Axactor Asa · OSL:ACR

Axactor Asa — Q4 2019 Earnings Presentation

38 slides from Axactor Asa's earnings presentation, Feb 12, 2020

  1. Slide 1: Q4 & FY 2019

    AXACTOR Q4 & FY 2019 12 February, 2020

  2. Slide 2: Secured new funding to deliver on profitable growth strategy

    Secured new funding to deliver on profitable growth strategy 1 Axactor’s scalable model proven with doubling of the 2019 EBITDA and 430% YoY growth in Earnings Before Tax 2 Attractive NPL market development with price levels down and IRRs up 3 Equity issue of EUR 51 million in Q1’20 to deliver on pr

  3. Slide 3: Growth strategy to drive scale benefits, profits and ROE

    Growth strategy to drive scale benefits, profits and ROE Group revenue 12 months rolling 368 (EUR million) 344 313 288 • Industry challenger rising to Europe’s top 10 in 4 years 239 • People, systems and funding 199 enablers of the 2015-2019 growth 166 • 2020: People and systems in place 126 105 – s

  4. Slide 4: Built a next-generation debt management company

    Built a next-generation debt management company • Axactor is an industry challenger providing innovative, cost efficient and IT powered debt management solutions • Debt purchase, debt collection and accounts receivables management are the main business activities • Operations in six sound markets on

  5. Slide 5: Q4 2019 - Key highlights

    Q4 2019 - Key highlights Gross revenue EBITDA and margin Cash EBITDA ERC (EUR million) (EUR million and %) (EUR million) (EUR million) 110 100 2 189 90 +32% 20 +22% +50% +32% 151 80 1 663 274 70 60 2 038 50 10 40 29% 32% 30 1 388 20 75 99 20 24 45 67 10 0 0 Q4 2018 Q4 2019 Q4 2018 Q4 2019 Q4 2018 Q4

  6. Slide 6: 2019 - Key highlights

    2019 - Key highlights Gross revenue EBITDA and margin Cash EBITDA ERC (EUR million) (EUR million and %) (EUR million) (EUR million) ,30 5 2 189 ,29 5 80 ,28 5 ,27 5 151 ,26 5 ,25 5 ,24 5 +54% 70 +99% +84% +32% ,23 5 ,22 5 ,21 5 ,20 5 60 1 663 274 ,19 5 ,18 5 50 ,17 5 ,16 5 ,15 5 ,14 5 40 2 038 ,13 5

  7. Slide 7: Growth and margin improvement

    Growth and margin improvement Gross revenue development EBITDA and EBITDA-margin Cash EBITDA (EUR million) (EUR million and %) (EUR million) 36% 99 91 91 31% 32% 87 30% 26 29% 65 67 24 75 22 59 60 67 20 20 21% 20% 57 17% 45 41 41 33 11 10 6 18 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

  8. Slide 8: Growth in all three business areas

    Growth in all three business areas Gross revenue development Strong YoY revenue growth FY 2019: (EUR million) • Total 54% 99 91 91 • NPL +86% 87 • 3PC +11% 75 67 • REO +31% 57 41 Continued YoY growth Q4 2019: • Total 32% • NPL +54% • 3PC +6% Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4

  9. Slide 9: NPL portfolio

    NPL portfolio Q4 2019

  10. Slide 10: QoQ NPL growth – capex mainly deployed in forward flow

    QoQ NPL growth – capex mainly deployed in forward flow NPL gross revenue development Quarterly NPL investments (EUR million) (EUR million) 329 61 52 54 50 40 149 31 25 95 86 21 69 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2020 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 ESP NOR DEU SWE

  11. Slide 11: Collection performance below expected long-term average

    Collection performance below expected long-term average Actual collection vs. active forecast* (LTM, rolling) • Negative effect from one-offs in the quarter: 112% 108% 106% • Postal strike in Finland during seasonally strong December 100% 101% 101% 97% 94% 95% 95% 98% • Delays in collection from the

  12. Slide 12: Unsecured NPL claims accounts for vast majority of total

    Unsecured NPL claims accounts for vast majority of total Share of secured and unsecured (%) • Focus on unsecured consumer loans ERC • Opportunistic approach to secured NPL 3% • Currently less than 6% of total NPL book value consist of secured NPL claims • Average claim size in secured NPL book is ap

  13. Slide 13: Forward flow outlook

    Forward flow outlook Estimated FF investments from signed contracts • Total estimated forward flow volume of EUR 190m (EUR million) in 2020 (at reporting date) • Selective approach given upwards trend in IRRs 27 • Renegotiating and discontinuing existing contracts 24 23 22 23 23 • Focusing on combin

  14. Slide 14: NPL: Increasing and balanced portfolio

    NPL: Increasing and balanced portfolio ERC development Forward ERC profile by year (EUR million) (EUR million) 2 500 300 258 275 2 038 243 2 000 1 877 250 1 721 225 207 1 473 200 183 1 500 1 388 175 158 144 131 150 119 1 000 125 109 100 92 100 85 78 71 75 60 500 50 25 0 0 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3

  15. Slide 15: Increased Nordic exposure to benefit from attractive market opportunity

    Increased Nordic exposure to benefit from attractive market opportunity NPL ERC (EUR million, % of total) 2 500 2 038 2 000 • EUR ~400m invested in 2019 in NPL 1 388 1 500 54% portfolios • EUR 234m invested in Nordic forward flows from major consumer banks during 2019 1 000 65% 46% 500 35% 0 Q4 2018

  16. Slide 16: 3PC

    3PC Q4 2019

  17. Slide 17: Growing asset-light 3PC business

    Growing asset-light 3PC business Gross revenue 3PC • +11% YoY growth in 2019 (EUR million) 18 • Focus on combined forward flow and 3PC deals 16 • Product synergies in business origination, collection execution 16 and data generation 16 14 15 • Expecting more forward flow agreements with initial 3PC

  18. Slide 18: Building for the future of debt management

    Building for the future of debt management 3PC revenue split by geographic region FIN; 3% • Increasing the Nordic 3PC business • Synergies to be extracted from cross-border deals ITA; 6% • Seeking combined 3PC and forward flow deals to improve collection performance and profitability DEU; 17% Q4’19

  19. Slide 19: REO portfolio

    REO portfolio Q4 2019

  20. Slide 20: Maintained high REO revenue on declining asset base

    Maintained high REO revenue on declining asset base REO gross revenue development (EUR million) • Revenue up 5% compared to Q4’18 on lower asset base 7 388 30 8 000.0 • Large bulk sale accounting for EUR 2.3 million (106 assets) 6 703 6 323 7 000.0 6 161 • 595 units sold in Q4, 12% up from Q3 5 773

  21. Slide 21: Book value of EUR 129m at year-end 2019

    Book value of EUR 129m at year-end 2019 REO: ERC profile (EUR million) 80 75 • ERC decreased by 22% in the quarter Total ERC: • ERC adjusted to reflect expected discount level going forward 70 EUR 151m 61 • EUR 5m discount vs ERC in Q4 • EUR 16m reduction of future ERC 60 • REO represents 7% of Grou

  22. Slide 22: Financials

    Financials Q4 2019

  23. Slide 23: Contribution per segment

    Contribution per segment Contribution per segment* Total: (EUR million) - Excluding unallocated overhead cost • Contribution margin of 48% in Q4, compared to 45% last year 35 35 36 NPL: 2 1 1 31 3 29 • Contribution margin of 75% (80%) 6 5 4 8 1 • Portfolio amortization and revaluation of EUR 24.0m (

  24. Slide 24: Net finance, tax and net profits

    Net finance, tax and net profits Condensed Income statement (EUR thousand) EUR thousand For the quarter end 31 Dec 2019 31 Dec 2018 31 Dec 2019 YTD 31 Dec 2018 • Total net financial cost of EUR 12.5m EBIT 20,998 17,885 82,025 40,298 • Interest cost of EUR 13.9 Financial revenue 526 58 2,787 453 Fina

  25. Slide 25: Minority shareholders in both NPL and REOs

    Minority shareholders in both NPL and REOs - Axactor REO exposure down to ~3% of total ERC Total ERC exposure (EUR million) • Axactor has approximately 40% of the total exposure for REO 2 189 151 7% • Minority shareholders in both Reolux and its 1 771 subsidiaries 3% 60 • Axactor’s share of REO amou

  26. Slide 26: Axactor's growth yields scale benefits and higher profits

    Axactor’s growth yields scale benefits and higher profits Local SG&A, IT & corporate expenses % of net revenue vs EBITDA (LTM, EUR million) 29.8 % 100 30 % 92 million 20 % 14.5 % 50 10 % 0 0% Q1-18 Q2-18 Q3-18 Q4-18 Q1-19 Q2-19 Q3-19 Q4-19 EBITDA Local SG&A, IT and corporate cost % Net revenue 26

  27. Slide 27: Axactor's growing profitability to improve ROE over time

    Axactor’s growing profitability to improve ROE over time Return on Equity* Drivers 2019 2020 (%) • NPL portfolio prices • IRR increased during the • Improved IRR levels to be year blended in over time • Economies of scale • EBITDA margin up 10 • Stabilizing while awating 5.8 % percentage points YoY

  28. Slide 28: Funding has supported a fast-growing asset base

    Funding has supported a fast-growing asset base Assets Equity and Liabilities (EUR million) (EUR million) • Portfolios represent the vast majority of the asset 40% 150 0 1,372 1,372 base 1,108 1,108 35% 100 0 • Debt has increased following portfolio acquisitions 30% 30% • Expect equity ratio at appr

  29. Slide 29: Current funding structure

    Current funding structure EUR million 75 Revolving Credit Facility 425 50 Bond 200 Axactor Invest 1, senior debt 120 Reolux/Nomura REO financing 53 Axactor Invest 1, mezzanine 140 Option 31.12.2019 30.12.2020 30.12.2021 30.12.2022 • Net interest bearing debt of EUR 858 million • Increased funding by

  30. Slide 30: Outlook & Summary

    Outlook & Summary Q4 2019

  31. Slide 31: Attractive market opportunity

    Attractive market Axactor IRR improved from around 10%, to: opportunity Large volumes of NPL coming to market 12%-14% HQ NPL price levels down – IRRs up 3PC & ARM growth – new products emerging 11%-13% Industry consolidation 11%-12% 11%-13% 31

  32. Slide 32: Summary

    Summary • YoY growth in all three business areas • Growth drives scale benefits, profits and ROE • Earnings before tax growth of 430% • People, systems and funding enablers of growth • Secured new equity funding of EUR 51 million to deliver on profitable growth strategy • Attractive market opportuni

  33. Slide 33: Appendix

    Appendix

  34. Slide 34: P&L statement

    P&L statement For the quarter end YTD EUR thousand 31 Dec 2019 31 Dec 2018 31 Dec 2019 31 Dec 2018 Interest income from purchased loan portfolios 37,239 22,289 134,531 74,536 Net gain/loss purchased loan portfolios -412 10,751 -319 10,599 Other operating revenue 36,865 34,994 148,926 121,774 Other r

  35. Slide 35: Balance sheet statement

    Balance sheet statement EUR thousand 31 Dec 2019 31 Dec 2018 EUR thousand 31 Dec 2019 31 Dec 2018 ASSETS EQUITY AND LIABILITIES Intangible non-current assets Equity attributable to equity holders of the parent Intangible Assets 21 487 19 170 Share Capital 81,338 81,115 Goodwill 56 170 55 577 Other p

  36. Slide 36: Legal organization February 2020

    Legal organization February 2020 Axactor SE (Norway) Axactor Incentive AB Axactor Invest 1 S.à r.l.* 50% (Sweden) (to be discontinued) (Luxembourg) 50% Axactor Platform Holding AB Axactor Portfolio Holding AB Axactor Italy Holding Reolux Holding S.à r.l. S.r.l. (Italy) (Sweden) (Sweden) Axactor Finl

  37. Slide 37: axactor.com

    axactor.com AXACTOR

  38. Slide 38: Slide 38

Axactor — Q4 2019 Earnings Presentation on 6ix