Slide 1: Global Networks, Global Citizens
Global Networks, Global Citizens Global Market Forecast 2018-2037 Eric Schulz, Chief Commercial Officer
Slide 2: Agenda
Agenda 2017 in a nutshell Growth drivers GMF 2018 results Airbus product line
Slide 3: 2017 in a nutshell
2017 in a nutshell… 3.0% 81.4% Record GDP growth Load factor 7.6% +300 8th RPK growth million passengers year of impressive airline profitability Source: ICAO, IATA, WTO, IHS Economics, Airbus GMF 2018 3
Slide 4: Air transport's centre of gravity has moved south and east
Over the last 30 years, air transport’s centre of gravity has moved south and east 4 Source: Airbus GMF 2018
Slide 5: Traffic resilient to shocks and doubles every 15 years
Traffic has proven to be resilient to external shocks and doubles every 15 years World annual traffic (trillion RPKs) Asian Financial 25 Crisis 9/11 SARS Crisis Oil Crisis Gulf Crisis Airbus GMF 2018: 4.4% growth p.a. 20 x2 15 10 x2 5 x2 0 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017 2022 2027 2032
Slide 6: In 2017, 30% of emerging country populations took a flight
In 2017, 30% of emerging country populations took a flight 2017 trips per capita (each bubble is a country) 2017 Middle Class (m. people) 7,750 Lower and Upper 4,566 income class Middle-class Emerging Emerging Economies 2,984 Middle-class Developing Middle-class Advanced Developing Economies World P
Slide 7: As middle-class develops, more people will access air travel
As middle-class develops, more people will access air travel… 2017-2037 trips per capita (each bubble is a country) 2037 Middle Class (m. people) 9,010 Lower and Upper 3,961 income class Middle-class Emerging Emerging Economies 5,049 Middle-class Developing Middle-class Advanced Developing Economies
Slide 8: In 2037, ~85% of emerging country populations will fly
…and in 2037, ~85% of emerging country populations will fly 2037 trips per capita (each bubble is a country) 2037 Middle Class (m. people) 9,010 Lower and Upper 3,961 income class x2.8 Middle-class Emerging Emerging Economies 5,049 Middle-class Developing Middle-class Advanced Developing Economies W
Slide 9: Centre of gravity movement will slow as air traffic equalises
Centre of gravity movement will slow as air traffic equalises globally 9 Source: Airbus GMF 2018
Slide 10: Business models are evolving (2007)
Business models are evolving… Share of each business model on Domestic and Intra-regional flights 2007 M. seats 920 1,000 750 210 80 50 60 offered Regional / Commuter Charter / Leisure Full Service Carrier Ultra Low Cost Low Cost Carrier with Long-haul Low Cost Carrier Asia/Pacific North America Eur
Slide 11: Business models are evolving (2017)
Business models are evolving… Share of each business model on Domestic and Intra-regional flights 2017 M. seats 1,840 1,000 910 330 200 100 90 offered Regional / Commuter Charter / Leisure Full Service Carrier Ultra Low Cost Low Cost Carrier with Long-haul Low Cost Carrier Asia/Pacific North America
Slide 12: … so are market segments
… so are market segments XL L M S 12 Source: Airbus GMF 2018
Slide 13: GMF18 anticipates an additional 2,500 new aircraft deliveries
GMF18 anticipates an additional 2,500 new aircraft deliveries over 20 years GMF17 GMF18 GDP +US$ 2.9 trillion 20-year avg. growth 2.8% 2.8% at end of period RPK +2.4 trillion RPK 20-year avg. growth 4.4% 4.4% at end of period start FLEET 20,500 21,500 +1,000 end FLEET 42,530 47,990 +5,460 20-year NE
Slide 14: The world fleet will more than double over the next 20 years
The world fleet will more than double over the next 20 years Number of aircraft 50,000 47,990 40,000 20-year 26,540 Grow new deliveries 30,000 37,390 20,000 10,850 Replace 10,000 21,450 10,600 Stay - Beginning 2018 2037 New Deliveries Notes: Passenger aircraft (≥ 100 seats) | Jet freight aircraft (>
Slide 15: Around 37,400 aircraft will be required over the next 20 years
Around 37,400 aircraft will be required over the next 20 years 2018-2037 new deliveries S 28,550 (76%) S $3.2 tn (54%) M 5,480 (15%) M $1.4 tn (25%) L 1,760 (5%) L $0.6 tn (10%) XL 1,590 (4%) XL $0.6 tn (11%) 37,400 $5.8 trillion aircraft units aircraft value Notes: Passenger aircraft (≥ 100 seats)
Slide 16: Airbus meeting market requirements
Airbus meeting market requirements XL L M S 16 Source: Airbus GMF 2018
Slide 17: Meet the Airbus family from 100 to 600+ seats
Meet the Airbus family from 100 to 600+ seats… Capacity Range Note: product position is illustrative 17 Source: Airbus GMF 2018
Slide 18: Meet the Airbus family from 100 to 600+ seats
Meet the Airbus family from 100 to 600+ seats… Capacity XL L M S Range Note: product position is illustrative 18 Source: Airbus GMF 2018
Slide 19: Meet the Airbus family from 100 to 600+ seats
Meet the Airbus family from 100 to 600+ seats… Capacity XL L M S Range Note: product position is illustrative 19 Source: Airbus GMF 2018
Slide 20: Airbus backlog share is 54% overall
Airbus Backlog share is 54% overall XL L M S Airbus Backlog 54% 88% 52% 35% share 20 Source: Flight Global – Ascend, Airbus | Passenger a/c backlog as of end 2017 | Includes all manufacturers
Slide 21: Our growing Single-Aisle Family
Our growing Single-Aisle Family S Full market coverage from 100 to 240 seats and up to 4,000nm The most Spacious and Innovative cabins in their market segments with 18”+ wide seats Airbus Backlog 54% share 20% Lower Fuel burn - Latest technologies embodied with further innovation cross-fertilization
Slide 22: A321LR & A330neo commonality benefits
A321LR & A330neo commonality benefits Unique Airbus Family commonality ~ 48 M airlines operate already A321 & A330 Future proof new generation technology 25-30% lower fuel burn than previous generation Airspace passenger experience Airbus Backlog 88% share 22
Slide 23: Shaping the future of air travel
Shaping the future of air travel L A flexible, high-value Family Airbus Backlog 52% Airspace: Perfect place for passengers and airlines share All-new design delivering unrivalled levels of efficiency 23
Slide 24: A380 & A350-1000 the best aircraft to capture growing traffic
A380 & A350-1000 the best aircraft to capture growing traffic XL Air traffic doubles every 15 years 90%+ of long-haul passengers travel through 65 cities Airbus Backlog 35% share 24
Slide 25: Agenda
Agenda 2017 in a nutshell Growth drivers GMF 2018 results Airbus product line
Slide 26: The Airbus Global Market Forecast
The Airbus Global Market Forecast App 26
Slide 27: © AIRBUS all rights reserved
© AIRBUS (Airbus S.A.S., Airbus Operations S.A.S., Airbus Operations GmbH, Airbus Operations LDT, Airbus Opeartions SL, Airbus China LTD, Airbus (Tianjin) Final Assembly Company LTD, Airbus (Tianjin) Delivery Centre LTD). All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document. This document and