Arcelormittal Sa · EURONEXT:MT

Arcelormittal Sa — Q2 2024 Earnings Presentation

36 slides from Arcelormittal Sa's earnings presentation, Aug 1, 2024

  1. Slide 1: Financial results Q2 and 1H 2024

    Q2 and and 2Q 2024 1H 1H 2023 financial 2024 Financialresults Results Leadership presentation August 1, 2024 27th July 2023 Genuino Christino, Chief Financial Officer Daniel Fairclough, Head of Investor Relations

  2. Slide 2: Disclaimer

    Disclaimer Forward-Looking Statements This document may contain forward-looking information and statements about ArcelorMittal and its subsidiaries. These statements include financial projections and estimates and their underlying assumptions, statements regarding plans, objectives and expectations

  3. Slide 3: Contents

    Contents 2Q 2024 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY | page 4 APPENDIX | page 16 Page 3

  4. Slide 4: Determined to reach zero harm

    Determined to reach zero harm Company-wide audit of safety practices by dss+ is progressing on schedule. Group lost time injuries frequency rate (LTIFR)1 The groundwork was completed at the end of July 2024 and included:  155 onsite audits of the fatality prevention standards covering the Company’s

  5. Slide 5: Continued strategic progress despite challenging market conditions

    Continued strategic progress despite challenging market conditions Key 1H’24 figures: Organic growth: $1.8bn uplift in EBITDA potential by end 20262 Vega CMC (Brazil) completed 2Q’24 and 1GW India renewables project has begun commissioning; further projects to be completed  $3.8bn EBITDA1 near term

  6. Slide 6: Creating sustainable long-term value

    Creating sustainable long-term value • ArcelorMittal continues to deliver robust results despite challenging market conditions  EBITDA/t consistently above historical levels • Current market conditions are unsustainable  swift and effective responses to unfair trade can support domestic market sha

  7. Slide 7: Robust profitability in the face of challenging circumstances

    Robust profitability in the face of challenging circumstances  Global operating environment has been challenging: EBITDA/t ($/t) − Continued real demand deterioration mainly in Europe with weakness across most end-use markets • Light Vehicle Assembly down -3.3% Jan-May YoY 350 • Manufacturing outpu

  8. Slide 8: We are at a cyclical low – current market conditions are unsustainable

    We are at a cyclical low – current market conditions are unsustainable  Overall demand remains lacklustre; no signs of restocking ArcelorMittal weighted PMI1 chart activity as customers maintain a “wait and see” approach 58 54 48.8  Nevertheless, apparent demand is expected to be higher 50 in 2H’2

  9. Slide 9: ArcelorMittal to benefit from both cyclical recovery and structural growth

    ArcelorMittal to benefit from both cyclical recovery and structural growth Cadence of EBITDA3 benefit from projects ($bn) 2.0 Organic strategic investment Inorganic investments1 0.2  Despite the challenging market environment, the Strategic capex envelope 0.5 Company continues to fund its growth pr

  10. Slide 10: Strategic project delivery: Vega CMC (Brazil) completed

    Strategic project delivery: Vega CMC (Brazil) completed  Increase galvanized and cold rolled coil capacity through a new 700kt continuous annealing and continuous galvanizing combiline  Additional high added value capabilities to serve the domestic market, replacing exported HRC with higher margin

  11. Slide 11: ArcelorMittal's renewable energy portfolio continues to grow

    ArcelorMittal’s renewable energy portfolio continues to grow Renewable energy a key ‘resource’ for decarbonized steel making  Project started commissioning; $0.7bn investment combining solar/wind power (1GW)  AM Green Energy is expected to provide >20% of AMNS India’s Hazira plant electricity Indi

  12. Slide 12: Sustainable Solutions: progress towards the targeted doubling of EBITDA

    Sustainable Solutions: progress towards the targeted doubling of EBITDA in the next 5 years Sustainable Solutions growth drivers: Progress in 1H’24  Develop a portfolio of final products utilising more sustainable  ArcelorMittal Construction acquired Italpannelli Italy steel, and capturing green p

  13. Slide 13: ArcelorMittal significantly expanding its iron ore capacity

    ArcelorMittal significantly expanding its iron ore capacity ArcelorMittal’s mining operations Group iron ore production estimates Mt  Global portfolio of 9 operating iron ore mines +50%  Iron ore self sufficiency of 57% in FY’23 set to increase Future potential includes in future periods +25% Libe

  14. Slide 14: Shareholder returns: 36% of shareholder equity repurchased since Sept'20

    Shareholder returns: 36% of shareholder equity repurchased since Sept’20 Implementation of clearly defined capital return policy: Diluted no. of shares (outstanding1 & MCN) (millions)  First $0.25/sh instalment of $0.50/share base dividend paid in June 2024 (second instalment due in Dec’24) -36% 

  15. Slide 15: Smarter steels for people and planet

    Smarter steels for people and planet  Safety is our number one value Improving  3rd party audit of all our safety practices on track for completion by 3Q’24 safety  While the audit is underway, we are building on and accelerating our existing safety improvement activities  The Company is on the

  16. Slide 16: Appendix

    Appendix 2Q 2024 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE | page 17 STRATEGIC GROWTH| page 25 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT | page 31 OUTLOOK | page 34 Page 16

  17. Slide 17: Financial performance

    Financial performance Page 17

  18. Slide 18: 2Q'24 EBITDA impacted by uncontrollable factors and lower IO price

    2Q’24 EBITDA impacted by uncontrollable factors (Mexico and AMMC) and lower IO price EBITDA1 bridge between 1Q’24 and 2Q’24 ($m)  North America: EBITDA down QoQ  primarily due to the impact of the illegal blockade in Mexico and a negative price-cost 1,956 impact 1,862  Brazil: EBITDA up QoQ  Hig

  19. Slide 19: Balance sheet strength supports consistent investment and returns

    Balance sheet strength supports consistent investment and returns Net debt ($bn)  Net debt increased to $5.2bn at the end of June 30, 2024, as +0.7 compared to $4.8bn at the end of March 31, 2024 4.8 5.2 4.5 4.3  Due to the seasonality of working capital needs, the 2.9 Company believes that a year

  20. Slide 20: Swift & effective responses to market disruption can support domestic industry recovery

    Swift & effective responses to market disruption can support domestic industry recovery EU safeguards  Effective July 1, 2024, the EU extended steel safeguards for another two-years  New 15% HRC quota cap for “other countries” limited to <142kt per quarter1. At least 4 countries exceeded this cap

  21. Slide 21: 1H'24 EBITDA to net result

    1H’24 EBITDA to net result ($ million) BASIC EPS 1H’24 Weighted Av. No. of shares (millions) 802 Earnings per share $1.80 (1,277) (70) (513) 3,818 (516) 1,958 1,442 EBITDA 1 D&A Net interest expense Forex and Pre-tax result Taxes and non- Net income other fin. result controlling interests Page 21 1.

  22. Slide 22: 1H'24 EBITDA to free cash flow

    1H’24 EBITDA to free cash flow ($ million) (1,635) 3,818 (1,210) 973 (2,221) (1,332) (84) EBITDA Change in Net financial cost, Cash flow from Capex Minority dividends Free cash flow working capital 1 tax and others operations Page 22 1. Change in working capital: trade accounts receivable plus inven

  23. Slide 23: 1H'24 Net debt analysis

    1H’24 Net debt analysis ($ million) 1Q’24: Company sold its 4.23% remaining stake in Erdemir ($0.2bn); 2Q’24: receipt of $0.1bn for the first of four annual 34.7m shares installments related to the Kazakhstan sale repurchased and purchase of Italpannelli (Italy/Spain) for $0.2bn 200 82 890 (178) 1,3

  24. Slide 24: Robust balance sheet and strong liquidity

    Robust balance sheet and strong liquidity  positive outlook with both rating agencies Liquidity1 at June 30, 2024 ($bn) Debt maturities at June 30, 2024 ($bn) 11.4 Other loans Commercial paper Cash and cash equivalents 5.9 Bonds 0.8 3.7 0.4 0.8 0.7 Unused credit lines 5.5 0.3 0.9 1.2 1.0 1.0 0.3 Li

  25. Slide 25: Strategic growth

    Strategic growth Page 25

  26. Slide 26: What is driving ArcelorMittal's future growth?

    What is driving ArcelorMittal’s future growth? Population growth Energy transition Driven by emerging markets Steel is a vital enabler 300Mt (+35%) Ex-China steel demand Improving living Supply chain security growth over next decade standards Driven by all markets +100Mt (100%) India Driven by emerg

  27. Slide 27: Capex in 2024 to continue to fund strategic growth and decarbonization

    Capex1 in 2024 to continue to fund strategic growth and decarbonization  1H’24 capex is in line with the FY’24 capex guidance range of $4.5bn-$5.0bn  >30% of capex is being spent on strategic growth projects Capex1 ($bn) Strategic growth capex envelope 1H’242 4.5 - 5.0 Decarbonization 0.3 - 0.4 Ve

  28. Slide 28: Growth: organic investment to support $1.8bn structural EBITDA growth by end 2026

    Growth: organic investment to support $1.8bn structural EBITDA growth by end 20261 12 strategic projects to achieve $1.8bn1 additional EBITDA potential 2H 2021 1H 2024 Projects nearing 2025 2026 completion  Mexico HSM: Increase  Vega (Brazil): Increase  Barra Mansa (Brazil)  AMNS India capacity

  29. Slide 29: Further organic growth plans under development in the US, Liberia and India

    Further organic growth plans under development in the US, Liberia and India US: ArcelorMittal Texas – plans to double capacity  2Mt HBI capacity connected to low cost natural gas  Plant hit production records in 2023  Plans under development to double capacity and Liberia: Optimize ore body to su

  30. Slide 30: Net M&A proceeds of $0.2bn in 1H'24; Vallourec expected to complete in 3Q'24

    Net M&A proceeds of $0.2bn in 1H’24; Vallourec expected to complete in 3Q’24 M&A transactions impacting 1H’24  Italpannelli Italy/Spain: Construction business was acquired for Italy and Spain $0.2bn in 2Q’24  Erdemir stake sale: Company sold its 4.23% remaining stake in  Offering of insulated san

  31. Slide 31: Sustainable development

    Sustainable development Page 31

  32. Slide 32: Leveraging strengths to lead the market in low-emissions steel solutions

    Leveraging strengths to lead the market in low-emissions steel solutions Strengths & advantages: • Existing EAF footprint  36 EAFs in the group (including JVs) • Existing DRI capabilities  we are the world’s largest DRI producer • Innovation  R&D capabilities supporting “smart carbon” steel makin

  33. Slide 33: Low-carbon solutions: continuing to lead the market with the widest offering

    Low-carbon solutions: continuing to lead the market with the widest offering XCarb® Low-Carbon Emissions Steel  Our XCarb® products volumes are on track to double in 2024 vs 2023  Increased our XCarb® recycled and renewably produced (RRP) low-carbon emissions product range: ArcelorMittal Europe-Fl

  34. Slide 34: Outlook

    Outlook Page 34

  35. Slide 35: 2024 apparent demand outlook

    2024 apparent demand outlook Forecast ASC1 demand outlook (2024F vs. 2023) Overall demand outlook for 2024 vs. 2023:  Global ex-China apparent steel consumption (ASC) forecast to grow by +2.5% to +3.0% in 2024 (slightly moderated from previous US Flat2 +1.0% to +3.0% forecast of +3.0% to +4.0% in p

  36. Slide 36: ArcelorMittal contacts

    ArcelorMittal contacts Daniel Fairclough – Global Head Investor Relations Benoit Cuisiniere – Manager Investor Relations (France) daniel.fairclough@arcelormittal.com +44 207 543 1105 benoit.cuisiniere@arcelormittal.com +33 1 57 95 50 38 Hetal Patel – General Manager Investor Relations Victoria Irvin

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