J D Wetherspoon Plc · LSE:JDW

J D Wetherspoon — H1 2020 Earnings Presentation

30 slides from J D Wetherspoon's earnings presentation, Mar 20, 2020

  1. Slide 1: Interim Presentation 20 March 2020

    INTERIM PRESENTATION 20 MARCH 2020 0

  2. Slide 2: Financial Summary

    Financial Summary H1 H1 2020 2019 Var% 2019 2018 20172 2016 2015 2014 2013 20122 2011 2010 Revenue 933.0 889.6 +4.9% 1,818.8 1,693.8 1,660.8 1,595.2 1,513.9 1,409.3 1,280.9 1,197.1 1,072.0 996.3 (£m) Like-for-like sales +5.0% +6.3% +6.8% +5.0% +4.0% +3.4% +3.3% +5.5% +5.8% +3.2% +2.1% +0.1% Profit b

  3. Slide 3: Average Weekly Total Sales Per Pub

    Average Weekly Total Sales Per Pub (including VAT) £000 49.5 50 48.0 46.8 48 44.4 46 44 41.7 42 39.0 40 37.4 38 36.0 36 34.0 34 32.3 31.1 32 30.1 30 28 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 H1 H1 2019 2020 2

  4. Slide 4: Underlying Earnings Per Share

    Underlying Earnings Per Share* pence 80 76.5 75 70.2 66.6 70 65 60 55 48.0 47.6 50 44.7 43.8 43.5 41.3 45 40 34.9 35.3 33.9 35 30 25 20 15 10 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 H1 H1 2019 2020 *Underlying earnings per share are before exceptional items and exclude gains/losses on prop

  5. Slide 5: Like-for-like Performance

    Like-for-like Performance H1 H1 % 2020 2019 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 Bar +4.2 +5.9 +5.8 +5.1 +3.1 +3.3 +1.2 +2.7 +3.8 +2.8 +1.7 -0.8 Food +5.6 +7.1 +8.3 +5.1 +5.7 +3.5 +7.3 +12.0 +10.9 +4.8 +4.2 +0.1 Fruit/slot +20.3 +5.7 +10.3 +2.9 -1.2 -2.2 -2.8 -3.1 +0.4 -2.8 -3.9 +12.1 m

  6. Slide 6: 10 Year Operating Profit

    10 Year Operating Profit H1 H1 £m 20202 2019 2019 2018 20171 2016 2015 2014 2013 20121 2011 2010 Turnover 933.0 889.6 1,818.8 1,693.8 1,660.8 1,595.2 1,513.9 1,409.3 1,280.9 1,197.1 1,072.0 996.3 Pub profit (pre repairs) 192.2 169.6 349.7 338.6 330.6 288.3 285.4 284.4 259.0 245.4 226.8 218.5 Repairs

  7. Slide 7: Half Year Cost Increases

    Half Year Cost Increases • Wages: +8.4% (+£25.3m) • Repairs: +28.3% (+£10.2m) • Interest: +8.8% (+£1.5m) • Utilities : +5.1% (+£1.4m) 6

  8. Slide 8: Allocation of Resources

    Allocation of Resources Dividend £13m Freehold reversions and investment properties £15m Share buybacks £24m £15m £13m £14m Capex on new and existing pubs £22m £16m £89m £13m £25m £5m £36m £5m £13m £15m £8m £8m £52m £33m £23m £77m £54m £28m £15m £71m £26m £8m £8m £5m £154m £151m £6m £52m £121m £115m

  9. Slide 9: Cash Capital Expenditure

    Cash Capital Expenditure H1 H1 £m 2020 2019 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 New Openings: Acquisition and development costs: Current year 14.0 4.3 19.8 32.0 27.2 38.6 76.5 64.5 40.4 57.2 74.0 45.2 Future year 20.8 11.0 7.5 14.4 13.1 16.6 30.5 33.2 12.8 10.4 9.0 12.5 Freehold revers

  10. Slide 10: Movement in Net Debt

    Movement in Net Debt H1 H1 £m 2020 2019 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 Opening Net Debt 737.0 726.2 726.2 696.3 650.8 601.1 556.6 474.2 462.6 437.7 388.4 390.0 Free cash flow (49.0) (71.7) (97.0) (93.4) (107.9) (90.5) (109.8) (92.9) (65.3) (91.5) (78.8) (71.3) Disposal of fixed as

  11. Slide 11: Property Update

    Property Update H1 H1 2020 2019 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 Trading pubs at start of FY 879 883 883 895 926 951 927 886 860 823 775 731 Freehold pubs opened 1 1 4 6 9 10 24 31 14 18 34 15 Leasehold pubs opened – 1 1 – 1 6 6 15 15 22 16 32 Closures (6) (6) (9) (18) (41) (41) (6)

  12. Slide 12: IFRS 16 – impact

    IFRS 16 – impact Profit and loss impact £m EBITDA £28.4 Depreciation £(24.2) Operating profit £4.2 Interest £(10.8) Property gains £0.3 Profit before tax £(6.3) Tax £1.2 Profit after tax £(5.1) Balance sheet impact £m Right-of-use assets £579.2 Net lease liabilities £(583.9) Other £(0.4) Retained ea

  13. Slide 13: It's a People Thing

    “It’s a People Thing” • Around 43,000 employees of which 14,000 are shareholders • Manager retention: 2020 2013 2008 Pub Manager 12 yrs 6 mths 9 yrs 8 mths 7 yrs 1 mth Kitchen Manager 9 yrs 1 mth 6 yrs 5 mths 4 yrs 7 mths • Named for the 17th consecutive year as a Top Employer UK by the Top Employer

  14. Slide 14: Changing Sales Mix since 2000

    Changing Sales Mix since 2000 100% 4% 3% 3% 6% 5% 4% 90% 18% (£4.2k)* 25% 29% 33% (£6.9k)* 35% 80% (£8.7k)* (£11.1k)* (£14.6k)* 36% (£17.8k)* 70% 60% Machines 50% Food Bar 40% 76% Hotel/Other (£17.2k)* 70% 66% (£19.7k)* 63% 61% (£19.8k)* 60% 30% (£21.4k)* (£25.5k)* (£29.6k)* 20% 10% 0% 2000 2005 200

  15. Slide 15: Achievements

    Achievements Company Total Average • 99% of pubs Cask Marque approved Premises Rating Aldi 623 5.00 • Raised £0.9m in the last 6 months and nearly Waitrose McDonald’s 357 1207 4.97 4.96 £18.5m during the 18-year partnership with J D Wetherspoon plc 793 4.96 CLIC Sargent Nando’s 318 4.96 Sainsbury’s

  16. Slide 16: Taxation

    Taxation H1 H1 FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY 2020 2019 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 £m £m £m £m £m £m £m £m £m £m VAT 182.5 175.5 357.9 332.8 323.4 311.7 294.4 275.1 253.0 241.2 Alcohol duty* 89.4 86.2 174.4 175.9 167.2 164.4 161.4 157.0 144.4 136.8 PAYE and NIC 62.2 59.0 121.4 109.2 96.2 95.1

  17. Slide 17: Current Trading and Outlook

    Current Trading and Outlook • LFL sales for the six weeks to 8th March +3.2% • Total sales for the six weeks to 8th March +2.9% • LFL sales for week ending 15th March -4.5% • Very difficult to predict, in these circumstances, how events will unfold • Anticipate profits being below market expectation

  18. Slide 18: Questions

    wetherspoon Questions

  19. Slide 19: Appendix

    wetherspoon Appendix

  20. Slide 20: Appendices

    Appendices • A 10 year overview • B 10 year financial trends • C 10 year debt overview • D1 ROC/CROCCE/ROE calculations • D2 ROC/CROCCE/ROE calculations • E1 Summary of exceptional items • E2 Pub disposal programme • F1 Peach Brand Track: brand for sit down meal • F2 Peach Brand Track: eating at qui

  21. Slide 21: 10 Year Overview

    Appendix A 10 Year Overview £ millions 2,000 Turnover Number of pubs 1,800 1000 950 1,600 900 1,400 850 1,200 1,819 800 1,694 951 1,000 1,595 1,661 927 926 1,514 750 886 895 883 879 879 1,409 860 874 1,281 823 800 1,197 700 775 996 1,072 890 933 650 600 600 400 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 201

  22. Slide 22: 10 Year Financial Trends

    Appendix B 10 Year Financial Trends H1 H1 2020 2019 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 Sales per pub (£000) 1,070 1,013 2,075 1,921 1,807 1,694 1,620 1,562 1,476 1,401 1,360 1,335 EBITDA per pub (£000) (1) 134.2 122.7 253.3 248.0 229.0 209.2 200.9 204.5 200.9 194.9 198.7 205.8 Number

  23. Slide 23: 10 Year Debt Overview

    Appendix C 10 Year Debt Overview H1 H1 2020 2019 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 Net debt/EBITDA 3.54 3.47 3.36 3.39 3.39 3.47 3.37 3.21 2.88 2.96 2.98 2.70 (EBITDAR - Reinvestment)/Fixed charges 2.26 2.25 2.26 2.25 2.21 2.14 1.97 1.79 1.88 1.75 1.74 2.01 Interest cover (times) 3.2

  24. Slide 24: ROC/CROCCE/ROE

    Appendix D1 ROC/CROCCE/ROE H1 H1 FY 2020 2019 2019 £000 £000 £000 Shareholders equity per accounts 319,907 312,095 316,812 Deferred tax balances 28,506 34,418 31,073 Interest rate swaps valuations 57,096 24,045 49,072 Impairment balances 19,115 18,171 19,675 Net book value of revalued assets (5,198)

  25. Slide 25: ROC/CROCCE/ROE

    Appendix D2 ROC/CROCCE/ROE 12 months to 12 months to FY January 2020 January 2019 2019 £000 £000 £000 EBITDA (cash return) (e) 227,473 208,507 219,327 Depreciation and amortisation (f) (80,812) (81,713) (81,811) EBIT (g) 146,661 126,794 137,516 Interest (36,557) (31,270) (35,057) Profit before tax 1

  26. Slide 26: Summary of Exceptional Items

    Appendix E1 Summary of Exceptional Items H1 H1 FY 2020 2019 2019 £000 £000 £000 Exceptional property losses Disposal programme (see next slide) 5,118 1,286 4,108 Other property losses Impairment of property, plant and equipment 1,290 – 2,252 Impairment of other assets – – 52 Impairment of intangible

  27. Slide 27: Summary of Pub-Disposal Programme

    Appendix E2 Summary of Pub-Disposal Programme The company has offered several of its sites for sale. During the half year, a further six (2019: two) sites had been disposed of and one (2019: two) was classified as held for sale. H1 H1 FY 2020 2019 2019 £000 £000 £000 Disposal programme Loss on dispo

  28. Slide 28: CGA BrandTrack: preferred brand to eat out

    Appendix F1 CGA BrandTrack: JDW consistently succeed in being voted preferred brand to eat out at Q: If the following brands were available in the same location, which would be your first choice to eat at? 1. 2. 3. 4. 4. 11% 9% 7% 6% 6% Source: CGA BrandTrack, Oct 2019 27

  29. Slide 29: CGA BrandTrack: most used eating brands

    Appendix F2 CGA BrandTrack: JDW is the 4th most used eating brand in GB, holding its own against quick serve outlets 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 59% 50% 48% 39% 38% Percentage of GB population eaten at brand in past 6 months Source: CGA BrandTrack, Oct 2019 28

  30. Slide 30: Swap Maturity Profile

    Appendix G Swap Maturity Profile Swap Value From To Weighted Average % £770m 02 Jul 2018 29 Jul 2021 2.42 £770m 30 Jul 2021 30 Jul 2023 1.61 £770m 31 Jul 2023 30 Jul 2026 1.10 £770m 31 Jul 2026 30 Jun 2028 1.33 £770m 01 Jul 2028 29 Mar 2029 1.32 29

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