Northwestern Energy Group, Inc. · NASDAQ:NWE
Northwestern Energy — Technical Presentation (November 2025)
102 slides from Northwestern Energy's technical presentation, Nov 10, 2025
Slide 1: Northwestern Energy Stakeholder Working Group Meeting #3
Northwestern Energy Stakeholder Working Group Meeting # 3 2026 MT IRP Planning Cycle November 10th, 2025
Slide 2: Agenda
Thank Agenda you
Slide 3: Agenda
Agenda Introduction/Welcome (30 min) •News Topic Discussion(s) Updated IRP Schedule (45 min) •IRP Progress Towards Draft Release •Stakeholder Working Group Draft Review Timeline •Public Sessions Updates Since last meeting (30 min) •Base Case Updates •NWE Merger Lunch (60 min) PowerSIMM Finalized ARS
Slide 4: Introduction
Thank Introduction you
Slide 5: News Topics (Warm up those brains)
News Topics (Warm up those brains) • October 2025 Publications: • Factors Influencing Recent Trends in Retail Electricity Prices in the United States (2 slides) • China’s primary energy through 2060 (2 slides) • NorthWest Power Conservation Council – 2031 Needs Assessment (2 slides) “Secure Energy e
Slide 6: Factors Influencing Recent Trends in Retail Electricity Prices (Slide 1)
Factors Influencing Recent Trends in Retail Electricity Prices in the United States (Slide 1) https://eta-publications.lbl.gov/sites/default/files/2025-10/full_summary_retail_price_trends_drivers.pdf
Slide 7: Factors Influencing Recent Trends in Retail Electricity Prices (Slide 2)
Factors Influencing Recent Trends in Retail Electricity Prices in the United States (Slide 2) https://eta-publications.lbl.gov/sites/default/files/2025-10/full_summary_retail_price_trends_drivers.pdf
Slide 8: China's Primary Energy through 2060
China’s Primary Energy through 2060 https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/charting-chinas-evolving-primary-energy-mix-through-2060-2025-10-28/ Discussion Items: What is primary energy supply mean? Is China’s energy load reducing in the future?
Slide 9: China's Primary Energy through 2060
China’s Primary Energy through 2060 The Energy Conversion Process https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2022/10/energy-loss-is-single-biggest- component-of-todays-electricity-system/ Solar/Wind/Hydro – Primary Energy – No losses1 1. https://iea.imgix.net/5cccd422-95fb-455f-b20d- 708eac190b99/170901Comm
Slide 10: China's Primary Energy through 2060
China’s Primary Energy through 2060 Based on the previous side: - Why is the primary coal energy being reduced? - Is this graph causing an amplified view of their energy transition? - Is China closing down coal plants? Another Article “The country began building 94.5 gigawatts (GW) of new coal-power
Slide 11: Northwest Power and Conservation Council 2031 Needs Assessment
Northwest Power and Conservation Council 2031 Needs Assessment NWPCC planning authority is focused on Washington, Oregon, Idaho, and Montana, the map includes generation outside the region because Northwest utilities own, contract for, or rely on resources across the broader Western grid. https://ww
Slide 12: Northwest Power and Conservation Council 2031 Needs Assessment
Northwest Power and Conservation Council 2031 Needs Assessment https://www.nwcouncil.org/fs/19637/2025_10_1b.pdf
Slide 13: Northwest Power and Conservation Council 2031 Needs Assessment
Northwest Power and Conservation Council 2031 Needs Assessment https://www.nwcouncil.org/fs/19637/2025_10_1b.pdf
Slide 14: https://www.opb.org/article/2025/10/30/renewable-energy-oregon-washington-power-electrical-grid/
https://www.opb.org/article/2025/10/30/renewable-energy-oregon-washington-power-electrical-grid/
Slide 15: Updated IRP Schedule
Thank you Updated IRP Schedule
Slide 16: Timeline – High Level
Timeline – High Level (see detailed workplan) Modeling Inputs Preliminary Modeling Draft IRP Stakeholder Working File MT Group Modeling Input 2026 IRP with Final Modeling IRP PSC Today Draft Plan Nov. 10 Complete Internal and External Stakeholder Review Dec. 2025 Open period for Public Comment Jan.
Slide 17: Stakeholder Working Group Review
Stakeholder Working Group Review • SWG Members will be given a chance to review and provide comments on the draft IRP prior to release to the public • Timeline: 23-30 December 2025 • Will be sent via LiquidFiles to members
Slide 18: Public Sessions
Public Sessions • NorthWestern is planning to hold 4 public in-person sessions after the release of the draft plan • Timeline for these is end of January/February 2026 • Dates and Locations are still TBD
Slide 19: Updates Since Last Meeting
Thank you Updates Since Last Meeting
Slide 20: NWE Merger
NWE Merger • On October 20, 2025, NorthWestern Energy and Black Hills Corp. submitted a joint application submitted to the Montana Public Service Commission (Docket No. 2025.10.078, available at www.psc.mt.gov) seeking regulatory approval for their proposed merger • The merger is pending. It does no
Slide 21: Modeling Update 1: Base Case – Puget Colstrip Shares
Modeling Update 1: Base Case – Puget Colstrip Shares • Modeling of Puget’s 370MW share: • Removed from the Base Case (no 2026 Resource Adequacy need for Customers) • Added as sensitivity in within the model • What is happening with Puget’s 370MW Share? • Puget’s share will be acquired by a subsidiar
Slide 22: Modeling Update 2: Fuel Infrastructure Updates
Modeling Update 2: Fuel Infrastructure Updates • Fuel infrastructure, i.e. natural gas, and electric interconnection and network upgrade costs are included in the total cost for all candidate resources. Before, these costs were going to be included post-processing. Electric Transmission Related Cost
Slide 23: Modeling Update 3: Long Duration Energy Storage
Modeling Update 3: Long Duration Energy Storage • Long duration energy storage (LDES) • Limited to ~10% of the peak load, or 150 MW (3 units of 50MW with 100-hour duration) • Reason: • The model heavily favored LDES. • Without further reliability and operational analysis, we limited the selection to
Slide 24: Modeling Update 4: Overbuilt Constraint
Modeling Update 4: Overbuilt Constraint • Implemented an 150MW overbuild constraint: • Adds a penalty for builds greater than 150MW of accredited capacity needs. • Modeling impacts: See ARS Results: Scenario A – Base Case slide below. • Why an overbuild constraint? • Overbuild constraints keep the m
Slide 25: PowerSIMM Finalized ARS Results
Thank you PowerSIMM Finalized ARS Results
Slide 26: Scenarios for 2026 MT IRP
Scenarios for 2026 MT IRP A. Base Case – Colstrip retires December 31, 2042. B. Colstrip retires June 30, 2029, according to MATS. C. Colstrip complies with MATS using baghouse on July 1, 2030. Colstrip retires December 31, 2042. D. Colstrip retires December 31, 2031, according to GHG. E. Colstrip r
Slide 27: Sensitivities for 2026 MT IRP
Sensitivities for 2026 MT IRP F. 50% power costs. M. Allow carbon emitting resources after 2035 (PSC request from 2023 IRP) G. 150% power costs. H. 50% natural gas costs. N. Only allow carbon free resources to be selected in ARS I. 150% natural gas costs. J. 150 MW of additional data center load O.
Slide 28: Summer Capacity Forecast & Retirements
Summer Capacity Forecast & Retirements Summer Capacity Forecast Summer Capacity Retirements & PPA Expirations 1,800 188 149 76 69 62 55 1,600 (102)(117)(126)(149) (1) (2) (2) (2) (8) (6) Accredited Capacity (MW) 1,400 (212)(220)(232)(240)(246) (24) (17) (13) (401)(420) (56) Basin Creek 1,200 Powerex
Slide 29: Winter Capacity Forecast & Retirements
Winter Capacity Forecast & Retirements Winter Capacity Forecast Winter Capacity Retirements & PPA Expirations 1,800 93 (33) (40) (45) 1,600 (23) Accredited Capacity (MW) (199)(203)(211)(215)(237) 1,400 (300)(313)(317)(323) (3) (9) (3) (6) (18) (474)(484) (39) 1,200 (59) (100) Powerex Basin Creek Tri
Slide 30: Base Case and Main Scenarios
Thank you Base Case and Main Scenarios
Slide 31: ARS Results: Scenario A – Base Case
ARS Results: Scenario A – Base Case No overbuild constraint With overbuild constraint above 150 MW threshold Candidate Resource Additions Candidate Resource Additions 1,600 1,600 1,400 1,400 Nameplate Capacity (MW) Nameplate Capacity (MW) 1,200 1,200 1,000 1,000 800 320 800 600 150 600 100 400 400 6
Slide 32: ARS Results: Scenario B – Colstrip Retires to Comply with MATS
ARS Results: Scenario B – Colstrip Retires to Comply with MATS Candidate Resource Additions 1,600 1,400 Nameplate Capacity (MW) 1,200 1,000 800 600 50 400 200 200 320 320 100 100 100 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 Wind Wind Hybrid
Slide 33: ARS Results: Scenario C – Colstrip Complies with MATS via Baghouse
ARS Results: Scenario C – Colstrip Complies with MATS via Baghouse • No change from Scenario A, Base Case.
Slide 34: ARS Results: Scenario D – Colstrip Retires to Comply with GHG
ARS Results: Scenario D – Colstrip Retires to Comply with GHG Candidate Resource Additions 1,600 1,400 Nameplate Capacity (MW) 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 640 100 200 300 50 100 100 100 50 50 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 Wind Wind Hy
Slide 35: ARS Results: Scenario E – Colstrip Retires in 2035
ARS Results: Scenario E – Colstrip Retires in 2035 Candidate Resource Additions 1,600 1,400 Nameplate Capacity (MW) 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 100 200 320 320 50 150 200 50 50 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 Wind Wind Hybrid Solar Sola
Slide 36: ARS Summary of Base Case and Main Scenarios
ARS Summary of Base Case and Main Scenarios 2026 MT IRP ARS Results - Base Case vs Scenarios 1490 150 1290 250 1240 1190 100 320 640 250 150 MW 200 640 250 150 50 250 100 320 640 200 300 150 50 50 A Base Case B CSretMATS D CSretGHG E CSret2035 Wind Solar Hybrid Aero CT DF CCCT 150 CCCT 320 SC CT BES
Slide 37: Commodity Sensitivities
Thank you Commodity Sensitivities
Slide 38: ARS Results: Sensitivity F – Power Price Forecast Reduced by 50%
ARS Results: Sensitivity F – Power Price Forecast Reduced by 50% Candidate Resource Additions 1,600 1,400 Nameplate Capacity (MW) 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 640 200 100 108 100 150 50 50 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 Wind Wind Hybrid
Slide 39: ARS Results: Sensitivity G – Power Price Forecast Increased by 50%
ARS Results: Sensitivity G – Power Price Forecast Increased by 50% Candidate Resource Additions 1,600 1,400 Nameplate Capacity (MW) 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 640 200 100 150 50 100 50 100 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 Wind Wind Hybr
Slide 40: ARS Results: Sensitivity H – Natural Gas Price Forecast Reduced by 50%
ARS Results: Sensitivity H – Natural Gas Price Forecast Reduced by 50% Candidate Resource Additions 1,600 1,400 Nameplate Capacity (MW) 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 640 200 100 150 50 100 50 100 50 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 Wind Wi
Slide 41: ARS Results: Sensitivity I – Natural Gas Price Forecast Increased by 50%
ARS Results: Sensitivity I – Natural Gas Price Forecast Increased by 50% Candidate Resource Additions 1,600 1,400 Nameplate Capacity (MW) 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 640 200 100 150 100 108 50 100 50 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 Wind
Slide 42: ARS Summary of Commodity Sensitivities
ARS Summary of Commodity Sensitivities 2026 MT IRP ARS Results - Base Case vs Commodity Sensitivities 1290 1298 1240 1198 1190 640 640 640 640 640 MW 150 150 100 150 150 250 250 250 250 250 150 200 50 150 150 50 108 50 50 108 A Base Case F Power50 G Power150 H NatGas50 I NatGas150 RICE Aero CT DF CC
Slide 43: Data Center Sensitivities
Thank you Data Center Sensitivities
Slide 44: ARS Results: Sensitivity J – Add 150 MW of Data Center Load
ARS Results: Sensitivity J – Add 150 MW of Data Center Load
Slide 45: ARS Results: Sensitivity K – Add 650 MW of Data Center Load
ARS Results: Sensitivity K – Add 650 MW of Data Center Load
Slide 46: ARS Results: Sensitivity L – Add 1,160 MW of Data Center Load
ARS Results: Sensitivity L – Add 1,160 MW of Data Center Load
Slide 47: ARS Summary of Data Center Sensitivities
ARS Summary of Data Center Sensitivities 2026 MT IRP ARS Results - Base Case vs Data Center Sensitivitites 2820 2380 960 960 150 250 MW 1290 1360 150 200 250 640 200 960 960 320 150 250 150 100 50 250 150 200 300 50 50 50 100 A Base Case J DC150 K DC650 L DC1160 Wind Solar Hybrid Aero CT DF CCCT 150
Slide 48: Resource Sensitivities
Thank you Resource Sensitivities
Slide 49: ARS Results: Sensitivity M – No Limitation on Carbon Emitting Resources
ARS Results: Sensitivity M – No Limitation on Carbon Emitting Resources Candidate Resource Additions 1,600 1,400 Nameplate Capacity (MW) 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 50 200 320 320 50 200 150 50 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 Wind Wind
Slide 50: ARS Results: Sensitivity N – Carbon Free Candidate Resources Only
ARS Results: Sensitivity N – Carbon Free Candidate Resources Only Candidate Resource Additions 1,600 1,400 Nameplate Capacity (MW) 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 600 640 200 100 100 50 50 100 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 Wind Wind Hybri
Slide 51: ARS Results: Sensitivity O – PSE Colstrip Share is used for Retail Load
ARS Results: Sensitivity O – PSE Colstrip Share is used for Retail Load
Slide 52: ARS Results: Sensitivity P – Avista's Colstrip Shares are not Acquired
ARS Results: Sensitivity P – Avista’s Colstrip Shares are not Acquired Candidate Resource Additions 1,600 1,400 Nameplate Capacity (MW) 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 320 200 300 150 320 50 100 50 100 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 Wind W
Slide 53: ARS Summary of Resource Sensitivities
ARS Summary of Resource Sensitivities 2026 MT IRP ARS Results - Base Case vs Resource Sensitivities 1640 1640 1390 1290 640 640 320 50 1140 640 250 150 MW 150 150 250 250 250 150 640 320 250 600 600 300 200 150 50 50 50 A Base Case M NoCO2Lim N CO2Free O wPseCS P NoAvaCS Wind Aero CT DF CCCT 150 CCC
Slide 54: Other Sensitivities
Thank you Other Sensitivities
Slide 55: ARS Results: Sensitivity Q – Add 300 MW of NPC Capacity
ARS Results: Sensitivity Q – Add 300 MW of NPC Capacity • No change from Scenario A, Base Case.
Slide 56: ARS Results: Sensitivity R – Increase DSM and NEM Forecasts
ARS Results: Sensitivity R – Increase DSM and NEM Forecasts Forecasted Peak Load Comparison Candidate Resource Additions 1,500 1,600 1,400 1,400 Nameplate Capacity (MW) 1,200 1,300 1,000 800 MW 1,200 600 320 1,100 400 50 100 200 1,000 300 150 108 100 50 100 50 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033
Slide 57: ARS Summary of Other Sensitivities
ARS Summary of Other Sensitivities 2026 MT IRP ARS Results - Base Case vs Other Sensitivities 1328 1290 320 640 100 250 MW 150 150 108 250 100 200 300 50 A Base Case R IncDsmNem Wind Solar Hybrid RICE Aero CT DF CCCT 150 SC CT BESS 4hr BESS 100hr SMR Total
Slide 58: PowerSIMM Preliminary PCM Results
PowerSIMM Thank you Preliminary PCM Results
Slide 59: PCM Results: Scenario A – Base Case
Thank you PCM Results: Scenario A – Base Case
Slide 60: Energy production for PCM results of Scenario A – Base Case
Energy production for PCM results of Scneario A – Base Case. Annual Energy 23 M 20 M 17 M 14 M MWh 11 M 8M 5M 2M (1 M) 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 Hydro Coal Petroleum Coke Natural Gas Solar Hybrid Solar XMSN Wind SMR STCC BESS
Slide 61: Capacity Factor for PCM results of Scenario A – Base Case
Capacity Factor for PCM results of Scenario A – Base Case. Capacity Factor 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 Basin Creek 203606 CELP Heartland 203112 Colstrip Dave Gates Yellowstone Powerex
Slide 62: Emissions for PCM results of Scenario A – Base Case
Emissions for PCM results of Scenario A – Base Case. CO2 Emissions 14 M 12 M 10 M 8M Metric Tons 6M 21% 20% 19% 21% 4M 21% 21% 21% 21% 20% 21% 28% 28% 23% 25% 25% 26% 27% 2M 60% 55% 62% 58% 57% 57% 57% 54% 55% 59% 64% 64% 59% 61% 64% 63% 63% 68% 66% 66% - 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034
Slide 63: Transmission volumes for PCM results of Scenario A – Base Case
Transmission volumes for PCM results of Scenario A – Base Case Transmission Export & Import Volumes 6M 5M 4M MWh 3M 2M 1M - 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 Exports Imports
Slide 64: Average transmission usage for PCM results of Scenario A – Base Case
Average transmission usage for PCM results of Scenario A – Base Case Average of Total Transmission Export & Import Volumes 700 600 500 400 aMW 300 200 100 0 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 aExports aImports
Slide 65: Transmission revenues for PCM results of Scenario A – Base Case
Transmission revenues for PCM results of Scenario A – Base Case. Total Transmission Export Revenues & Import Costs $700 M $600 M $500 M Revenues/Costs ($) $400 M $300 M $200 M $100 M - 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 Export Revenues
Slide 66: Total portfolio costs for PCM results of Scenario A – Base Case
Total portfolio costs for PCM results of Scenario A – Base Case. 20-year NPV Costs ($M) $77 $3,319 Total Import Cost 0% $5,672 Total Production Cost $1,935 Total Candidate Resource RR Total Existing Resource RR $3,092 Total Export Cost Net Total Cost $(2,752) A-BaseCase
Slide 67: PCM Summary
Thank PCM Summaryyou
Slide 68: Base Case & Main Scenarios
Thank you Base Case & Main Scenarios
Slide 69: Total energy production of the Base Case and Main Scenarios
The total energy production of the Base Case and the Main Scenarios relative to the forecasted load. 20-year Total Energy Production and Consumption (MWh) 0% 2% 0% 0% -2% 187 M 190 M 187 M 187 M 184 M - 140 M - 140 M - 140 M - 140 M - 140 M A BaseCase B CSretMATS C BaseCase wCS BagHouse D CSretGHG E
Slide 70: CO2 emissions from the Base Case and the Main Scenarios
CO2 emissions from the Base Case and the Main Scenarios. 20-year Total CO2 Emissions (MT) 0% 0% 100 M 100 M 19 M 19 M -20% 80 M -26% -29% 74 M 71 M 24 M 24 M 25 M 34 M 42 M 21 M 0% 0% 19 M 57 M 57 M 17 M -38% 35 M -63% -78% 21 M 12 M A BaseCase B CSretMATS C BaseCase wCS BagHouse D CSretGHG E CSret2
Slide 71: Transmission imports and exports, Base Case and Main Scenarios
Transmission imports and exports from the Base Case and the Main Scenarios. 20-year Total Portfolio Exports and Import Volumes (MWh) 9% 0% 0% 3% -1% 61 M 56 M 56 M 58 M 55 M 0% 23% 0% 24% 33% -8M - 10 M -8M - 10 M - 11 M A BaseCase B CSretMATS C BaseCase wCS BagHouse D CSretGHG E CSret2035 20-year T
Slide 72: PCM results for the Base Case and the Main Scenarios
PCM results for the Base Case and the Main Scenarios 20-year NPV Total Costs ($) $100 M $434 M $89 M $105 M $77 M $77 M $3,612 M 18% $3,412 M $3,293 M $3,319 M $3,319 M 10% $6,711 M 8% 9% 0% $6,105 M $6,176 M $6,231 M $5,672 M $3,111 M $2,656 M $2,624 M $1,935 M $1,935 M $3,092 M $2,750 M $3,092 M $
Slide 73: Remaining book value for candidate resources, Base Case and Main Scenarios
Remaining book value for candidate resources in the Base Case and the Main Scenarios. 20-year NPV of Candidate Resource Remaining Book Value ($) 0% 0% $2,389 M $2,389 M -34% $1,578 M -49% $1,214 M -66% $803 M A BaseCase B CSretMATS C BaseCase wCS BagHouse D CSretGHG E CSret2035 Total Candidate Resou
Slide 74: Base Case & Commodity Sensitivities
Base Case & Thank you Commodity Sensitivities
Slide 75: Total energy production of the Base Case and Commodity Sensitivities
The total energy production of the Base Case and Commodity Sensitivities relative to the forecasted load. 20-year Total Energy Production and Consumption (MWh) 18% 220 M 9% 0% 205 M 187 M -6% 176 M -19% 152 M - 140 M - 140 M - 140 M - 140 M - 140 M A BaseCase F Power50 G Power150 H NatGas50 I NatGas
Slide 76: Carbon emissions from the Base Case and Commodity Sensitivities
Carbon emissions from the Base Case and Commodity Sensitivities. 20-year Total CO2 Emissions (MT) 14% 114 M 6% 106 M 0% 100 M -6% 29 M 94 M 26 M 19 M 11 M -24% 76 M 4M 24 M 24 M 24 M 27 M 24 M 6% 0% -1% 0% 60 M 57 M -17% 56 M 57 M 47 M A BaseCase F Power50 G Power150 H NatGas50 I NatGas150 20-year C
Slide 77: Transmission imports and exports, Base Case and Commodity Sensitivities
Transmission imports and exports from the Base Case and Commodity Sensitivities. 20-year Total Portfolio Exports and Import Volumes (MWh) 50% 84 M 27% 71 M 0% 56 M -17% 46 M -50% 28 M -62% -30% 0% 21% 88% -3M -6M -8M - 10 M - 16 M A BaseCase F Power50 G Power150 H NatGas50 I NatGas150 20-year Total
Slide 78: PCM results for the Base Case and Commodity Sensitivities
PCM results for the Base Case and Commodity Sensitivities. 20-year NPV Total Costs ($) $34 M $77 M $42 M $101 M $67 M $3,964 M $3,319 M 14% $3,246 M $3,174 M 9% 0% $6,490 M $2,340 M $6,167 M $5,672 M -8% $5,206 M -24% $1,935 M $1,841 M $1,975 M $2,164 M $2,339 M $4,318 M $3,092 M $3,092 M $3,092 M $
Slide 79: Remaining book value for candidate resources, Base Case and Commodity Sensitivities
Remaining book value for candidate resources in the Base Case and Commodity Sensitivities. 20-year NPV of Candidate Resource Remaining Book Value ($) 0% 0% 0% $2,395 M $2,397 M $2,389 M -2% $2,339 M -5% $2,281 M A BaseCase F Power50 G Power150 H NatGas50 I NatGas150 Total Candidate Resource RBV Cost
Slide 80: Base Case & Data Center Sensitivities
Thank you Base Case & Data Center Sensitivities
Slide 81: Total energy production of the Base Case and Data Center Sensitivities
The total energy production of the Base Case and the Data Center Sensitivities relative to the forecasted load. 20-year Total Energy Production and Consumption (MWh) 91% 358 M 52% 284 M 18% 0% 220 M 187 M - 140 M - 140 M - 140 M - 140 M -26 M 18% -101 M -165 M -177 M 72% -241 M 126% -317 M A BaseCas
Slide 82: Carbon emissions from the Base Case and Data Center Sensitivities
Carbon emissions from the Base Case and the Data Center Sensitivities. 20-year Total CO2 Emissions (MT) 96% 196 M 68% 168 M 63 M 39% 139 M 36 M 10 M 0% 27 M 27 M 27 M 100 M 19 M 24 M 81% 86% 87% 103 M 105 M 106 M 0% 57 M A BaseCase J DC150 K DC650 L DC1160 20-year Colstrip Emissions (MT) 20-year CEL
Slide 83: Transmission imports and exports, Base Case and Data Center Sensitivities
Transmission imports and exports from the Base Case and the Data Center Sensitivities. 20-year Total Portfolio Exports and Import Volumes (MWh) 13% 0% 63 M 2% 1% 56 M 57 M 56 M 0% -4% -8M -8M 57% 70% - 13 M - 14 M A BaseCase J DC150 K DC650 L DC1160 20-year Total Exports (MWh) 20-year Total Imports
Slide 84: PCM results for the Base Case and Data Center Sensitivities
PCM results for the Base Case and Data Center Sensitivities. 20-year NPV Total Costs ($) $176 M 135% $13,326 M $133 M $6,200 M 68% $77 M $9,553 M $77 M $4,826 M $3,319 M $3,612 M $6,096 M 0% 3% $5,672 M $5,841 M $3,863 M $1,935 M $1,591 M $3,092 M $3,559 M $3,559 M $3,559 M $(2,752) M $(2,997) M $(2
Slide 85: Net total cost per 20-year total load, Data Center Sensitivities
PCM results for the Base Case and Data Center Sensitivities represented as the 20-year NPV total cost per total 20-year total load. Net Total Cost per 20-year Total Load ($/MWh) 4% $42.05 0% $40.61 -2% $39.70 -13% $35.35 A BaseCase J DC150 K DC650 L DC1160 Net Total Cost per 20-year Total Load ($/MW
Slide 86: Remaining book value for candidate resources, Data Center Sensitivities
Remaining book value for candidate resources in the Base Case and Data Center Sensitivities. 20-year NPV of Candidate Resource Remaining Book Value ($) 67% 69% $3,994 M $4,041 M 33% $3,184 M 0% $2,389 M A BaseCase J DC150 K DC650 L DC1160 Total Candidate Resource RBV Cost NPV
Slide 87: Base Case & Resource Sensitivities
Thank you Base Case & Resource Sensitivities
Slide 88: Total energy production of the Base Case and resource sensitivities
The total energy production of the Base Case and the resource sensitivities relative to the forecasted load. 20-year Total Energy Production and Consumption (MWh) 12% 209 M 4% 0% -1% -1% 195 M 187 M 185 M 186 M - 140 M - 140 M - 140 M - 140 M - 140 M A BaseCase M NoCO2Lim N CO2Free O wPseCS P NoAvaC
Slide 89: Carbon emissions from the Base Case and the resource sensitivities
Carbon emissions from the Base Case and the resource sensitivities. 20-year Total CO2 Emissions (MT) 32% 132 M 6M 4% 26 M 0% 104 M 100 M -4% 96 M 21 M -14% 19 M 12 M 86 M 24 M 27 M 27 M 32 M 75% 100 M 27 M 0% 0% 1% 57 M 57 M 57 M -52% 27 M A BaseCase M NoCO2Lim N CO2Free O wPseCS P NoAvaCS 20-year C
Slide 90: Transmission imports and exports, Base Case and resource sensitivities
Transmission imports and exports from the Base Case and the resource sensitivities. 20-year Total Portfolio Exports and Import Volumes (MWh) 32% 74 M 14% 0% -1% -1% 63 M 56 M 55 M 55 M -45% 0% 16% 12% 0% -5M -8M - 10 M -9M -8M A BaseCase M NoCO2Lim N CO2Free O wPseCS P NoAvaCS 20-year Total Exports
Slide 91: PCM results for the Base Case and the resource sensitivities
PCM results for the Base Case and the resource sensitivities. 20-year NPV Total Costs ($) $75 M $77 M $97 M $89 M $39 M $3,411 M $3,129 M $3,319 M $3,311 M 11% $3,408 M 5% $6,303 M 0% -2% $5,969 M $5,672 M $5,542 M -15% $4,849 M $1,935 M $2,254 M $1,277 M $2,804 M $1,632 M $3,559 M $3,092 M $3,092 M
Slide 92: Remaining book value for candidate resources, resource sensitivities
Remaining book value for candidate resources in the Base Case and the resource sensitivities. 20-year NPV of Candidate Resource Remaining Book Value ($) 20% $2,858 M 9% $2,605 M 0% $2,389 M -26% $1,776 M -56% $1,051 M A BaseCase M NoCO2Lim N CO2Free O wPseCS P NoAvaCS Total Candidate Resource RBV Co
Slide 93: Base Case & Other Sensitivities
Thank you Base Case & Other Sensitivities
Slide 94: Total energy production of the Base Case and other sensitivities
The total energy production of the Base Case and the other sensitivities to the forecasted load. 20-year Total Energy Production and Consumption (MWh) 0% -4% -2% 187 M 183 M 180 M -6% - 140 M - 140 M - 132 M A BaseCase Q AddNPC300 R IncDsmNem 20-year Net Energy Production (MWh) 20-year Total Retail
Slide 95: Carbon emissions from the Base Case and the other sensitivities
Carbon emissions from the Base Case and the other sensitivities. 20-year Total CO2 Emissions (MT) 0% -1% -2% 100 M 99 M 98 M 19 M 15 M 16 M 24 M 27 M 27 M 0% 0% 0% 57 M 57 M 57 M A BaseCase Q AddNPC300 R IncDsmNem 20-year Colstrip Emissions (MT) 20-year CELP & YELP Emissions (MT) 20-year Remaining E
Slide 96: Transmission imports and exports, Base Case and other sensitivities
Transmission imports and exports from the Base Case and the other sensitivities. 20-year Total Portfolio Exports and Import Volumes (MWh) 39% 78 M 0% 4% 56 M 58 M 0% -20% -8M -7M 340% - 37 M A BaseCase Q AddNPC300 R IncDsmNem 20-year Total Exports (MWh) 20-year Total Imports (MWh)
Slide 97: Sensitivity Q transmission imports and exports with WECC
Sensitivity Q transmission imports and exports from and to the WECC interconnection. Average of WECC Transmission Export & Import Volumes 700 600 500 400 aMW 300 200 100 0 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 aNWE-WECC ATC Forecast 20250
Slide 98: Sensitivity Q transmission imports and exports with SPP
Sensitivity Q transmission imports and exports from and to the SPP power market. Average of MISO Transmission Export & Import Volumes 700 600 500 400 aMW 300 200 100 0 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 aMISO Sales 150 MW aMISO Purchas
Slide 99: Sensitivity Q transmission imports and exports with MISO
Sensitivity Q transmission imports and exports from and to the MISO power market. Average of SPP Transmission Export & Import Volumes 700 600 500 400 aMW 300 200 100 0 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 aSPP Sales 150 MW aSPP Purchases
Slide 100: PCM results for the Base Case and the other sensitivities
PCM results for the Base Case and the other sensitivities.
Slide 101: Remaining book value for candidate resources, other sensitivities
Remaining book value for candidate resources in the base case and the other sensitivities. 20-year NPV of Candidate Resource Remaining Book Value ($) 0% 0% $2,389 M $2,389 M -27% $1,733 M A BaseCase Q AddNPC300 R IncDsmNem Total Candidate Resource RBV Cost NPV
Slide 102: Thank you – Questions/Comments?
Thank you Questions/Comments?
NorthWestern Energy Group — Technical Presentation (November 2025) on 6ix