Dow Inc. · NYSE:DOW

Dow — Q2 2022 Earnings Presentation

27 slides from Dow's earnings presentation, Jul 21, 2022

  1. Slide 1: 2Q 2022 Results

    22S 2Q 2022 RESULTS July 21, 2022

  2. Slide 2: Agenda

    AGENDA • Quarterly Results 2Q 2022 • Operating Segment Performance R E S U LT S • Outlook • Advancing “Decarbonize & Grow” 2

  3. Slide 3: 2Q 2022 Performance Highlights

    2Q 2022 PERFORMANCE HIGHLIGHTS ▪ Team Dow delivered top-line growth, both YoY and QoQ ▪ Net sales up 13% YoY, with gains in all operating segments and regions $15.7B ➢ Local price increased 16% YoY and 6% QoQ NET SALES ➢ Volume was consistent YoY and down 2% QoQ ▪ Generated $1.9B of cash flow from o

  4. Slide 4: 2Q 2022 Operating Segment Performance

    2Q 2022 OPERATING SEGMENT PERFORMANCE REVENUE ($MM) Sales ↑ 16%; Volume ↑ 5%; Price ↑ 14% Op. EBIT ($MM) & Op. EBIT Margin % Op. EBIT ↓ 29%; Margins ↓ 1090 bps Specialty Plastics Y-o-Y Y-o-Y 2,014 9,0 00 Price gains in both businesses and all regions; Price gains more than offset by rapidly Packagin

  5. Slide 5: Competitively Advantaged to Navigate Market Dynamics

    COMPETITIVELY ADVANTAGED TO NAVIGATE MARKET DYNAMICS USGC Feedstock Advantage Remains Robust + China Imports up in both May and June Packaging + U.S. Retail Sales, excluding auto, increased 1% in June Oil-to-Gas Spreads ($/boe) - Global GDP for FY22 revised down to 2.5 – 3.0% 2022 YTD Avg. ~70 2019

  6. Slide 6: 3Q22 Modeling Guidance

    3Q22 MODELING GUIDANCE Navigating Near-Term Supply Imbalances Net Sales ~$14.3 – $14.8B Depreciation & Amortization ~$700MM Quarterly Operational Tax Rate ~20 – 24% Net Interest Expense (Net of Int. Income) ~$125MM Net Income Attrib. to Non-Controlling Int. ~$25MM Average Share Count ~720MM Top-Line

  7. Slide 7: FY 2022 Modeling Considerations & Latest Updates

    FY 2022 MODELING CONSIDERATIONS & LATEST UPDATES [POSITIVE / NEGATIVE] Cash Flow Considerations in 2022 Dividends from Operating EBIT Drivers vs. FY21 ~$900MM (up ~$600MM YoY) Equity Companies Equity Earnings Down ~$300-400MM YoY (net of T/As) Pension ~$250MM (~$1B lower YoY) Pension Expense ~$FLAT

  8. Slide 8: Advancing Our 2030 Decarbonize & Grow Roadmap

    ADVANCING OUR 2030 DECARBONIZE & GROW ROADMAP Expect to grow capacity and underlying earnings by >$3B/year while reducing CO2 emissions by ~30%1 Renewable Energy EDH Renewable energy, asset & Efficiency Innovation, FCDh LA3 E-cracking EDH pilot plant ~2025 optimization, efficiency actions Commercial

  9. Slide 9: Progressing on Our Path to Grow Underlying Earnings

    PROGRESSING ON OUR PATH TO GROW UNDERLYING EARNINGS Ramping Higher-Return, Accelerating Circularity Capability Delivering on Efficiency Levers Faster-Payback Investments EBITDA Run-Rate Growth Investments Add Partnerships “Stop the Waste” Digital and Restructuring (%) Mechanical Recycling 1MM mta Ta

  10. Slide 10: Capital Structure

    DISCIPLINED EXECUTION ENABLES RESILIENCY ACROSS DYNAMIC ENVIRONMENTS Enhanced Financial Performance and Capital Structure $6.0 Near-Term Debt Maturities Reduced by ~$7B In $B ~$8B Near-Term Maturities At Spin3 Key Metrics At Spin 2Q22 At Spin Today $4.0 EBITDA (3-Year Avg.)1 $8.2B $9.3B CASH FLOW EA

  11. Slide 11: Appendix

    APPENDIX

  12. Slide 12: 2Q 2022 Financial Highlights

    2Q 2022 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS YoY Operating EPS Reconciliation Key Drivers in the Quarter YoY • Margin expansion due to pricing gains $2.72 $2.31 for silicones and coatings applications • Growth and efficiency levers improving underlying earnings 2Q21 PM&C Growth Equity Turnarounds Raw Below the 2Q22

  13. Slide 13: Principal Joint Venture Detail

    PRINCIPAL JOINT VENTURE DETAIL Dow’s Proportional Share of Principal JV Financial Results Drivers of 2Q 2022 2Q 2021 1Q 2022 JV Performance $ millions (unaudited) Kuwait Thai Kuwait Thai Kuwait Thai ▪ All YoY and QoQ: Impacted by Sadara JVs JVs Sadara JVs JVs Sadara JVs JVs pandemic-related lockdown

  14. Slide 14: Operating Earnings Per Share (EPS) Reconciliation

    OPERATING EARNINGS PER SHARE (EPS) RECONCILIATION Significant Items Impacting Results for the Three Months Ended Jun 30, 2022 In millions, except per share amounts (Unaudited) Pretax 1 Net Income 2 EPS 3 Reported results $ 2,169 $ 1,661 $ 2.26 Less: Significant items Digitalization program costs (51

  15. Slide 15: Operating (EPS) Reconciliation (Continued)

    OPERATING (EPS) RECONCILIATION (CONTINUED) Significant Items Impacting Results for the Six Months Ended Jun 30, 2022 In millions, except per share amounts (Unaudited) Pretax 1 Net Income 2 EPS 3 Reported results $ 4,224 $ 3,230 $ 4.37 Less: Significant items Digitalization program costs (92) (72) (0

  16. Slide 16: Operating (EPS) Reconciliation (Continued)

    OPERATING (EPS) RECONCILIATION (CONTINUED) Significant Items Impacting Results for the Three Months Ended Mar 31, 2022 In millions, except per share amounts (Unaudited) Pretax 1 Net Income 2 EPS 3 Reported results $ 2,055 $ 1,569 $ 2.11 Less: Significant items Digitalization program costs (41) (32)

  17. Slide 17: Reconciliation of Net Income to Operating EBIT & Operating EBITDA

    RECONCILIATION OF NET INCOME TO OPERATING EBIT & OPERATING EBITDA Reconciliation of "Net income (loss)" to "Operating EBIT" Three Months Ended Six Months Ended and "Operating EBITDA" In millions (Unaudited) Jun 30, 2020 Jun 30, 2021 Sep 30, 2021 Dec 31, 2021 Mar 31, 2022 Jun 30, 2022 Jun 30, 2022 Ju

  18. Slide 18: Reconciliation of Income from Continuing Operations to Pro Forma Operating EBIT and EBITDA

    RECONCILIATION OF "INCOME (LOSS) FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS, NET OF TAX" TO "PRO FORMA OPERATING EBIT" AND "PRO FORMA OPERATING EBITDA" Reconciliation of "Income (Loss) from Continuing Operations, net of Twelve Months Ended tax" to "Pro Forma Operating EBIT" and "Pro Forma Operating EBITDA" In milli

  19. Slide 19: Segment Information

    SEGMENT INFORMATION Net Sales by Segment Three Months Three Months Ended Six Months Ended Ended In millions (Unaudited) Mar 31, 2022 Jun 30, 2022 Jun 30, 2021 Jun 30, 2022 Jun 30, 2021 Packaging & Specialty Plastics $ 7,627 $ 8,233 $ 7,121 $ 15,860 $ 13,203 Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure

  20. Slide 20: Segment Information (Continued)

    SEGMENT INFORMATION (CONTINUED) Adjusted Operating EBIT by Segment Three Months Three Months Ended Six Months Ended Ended In millions (Unaudited) Mar 31, 2022 Jun 30, 2022 Jun 30, 2021 Jun 30, 2022 Jun 30, 2021 Packaging & Specialty Plastics $ 1,124 $ 1,298 $ 1,884 $ 2,422 $ 3,006 Industrial Interme

  21. Slide 21: Cash Conversion and Free Cash Flow Reconciliation

    CASH CONVERSION AND FREE CASH FLOW RECONCILIATION Reconciliation of Cash Flow Conversion Three Months Ended In millions (Unaudited) Mar 31, 2019 Jun 30, 2021 Sep 30, 2021 Dec 31, 2021 Mar 31, 2022 Jun 30, 2022 Cash provided by operating activities - continuing operations (GAAP) $ 1,043 $ 2,021 $ 2,7

  22. Slide 22: Free Cash Flow Reconciliation (Continued)

    FREE CASH FLOW RECONCILIATION (CONTINUED) Reconciliation of Free Cash Flow Twelve Months Ended In millions (Unaudited) Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2019 Cash provided by (used for) operating activities - continuing operations (GAAP) $ (6,443) $ 3,096 $ 5,713 Impact of ASU 2016-15 and additional

  23. Slide 23: Reconciliation of Operating Return on Capital (ROC)

    RECONCILIATION OF OPERATING RETURN ON CAPITAL (ROC) Reconciliation of Operating Return on Capital (ROC) Three Months Ended In millions (Unaudited) Jun 30, 2022 Jun 30, 2021 Net income $ 1,661 $ 1,901 - Significant items, after tax (37) (160) Operating Net Income (non-GAAP) $ 1,698 $ 2,061 Net income

  24. Slide 24: Reconciliation of Net Debt

    RECONCILIATION OF NET DEBT Reconciliation of Net Debt In millions (Unaudited) Jun 30, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Notes payable $ 295 $ 161 Long-term debt due within one year 361 231 Long-term debt 13,065 14,280 Gross debt (GAAP) $ 13,721 $ 14,672 - Cash and cash equivalents 2,367 2,988 - Marketable securitie

  25. Slide 25: General Comments

    GENERAL COMMENTS Background On April 1, 2019, DowDuPont completed the separation of its materials science business and Dow Inc. became the direct parent company of TDCC, owning all of the outstanding common shares of TDCC. For filings related to the period commencing April 1, 2019 and thereafter, TD

  26. Slide 26: Safe Harbor

    SAFE HARBOR Cautionary Statement about Forward-Looking Statements Certain statements in this report are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the federal securities laws, including Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1

  27. Slide 27: Non-GAAP & Definitions

    NON-GAAP & DEFINITIONS Non-GAAP Financial Measures This presentation includes information that does not conform to U.S. GAAP and are considered non-GAAP measures. Management uses these measures internally for planning, forecasting and evaluating the performance of the Company's segments, including a

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