Aeci Ltd · JSE:AFE

Aeci — H1 2017 Earnings Presentation

57 slides from Aeci's earnings presentation, Jul 26, 2017

  1. Slide 1: Financial Results Presentation for the Half-Year Ended 30 June 2017

    FINANCIAL RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE HALF-YEAR ENDED 30 JUNE 2017 26 AND 27 JULY 2017

  2. Slide 2: PERFORMANCE SUMMARY SEGMENTAL PERFORMANCE BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT

    1 PERFORMANCE SUMMARY 4 SEGMENTAL PERFORMANCE 2 BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT 5 STRATEGIC PILLAR UPDATE 3 RESULTS ANALYSED 6 OUTLOOK

  3. Slide 3: Performance Summary

    1 PERFORMANCE SUMMARY

  4. Slide 4: Performance Summary

    3 PERFORMANCE SUMMARY › Resilient overall performance in extremely difficult environment › Profit from operations +19% › HEPS +32% to 386c › 1H16 profit from operations and HEPS impacted by PRMA settlement cost › Good cash generation continued » Disciplined capex management » Borrowings lower vs 1H1

  5. Slide 5: Safety: All Workers TRIR

    4 SAFETY: ALL WORKERS TRIR

  6. Slide 6: Business Environment

    2 BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT OA=CI good chemistry

  7. Slide 7: Business Environment: Global

    6 BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT: GLOBAL › Growth expected to strengthen to 2,7% » Pick-up in manufacturing and trade » Rising confidence » Favourable global financing conditions » Commodity prices stabilised › Oil price firmer vs 1H16 › More robust demand from China › Mining » Mining houses remain cautious »

  8. Slide 8: Business Environment: Africa, excl. SA

    7 BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT: AFRICA, EXCL. SA › Some recovery after sharp slowdown in ’16 › Growth of 2,6% forecast for sub-Saharan Africa in ’17 » Strengthening external demand, particularly from China » Higher metal prices › Foreign exchange controls and foreign currency shortages › Revival of regulato

  9. Slide 9: Business Environment: South Africa

    8 BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT: SOUTH AFRICA › Low business confidence and consumers under pressure › Technical recession › Sovereign credit rating downgrades › Political/policy uncertainty › Stronger ZAR/US$ exchange rate › Higher commodity prices » But lower ammonia price › Higher mining production › Manu

  10. Slide 10: Historical Price Performance – Gold, Platinum and Copper

    9 BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT HISTORICAL PRICE PERFORMANCE – GOLD, PLATINUM AND COPPER Source: SNL

  11. Slide 11: Historical Price Performance – Coal and Iron Ore

    10 BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT HISTORICAL PRICE PERFORMANCE – COAL AND IRON ORE Source: SNL

  12. Slide 12: Brent Crude Oil

    11 BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT BRENT CRUDE OIL Source: iress

  13. Slide 13: Ammonia

    12 BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT AMMONIA Source: AEL

  14. Slide 14: ZAR/US$ Exchange Rate

    13 BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT ZAR/US$ EXCHANGE RATE Source: iress

  15. Slide 15: SA Mining Volumes

    14 BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT SA MINING VOLUMES Source: Stats SA

  16. Slide 16: SA Manufacturing Volumes

    15 BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT SA MANUFACTURING VOLUMES Source: Stats SA

  17. Slide 17: Results Analysed

    3 RESULTS ANALYSED

  18. Slide 18: Earnings Analysed

    17 EARNINGS ANALYSED › Profit from operations +19% to R677m » Underlying -3% › EBITDA +9,2% to R980m › HEPS +32% to 386c » Underlying +2% to 393c › Trading margin = 8,0% (’16: 6,3%) › Tax rate 31% (’16: 31%) » Foreign withholding tax › RONA of 14,8% (13,0% in ’16) » Target >20% › GCR rating of “A” w

  19. Slide 19: Group Underlying Performance

    18 GROUP UNDERLYING PERFORMANCE

  20. Slide 20: Cash Generation and Utilisation

    19 CASH GENERATION AND UTILISATION › Cash of R1 102m generated › Capex controlled to R261m – below depreciation and amortisation » R91m for expansion projects › NWC to revenue: 18,5% (17,9% in Jun ’16) » Customers delayed remittances » High sales in Jun » Lower volumes procured » Lower payables › Ne

  21. Slide 21: Segmental Performance

    4 SEGMENTAL PERFORMANCE

  22. Slide 22: Profit from Operations by Segment

    21 PROFIT FROM OPERATIONS BY SEGMENT

  23. Slide 23: Analysis of Corporate Costs

    22 ANALYSIS OF CORPORATE COSTS

  24. Slide 24: Property

    23 PROPERTY › Huntsman Tioxide, major site customer at Umbogintwini, closed late in ’16 › Offset by » Benefits of lower cost base » Shanghai Zendai management contract extended, at Modderfontein, to March ’18 » Good occupancy rates maintained at 90% by leasing business » Good efficiencies in Umbogin

  25. Slide 25: Explosives

    A=Cr good chemistry

  26. Slide 26: Explosives: Performance

    25 EXPLOSIVES: PERFORMANCE › Volumes flat overall › Excellent TP improvement in context of » Stronger ZAR/US$ rate ~ 60% of revenue generated outside SA » Lower ammonia price › Good cost control › Good product and customer mix

  27. Slide 27: Explosives: South Africa

    26 EXPLOSIVES: SOUTH AFRICA › Explosives volumes +1% » Benefit of market share gains iron ore and uranium mining sectors » Improved activity in coal mining sector » Improved offtake also by gold mining customers › Initiating systems volumes +3% » Opportunistic sales after competitor declared force m

  28. Slide 28: Explosives: Rest of Africa

    27 EXPLOSIVES: REST OF AFRICA › Volumes -2,4% › North Africa » Contract in Egypt lost Dec. ’16 and equipment relocated › West and East Africa » Slow start in West Africa » Five contracts gained ~ Mobilisation in progress › Central Africa » Mining operations resumed after extensive care and maintenan

  29. Slide 29: Explosives: Asia Pacific

    28 EXPLOSIVES: ASIA PACIFIC › Profitability improvement in region continued » Overall volumes -1,5% » Good cost control › Indonesia » New contract signed – commencing 2H17 » Renegotiating terms of engagement with explosives licensee › Australia » Tropical Cyclone Debbie in Queensland » New business

  30. Slide 30: Specialty Chemicals Segment

    29 SPECIALTY CHEMICALS SEGMENT

  31. Slide 31: Specialty Chemicals Segment: Revenue of R4 909m

    30 SPECIALTY CHEMICALS SEGMENT: REVENUE OF R4 909m REVENUE BY MARKET SECTOR (%)

  32. Slide 32: Specialty Chemicals: Performance

    31 SPECIALTY CHEMICALS: PERFORMANCE › Resilient result in context of » Strong ZAR » Effects of severe drought in Western Cape » Closure of Huntsman Tioxide » Delayed exports

  33. Slide 33: Specialty Chemicals

    32 SPECIALTY CHEMICALS › Overall volumes -2,4% » Manufactured +4,7% » Traded -14,2% › Senmin exports delayed to 2H17 › Noteworthy performance from Experse » Volume growth (local and export) › Nulandis hampered by drought effects in winter rainfall areas › Solid results from ImproChem » Growth in Min

  34. Slide 34: Strategic Pillar Update

    9 STRATEGIC PILLAR UPDATE OA=CI’ good chemistry

  35. Slide 35: Revenue by Strategic Pillar

    34 REVENUE BY STRATEGIC PILLAR

  36. Slide 36: Mining

    35 MINING

  37. Slide 37: Mining: International Footprint

    36 MINING: INTERNATIONAL FOOTPRINT

  38. Slide 38: Group Revenue by Mineral Mined (%)

    37 GROUP REVENUE BY MINERAL MINED (%)

  39. Slide 39: Pre-operational Mining Projects: Africa

    38 PRE-OPERATIONAL MINING PROJECTS: AFRICA

  40. Slide 40: Pre-operational Mining Projects: Australia

    39 PRE-OPERATIONAL MINING PROJECTS: AUSTRALIA

  41. Slide 41: Explosives: Mako Mine – Senegal

    40 EXPLOSIVES: MAKO MINE – SENEGAL MOBILISING ASSETS. BLASTING SCHEDULED AUG ’17

  42. Slide 42: Explosives: Mako Mine – Senegal Cont.

    41 EXPLOSIVES: MAKO MINE – SENEGAL CONT.

  43. Slide 43: Explosives: Burkina Faso – Houndé Gold

    42 EXPLOSIVES: BURKINA FASO – HOUNDÉ GOLD

  44. Slide 44: Explosives: Burkina Faso – Boungou Natougou

    43 EXPLOSIVES: BURKINA FASO – BOUNGOU NATOUGOU

  45. Slide 45: Mining Chemicals

    44 MINING CHEMICALS

  46. Slide 46: Water

    AD water OA=Cr good chemistry ImproChem Wiater& Eneray Solutions

  47. Slide 47: Water: Global Trends

    A=Cr good chemistry GLOBAL TRENDS 39% 2/ EXPECTED GROWTH OF GLOBAL YEAR AGING GLOBAL IN GLOBAL POPULATION INFRASTRUCTURE POPULATION WATER DEMAND WILL-NOT HAVE IN MATURE BY 2050 BY 2050 ACCESS.10 MARKETS CLEAN WATER

  48. Slide 48: Agriculture

    A=CI good chemistr ULANDIS AGRICULTURE

  49. Slide 49: Agriculture

    A=Cr good chemistry

  50. Slide 50: Food

    49 FOOD

  51. Slide 51: Innovation Project

    50 INNOVATION PROJECT › Objective: increase Group revenue and profitability » Ideation Platform ~ Significant internal adoption and progress made » Growth office: AECI.GO ~ Growth themes identified ~ Good progress in technology partnerships with universities and research institutions locally and ove

  52. Slide 52: AECI.GO

    51 AECI.GO FOUR BROAD INNOVATION THEMES AECI.GO focus area Market Integrated Green Exponential Expansion Solutions Chemistry Market sector Solutions/offerings Innovative solutions Chemical acquisition through that spans across that result in alternatives, geographic and more than one improved human

  53. Slide 53: US$5m Strategic Investment: Origin Materials

    52 US$5m STRATEGIC INVESTMENT: ORIGIN MATERIALS POSITIONS AECI IN RENEWABLE CHEMICALS AS PREFERRED INDUSTRIALISATION AND APPLICATIONS DEVELOPMENT PARTNER WITH ACCESS TO AFRICA AND THE GLOBE And making new chemistry matter › Renewable chemicals start-up US$45bn 100% › Entered the commercialisation ph

  54. Slide 54: Outlook

    6 OUTLOOK

  55. Slide 55: Outlook

    54 OUTLOOK › Global mining activity gaining momentum » Positive for Group’s Mining pillar » New contracts and increased market share » Footprint expanded » Good order book for mining chemicals › No significant improvement in SA manufacturing sector anticipated to year-end. However » Good opportuniti

  56. Slide 56: Disclaimer

    55 DISCLAIMER This document has been prepared and issued by and is the sole responsibility of the management of AECI Ltd (the “Company”) and its subsidiaries. This document does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or s

  57. Slide 57: Thank You

    THANK YOU

AECI — H1 2017 Earnings Presentation on 6ix