Suzano S.a. · BMFBOVESPA:SUZB3
Suzano — Investor Day (March 2022)
39 slides from Suzano's investor day presentation, Mar 30, 2022
Slide 1: Suzano Day 2022
7 ‘vo SUZONO DAY 2022
Slide 2: Avenues 2022
2 Play a leading role in sustainability Be“Best-in-Class”in the Total Pulp Cost vision Advance in the links of the chain, always with competitive advantage Maintain relevance in Pulp, through good projects Expand boldly intoNew Markets AVENUES 2022
Slide 3: Play a leading role in sustainability
Play a leading role in sustainability 3
Slide 4: Towards a regenerative business for a regenerative society
Some of the main topics:Savethedate2ndESG CallJune23rd, 2022 Towards a regenerative business for a regenerative society Climate Change Biodiversity Social Development 4
Slide 5: Continuous improvement on sustainability governance
Continuousimprovementonsustainabilitygovernance5 Variable compensation(C-level1) Since2020–Targets linked to D&ISince 2021 –Targets also linked to other material themes 25%50%17%25%20212022 Climate Change Social Development1C-level includes Statutory and Non-statutory officers Some of 2021 highlight
Slide 6: Expand boldly into New Markets
Expand boldly into New Markets 6
Slide 7: Important progress in our bio-businesses agenda
2022202220222022 Important progress in our bio-businesses agenda7IdentificationofPotentialPartnersSelection of technology partnersPilotProjectCommercialagreementsCommercialInvestmentsMonetizationRoutes 2021 ¹Analysis of Suzano'sStrategy and New Business Team based on reports from Spinnova, Ensyn, Ta
Slide 8: In textiles, Spinnova/Woodspin is becoming a reality
In textiles, Spinnova/Woodspinis becoming a reality Commercial plant of 1k ton/yr8 19%81%€ 462M¹¹Market caponMar 15 2022 Staple Fiber MFC Start of production: Dec. 22
Slide 9: Our planted wood-based fiber with leading brands
The North Face develops new eco-sustainablefabricsOur planted wood-based fiber with leading brands9 Spinnovaand adidas introduce the all-new hoodie, the first adidas product made with the sustainable SPINNOVA "The H&M Group’s ambition is to become fully circular. We see Spinnovaas having great poten
Slide 10: Our carbon business is about to be launched
Our carbon business is about to be launched10 Continuous GHG projectidentification:–Planted forests projects–Restoration and conservation of native forests–Energy efficiency, renewable energy and fuel conversionFirst project submitted –Robust additionality criteria–In validationphasewithVerra¹Carbon
Slide 11: Increasing global pressures for sustainable consumption
Increasing global pressures for sustainable consumptionSingle-use-plasticban 7%44%Announcedas of2020New announcements (2021 and 2022)AustraliaBrazilCanadaChile USAEU+ 1dozenothercountriesWorld consumption of single-use plastics¹India MexicoUnited KingdomTaiwan Source: Smithers,FastmarketRisi, public
Slide 12: New products in convergence with consumption megatrends
12 60 20182019202020212022eKTonNew products in convergence with consumption megatrends Illustrative images: the volumes are composed of the totality of products developed in the last 36 months, in addition to those represented by images.
Slide 13: Advance in the links of the chain, always with competitive advantage
Advance in the links of the chain, always with competitive advantage 13
Slide 14: Tissue Packaging Fluff Paper
14 Tissue Packaging Fluff Paper
Slide 15: Tissue
15 Tissue
Slide 16: Competitive environment confirms ongoing trends
Competitive environment confirms ongoing trendsTissueMarket -Brazil (2009 – 2020 1 ) 8%89%% CategoriesAt Home 2020:World 16%55%22%7%Source: 1RISI. 2Euromonitor. 3Nielsen Retail INA. Based on market share of players prior to 2021. PaperTowels ToiletPaper Facial Tissues PaperTablewareKg per capita per
Slide 17: Market presence will lead to higher profitability
Market presence will lead to higher profitability Weighted Distribution % (Total Brazil) Brand Awareness % Jumbo Rolls Production Capacity 150 Kt MaximumNominal Capacity 2H 20201H 20192H 20212H 20191H 20201H 2021 Brand 6Brand 2Brand 1Brand 3Brand 5Brand 4Brand 7 1Q214Q21 +10 p.p 57595557567572735952
Slide 18: Growth opportunities: organic and inorganic
18Lower competitiveness of regional players' assetsTrend of consolidation by large players Growing demand for two-ply and three-ply productsMarket TrendsGrowthOpportunities INORGANIC (REGIONAL ) ORGANIC Opportunity for growth, organically or via M&A Production and sales reach 100% installed capac
Slide 19: Maintain relevance in Pulp, through good projects
Maintain relevance in Pulp, through good projects 19
Slide 20: BHKP organic demand growth by 4.7 Mt in the next five years
BHKP organic demand growth by4.7 Mt in the next five years20 36.4 41.1 20211 + 0.9 Mt/y Source: 1PPPC G100 Report (Dec.2021). | Estimates according to Suzano BI | Scenario does not include possible impact from Russia/Ukraine conflict.Additional demand drivers: Fiber to Fiber and Fossil to FiberOver
Slide 21: Global tissue industry room for increasing BHKP furnish
21 Source: Suzano BI, Fastmarkets RISI, Hawkins Wright, Brian McClay. ¹Includes a small proportion of nonwood in China and integrated pulp. | Scenario does not include possible impact from Russia/Ukraine conflict. Fibers Share in World Tissue Production (%) BSKP Share at TissueBHKP Share at TissueRC
Slide 22: Packaging industry in China to boost BHKP demand
Packaging industry in China to boost BHKP demandSource: Suzano BI, Fastmarkets RISI, Hawkins Wright, Brian McClay. | ¹Expected 900kt (China) and 100kt (Rest of the World). |Scenario does not include possible impact from Russia/Ukraine conflict.CartonboardProduction in China 55%39%~35%45%61%~65%Duple
Slide 23: BHKP demand expected to grow at least 6.7 Mt until 2026
36.441.143.14.72.02021OrganicGrowth2026eFiber toFiber2026eAdditionalFiber toFiberFossil toFiberBHKP demand expected to grow at least 6.7 Mt until 202623Source: Suzano BI | 1Higher participation of BHKP in Cartonboardand Tissue| 2Only illustrative. | Scenario does not include possible impact from Rus
Slide 24: Supply expected to grow 6.9Mt in BHKP in the next five years
Supply expected to grow 6.9Mt in BHKP in the next five yearsSource: Suzano BI | RISI. | ²Hawkins Wright | Scenario doesn’t include possible impact from Russia/Ukraine conflict. ¹ Historical Average: 2013-2016.Global BHKPNet Capacity Growth20212026e 40.647.5 +1.3 Mt/y Supply risksHistorical unplanned
Slide 25: Five years ahead: healthy operating rate
Five years ahead:organic demand growth and fiber substitution provides healthy operating rate25Source: Suzano BI | Scenario does not include possible impact from Russia/Ukraine conflict. 36.443.140.647.520212026e Demand Capacity 90% O.R. 91% MtMt
Slide 26: Inflationary pressures setting a new threshold for pulp prices
Inflationary pressures on producers cost setting a new threshold for pulp prices 26Source: Hawkins Wright, March 2022. Nominal terms and assuming fixed FX rates | Scenario does not include possible impact from Russia/Ukraine conflict. BHKP marginal cost of production vs BHKP price (avg. per quarter)
Slide 27: Cerrado Project: A well defined path to start-up
Physicalprogress(%)Inside-the-fence 43 821003 Dec2021Dec2022Dec20232H24 CerradoProject:A well defined path to start-up 2022 Targets –Completion of infrastructure works–Arrival of first equipments–Start of electromechanical assembly of industrial plant27 4%38%37%21%2021202220232024Total CapexTimeline
Slide 28: Cerrado Project: greater efficiency in energy surplus generation
Cerrado ProjectGreaterefficiencyin energysurplusgeneration(MWh/ton) 0.140.630.23SuzanoAs isCerradoProjectSuzano To beNote: Total capacityincludes integratedpulpvolume+64% 28
Slide 29: Be Best-in-Class in the Total Pulp Cost vision
Be “Best-in-Class”in the Total PulpCost vision 29
Slide 30: Enhancing structural competitiveness
Suzano Day 2022 Suzano Day 2021 Enhancing structural competitiveness 30
Slide 31: Total Operational Disbursement 2027 with Cerrado vs. 2021
Total Operational DisbursementTOD 20271withCerrado vs. 2021 (R$/ton) USDExposure11%69%15% 706711620460347557560418401320TOD 2019FX & InflationTODPerformance-262FX -14TOD 2021 82Inflation20221,669 -150TODPerformance -87CerradoProjectTOD 2027 w/ Cerrado²1,5001,584 FX 3.95Brent US$64/bblForestryradius2
Slide 32: Low execution risk: strong track record
Low execution riskStrong track record¹Does notinclude projectsundercurrentexecution. Considerscapacityatstart-upandSuzano’sprojectsinclude capacitiesofformercapacities. | 2Considers 50% ofthejoint operationwithStoraEnsoatVeracel.³https://www.pmi.org/about/awards/winners/past-award/project-of-the-yea
Slide 33: Low leverage risk: cash generation supports investment cycle
Low leverage riskCash generation supports investment cycleNote: Notincludingprojectsundercurrentexecution| ¹ 2024 Sell-sideestimates: Goldman Sachs (Mar/22), HSBC (Fev/22), Itaú BBA (Fev/22), Morgan Stanley (Fev/22) andScotiabank(Jan/22). ²S&P -ReportDec-21 | Fitch –Sector ReportJan-22 | Moody’s –No
Slide 34: Low leverage risk: unique financial condition
Low leverage risk Unique financial condition34¹Last twelve months (according to earnings release just before announcement) | ²Cash on hand and RCFCapexinside-the-fence/EBITDA LTM¹(US$) 3.02.62.83.91.90.7Montes delPlataImperatrizGuaíba IIPuma ITrês LagoasIICerrado Capex inside-the-fence/Liquidity2(US
Slide 35: Lower price risk: higher cost competitiveness
Lower price risk Higher cost competitiveness35¹Source: Hawkins Wright, December 2021 -FX considered by the consultant of R$/US$ 5.35. | ²Hawkins Wright estimates for 4Q22.Even more competitive BHKP Total Operational Cost (US$/t)1 53152750350349849445044841138934931030011610560 280JapanUSFinlandChina
Slide 36: Solid balance sheet: amortization schedule
3.81.71.67.51.3 0.40.51.05.10.70.30.62.02.18.5Liquidity4Q21202220232024202520262027onwards1FloatingFixedInterest rate increase scenarioSolid balance sheetAmortization Schedule –Fixed vs. Floating rate(USD million)¹Stand by facilities partially contracted in February 2022, according to 4Q21 earnings
Slide 37: Interest rate increase scenario: hedging overview
Interest rate increase scenarioHedging overview37Dollar futures curveMar/2022 vs Jan/2021Mar/2022Jan/2021 Averagestrikes (R$/US$):Put@5.49Call@6.47Months Currentportfolio (US$ 4.5 billion)¹¹ZCC: US$3,969 million. | ZCC Cerrado: US$525 million. | NDF: US$30 million.1234567891011121314151618 4.815.215
Slide 38: Outlook
OUTLOOK Ambidexterity between short and long term Addressable market expansion ESG Protagonism Solid track record on capital allocation 38
Slide 39: Thank you!
vr THONK YOU!