Novartis Ag · SIX:NOVN

Novartis — Q3 2008 Earnings Presentation

73 slides from Novartis's earnings presentation, Oct 20, 2008

  1. Slide 1: Nine Months / Third Quarter 2008 Results

    Novartis Group Nine Months / Third Quarter 2008 Results Investor Conference Call Presentation October 20, 2008

  2. Slide 2: Forward-looking statements

    These materials contain certain forward-looking statements relating to the Group's business, which can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as "outlook", "expected", "will", "potential", "pipeline", or similar expressions, or by express or implied discussions regarding potent

  3. Slide 3: Agenda

    Agenda Overview D. Vasella Pharmaceuticals J. Jimenez Other Divisions and Group Leadership D. Vasella Financials R. Breu Outlook D. Vasella

  4. Slide 4: Novartis sustained strong growth in 2008

    Novartis sustained strong growth in 20081 ƒ Building momentum: New growth phase in Pharmaceuticals and contributions from all businesses ƒ New Group management structure and promotion of several leaders to new senior management positions ƒ Strengthening the business portfolio: first step of Alcon ac

  5. Slide 5: 9M 2008 continuing operations – sustained strong performance

    9M 2008 continuing operations1 – sustained strong performance Group key figures 9M 2007 9M 2008 Change Change in USD m in USD m in % USD in % LC2 Net sales 28 141 31 382 +12 +4 Operating income3 5 884 7 284 +24 Net income3 5 609 6 656 +19 EPS (USD) 2.40 2.93 +22 Number of associates 98 418 97 201 -1

  6. Slide 6: New growth phase in Pharmaceuticals

    New growth phase in Pharmaceuticals Sales growth in USD Op. Inc. growth in USD Actual results 9M 2008 (USD, bn) % growth 9M 2008 vs. 9M 2007 Sales1 Op. Inc.1 in USD in LC Pharma 19.90 6.02 Pharma 11 +4 17 Sandoz 5.75 0.88 Sandoz 11 +1 12 NCH 4.46 0.86 NCH 11 +4 18 V&D 1.27 0.05 V&D 20 +15 Not meanin

  7. Slide 7: Q3 2008 continuing operations – solid business expansion

    Q3 2008 continuing operations1 – solid business expansion and productivity gains Group key figures Q3 2007 Q3 2008 Change Change in USD m in USD m in % USD in % LC Net sales 9 613 10 747 +12 +7 Operating income2 1 452 2 335 +61 Net income2 1 574 2 082 +32 EPS (USD) 0.68 0.92 +35 1 Continuing operati

  8. Slide 8: All regions deliver as US returns to growth

    All regions deliver as US returns to growth Group1 Q3 2008 net sales in USD bn; growth in local currency Rest of Americas +8% Asia/Australia/Africa 0.9 +8% 1.8 Europe 4.6 +7 % 3.4 US +4% 1 Continuing operations, with figures for Group excluding Medical Nutrition and Gerber 8 | Novartis 9M 2008 Resul

  9. Slide 9: Consistent strategy to sustain profitable growth and mitigate risk

    Consistent strategy to sustain profitable growth and mitigate risk 1 Selectively strengthen existing franchises of business portfolio addressing specific customer needs 2 Step up innovation focusing on Priorities differentiated products 3 Expand in high-growth markets 4 Improve organizational effici

  10. Slide 10: Agenda

    Agenda Overview D. Vasella Pharmaceuticals J. Jimenez Other Divisions and Group Leadership D. Vasella Financials R. Breu Outlook D. Vasella

  11. Slide 11: Key messages Novartis Pharma

    Key messages Novartis Pharma 2007 returning to strong growth ƒ All regions supporting solid Q3 results • Third quarter net sales up +14% in USD (+9% in LC) - Nine-month net sales up +11% in USD (+4% LC) • US returned to growth in Q3: up +9% • Europe and other regions continue to deliver solid perfor

  12. Slide 12: Q3 2008 sales and operating income ahead of 2007

    Q3 2008 sales and operating income ahead of 2007 Growth vs. 2007 Q3 USD m in USD in LC1 Net sales 6 709 +14% +9% Operating income 1 743 +13% Return on net sales (ROS)2 26.0% -0.2 ppt Associates3 53 418 -3% 1 Local currencies 2 Adjusted ROS is 32.0% (excl. exceptional items and amortization of intang

  13. Slide 13: Nine-month 2008 results show improving growth

    Nine-month 2008 results show improving growth Growth vs. 2007 9M USD m in USD in LC1 Net sales 19 901 +11% +4% Operating income 6 017 +17% Return on net sales (ROS)2 30.2% +1.3 ppt Associates3 53 418 -3% 1 Local currencies 2 Adjusted ROS is 32.4% (excl. exceptional items and amortization of intangib

  14. Slide 14: Novartis Pharma's sales are geographically diversified

    Novartis Pharma’s sales are geographically diversified around the world … ILLUSTRATIVE EXAMPLES Geographic diversification of sales (% of Total US Dollars) 100% 80% Rest of World 60% “Top 7” EGM1 40% Top 5 Europe2 20% US 0% N A VA S S ZE R ST PF E E IT ETH J O CO Y S TT SO TI EC TI CH A ZE IN LL M O

  15. Slide 15: All Novartis Pharma regions are growing

    … and all Novartis Pharma regions are growing Net sales September 2008 YTD (USD bn) Sep YTD Q3 2008 vs PY vs PY Rest of World in LC% in LC% 2.0 Latin America United States -5% +9% 1.3 United States Canada +11% +12% Japan 1.9 6.4 Europe +9% +9% Japan +5% +3% Europe 0.5 7.8 Canada Latin America +7% +4

  16. Slide 16: Strong underlying growth in all key franchises

    Strong underlying growth in all key franchises Sales by Business Unit, Sep YTD 2008 Sep YTD vs PY Q3 vs PY in (USD m) in LC% LC% Oncology 6 180 +14 +15 + 19% excl CVM 5 029 +8 Lotrel Gx +20 + 16% excl + 13% excl NSO 3 186 +1 Trileptal Gx -1 Trileptal Gx IID 1 505 +19 +18 Respiratory 758 +9 +14 Inclu

  17. Slide 17: US returns to growth in Q3 2008

    US returns to growth in Q3 2008 US sales growth by quarter, ƒ Overcoming 2007 negative 2008 vs 2007 (in LC%) events: • Zelnorm suspension • Lotrel, Famvir, Trileptal and Lamisil 9 generic competition ƒ Strong underlying portfolio -3 expansion drives performance • Core brands Diovan and Gleevec combi

  18. Slide 18: US market becomes more restrictive

    As US market becomes more restrictive*, a “One Size Fits All” sales model is no longer viable Open Mixed Restrictive Washington Montana North Dakota Vermont Maine Customer Centric Michigan Initiative (CCI) Minnesota Oregon New Hampshire Wisconsin Massachusetts Idaho South Dakota New York Rhode Islan

  19. Slide 19: New US commercial model

    New US commercial model: Bringing more value to customers Past commercial model New commercial model ƒ “One size fits all” structure ƒ Flexible, “geo-tailored” regional structure: across all markets • Maintain traditional field force strength in open markets • Integrated, key account model in restri

  20. Slide 20: Strong execution of launches driving growth in Europe

    Strong execution of launches driving growth in Europe Pharma sales in Europe (USD bn) ƒ Leveraging strong base in +9% LC 7.8 hypertension and oncology 6.4 Launches1 ƒ New launches driving growth ƒ Partnering with physicians, payors and governments to benefit patients: In-Market2 • Lucentis: NICE fin

  21. Slide 21: Solid expansion in key emerging markets

    Solid expansion in key emerging markets Novartis Market SELECTED EXAMPLES Growth Size (YTD Sep 08 vs 07)1 (2007)2 ƒ Growing ahead of market, led by cardiovascular and oncology portfolios China >30% USD 15 bn ƒ Leading global pharma company in hypertension growth ƒ Growing significantly ahead of mark

  22. Slide 22: Innovative pipeline making progress

    Innovative pipeline making progress Regulatory update SELECTED EVENTS Gleevec®/ ƒ FDA priority review for new indication in adjuvant gastro-intestinal stromal Glivec® tumors (GIST) received in August – action date in December 2008 Afinitor® ƒ FDA priority review for advanced kidney cancer received i

  23. Slide 23: Building on solid foundation to drive future growth post Diovan patent expiry

    Building on solid foundation to drive future growth post Diovan patent expiry in 2012 ƒ Hypertension and oncology remain core businesses • Both continue to grow and remain profitable • We will continue to invest and innovate ƒ Recent launches and pipeline shifting portfolio toward more specialized m

  24. Slide 24: Adding incremental actions to maintain sales growth

    Adding incremental actions to maintain sales growth through 2012 and beyond Strategic Key elements initiatives Accelerate ƒ Maximize full potential of existing pipeline by 1 Oncology expanding faster into new indications ƒ Expand sales forces Accelerate 2 EGM growth ƒ Optimize talent management and

  25. Slide 25: Novartis Pharma conclusion

    Novartis Pharma conclusion ƒ Raising Pharma outlook for 2008 sales performance • Now expect mid-single-digit growth in local currencies vs 2007 ƒ Operating income growing ahead of net sales • Strong business performance and productivity gains • Q4 2008 operating income margin expected at lower rate

  26. Slide 26: Agenda

    Agenda Overview D. Vasella Pharmaceuticals J. Jimenez Other Divisions and Group Leadership D. Vasella Financials R. Breu Outlook D. Vasella

  27. Slide 27: Vaccines and Diagnostics: Expanding influenza business, preparing meningitis launches

    Vaccines and Diagnostics: Expanding current influenza business, preparing meningitis launches ƒ Vaccines and Diagnostics expansion • Good sales growth 2008 YTD (+20%1, +15% in LC) • On track to deliver solid influenza vaccine sales in an increasingly competitive market ƒ Strong platform for future g

  28. Slide 28: Sandoz: Growth focus on emerging markets

    Sandoz: Growth focus on emerging markets ƒ 9M 2008 net sales up +11% in USD, +1% in local currency • Continuing strong growth in emerging markets • Biosimilars, Omnitrope and Binocrit gaining market share • Challenging mature markets ƒ Operating Income expanding by +12%1 • Product mix and productivi

  29. Slide 29: Consumer Health achieves low-single-digit sales growth

    Consumer Health achieves low-single-digit sales and steady double-digit profit growth ƒ Sales growth (+13%1, +6% in LC) driven by new contact lens CIBA launches (DAILIES Aqua Comfort Plus, AirOptix Aqua, etc.) Vision ƒ Strong customer service levels and quality excellence ƒ Productivity gains furthe

  30. Slide 30: Improving speed, simplicity and productivity with Project Forward

    Improving speed, simplicity and productivity with Project Forward ƒ 2008 cost savings ahead of schedule, already at USD 714 million ƒ New operating models in place • Animal Health and CIBA Vision: Lead-country model • Pharma: Lean regions and enhanced marketing operating model ƒ Resource redeploymen

  31. Slide 31: Novartis Group Leadership

    Novartis Group Leadership Chairman & CEO Daniel Vasella Internal Audit CFO Steven Barlow Raymund Breu Secretary of BoD Group Legal Monika Matti Thomas Werlen COO Joerg Reinhardt Human Resources Communications Jürgen Brokatzky Ann Bailey BioMedical Corporate Quality & Technical Research Corporate Aff

  32. Slide 32: Agenda

    Agenda Overview D. Vasella Pharmaceuticals J. Jimenez Other Divisions and Group Leadership D. Vasella Financials R. Breu Outlook D. Vasella

  33. Slide 33: Sustained strong performance in first nine months

    Sustained strong performance in first nine months USD m 9 M 20081 9 M 2007 1 % USD % LC2 Net sales 31 382 28 141 12 4 Operating income 7 284 6 474 13 excluding environmental charge as % of net sales 23.2% 23.0% Environmental charge - 590 Operating income3 7 284 5 884 24 as % of net sales 23.2% 20.9%

  34. Slide 34: Q3 results reflect business expansion and productivity gains

    Q3 08 results reflect business expansion and productivity gains USD m Q3 20081 Q3 2007 1 % USD % LC Net sales 10 747 9 613 12 7 Operating income 2 335 2 042 14 excluding environmental charge as % of net sales 21.7% 21.2% Environmental charge - 590 2 Operating income 2 335 1 452 61 as % of net sales

  35. Slide 35: Productivity gains drive margin expansion

    Productivity gains drive margin expansion and support high R&D investments % pt change 9M 08 vs. 9M 07 + 0.4 + Other revenues: increase in Pharma (mainly Betaseron) + 0.2 + COGS: Pharma productivity gains and 2007 Famvir impairment + 1.1 Sandoz productivity gains outweigh price erosion + 0.7 + M&S:

  36. Slide 36: Operating income adjustments for intangible asset charges

    Operating income adjustments for intangible asset charges and significant exceptional items USD m 9 M 2008 9 M 2007 P&L Line Pharmaceuticals 437 490 Mainly due to: Intangible asset charges 606 654 Exceptional restructuring 89 OIE Major product divestments -141 -166 OIE Release of pre-launch inventor

  37. Slide 37: Alcon financing and higher tax rate lead to slower net income growth

    Alcon financing and higher tax rate lead to slower net income growth USD m 9 M 2008 9 M 2007 Change (% USD) Operating income from continuing operations 7 284 5 884 24 Income from associated companies 344 308 12 Financial income, net 112 110 2 in % of average net liquidity 1 6.2% 7.3% Income before t

  38. Slide 38: Accounting for the 25% Alcon equity stake

    Accounting for the 25% Alcon equity stake ƒ Allocation of the USD 10.4 bn purchase price • Identifiable net assets of USD 6.2 bn with an average amortization period of 11 years • Goodwill of USD 4.2 bn ƒ Share of Alcon’s net income for Q3 08 attributable to Novartis1, • USD 121 m ƒ Q3 08 charges for

  39. Slide 39: Strong free cash flow in first nine months of 2008

    Strong free cash flow in first nine months of 2008 9M 2008 free cash flow change vs. previous year (USD m) 2008 vs 2007 Free cash flow 9 M 2007 (USD m) 1 729 0 1 729 Cash flow from operating activities 6 565 1 729 318 Investments in property, plant and equipment -1 445 2 048 350 Investments in intan

  40. Slide 40: Forward ahead of plan, delivering USD 714 million

    Forward ahead of plan, delivering USD 714 million1 so far in 2008 Expected 2008 savings Expected and realized savings 2008 breakdown by division Savings as of Q3 2008 USD m Overachievement 31 714 79 16 162 426 670 Pharma NCH Sandoz V&D Corporate Total 1 Above numbers do not include cost savings of U

  41. Slide 41: Forward initiatives achieved target FTE reduction ahead of time

    Forward initiatives achieved target FTE reduction ahead of time, supported by natural attrition1 Expected 2008 reductions Planned and achieved FTE reduction 2008 breakdown by division Reductions as of Q3 2008 Own FTEs (excluding 3rd party) Overachievement 683 0 0 48 2 683 1 952 2 500 Pharma NCH Sand

  42. Slide 42: Minimal direct impact of financial crisis on treasury operations

    Minimal direct impact of financial crisis on Novartis treasury operations ƒ No equity or bond investment exposure to any insolvent financial institution ƒ No counterparty exposure to any insolvent financial institution through financial contracts (swaps, options or other instruments) ƒ Sound ability

  43. Slide 43: Agenda

    Agenda Overview D. Vasella Pharmaceuticals J. Jimenez Other Divisions and Group Leadership D. Vasella Financials R. Breu Outlook D. Vasella

  44. Slide 44: Novartis Group reaffirms outlook for FY 2008

    Novartis Group reaffirms outlook for FY 2008 Barring unforeseen events ƒ Group sales for continuing operations expected to grow at mid-single digit rate (LC) ƒ Group operating and net income for continuing operations at record levels 44 | Novartis 9M 2008 Results | October 20, 2008

  45. Slide 45: Appendix - Group

    Appendix - Group Uy) NOVARTIS

  46. Slide 46: Drivers of Q3 margin expansion

    Pharmaceuticals, Sandoz and Consumer Health drive Q3 margin expansion % pt change Q3 08 vs. Q3 07 + 0.5 + Other revenues: increase in Pharma (mainly Betaseron) + 0.5 + 3.4 + COGS: Pharma productivity gains and 2007 Famvir impairment Sandoz operational efficiency improvements + 1.1 + M&S: Pharma prod

  47. Slide 47: Alcon financing and higher tax rate lead to lower Group net margin

    Alcon financing and higher tax rate lead to lower Group net margin1 % pt change Q3 08 vs. Q3 07 + 0.5 + Operating margin slightly stronger due to efficiency improvements - 1.8 - 0.4 - Income from associated companies impacted by Roche H1/08 catch-up and first-time impact of Alcon stake - 0.5 - Net f

  48. Slide 48: Operating income adjustments for intangible asset charges

    Operating income adjustments for intangible asset charges and significant exceptional items USD m Q3 2008 Q3 2007 P&L Line Pharmaceuticals 404 304 Mainly due to: Intangible asset charges 357 435 Exceptional restructuring 42 OIE V&D 78 74 Mainly due to: Intangible asset charges 78 72 Sandoz 86 115 Ma

  49. Slide 49: Adjusted Group operating income grows 14% in Q3

    Adjusted1 Group operating income grows 14% in Q3, driven by Pharmaceuticals, Consumer Health Adjusted % operating % operating income 1 income growth growth Pharmaceuticals 16 13 V&D 5 5 Sandoz 10 29 Consumer Health 14 20 Group continuing 14 61 0 5 10 15 20 0 20 40 60 80 1 Adjusted for intangible ass

  50. Slide 50: Adjusted Group operating margin at 27.2% in Q3

    Adjusted1 Group operating margin at 27.2% in Q3 Adjusted Operating margins (%) Q3 2008 Q3 2007 43.0 38.7 32.0 31.4 27.2 26.7 20.0 19.2 21.0 19.9 Pharma- V&D Sandoz Consumer Health Group ceuticals continuing 1 Adjusted for intangible asset charges and significant exceptional items 50 | Novartis 9M 20

  51. Slide 51: Adjusted Group 9M operating income increases 10%

    Adjusted1 Group 9M operating income increases 10% driven by Pharmaceuticals, Consumer Health Adjusted % operating 1 income growth % operating income growth 14 17 Pharmaceuticals -21 -71 V&D 5 12 Sandoz 14 18 Consumer Health 10 24 Group continuing -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 1 Adjuste

  52. Slide 52: Adjusted Group operating margin at 26.3% for 9M

    Adjusted1 Group operating margin at 26.3% for 9M Adjusted Operating margins (%) 9M 2008 9M 2007 32.4 31.6 30.6 26.3 26.6 20.0 19.7 20.8 20.5 20.0 Pharma- V&D Sandoz Consumer Health Group ceuticals continuing 1 Adjusted for intangible asset charges and significant exceptional items 52 | Novartis 9M 2

  53. Slide 53: Non-operating items reflect reduced net liquidity and higher tax rate

    Non-operating items reflect reduced average net liquidity and higher tax rate USD m Q3 2008 Q3 2007 Change (% USD) Operating income from continuing operations 2 335 1 452 61 Income from associated companies 88 116 -24 Financial income, net -3 43 -108 in % of average net liquidity 1 nm 4.0% Income be

  54. Slide 54: Q3 free cash flow at USD 2.5 billion

    Q3 free cash flow at USD 2.5 billion Q3 2008 free cash flow change vs. previous year (USD m) 2008 vs 2007 0 Free cash flow Q3 2007 (USD m) 1 618 1 618 697 Cash flow from operating activities 3 024 1 618 Investments in property, plant and equipment - 478 2 315 -204 172 2 487 252 Investments in intang

  55. Slide 55: Q3 sales growth driven by Pharmaceuticals

    Q3 sales growth driven by Pharmaceuticals % net sales growth Q3 2008 LC USD 9 Pharmaceuticals 14 Consumer Health 14% 14 V&D 16 Pharmaceuticals Sandoz 62% 18% 0 7 Sandoz V&D 6% 3 7 Consumer Health 7 12 Group 55 | Novartis 9M 2008 Results | October 20, 2008

  56. Slide 56: US returns to growth in Q3 08

    US returns to growth in Q3 08 Q3 2008 Net sales growth by Net sales by region region (%) LC USD Rest of US 4 Americas 4 8% Asia/Aus./ US Europe 7 Africa 17% 32% 16 Asia/Aus./ Africa 8 14 Europe 43% Rest of 8 Americas 15 56 | Novartis 9M 2008 Results | October 20, 2008

  57. Slide 57: Group operating income surges 61%

    Group operating income surges 61% (includes USD 590 m environmental charge in Q3 071) % Operating income growth (USD) Q3 2008 Pharmaceuticals 13 Consumer 12% V&D 5 Sandoz 12% Sandoz 29 V&D 7% Pharma- ceuticals Consumer Health 20 69% 61 Group 1 Excluding the charge, operating income growth was 14% 57

  58. Slide 58: Group operating margin at 21.7% in Q3

    Group operating margin at 21.7% in Q3 Operating margins (%) Q3 2008 Q3 2007 30.1 26.0 26.2 27.0 21.7 19.8 17.8 15.4 15.1 12.8 Pharma- V&D Sandoz Consumer Health Group ceuticals continuing 58 | Novartis 9M 2008 Results | October 20, 2008

  59. Slide 59: 9M income from associated companies driven by Roche

    9M 08 income from associated companies driven by Roche USD m 9 M 2008 9 M 2007 Change (% USD) Share of est. Roche net income 430 373 15% Depreciation and amortization of tangible and -103 -90 14% intangible assets Catch-up for actual Roche previous year 11 13 -15% Net income effect Roche 338 296 14%

  60. Slide 60: First-time impact of Alcon equity stake

    First-time impact of Alcon equity stake USD m Q3 2008 Q3 2007 Change (% USD) Share of est. Roche net income 130 144 -10% Depreciation and amortization of tangible and -34 -31 10% intangible assets Net income effect Roche 96 113 -15% Share of est. Alcon net income 121 Depreciation and amortization of

  61. Slide 61: Interest income and currency gains drive financial income

    Interest income and currency gains drive financial income USD m 9 M 2008 9 M 2007 Change (%) Financial Income/Expense 257 231 11 % of average liquidity1 3.0% 3.4% Interest expense -186 -176 6 % of average debt1 3.0% 3.4% Currency gains/losses 69 55 25 on operating activities Treasury result, net 140

  62. Slide 62: Alcon financing leads to lower Q3 financial income

    Alcon financing leads to lower Q3 financial income USD m Q3 2008 Q3 2007 Change (%) Financial Income/Expense 77 94 -18 % of average liquidity1 3.1% 3.3% Interest expense -88 -66 33 % of average debt1 3.1% 3.7% Currency gains/losses 16 15 7 on operating activities Treasury result, net 5 43 -88 % of a

  63. Slide 63: Asset allocation of liquidity – Group Level

    Asset allocation of liquidity – Group Level September 20081 September 20071 Alt. invest. Equities 4% Alt. invest. Equities 5% 3% 6% Bonds 12% 19% Bonds 72% Money 79% Money market market 1 Including hedges 63 | Novartis 9M 2008 Results | October 20, 2008

  64. Slide 64: Currency distribution of liquidity – Group Level

    Currency distribution of liquidity – Group Level September 20081 September 20071 Others Others 3% 3% CHF CHF 11% 16% EUR EUR 3% 9% 78% 77% USD USD 1 Including hedges 64 | Novartis 9M 2008 Results | October 20, 2008

  65. Slide 65: USD is the predominant currency

    USD is the predominant currency „ Products are imported for sale into US Sales Costs „ High cost level in CHF 40% 34% 35% 32% 32% 29% 30% 25% 25% (%) 20% 18% 16% 15% 10% 7% 5% 5% 2% 0% USD JPY EUR CHF Other 65 | Novartis 9M 2008 Results | October 20, 2008

  66. Slide 66: Major currencies strengthen vs USD in 9M 2008

    Major currencies1 strengthen vs USD in 9M 2008 Change in % vs. PY EUR 13.2 JPY 12.8 CHF 15.3 11.5 12.0 12.5 13.0 13.5 14.0 14.5 15.0 15.5 1 Based on YTD average rates 66 | Novartis 9M 2008 Results | October 20, 2008

  67. Slide 67: Volume and currency drive 9M sales growth

    Volume and currency drive 9M sales growth Growth in 9M 2008 (%) Volume 5 Price -1 Total LC 4 Acq. / Div. 0 Currency 8 Total USD 12 -1.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 7.0 9.0 11.0 13.0 67 | Novartis 9M 2008 Results | October 20, 2008

  68. Slide 68: In constant currencies, operating income increases

    In constant currencies, operating income increases 6.7% Growth 9M 2008 (%) USD growth of Op. Inc.1 12.5 Translational gains 11.5 LC growth of Op. Inc. 1.0 Transactional losses 5.7 Currency corrected Op. Inc. Growth 6.7 1 Excluding the Q3 07 USD 590 m exceptional environmental charge 68 | Novartis 9M

  69. Slide 69: 9M 2008 net sales growth components by division

    9M 2008 net sales growth components by division Volume Price Acq./div. Total LC Currency Total USD Pharmaceuticals 2% 2% 0% 4% 7% 11% V&D 18% -3% 0% 15% 5% 20% Sandoz 9% -8% 0% 1% 10% 11% Consumer Health 3% 1% 0% 4% 7% 11% Group 5% -1% 0% 4% 8% 12% 69 | Novartis 9M 2008 Results | October 20, 2008

  70. Slide 70: Impact of currency movements vs. USD on sales and operating income

    Impact of currency movements vs. USD on sales and on operating income Impact of a 10% currency appreciation vs. USD on group sales ƒ EUR: 3.2% ƒ CHF: 0.2% ƒ JPY: 0.7% ƒ Others: 2.5% Impact of a 10% currency appreciation vs. USD on group operating income ƒ EUR: 4.0% ƒ CHF: -4.4% ƒ JPY: 1.3% ƒ Others:

  71. Slide 71: Appendix - Pharma

    Appendix - Pharma Uy) NOVARTIS

  72. Slide 72: Productivity – on track for USD 632 million savings by end of 2008

    Productivity – on track for USD 632 million savings by the end of 2008 Pharma Division savings as of Sept. 2008 vs. Sept. 2007 base (USD millions)* Delivered 94% of 2008 committed 632 savings through: 596 ƒ Field Force headcount reductions ƒ Global sourcing ƒ Optimization of Regional and Global head

  73. Slide 73: Planned filings 2008 to ≥ 2011

    Planned filings 2008 to ≥ 2011 NME LCM 2008 2009 2010 ≥ 2011 QAB149 AGO178 EPO906 LCI699 AEB071 COPD2 Depression Ovarian cancer Hypertension Kidney & heart transpl. ACZ885 ABF656 SOM230 PKC412 NIC002 CAPS18 Hepatitis C Cushing’s disease AML5 Smoking cessation RAD001 FTY720 SBR759 ATI355 ASA404 RCC1

Novartis — Q3 2008 Earnings Presentation on 6ix