Blue Bird Corporation · NASDAQ:BLBD

Blue Bird — Investor Presentation (June 2020)

32 slides from Blue Bird's investor presentation, June 2020

  1. Slide 1: Blue Bird Corporation Investor Presentation June 2020

    Nasdaq: BLBD Blue Bird Corporation Investor Presentation June 2020

  2. Slide 2: Agenda

    Agenda Business Summary School Bus Industry Overview Blue Bird Highlights Financial Overview 2

  3. Slide 3: Business Summary

    Business Summary ❖ Founded in 1927, Blue Bird product development, manufacturing, fabrication and headquarters located in Middle Georgia ❖ Only pure-play school bus manufacturer ➢ Product-focused and purpose-built ➢ Most recognized school bus brand ❖ High barriers to entry ➢ Highly specialized/custo

  4. Slide 4: School Bus Industry Overview

    School Bus Industry Overview 4

  5. Slide 5: School Bus Industry Products

    School Bus Industry Products Type C Buses Type D FE Buses (Conventional) (Front Engine, Transit-Style) Seating Capacity: 36-83 Seating Capacity: 54-90 Fuel Types: Diesel, Propane, CNG, Fuel Type: Diesel Gasoline, Electric (2019) Type D RE Buses Type A Buses (Rear Engine, Transit-Style) Seating Capac

  6. Slide 6: Industry Highlights

    Industry Highlights OEMs Thomas Blue Bird 590,000 IC School Bus Customers Attractive Industry Attributes ~3,400 High barriers to entry Contractors Highly specialized product Complex state and customer requirements Dealer and service network Customer relationship driven business ~10,000 Demand Driver

  7. Slide 7: Type C & D School Bus Industry

    Type C & D School Bus Industry 40,000 37,641 35,000 35,000 Mean: 30,800 30,000 25,000 23,821 20,000 15,000 New School Bus Registrations Long Term Average Source: R.L. Polk New Registrations, based on Type C/D school buses registered during BB fiscal year ❖ Industry average size is 30,800 new units a

  8. Slide 8: School Buses in Operation

    Fleet Age Profile Supports Industry Levels ~590k School Buses on the Road as of the end of FY2017 40,000 300k / 52% 110k / 19% 180k / 30% 35,000 15years and under 10 years 10-14 years older 30,000 School Buses in Operation 25,000 Average age of the 20,000 590k+ Unit Fleet is approx. 11 years 15,000

  9. Slide 9: Type C and Diesel Dominate; Alt. Fuels Growing Rapidly

    Type C and Diesel Dominate; Alt. Fuels Growing Rapidly FY2012 FY2018 Type C Type D RE Type D FE Type C Type D RE Type D FE 7% 5% 6% Bus-Type 8% 85% 89% Alt. Fuels Diesel Alt. Fuels Diesel 4% 38% mix for Fuel-Type 17% Blue Bird 96% 83% Type C dominant body type; diesel buses were 83% of FY2018 sales;

  10. Slide 10: Blue Bird Highlights

    Blue Bird Highlights S BLUE BIRD.

  11. Slide 11: Dedicated Manufacturing Footprint

    Dedicated Manufacturing Footprint Micro Bird JV Facility (Drummondville, Quebec, Canada) Micro Bird JV Facility Parts Distribution Center Parts Distribution Center (Drummondville, Quebec) (Delaware, Ohio) (Delaware, Ohio) Design, fabrication, and Electronically guided, houses Commentary assembly of

  12. Slide 12: Leader in Key Attributes Our Customers Value

    Leader in Key Attributes Our Customers Value Product Attributes Blue Competitor Competitor Ranked in Order of Bird A B Importance1 #1 Safety -- -- #2 Quality, Reliability and -- -- Durability #3 Operating Costs -- -- #4 Acquisition Cost -- ✓ -- #5 How the Bus Drives -- -- Blue Bird viewed as the lea

  13. Slide 13: Our Exclusive Franchised Dealer Network

    Our Exclusive Franchised Dealer Network More than 85% of Blue Bird dealers dedicated to bus sales and service 13

  14. Slide 14: Alternative-Fuel Leadership

    Alternative-Fuel Leadership Record Sales in FY2019 ▪ Full Year sales 21% above last year ▪ Record Full Year sales mix at 48% ▪ 54% sales mix achieved in 2H Up 21% ▪ Propane sales 41% above last year Opportunities ▪ VW mitigation funds ◦ 50 states have finalized mitigation plans ◦ Approximately $600M

  15. Slide 15: Iconic Brand: History of Industry Innovation

    Iconic Brand: History of Industry Innovation 1991–1994 First Propane, CNG and Electric Blue Bird Buses Exclusive Exclusive ROUSH 2018 2012 2017 Partnership with CleanTech and Ford ROUSH CleanTech Gen 4 Low NOx and Ford Propane Launched Established to Launch Gen 3 Propane Vision and Micro Bird Exclus

  16. Slide 16: Broadest Range of Product Offerings

    Broadest Range of Product Offerings NEW #1 #1 Type C & D Alternative Fuel Type D Rear Cummins Electric Engine #1 Type D Rear Alternative Engine Fuel #1 Type C Traditional Cummins ISL-G CNG Alternative Cummins ISB/ISL Type D Front Diesel Fuel #1 Engine Ford/ROUSH CNG Type C Traditional Alternative Cu

  17. Slide 17: Financial Overview

    Financial Overview S BLUE BIRD.

  18. Slide 18: Track Record of Growing Sales

    Track Record of Growing Sales ($ in millions) Bus Net Sales Parts Net Sales Bus Units Sales $1,200 15,000 $991 $1,025 $1,018 14,000 $1,000 $932 $62 $66 $919 $60 13,000 $856 $57 $56 $800 $777 1 $54 11,649 12,000 $46 11,317 $11,017 $598 10,616 11,000 10,378 $600 $44 9,604 10,000 $931 $963 $952 $862 $8

  19. Slide 19: Increasing Profitability

    Increasing Profitability ($ in millions) $90 $82 14% $80 $72 $70 $70 $69 12% $70 $67 10% $60 $50 $50 8% 8% 8% 8% $40 7% 7% 7% 6% $30 6% $17 4% $20 3% 2% $10 $- 0% FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 Adjusted EBITDA Adjusted EBITDA Margin Plan to achieve margin target of 10% of re

  20. Slide 20: Strong Cash Flow Generation

    Strong Cash Flow Generation ($ in millions) Lower FCF driven by higher $59 CapEx associated with all-new robotic paint facility $45 $44 $40 $36 $33 $31 $12 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 Free cash flow typically represents at least 50% of Adj. EBITDA 20

  21. Slide 21: Transformational Initiatives Drive Down Cost

    Transformational Initiatives Drive Down Cost FY2018 FY2019 FY2020+ Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Purchased Material Purchased Material Purchased Material – Commercial – Commercial – Commercial – Sourcing – Sourcing – Sourcing – Initial design – Design Build and Launch New Paint Facility New Paint Facility

  22. Slide 22: Improving Net Debt, Leverage & Liquidity

    Improving Net Debt, Leverage & Liquidity ($ Millions) As of April 4, 2020 Debt $208.6 Cash 34.1 Net Debt $174.5 Net Debt / Adjusted EBITDA 2.1x Net Leverage Ratio 2.4x Compared with minimum bank Net Leverage Ratio covenant of 3.75x Liquidity1 $97.2 1 Liquidity is defined as cash and cash equivalents

  23. Slide 23: FY2020 Outlook – Confident but Economy Uncertain

    FY2020 Outlook – Confident but Economy Uncertain ❖ As 2Q results showed, Blue Bird’s business fundamentals remain strong – increased bus selling price, lowered cost and achieved higher mix of alternative fueled-buses ❖ Demand for new school buses remains high with 25% of US and Canadian fleet aged 1

  24. Slide 24: Thank You!

    THANK YOU! S BLUE BIRD.

  25. Slide 25: Appendix

    Appendix S BLUE BIRD.

  26. Slide 26: FY2018 to FY2019 Adj. EBITDA Walk

    FY2018 to FY2019 Adj. EBITDA Walk ($ Millions) Pricing and Transformational Initiatives more than offset the impact of lower volume, material economics and manufacturing launch costs See appendix for additional detail regarding Adjusted EBITDA 26

  27. Slide 27: FY2019 Free Cash Flow

    FY2019 Free Cash Flow 4Q Full Year ($ Millions) FY2019 FY2018 FY2019 FY2018 Adjusted EBITDA $ 33.4 $ 29.1 $ 81.8 $ 70.4 Cash Paid for Interest (Net) (2.5) (1.2) (10.4) (5.8) Trade Working Capital1 55.4 14.3 (1.6) 7.0 CAPEX (5.4) (16.5) (35.5) (32.1) Cash Taxes (2.2) — (4.6) (3.7) Other2 (1.5) 5.0 5.

  28. Slide 28: Adj. EBITDA Reconciliation

    Adj. EBITDA Reconciliation Reconciliation of Net Income to Adjusted EBITDA Three Months Ended Fiscal Year Ended (in thousands of dollars) September 28, 2019 September 29, 2018 September 28, 2019 September 29, 2018 Net income $ 11,592 $ 14,932 $ 24,300 $ 30,820 Adjustments: Discontinued operations in

  29. Slide 29: Free Cash Flow Reconciliation

    Free Cash Flow Reconciliation Reconciliation of Free Cash Flow to Adjusted Free Cash Flow Three Months Ended Fiscal Year Ended (in thousands of dollars) September 28, 2019 September 29, 2018 September 28, 2019 September 29, 2018 Net cash provided by operating activities $ 74,819 $ 41,331 $ 55,706 $

  30. Slide 30: Adjusted EPS Reconciliation

    Adjusted EPS Reconciliation Reconciliation of Net Income to Adjusted Net Income Three Months Ended Fiscal Year Ended (in thousands of dollars) September 28, 2019 September 29, 2018 September 28, 2019 September 29, 2018 Net income $ 11,592 $ 14,932 $ 24,300 $ 30,820 Adjustments, net of tax benefit or

  31. Slide 31: Disclaimer

    Disclaimer THE INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS PRESENTATION HAS BEEN PREPARED OR OBTAINED BY THE COMPANY FROM ITS BOOKS AND RECORDS AND OTHER SOURCES THAT THE COMPANY BELIEVES TO BE REASONABLY ACCURATE AND RELIABLE. HOWEVER, SUCH INFORMATION NECESSARILY INCORPORATES SIGNIFICANT ASSUMPTIONS AND ESTIMAT

  32. Slide 32: End

    BLUE BIRD, BUILT TO TAKE ON TOMORROW.

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