Cms Energy Corporation · NYSE:CMS

Cms Energy — Investor Presentation (June 2015)

41 slides from Cms Energy's investor presentation, Jun 1, 2015

  1. Slide 1: Investor Meetings June 1 & 2, 2015

    Investor Meetings June 1 & 2, 2015 Ludington Pumped Storage Ray Compressor Station Cross Winds Energy Park Fourth largest in the world #1 LDC in gas storage #2 in renewable sales in the Great Lakes area

  2. Slide 2: Forward-looking statements

    This presentation is made as of the date hereof and contains “forward-looking statements” as defined in Rule 3b-6 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, Rule 175 of the Securities Act of 1933, and relevant legal decisions. The forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties. All f

  3. Slide 3: Who Has the . . . .

    Who Has the . . . . ● Best track record of consistent, high-end EPS growth? ● Biggest O&M cost reduction track record? ● Highest capital investment growth? ● No need for block equity (dilution) over five years? ● “World-class” regulation and energy law? 2

  4. Slide 4: 3

    3

  5. Slide 5: CMS Energy Consistent Growth . . . .

    CMS Energy Consistent Growth . . . . Future Shines Bright Sustainable Future Growth a $3.50 +5% to +7% / Past Next 5 year Performance Years Investment (bils) $6.4 $7.6 (2010-2014) Capacity Op! +7% /year O&M Reductions (10)% (7)% (2006-2014) Conservative Sales Growth +1% +½ % (2010-2014) Conservative

  6. Slide 6: Investment "Catch-up" . . . .

    Investment “Catch-up” . . . . Amount (billions) $1.8 > $1.5 per year Peers Peer Performance a Consumers Energy Peer Average CMS Capex Liquidity Cash Flow (oper) 20% 16% 15% 14% 15% 12% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 _____

  7. Slide 7: Capex Up 45% . . . .

    Capex Up 45% . . . . 2005-2014 2015-2024 $10.7 bil $15.5 bil +45% Gas Electric Gas Electric Infrastructure Maintenance Infrastructure Maintenance Electric Environ. Reliability New Smart Generation Environ. Energy New Generation Electric Reliability Smart Energy . . . . driven by gas infrastructure a

  8. Slide 8: Opportunity for Another 30% . . . .

    Opportunity for Another 30% . . . . 2005-2014 2015-2024 Opportunity $10.7 bil $15.5 bil $20 + bil Opportunity +30% +45% Gas Electric Gas Electric Infrastructure Maintenance Infrastructure Maintenance Electric Environ. Reliability New Smart Generation Environ. Energy New Generation Electric Reliabili

  9. Slide 9: Growing the Gas Business . . . .

    Growing the Gas Business . . . . Capital Investment Gas Service Territory Amount - 1.7 million customers (bils) - 28,854 miles of distribution and transmission $7 - 309 Bcf gas storage capacity Gas service area Transmission line 6 $5.6 Compressor stations +93% Storage fields New Customers Interconne

  10. Slide 10: Gas Infrastructure: What's In, What's Not

    Gas Infrastructure . . . . WHAT’S IN Main Replacements Compression New Connections 800 miles 35,000 hp 100,000 customers $1 billion $300 million $550 million Modernization WHAT’S NOT 6 city gates, 7 regulation stations, 24 relief valves More Conversions Replace Transmission Mains 70,000 customers 27

  11. Slide 11: Upside Capacity Opportunities . . . .

    Upside Capacity Opportunities . . . . Capacity Growth Over Next Ten Years MW 11,000 10,000 PPA’s Expire ~9,400 MW PPA ~8,600 MW 1,240 MW 580 PPA 2,600 780 MW 7,500 capacity Owned ~30% 8,820 ~800 MW 410 MW Lower customer bills Owned Shortfall 6,000 540 MW 5,000 Today Jackson Plant ROA Customers Palis

  12. Slide 12: Capacity & Energy Price Increases . . . .

    Capacity & Energy Price Increases . . . . Was Now Upside Scenarios (mils) (mils) (mils) New Business + $25 – $50 $65 •Long-term Energy Energy more • 250 MW at $4.00 per kWm (6/14) $55 • 250 MW at $6.02 per kWm (4/15) Capacity $40 •Recent Capacity • Long-term > $3.30 $35 • Near-term ≈ $4.50 $15 Upsid

  13. Slide 13: Sales Growth . . . .

    Sales Growth . . . . Economic Indicators Annual Electric Salesa Industrial Total Grand 8.7% Rapids Michigan U.S Building Permits* +29% +12% +7% 5.0% Conservative 2.8% 3% GDP 2010 2013 15 11 8 2% 1.0% 1% ½% Population 2011 2014 3 0 2 -2.5% Unemployment (3/15) 3.9 5.6 5.5 -5.0% 2008-2009 2010-2013 201

  14. Slide 14: Economic Growth . . . .

    Economic Growth . . . . Examples of New Business Michigan 1 Electric Gas Combination Midwest Job Creation Announcement Denso North America # -Michigan.gov • Hub for all thermal #2 production in N. America • 100 new jobs in U.S. Improved Economy • $53.6 million investment • Investments thru 2015 -Blo

  15. Slide 15: O&M Cost Reductions . . . .

    O&M Cost Reductions . . . . 2006 2014 2019 Down 10% Down 7% $1.1 bil $1.0 bil $0.9 bil Inflation Inflation ≈2% ≈2% • Coal to Gas Switching (Zeeland) • Coal to Gas Switching (Jackson) • Smarter Benefit Plans • “Pole Top” Hardening • Productivity/Attrition • Productivity/Smart Energy . . . . provide m

  16. Slide 16: O&M Cost Savings . . . .

    O&M Cost Savings . . . . O&M Trend vs Peers O&M Cost Savings 2014 2014 0 50% & 2015 2018 (mils) (mils) ~6% per year 0 Peers • Attrition $ - 35 $ - 75 0 ~2% per year • Productivity (Coal Gas) - 35 - 50 0 • “Pole Top” Hardening - 30 - 30 Inflation 0 -25% • Smart Meters - 5 - 25 0 • Eliminate Waste (UA

  17. Slide 17: "Reinvestment" Helps Customers . . . .

    “Reinvestment” Helps Customers . . . . Adjusted EPS Increase forestry (non-GAAP) Accelerate “DIG” Outage to 2015 ― $8 mil cost in 2015; $10 mil benefit in 2016 17¢ ― Capacity increase 38 MW 2015 Weather 14¢ 2014 Natural Offsets (1) Cost & Other 4 Total 17¢ $1.77 +7% Guidance January March 31 June 30

  18. Slide 18: Electric Customer Prices . . . .

    Electric Customer Prices . . . . Residential Bills Industrial Rates Worse Worse 20 % 30 % 26% 21% 20 Rates & 10 Fuel 13% Rates & 10 7% Improving fast Design 3% National Avg Midwest Avg 0 0 Outstanding (5)% -10 Policy or market might -10 (12)% (13)% eliminate gap Rates (14)% -20 Rates & Rates & (19)%

  19. Slide 19: Customer Satisfaction . . . .

    Customer Satisfaction . . . . Electric Gas #2 1st Quartile #3 1st Quartile 2nd Quartile 2nd Quartile #9 #6 3rd Quartile 3rd Quartile 4th Quartile 4th Quartile Present Present 2010 2012 2014 Rank 2016 2010 2012 2014 Rank 2016 Residential Business Residential Business . . . . continues to improve rapi

  20. Slide 20: Governor Snyder's Leadership On Energy . . . .

    Governor Snyder’s Leadership On Energy . . . . Governor Snyder’s Four Pillars How We Could Get There Adaptability • IRP process to determine generation mix Reliability • Ensure adequate supply -15% waste Resource planning Affordability • Reduce waste by 15% Environmentally protective • Consider envi

  21. Slide 21: Michigan Energy Law Update . . . .

    Michigan Energy Law Update . . . . • Adaptability • Reliability Update • Affordability • Environmental protection • 10% renewables by 2015 Present: 10% cap • Energy efficiency w/o subsidy standards Governor Snyder • File-and-implement SB0247 • Historical test • 10% ROA cap SB0235 year • 12-18 months

  22. Slide 22: Experienced Policy Makers . . . .

    Experienced Policy Makers . . . . Governor Rick Snyder Commission Powering Michigan’s John Quackenbush (R), Comeback Chairman Term Ends: July 2, 2017 Consistent Sally Talberg (I) Term Ends: Energy Committee Chairs Leadership! July 2, 2019 Senator Mike Nofs Greg White (I) Term Ends: July 2, 2015 Hous

  23. Slide 23: Why Invest in CMS Energy?

    Why Invest in CMS Energy? Our Growth Engine Supported By (2015-2024 Capex) ● UPSIDES create headroom (Investment, Sales, Cost, & DIG) ● PARTNERS in progress $15.5 Billion (Customers, Regulators, & Policy Makers) a 5% - 7% EPS growth ● PASSION to improve for customers AND owners (Value, Reliability,

  24. Slide 24: Appendix

    Appendix

  25. Slide 25: Michigan's Energy Future

    MICHIGAN'S ENERGY FUTURE Ensuring affordable, reliable, adaptable, and environmentally protective energy “2015+ ADAPTABILITY 's important to act now to make sure we have the tools to ‘our own problems and keep decision-making in Michigan, not in Washington D.C. (aoft ans) 15% —_ shits + Michigan sho

  26. Slide 26: Consumers Carbon Tonnage Reduction

    Consumers Appears . . . . Carbon Tonnage Reduction Million Tons of CO2 (Preliminary) 25 2005 Baseline 23 21 Clean Power Plan 19 “Implied” EPA Target 17 Consumers Energy Projected 15 emission level 13 2014 2020 2025 2029 2030 . . . . to be in a good carbon position. 25

  27. Slide 27: Generation Strategy: New Supply Sources

    Generation Strategy: New Supply Sources . . . . Levelized cost of new build (¢/kWh) New Build 25 Consumers Energy Sources 22¢ 20 15¢ 15 12¢ 11¢ Back 10¢ 10 -up 8¢ 7¢ 6¢ Back 7¢ 6¢ -up 6¢ 9¢ 5.5¢ 5¢ 5¢ 5 Cross Winds  6¢ Big 5 Palisades Zeeland 0 Combined Cycle Gas Plant Wind Coal Nuclear Residential

  28. Slide 28: Capital Expenditures

    Capital Expenditures 2015-2019 2020-2024 2015-2024 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Subtotal Subtotal Total (mils) (mils) (mils) (mils) (mils) (mils) (mils) (mils) New Generation (includes Renewables) $ 70 $ 224 $ 52 $ 64 $ 134 $ 544 $ 612 $ 1,156 Environmental 254 98 136 153 212 853 139 992 Gas Infrastruct

  29. Slide 29: Capacity Diversity . . . .

    Capacity Diversity . . . . Nuclear Oil 8% 6% Renewables 9% Coal 34% Pumped Storage 2014 11% Nuclear Gas Nuclear Oil 6% 32% 8% 8% Oil 6% Renewables Purchases 3% 3% Coal 24% Pumped Coal Renewables Storage 41% 10% 11% 2005 2017 Pumped Gas Storage Gas 31% 12% 37% . . . . evolving to cleaner generation w

  30. Slide 30: Operating Cash Flow Growth . . . .

    Operating Cash Flow Growth . . . . Amount Up $0.5 Billion (bils) Gross operating cash flowa $ 2.5 up $0.1 billion per year $2.4 $2.2 $2.1 $2.0 2.0 $1.9 Interest, working $1.8 capital and taxes $1.68 1.5 Pct of Market Cap (as of Dec. 2014) 1.0 Cap Inv OCF Investment 16% CMS 13% 15% 0.5 Peers 14 12 0.

  31. Slide 31: 2015 Cash Flow Forecast (non-GAAP)

    2015 Cash Flow Forecast (non-GAAP) CMS Energy Parent Consumers Energy Cash at year end 2014 $ 95 Amount (mils) Sources Consumers Energy dividend and tax sharing $ 355 Cash at year end 2014 $ 71 Enterprises 20 Sources Sources $ 375 Operating (depreciation & amortization $675) $ 1,940 Other working ca

  32. Slide 32: Credit Ratings . . . .

    Credit Ratings . . . . Scale Reflects S&P Moody’s S&P Moody’s (Dec. ‘14) (Mar. ‘15) A+ A1 • Consistent A A2 Consumers Performance Secured A- A3 BBB+ Baa1 • Less Risk BBB Baa2 BBB- Baa3 • Customer Focus BB+ Ba1 CMS • Constructive BBB BBB- Baa2 Baa3 Unsecured Regulation BB+ BB Ba1 Ba2 Present • Good E

  33. Slide 33: 2015 Sensitivities . . . .

    2015 Sensitivities . . . . 2015 Impact Status Sensitivity EPS OCF (mils) Sales a • Electric (38,093 GWh) + 1% + $0.05 + $ 20 • Gas (302.6 Bcf) + 5 + 0.07 + 30 Gas prices (NYMEX) + 50¢ – 0 – 55 + + ROE (authorized) • Electric (10.3%) + 10 bps + 0.01 + 5 • Gas (10.3%) + 20 + 0.01 + 4 Interest Rates +1

  34. Slide 34: Electric Customer Base Diversified . . . .

    Electric Customer Base Diversified . . . . Top Ten Customers 2014 Electric Gross Margin (2014 Ranked by Deliveries) • Hemlock Semiconductor • General Motors • Nexteer Automotive Corporation Commercial • Gerdau MacSteel 33% • Denso International Residential 50% • Packaging Corporation of America • Me

  35. Slide 35: 2015 Gas And Electric Rate Cases . . . .

    2015 Gas And Electric Rate Cases . . . . 2014 2015 2016 Our View GAS Filed $88 M 7/01 Settled $45 M  A) Settled $45 million B) 10.3% ROE A) A) Jackson Plant in Jackson Plant Classic 7 Decommissioned rate base B) Final Securitization Filed Self- implement Surcharge Ends Order B) Investment recovery

  36. Slide 36: GAAP Reconciliation

    GAAP Reconciliation

  37. Slide 37: Earnings Per Share By Year GAAP Reconciliation

    CMS ENERGY CORPORATION Earnings Per Share By Year GAAP Reconciliation (Unaudited) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Reported earnings (loss) per share - GAAP ($0.30) $0.64 ($0.44) ($0.41) ($1.02) $1.20 $0.91 $1.28 $1.58 $1.42 $1.66 $1.74 After-tax items: Electric and gas ut

  38. Slide 38: Consumers Energy 2015 Forecasted Cash Flow GAAP Reconciliation

    Consumers Energy 2015 Forecasted Cash Flow GAAP Reconciliation (in millions) (unaudited) Reclassifications From Sources and Uses to Statement of Cash Flows Interest/ Capital Presentation Sources and Uses Tax Other Financing Other Working Lease Pymts Securitization Common Consolidated Statements of C

  39. Slide 39: CMS Energy Parent 2015 Forecasted Cash Flow GAAP Reconciliation

    CMS Energy Parent 2015 Forecasted Cash Flow GAAP Reconciliation (in millions) (unaudited) Reclassifications From Sources and Uses to Statement of Cash Flows Presentation Sources and Uses Non Equity Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows non-GAAP Uses GAAP Description Amount as Operating Other Amount

  40. Slide 40: Consolidated CMS Energy 2015 Forecasted Cash Flow Consolidation

    Consolidated CMS Energy 2015 Forecasted Consolidation of Consumers Energy and CMS Energy Parent Statements of Cash Flow (in millions) (unaudited) Eliminations/Reclassifications/Consolidation to Arrive at the Consolidated Statement of Cash Statements of Cash Flows Other Consumers Equity Consumers CMS

  41. Slide 41: Reconciliation of Gross Operating Cash Flow to GAAP

    CMS Energy Reconciliation of Gross Operating Cash Flow to GAAP Operating Activities (unaudited) (mils) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Consumers Operating Income + Depreciation & Amortization $ 1,813 $ 1,940 $ 1,955 $ 2,081 $ 2,194 $ 2,358 Enterprises Project Cash Flows 20 20 28 50 52 55 Gross Operati

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