase 2.0% notice perio

  15. Slide 15: Recent Capacity Expansions

    Recent Capacity Expansions (millions of dollars) Unutilized Sales Platform Project Products Capacity in 2022 • CFG Ontario facility • Seafood and value-added protein Seafood 50 • Ready Saco plant • Processed lobster • Piller’s Brantford plant expansion • Meat snacks and dry cured Protein 30 • Oberto

  16. Slide 16: EBITDA Trend

    EBITDA Trend (millions of dollars except percentages) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023P EBITDA 42.0 54.9 66.8 69.3 77.6 111.6 154.8 190.2 280.2 307.7 312.6 430.7 504.2 600.0 Margin 7.8% 6.9% 7.0% 6.6% 6.4% 7.5% 8.3% 8.7% 9.3% 8.4% 7.7% 8.7% 8.4% 9.2% 700.0 12.0%

  17. Slide 17: Quarter Adjusted Earnings Performance

    Quarter Adjusted Earnings Performance (millions of dollars except per share amounts) 2019 2020 2021 2022 Adj earnings 29.5 35.3 52.2 52.9 Adj EPS 0.79 0.86 1.19 1.19 Major positive factors: 70.0 • EBITDA growth – $22.9m $1.90 60.0 • Decreased income taxes – $16.9m $1.70 50.0 Major negative factors:

  18. Slide 18: Inventory Analysis

    Inventory Analysis (millions of dollars unless noted otherwise) Unplanned Unplanned Q4-2022 Q4-2022P Q4-2022 Opportunistic New Sales Variance Adjusted At Q3 Buys Builds Seafood Group 114.3 - (16.8) 97.5 84.2 13.3 Distribution Group 153.4 (6.4) (1.3) 145.7 145.1 0.6 Protein Group 354.5 (19.6) (5.5) 3

  19. Slide 19: Liquidity

    Liquidity (millions of dollars except ratios) 1,020.0 5.5 Top end of targeted total debt to EBITDA 920.0 ratio 5.0 Top end of targeted total senior debt to 820.0 EBITDA ratio 4.5 720.0 4.0 620.0 3.5 520.0 3.0 420.0 2.5 320.0 2.0 220.0 1.5 120.0 1.0 20.0 0.5 Available Credit (LHS) Total Debt to EBITD

  20. Slide 20: Free Cash Flow

    Free Cash Flow (millions of dollars except per share amounts and percentages) 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023P Payout ratio 106.4% 77.7% 69.6% 70.6% 65.2% 59.4% 53.0% 53.9% 48.4% 43.2% 36.6% 38.5% 38.1% 43.1% 48.7% 42.3% 43.8% Dividend per sh

  21. Slide 21: Capital Allocations – Project Capex

    Capital Allocations – Project Capex (millions of dollars except percentages) Investment Investment Expected Expected Group Q4-2022 2022 To-Date Expected Completion IRR Premier facility expansion Distribution 6.8 9.7 9.7 9.7 Completed Viandex facility expansion Distribution 0.5 0.8 0.8 9.1 Q2-2023 Pi

  22. Slide 22: 5-Year Plan

    5-Year Plan (millions of dollars except percentages) 5 Year 5 Year 5 Year Target Base Year Base Year Base Year Targeted Targeted Year Sales EBITDA Sales EBITDA 2010 2015 535 42 1,000 2014 2019 1,222 78 2,000 2018 2023 3,026 251 6,000 600 2022 2027 6,030 504 10,000 1,000 2023P – no new acquisitions 6

  23. Slide 23: 5-Year Major Project Capex

    5-Year Major Project Capex Platform Major Projects Products Distribution • Viandex Quebec City plant expansion • Value-added seafood and protein • Piller’s Waterloo project • Dry cured and European deli meats • Hempler’s Ferndale plant expansion • Meat snacks and premium processed meats • Oberto Ken

  24. Slide 24: Stuyver's Bakery

    Stuyver’s Bakery Langley, BC Staying the Course Through Adversity 23

  25. Slide 25: Premier Meats

    Premier Meats Vaudreuil-Dorion, QC Staying the Course Through Adversity 24

  26. Slide 26: HQ Fine Foods

    HQ Fine Foods Edmonton, AB Staying the Course Through Adversity 25

  27. Slide 27: Hempler Foods Group

    Hempler Foods Group Ferndale, WA Staying the Course Through Adversity 26

  28. Slide 28: SK Food Group

    SK Food Group Phoenix, AZ Staying the Course Through Adversity 27

  29. Slide 29: Staying the Course Through Adversity

    Staying the Course Through Adversity 28

  30. Slide 30: Staying the Course Through Adversity

    Staying the Course Through Adversity 29

  31. Slide 31: Staying the Course Through Adversity

    Staying the Course Through Adversity 30

  32. Slide 32: Staying the Course Through Adversity

    Staying the Course Through Adversity 31

  33. Slide 33: • Specialty Dry Cured – Bulk & Sliced • Meat Snacks

    • Specialty Dry Cured – • Meat Snacks Bulk & Sliced 32 Staying the Course Through Adversity 32

  34. Slide 34: Staying the Course Through Adversity

    Staying the Course Through Adversity 33

  35. Slide 35: Staying the Course Through Adversity

    34 Staying the Course Through Adversity 34

  36. Slide 36: Questions?

    Questions? Staying the Course Through Adversity 35

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