Snam S.p.a. · MIL:SRG
Snam — Snam Rete Gas — Q3 2004 Earnings Presentation
21 slides from Snam's earnings presentation, Nov 9, 2004
Slide 1: Analyst Presentation Third Quarter 2004
Analyst Presentation Third Quarter 2004 November 9th, 2004
Slide 2: Highlights
HIGHLIGHTS ITALIAN GAS MARKET EVOLUTION CAPEX GROWTH REGULATION FINANCIALS 22
Slide 3: Highlights as at September 30, 2004
Highlights as at September 30, 2004 Sep 30, Sep 30, Change 2003 2004 Gas injected in the network (bcm) 55,7 59,4 +3,71 Capex (€m) 290 410 +120 Net profit (€m) 372 400 +28 33
Slide 4: Italian Gas Market Evolution
HIGHLIGHTS ITALIAN GAS MARKET EVOLUTION CAPEX GROWTH REGULATION FINANCIALS 44
Slide 5: Market Scenario: expected gas demand in Italy
Market Scenario: expected gas demand in Italy 101-103 (bcm) 90-92 84 9 months Other 4.1 % Thermoelectric 57.1 54.9 Industrial Residential & commercial 2003 2004 2006 2010 2015 Estimated import increase vs. 2003 ≈ 10 ≈ 20÷22 ≈ 33÷35 Source: Ministry of Industry and SRG estimates 55
Slide 6: Sustained by the Deployment of the CCGT Programme: 2002-2003-2004
Sustained by the Deployment of the CCGT Programme: 2002-2003-2004 1,6 1,4 x 1,2 1 20 04 0,8 20 03 20 02 0,6 0,4 0,2 0 i d lo ro o la a ia a e in n o se u tt n u id ss n o el gl a rs .S re M fi en a ri m a zz as i z o a st ld P/ e P iv az er av C tr na Im C va O h IP ie S o v R C La n or Ta .t T. P S
Slide 7: Sustained by the Deployment of the CCGT Programme: the near future
Sustained by the Deployment of the CCGT Programme: the near future 11.7 GW in operation/start up since ‘02 8.6 GW under construction x • Edipower 0.76 GW • Endesa 0.77 GW • Enipower 1.95 GW • Tirreno Power 0.38 GW • Edison 2.71 GW • Energia 0.75 GW • IPP/Municipalities 1.30 GW In operation by 20
Slide 8: Capex Growth
HIGHLIGHTS ITALIAN GAS MARKET EVOLUTION CAPEX GROWTH REGULATION FINANCIALS 88
Slide 9: Projects for Network Development
Projects for Network Development Northern Russia Europe LNG Rovigo LNG Panigaglia LNG Livorno LNG Rosignano LNG Brindisi LNG Taranto PROJECTS UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS UNDER Algeria STUDY Libya 99
Slide 10: Capacity Expansion at the Entry Points
Capacity Expansion at the Entry Points Transport capacity (million scm/d) needed in Italy 400 350 Needed 300 capacity 250 Capacity 200 under construction 150 100 50 Existing capacity 0 2002/03 2003/04 2010 2015 10 10
Slide 11: Regulation
HIGHLIGHTS ITALIAN GAS MARKET EVOLUTION CAPEX GROWTH REGULATION FINANCIALS 11 11
Slide 12: Regulation
Regulation September 30, 2005 the 1st regulatory period expires Next steps Consultation Document New Delibera by Spring 2005 12 12
Slide 13: Financials
HIGHLIGHTS ITALIAN GAS MARKET EVOLUTION CAPEX GROWTH REGULATORY TRENDS FINANCIALS 13 13
Slide 14: Volumes
Volumes Jan-Sept Jan-Sept Change 2003 2004 bcm Residential and Commercial 18.9 18.4 -0.5 Industrial 16.2 16.6 +0.4 Thermoelectric 19.2 21.5 +2.3 Other 0.6 0.6 - Gas consumption (*) 54.9 57.1 +2.2 Storage 0.5 2.0 +1.5 Other 0.3 0.3 - Gas injected in the network 55.7 59.4 +3.7 (*) Snam Re
Slide 15: Revenues
Revenues Jan-Sept Jan-Sept Change €m 2003 2004 Regulated revenues 1,299 1,313 +14 Transport 1,268 1,287 +19 Revenues 1,217 1,252 +35 Pass-through revenues 51 35 -16 LNG 31 26 -5 Revenues 23 21 -2 Pass-through revenues 8 5 -3 Non regulated revenues 16 29 +13 TOTAL 1,315 1,342 +27 15 15
Slide 16: Operating Expenses
Operating Expenses Jan-Sept Jan-Sept Change 2003 2004 €m Regulated activities 258 256 -2 Controllable fixed costs 166 164 -2 Variable costs 30 43 +13 Other 62 49 -13 Non regulated activities 1 2 +1 TOTAL 259 258 -1 16 16
Slide 17: Income Statement
Income Statement Jan-Sept Jan-Sept Change €m 2003 2004 Revenues 1,315 1,342 +27 Operating expenses -259 -258 +1 EBITDA 1,056 1,084 +28 Depreciation & Amortisation -345 -349 -4 EBIT 711 735 +24 Net interest income (expenses) -97 -83 +14 Extraordinary income (expenses) 1 -1 -2 EBT 615 651 +3
Slide 18: Balance Sheet
Balance Sheet 31 Dec 30 Sept €m 2003 2004 Net Invested Capital 8,803 -28 8,775 Fixed assets 9,208 +56 9,264 Tangible fixed assets 9,119 +58 9,177 Intangible fixed assets 89 -2 87 Net working capital -386 -81 -467 Receivables 416 +13 429 Liabilit ies -802 -94 -896 Staff-leaving indemnity -19
Slide 19: Capex
Capex Jan-Sept Jan-Sept Change €m 2003 2004 DEVELOPMENT 207 306 +99 Transportation - national 144 239 +95 Transportation - regional 61 67 +6 LNG 2 - -2 MAINTENANCE AND OTHER 83 104 +21 TOTAL 290 410 +120 19 19
Slide 20: Cash Flow
Cash Flow €m 1,500 Change in Depreciation working & other non capital Capex 1,000 monetary 82 -410 Net 357 Dividend profit 500 -391 400 38 0 Cash Flow Jan-Sept 2004 20 20
Slide 21: Analyst Presentation Third Quarter 2004
Analyst Presentation Third Quarter 2004 November 9th, 2004