Methanex Corporation · TSX:MX

Methanex — Q2 2026 Earnings Presentation

37 slides from Methanex's earnings presentation, Jul 29, 2026

  1. Slide 1: The Global Methanol Leader

    The Global Methanol Leader CORPORATE PRESENTATION JULY 2026

  2. Slide 2: Forward-looking statements and non-GAAP measures

    Forward-looking statements and non-GAAP measures Information contained in these materials or presented orally, either in prepared remarks or in response to questions, may contain forward-looking statements. Actual results could differ materially from those contemplated by the forward-looking stateme

  3. Slide 3: Q2 2026 Earnings Summary

    Q2 2026 Earnings Summary 3 Methanex | The Global Methanol Leader | Investor Presentation

  4. Slide 4: Q2 2026 Key Takeaways

    Q2 2026 Key Takeaways Q2 2026 EBITDA Bridge – Q1 2026 to Q2 2026 ($M) Q2 Adjusted EBITDA increased to $577 million from $220 million in Q1 2026  Primarily driven by higher average realized price -12 -18  Costs were higher quarter over quarter: • Q2 cost increase from: 387 • $18M logistics and othe

  5. Slide 5: Q3 2026 and FY2026 Expectations

    Q3 2026 and FY2026 Expectations $ Millions, unless otherwise indicated Q3-26F Q2-26 Comments Methanol average realized price (/MT) $460 - $4851 $529 Expected ARP for the July and August period Produced methanol sales (MT) Similar 2,151 Based on ~9,000MT 2026 equity production guidance Expecting lowe

  6. Slide 6: Company Overview

    Company Overview 6 Methanex | The Global Methanol Leader | Investor Presentation

  7. Slide 7: Methanex is the world's largest producer and supplier of methanol globally

    Methanex is the world’s largest producer and supplier of methanol globally Strategy Competitive advantage Safety is the top priority We create value through our Safe, sustainable, and secure supply. We are committed to the leadership in the global Underpinned by our global integrated highest standar

  8. Slide 8: Safety is our number one priority

    Safety is our number one priority Our commitment to Responsible Care is unwavering; we work every day to put our values and safe practices into action to ensure the safety of our employees, contractors, visitors, and communities where we operate. In 2025, we had zero Tier 1 Recordable Injury Rate vs

  9. Slide 9: Reasons to Invest in Methanex

    Reasons to Invest in Methanex 9 Methanex | The Global Methanol Leader | Investor Presentation

  10. Slide 10: Why Invest?

    Why Invest? Turning the corner from investment to impact METHANOL: A QUIETLY TRANSFORMING LEVERAGING GLOBAL FOCUS ON FREE CASH DISCIPLINED CAPITAL CONSTRUCTIVE MARKET WITH PURPOSE CAPABILITIES FLOW CONVERSION ALLOCATION Structurally tight High-graded asset Operational excellence Proactive management

  11. Slide 11: Methanol is difficult to substitute based on its unique chemistry, scale, ease of transport and cost

    Methanol is difficult to substitute based on its unique chemistry, Traditional chemical Essential building block used in scale, ease of transport and cost applications expected to grow with GDP formaldehyde, acetic acid, etc. to make raw materials for building and automotive parts, paints, paper, pl

  12. Slide 12: Global methanol demand and supply dynamics

    Global methanol demand and supply dynamics Demand expected to grow at a ~3% compound annual growth rate over the next five years Europe (including Russia/CIS) China Production Demand Production Demand 5% 10% ~50% 60% ~75% of ~85% of production production from coal-based from Russia plants North Amer

  13. Slide 13: Firm capacity additions unlikely to meet growing demand in the mid-term

    Firm capacity additions unlikely to meet growing demand in the mid-term Nameplate capacity additions (MMT) Limited new capacity 8.0 Methanex Forecast Limited firm capacity additions expected in the Atlantic market. 7.0 New capacity is needed to meet demand 6.0 growth; greenfield projects typically t

  14. Slide 14: Demand growth and limited new capacity additions lead to a growing supply gap

    Demand growth and limited new capacity additions lead to a growing supply gap Demand rationalization and/or higher operating rates required to balance the market Estimated 5-year global methanol demand and supply growth 16 MMT Shortfall 9 MMT 2-4 MMT 9-11 MMT ME & Russia 4 MMT Net China Additions 5

  15. Slide 15: Global production capacity across seven production locations

    Global production capacity across seven production locations Strategically expanded our North American footprint to capitalize on stable and economic supply of natural gas feedstock North America ~6.4 MMT methanol operating capacity 0.34 MMT ammonia operating capacity 6 plants 3 production locations

  16. Slide 16: Competitive position on attractive industry cost curve

    Competitive position on attractive industry cost curve Illustrative methanol industry cost curve The global methanol cost curve is ($/tonne) fragmented The cost of methanol production varies widely across regions due to differences in feedstock availability (natural gas vs. coal), plant efficiency,

  17. Slide 17: Hedging to Strike a Balance

    Hedging to Strike a Balance Benefiting from lower gas prices while protecting against gas price spikes Illustrative rolling ladder hedge strategy – target ~50% near- Distribution of Henry Hub monthly price (Jan. 2015-July 2026) term hedges Fraction of gas requirement hedged Years in the future $1 to

  18. Slide 18: Focused cost discipline

    Focused cost discipline Our competitive structure enables us to provide secure supply to our customers and create value throughout the cycle Natural gas Logistics Natural gas Logistics ~ 50% 1 • North America: target ~ 25% Fleet of ~30 vessels Network of owned and meaningful near-term hedge suppleme

  19. Slide 19: Competitive advantage from global integrated capabilities

    Competitive advantage from global integrated capabilities Scale and flexibility enabling Methanex to be the supplier of choice and attract and retain customers around the world  Extensive integrated global supply chain with  Industry leading customers a dedicated shipping fleet  Sharing of best p

  20. Slide 20: Disciplined approach to deploying available free cash flow

    Disciplined approach to deploying available free cash flow After satisfying core requirements & deleveraging… … disciplined allocation of available free cash flow • Sustaining capex Growth • Interest & lease payments Target highest return Strategic investments in value-creating • Dividend growth opp

  21. Slide 21: Strong adjusted free cash flow capability over a range of methanol prices

    Strong adjusted free cash flow capability over a range of methanol prices Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted free cash flow capability to equity holders ($M) at average realized methanol prices ($/MT) $1,450 $1,075 $50 $850 $650 $50 $500 $50 $150 $300/MT $350/MT $400/MT Adjusted EBITDA Adjusted FCF (Curre

  22. Slide 22: Strong financial position

    Strong financial position Strong liquidity and well-balanced debt maturities Consistent track record of balanced capital investment and shareholder distributions Debt Maturity Profile ($M) In the last 10 years, we have returned ~$1.9B to shareholders Bonds and spent ~$3.3B on organic & inorganic gro

  23. Slide 23: Forward-looking statements

    Forward-looking statements This presentation, our Annual 2025 Management’s Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") as well as comments made during the Second Quarter 2026 investor conference call contain forward-looking statements with respect to us and our industry. These statements relate to future event

  24. Slide 24: Non-GAAP Measures

    Non-GAAP Measures • Note that Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted free cash flow , Adjusted debt, and Leverage are non-GAAP measures that do not have any standardized • The unhedged portion of our North American natural gas requirements meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore, are unlikely to be comparable a

  25. Slide 25: Modeling Information

    Modeling Information 25 Methanex | The Global Methanol Leader | Investor Presentation

  26. Slide 26: Modeling Information 1/3

    Modeling Information 1/3 ~25-30% Run rate financial profile (Methanex share) Sales mix Europe ~$500M ~25% ~15-20% ~35-40% Depreciation + Amortization Effective tax rate Americas China ~15-20% Asia Pacific (ex. China) Run rate equity production and capital expenditure ~9.0 MMT ~0.3 MMT 2026E methanol

  27. Slide 27: Modeling Information 2/3

    Modeling Information 2/3 Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA to Adjusted Free Cash Flow capability: Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted free cash flow capability to equity holders ($M) at average realized methanol prices Include amounts ($/MT) Methanex GAAP attributable to Exclude Share – Financial Non-Contr

  28. Slide 28: Modeling Information 3/3

    Modeling Information 3/3 Operating capacity (MMT)1 Run-rate production (MMT)2 Number of operating plants Gas supply Medicine Hat, Canada 0.56 ~.56 1 Fixed price contracts and spot market Geismar, USA 4.0 ~4.0 3 Financial hedges, fixed price contracts, and spot market Beaumont, USA 1.76 ~1.61 2 Finan

  29. Slide 29: Appendix

    Appendix 29 Methanex | The Global Methanol Leader | Investor Presentation

  30. Slide 30: Methanol demand applications

    Methanol demand applications Applications % of global End uses demand1 Traditional Used as wood adhesive for plywood, particleboard and other engineered wood products Formaldehyde ~25% chemical Also used as raw material for a variety of building and automotive products applications Used to produce a

  31. Slide 31: Chemicals value chain

    Chemicals value chain BUTADIENE AROMATICS OLEFINS PROPYLENE METHANOL ETHYLENE AMMONIA FEEDSTOCKS BASE CHEMICALS AND INTERMEDIATES PRODUCTS MARKETS/USES MDI/TDI POLYESTER CLOTHING, BOTTLES (PET), FABRIC TOLUENE PTA NYLON FABRIC, CARPET, AUTOMOTIVE XYLENE CYCLOHEXANE PHENOL/ACETONE SOLVENTS, INTERMEDI

  32. Slide 32: Methanol-to-olefins (MTO) value chain

    Methanol-to-olefins (MTO) value chain Food packaging, Polyethylene plastic bags Natural Gas or Coal Feedstock Pipes, window EDC PVC frames Ethylene Synthesis EO MEG PET Textile, bottles MTO production mostly Gas integrated with downstream products and Insulation cups, Ethyl benzene Styrene Polystyre

  33. Slide 33: Embedding sustainability: from strategy to action

    Embedding sustainability: from strategy to action1 Solutions focused and committed Advancing COMMITMENTS PROGRESS IN 2025 to continual improvement solutions for a Reduce Scope 1 and Scope 2 10.7% ​reduction in emissions intensity3, achieving our target 5 years low-carbon future GHG emissions intensi

  34. Slide 34: Methanol's role in the low-carbon economy

    Methanol’s role Multiple methanol pathways in the low-carbon GREEN economy BIOGENIC HYDROGEN FEEDSTOCKS Methanex is evaluating economically competitive CAPTURED CO₂ low-carbon methanol production pathways to align with customer demand. E-METHANOL 10 to 30 grams CO₂e/MJ* We are currently assessing FE

  35. Slide 35: Reducing emissions and exploring paths to low-carbon methanol

    Reducing emissions and exploring paths to low-carbon methanol Providing solutions for the emerging low-carbon market supports our strategy of global methanol leadership REDUCING EMISSIONS FROM PROGRESSING LOW-CARBON OUR OPERATIONS SOLUTIONS Efficiently Designed Growth Projects Carbon Capture, Utiliz

  36. Slide 36: With Methanex leading the way, fleets can stay on course to decarbonization

    With Methanex leading the way, fleets can stay on course to decarbonization Methanex has been there from the beginning, developing methanol as a marine fuel. We are well-positioned to help transition the shipping industry to a low-carbon future, having led the way in the marine fuel industry for ove

  37. Slide 37: Investor Relations

    Investor Relations T: 604 661 2600 invest@methanex.com www.methanex.com linkedin.com/company/methanex-corporation @Methanex 37 Methanex | The Global Methanol Leader | Investor Presentation

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