Slide 1: Disclaimer
DISCLAIMER These slides are provided for reference only. Due to the evolving nature of the workshop preparations, it cannot be guaranteed that the figures included in these slides are perfectly aligned with the assumptions submitted in the public consultation. In case of inconsistency between figure
Slide 2: Taskforce Multi-Energy Scenarios
Taskforce Multi-Energy Scenarios Workshop 3, Supply & techno-economical assumptions Elia-Fluxys, Elia, 08/07
Slide 3: Welcome!
Welcome ! by Juan Vazquez & Rafael Feito-Kiczak
Slide 4: Meetings, governance and rules
Meetings, governance and rules • The chair is co-shared between Elia and Fluxys • Fluxys chair: Juan Vazquez • Elia chair: Rafael Feito-Kiczak • Meetings will be conducted in English • The goal is to constructively co-create future energy scenarios. As such everyone should respect the opinions of ot
Slide 5: Name + Organisation
Please state your Name + Organisation before providing feedback or asking a question (even if it's the fourth time) Thank you ☺ 5
Slide 6: Agenda of the Workshop
Agenda of the Workshop • Context reminder • Responses to feedback from Workshop 2, Industrial demand • Total energy demand • Supply • Electricity • Molecules • Green house gas emissions • Historical evolution • Decarbonization options • Existing regulations and targets/ambitions • Emissions estimati
Slide 7: Context: Multi-Energy scenarios for the Federal Development Plan
Reminder Context : Multi-Energy scenarios for the Federal Development Plan
Slide 8: The taskforce scenarios leads to inputs for the individual NDPs
The taskforce scenarios leads to inputs for the individual NDPs Reminder Electricity NDP Electricity specific inputs - Electricity demand - Electricity supply, flex, storage - Electricity flexibility & storage +Sensitivities! - Electricity grid - Electricity system cost assumptions Taskforce multi-e
Slide 9: Overview of the draft planning of workshops and public consultation
Overview of the draft planning of workshops and public consultation Input Welcomed Final Workshop Planning 18/07 12/09 Date to be confirmed 2025 You will receive a formal March April May June July August September October November December invitation to participate to the consultation via Public con
Slide 10: Responses to feedback from Workshop 2
Responses to feedback from Workshop 2 Industrial demand
Slide 11: Industrial demand
Industrial demand General modelling approach • How is the net-zero concept tackled for industry? CO2 emissions? Intermediate carbon target? See next parts of the presentation • Production evolution of Belgian industries. We will propose in the public consultation to keep the pre-crisis (2021) produc
Slide 12: Industrial demand
Industrial demand Non-metallic minerals • In 2030 hydrogen demand is high for glass and bricks -> too optimistic. We take it into account. Other sectors • Detailed focus for Agriculture. We considered a detailed focus (included in the public consultation dataset). 12
Slide 13: Agriculture, forestry, and fishing
Agriculture, forestry, and fishing Methodology uses top-down approach due to high amount of actors Current Final Energy Consumption Conversion Useful demand TWh efficiencies TWh per energy source per useful demand GAS • 50% with boilers 10.6 10.6 (η= 85%) • 50% with CHPs Oil: Mobile (η= 40%) Oil 3.8
Slide 14: Agriculture, forestry, and fishing: future energy consumption
Agriculture, forestry, and fishing Estimation of the future final energy consumption based on technology shifting Technology shifting assumed Final Energy Consumption 11 TWh 10 9 9 5 ELEC BASE MOL 4 4 3 6 2 Biomass boilers Biomass boilers Biomass boilers 4 3 3 2 3 4 2 2 2 HP Low T° heat HP E-boiler
Slide 15: Total energy demand evolution towards 2050
Total energy demand evolution towards 2050
Slide 16: Total energy demand evolution towards 2050
Total energy demand evolution towards 2050 Final energy demand – including feedstock and international transport, excluding grid losses excluding demand for transformation sector (as power plants, electrolyzers, SMRs, …) and CCS 700 638 623 632 TWh 616 612 599 586 30 TWh increase between 2021 600 82
Slide 17: Total energy demand evolution towards 2050
Total energy demand evolution towards 2050 Final energy demand – including feedstock and international transport, excluding grid losses excluding demand for transformation sector (as power plants, electrolyzers, SMRs, …) and CCS TWh 700 638 623 632 616 612 599 576 586 571 573 600 560 553 534 519 87
Slide 18: Supply
Supply fluxys® —@ria
Slide 19: Goal of the taskforce: future demand and supply scenarios
The goal of the taskforce consists of defining future demand and supply scenarios for use in development plans Supply scenarios Techno-economical scenarios Demand scenarios Scenario storylines Electricity supply capacities … Energy vectors Cost & technical parameters Methane Electricity Liquid fuels
Slide 20: Demand & supply & interactions (illustrative)
Demand & supply & interactions (illustrative) Focus of the taskforce scenarios PRIMARY ENERGY FINAL ENERGY USEFUL ENERGY Renewables Techno-economical Transformations Electricity Solar Thermal Wind -to- Electrolysis power International Hydro CAPEX, FOM transport Methane Biomass (Marginal) prices & Me
Slide 21: Electricity supply assumptions
Electricity supply assumptions These assumptions are drawn from our numerous interactions and should be viewed as a proposal that still requires further alignment with the relevant authorities and stakeholders. All data are draft and feedback and guidance is asked from stakeholders during this works
Slide 22: Many options exist to supply Belgium's electricity demand
Many options exist to supply Belgium’s electricity demand These choices have Different levers can be chosen to supply this demand several impacts Onshore wind Offshore wind Non-territorial offshore* Imports/exports In the Belgian EEZ Build interconnectors & offshore wind balance Needed to match Dema
Slide 23: 1 central scenario and 3 sensitivities for electricity supply
1 central scenario and 3 sensitivities for electricity supply The different electricity supply scenarios are proposed to be combined into: ➢ one ‘Central’ scenario which will be used for all analysis – Central trajectories for PV and wind onshore based on NECP and further extrapolated + proposal for
Slide 24: PV installed capacity is assumed to grow massively
PV installed capacity is assumed to grow massively The central scenario follows the regional objectives in the short term, and goes to close to 2020-2024 growth rates post 2035 Historical data AdeqFlex’25 Blueprint’24 100 4 GW/y 98 (Very high) Capacity end of year GWp High = 2.1 GW/y 2030 regional t
Slide 25: Onshore wind capacity has grown steadily but faces challenges
Onshore wind capacity has grown steadily but faces challenges in the short term, although ambitions are high The central scenario follows the (ambitious) regional objectives in the short term, and sees decreasing growth rates post 2035 due to spacing, permitting and public acceptance issues Avg grow
Slide 26: Biomass, waste & Hydro Run-of-river
Biomass, waste & Hydro Run-of-river • Biomass & waste: • 0,6 GW biomass to be kept constant until 2050 • 0,3 GW waste to be kept constant until 2050 ➢ Do we need to consider an increase/decrease after 2030 and based on what ? • Hydro RoR: 136 MW today. Proposal as for AdeqFlex to use 170 MW as from
Slide 27: Small scale batteries
Small scale batteries Small scale batteries capacity – Behind the meter [GW] Installation of small batteries depend on: 10 - Smart meters to enable dynamic contracts etc Historical AdeqFlex ‘25 Blueprint ‘24 +0.35 ~ 50k installations/y - Capacity tariffs 9.2 High GW/y 9 kW/installation - Solar PV +
Slide 28: Large scale storage
Large scale storage The battery capacity presented accounts for batteries "in front of the meter" that request a new grid connection and assumed to be 4-hour energy content Large scale batteries (front meter) capacity [GW] Pumped storage capacity [GW] 10 Blueprint ‘24 10 ➢ Do we need to consider an
Slide 29: Decentralised CHPs, biomass and waste CHPs
Decentralised CHPs, biomass and waste CHPs Decentralised waste, biomass, CHPs [GW] Decentralised CHP AdeqFlex Blueprint - Starting point: Based on existing and future 2 projects (PISA database). - No additional decommissioning of existing capacities until 2035 as they can still participate 1.57 Max
Slide 30: Assumptions for nuclear electricity generation for Belgium
Assumptions for nuclear electricity generation for Belgium Nuclear Capacity in GW -> ‘large-scale’ 2.0 Legend -> ‘central’ scenario Existing nuclear - All scenarios New nuclear - Local scenario 2.0 New nuclear - Central scenario -> ‘small scale’ New nuclear - Large Scale scenario 0.5 1.0 2.0 0.5 3.1
Slide 31: Assumptions for domestic offshore electricity generation
Assumptions for domestic offshore electricity generation for Belgium 0.7 Same capacity suggested for Offshore wind - domestic +0.7 GW: repowering MOG 1 all scenarios +1.5GW: new zone in EEZ Capacity in GW 5.8 1.5 0.7 Princess Elisabeth Zone (PEZ I and PEZ II) PEZ III assumed to be also developed bet
Slide 32: Assumptions for non-domestic offshore electricity generation
Assumptions for non-domestic offshore electricity generation for Belgium 0.7 Offshore wind – non-domestic Capacity in GW Large-scale 8 reaches 8 GW by 2050 7 2 GW 6 Central reaches 5 6 GW by 2050 2 GW 2 GW 4 Local reaches 4 3 2 GW 2 GW GW by 2050 2 4 GW 1 2 GW 2 GW 2 GW 0 ’30 ’35 ’40 ’45 ’50 Main as
Slide 33: Existing CCGTs/OCGTs/TJs
Existing CCGTs/OCGTs/TJs Combined Cycle Gas Turbines, Open Cycle Gas Turbines and Turbojets Turbojets: Assumed full decommissioning by 2035. Existing CCGTs and OCGTs: - all to remain until 2035 - 2035-40: Closure of old OCGTs not compliant with the CO2 rules of the CRM (around 400 MW) - 2040-50: if
Slide 34: Overview of supply scenarios and supply-demand balance
Overview of supply scenarios and supply-demand balance
Slide 35: Overview of draft proposed electricity supply scenarios for Belgium
Overview of draft proposed electricity supply scenarios for Belgium Values for supply in TWh and demand ranges are draft and only given as indication Electricity demand here follows the same definition as earlier in the slideset and as such excludes CCS, electrolysis, losses, demand-side response… e
Slide 36: Molecule supply
Molecule supply All data are draft. Feedback and guidance is asked from stakeholders during this workshop and the upcoming public consultation.
Slide 37: Natural gas: current capacity status
Natural gas: current capacity status CH4 Netherlands Norway LNG 20.35 United 30 Loenhout Kingdom Storage 27.15 7610 3.7 GWh 7 17.80 33.45 0 33.40 11.30 60 20.30 France 15 25 Belgium high flexibility In Germany in receiving flows Out from diverse Use sources Store Supply covers 2 significant transit
Slide 38: Natural gas: current energy consumption status
Natural gas: current Energy consumption status CH4 Norway Total imports 173 LNG TWh Netherlands pipe & LNG Storage 407 TWh 81.5 TWh Loenhout (2021: 385 TWh) United 66 TWh Kingdom (2021: 68 TWh) 46 TWh France 62.5 TWh 154 TWh 149 TWh (2021: 20 TWh) Germany (2021: 190 TWh) Total transit to surrounding
Slide 39: Molecule's supply and CO2 will be taken into account
Molecule’s supply and CO2 will be taken into account Direct Supply Conversion Storage Imports Regas. Local Storage Production Biomethane Methanation Exports of LNG CH4 Imports Regas Electrolysis Ammonia Tanks Salt SMR Exports cracking cavern H2 H2 H2 CH4 H2 H 2O CO2 NH3 N2 H2 Imports Carbon Direct a
Slide 40: Biomethane
Biomethane CH4 Biomethane composition similar to natural gas: 100% compatible for injecting into the existing system Biomethane Livestock effluents Purification Organic waste Digester Biogas Agriculture- related flows Combined heat and Fermentation residues power (CHP) unit: Green electricity and gr
Slide 41: Biomethane – projection 2030
Biomethane – projection 2030 CH4 Anaerobic digestion Thermal gasification BE potential ± 3.2 TWh/y Current Situation :0.4 TWh/yr Source: Gas for Climate study, 2022, aligned with Fluxys market potential 41 (https://www.europeanbiogas.eu/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/GfC_Biomethane-potentials_2022.pdf)
Slide 42: Biomethane – projection 2050
Biomethane – projection 2050 CH4 Biomethane potential in 2050 per technology and country Anaerobic digestion Thermal gasification Import potential BE potential from FR and DE ± 15 TWh/y Supply estimation: 22 TWh/y Source: Gas for Climate study, 2022 42 (https://www.europeanbiogas.eu/wp-content/uploa
Slide 43: Biomass potential of local production
Biomass potential of local production The source used gives the biomass potential including biomass for biomethane production. (30 – 41 TWh/year) Biomass potential excluding local production of biomethane* amounts to the following: 2022 2030 2050 Biomass TWh/year 20 24 21 Input welcomed: - Have you
Slide 44: Biomethane and biomass production
Biomethane and biomass production TWh 30 25 20 15 26 24 21 10 20 15 5 6 3.2 0.4 0 2021 2030 2040 2050 Input welcomed Biomass Local biomethane production 44
Slide 45: The colours of hydrogen
The colours of hydrogen Grey hydrogen Steam methane reforming Renewable and low carbon Cracking natural gas into hydrogen hydrogen and CO2 using Carbon steam capture Blue hydrogen Natural gas Green hydrogen Wind Electrolysis Solar Converting water into hydrogen and oxygen using electricity Pink hydr
Slide 46: Hydrogen from shipping
Hydrogen from shipping H2 H2 NH3 N2 46
Slide 47: Hydrogen from shipping – Ammonia Cracking
Hydrogen from shipping – Ammonia Cracking H2 Antwerp ammonia Zeebrugge multimolecule hub import terminal overseas hydrogen H2 import/CO2 export NH3 N2 47
Slide 48: Ammonia Cracking – Capacity Potential
Ammonia Cracking – Capacity Potential H2 GW 12 H2 10 NH3 N2 8 6 10 4 7 2 3 0 0 2021 2030 2040 2050 H2 capacity production Input welcomed 48 Proposition based on market interest until 2040. Extrapolation for 2050
Slide 49: Ammonia Cracking – Production Potential
Ammonia Cracking – Production Potential H2 TWh 100 H2 80 NH3 N2 60 40 88 61 20 28 0 0 2021 2030 2040 2050 -20 -32 -70 -40 -100 -60 -80 -100 H2 production Ammonia consumption Proposition based on market interest until 2040. Extrapolation for 2050 49
Slide 50: Hydrogen from Steam Methane Reforming (SMR)
Hydrogen from Steam Methane Reforming (SMR) H2 H2BE : Production Blue H2 1GW in 2030 SMR 50
Slide 51: SMR Additional Capacity potential
SMR Additional Capacity potential H2 GW 7 6 SMR CH4 H2 5 H 2O CO2 4 3 6 2 1 2 1 0 0 2021 2030 2040 2050 Input welcomed 51 Numbers based on H2BE capacity project in 2030. 2050 come from Integration Fluxys model. 2040 with interpolation
Slide 52: SMR additional potential production
SMR additional potential production H2 TWh 50 SMR 30 53 10 18 0 -1 9 -1 -4 2021 -11 2030 2040 2050 -10 -22 -30 -66 -50 -70 Methane consumption Electricity consumption H2 production 52 Numbers based on H2BE capacity project in 2030. 2050 come from Integration Fluxys model. 2040 with interpolation
Slide 53: Hydrogen from Electrolysis
Hydrogen from Electrolysis H2 Hyoffwind : Production Green H2 25MW in 2026 Electrolysis 53
Slide 54: Electrolysis Capacity Potential
Electrolysis Capacity Potential H2 MW 600 Electrolysis 500 400 300 500 200 238 100 25 0 2021 2030 2040 2050 Input welcomed 54 Numbers based on HyOffWind capacity project in 2030 and TYNDP ENTSO potential for 2050.
Slide 55: Electrolysis Production Potential
Electrolysis Production Potential H2 TWh 6 Electrolysis 4 2 4 2 0.2 0 -0.3 2021 2030 2040 2050 -3 -2 -6 -4 -6 -8 Electricity consumption H2 production Numbers based on HyOffWind capacity project in 2030 and TYNDP ENTSO potential for 2050. 55
Slide 56: Ammonia from Shipping
Ammonia from Shipping NH3 Haber-Bosch H2 N2 NH3 56
Slide 57: Ammonia Potential Capacity Import
Ammonia Potential Capacity Import NH3 GW 40 35 30 25 20 35 15 10 15 5 6 0 0 2021 2030 2040 2050 Input welcomed 57 Numbers based on source : Belgium as a hydrogen importhub, roadmap towards 2030 and beyond
Slide 58: Ammonia Potential Energy Import
Ammonia Potential Energy Import NH3 TWh 350 300 250 200 150 306 100 128 50 50 0 0 2021 2030 2040 2050 Numbers based on source : Belgium as a hydrogen importhub, roadmap towards 2030 and beyond 58
Slide 59: Haber–Bosch Potential additional Capacity Production
Haber – Bosch Potential additional Capacity Production NH3 H2 production via Haber-Bosch process N2 + 3 H2 → 2 NH3 N2 NH3 MW Haber-Bosch 600 H2 N2 NH3 500 400 300 500 200 100 0 0 0 2021 2030 2050 Input welcomed Numbers based on Integration Fluxys Model. 59
Slide 60: Haber–Bosch Potential Energy Production
Haber – Bosch Potential Energy Production NH3 TWh 5 4 Haber-Bosch 3 H2 N2 NH3 2 4 1 0 0 0 2021 2030 2050 -1 -2 -5 -3 -4 -5 Ammonia production H2 consumption Numbers based on Integration Fluxys Model. 60
Slide 61: Proposal of potential of production: Bio and e-fuels TYNDP 2026
Proposal of potential of production : Bio and e-fuels TYNDP 2026 10 Informative potential TWh/y 8 8 e-methanol 6 5 e-kerosene 4 3 3 2 e-methane 2 2 1 1 0 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Input welcomed: - We don’t have a clear view for these potentials. Do you have any view ? - Have you some source for pote
Slide 62: Supply-demand balance
Supply-demand balance fluxys® —@ria
Slide 63: Overview of draft proposed molecules supply scenarios for Belgium (2030)
Overview of draft proposed molecules supply scenarios for Belgium Values for supply in TWh and demand ranges are draft and only given as indication Molecules demand here excludes Transit and Power Plant demand estimations based on input data and no modulation Maximum Potential Capacity [GW] per vect
Slide 64: Overview of draft proposed molecules supply scenarios for Belgium (2040)
Overview of draft proposed molecules supply scenarios for Belgium Values for supply in TWh and demand ranges are draft and only given as indication Molecules demand here excludes Transit and Power Plant demand estimations based on input data and no modulation Maximum Potential Capacity [GW] per vect
Slide 65: Green house gas emissions
Green house gas emissions • Historical evolution • Decarbonization options • Existing regulations and targets/ambitions • Emissions estimations based on the scenarios
Slide 66: Clarifications before we start
Clarifications before we start GHG CO2 • Total Greenhouse Gas emissions include • Total CO2 emissions only include CO2 CO2, CH4, N20, HFCs, SF6, NF3,… • GHG are expressed in tonnes of CO2 equivalent CO2 equivalent factors (values from last IPCC report): • CH4: 29.8 • N2O: 273 • SF6: 24300 • NF3: 174
Slide 67: Total GHG emissions decreased by 32% since 2005
GHG Total GHG emissions decreased by 32% since 2005 (excl. aviation, shipping, LULUCF) Evolution of Belgian Green House Gas emissions since 1990 (Mt CO2 eq.) 200 180 176 176 174 174 177 174 174 174 175 168 169 170 167 169 168 162 164 164 163 163 160 153 150 153 148 157 144 144 142 143 146 151 153 15
Slide 68: Most of the GHG emissions reductions since 1990 came from industry, power and residential
Most of the GHG emissions reductions since 1990 came from the industry, power GHG sector and the residential sector Evolution of Belgian CO2eq emissions per sector (Mt CO2 eq.) (excl. LULUCF) 180 Int. shipping 160 Int. aviation 140 126 126 Energy production - transformation* 120 Partially reported 2
Slide 69: Industries, power and residential sectors achieved highest emission reductions since 2005
GHG Industries, the power sector and residential sector achieved the highest emission reductions since 2005 (around 40%). Agriculture and transport lag behind. Relative evolution of GHG emissions by sector compared to 2005 110% 100% Agriculture 90% Transport 80% Tertiary heating 70% Other Industry (
Slide 70: CO2 represents more than 85% of total GHG emissions
GHG CO2 represents more than 85% of total GHG emissions GHG emissions distribution Distribution of GHG emissions by sector and GHG type (MtCO2eq) (MtCO2eq & %) 111.0 24 2.4 2% 4.7 4% Other types of 7.9 7% 18 18 emissions – not 17 14 2 considered in details 24 9 18 16 6 14 15 3 3 6 6 1 1 3 95.7 86% *
Slide 71: Several decarbonization options exist for each sector
Several decarbonization options exist for each sector Applicable Not applicable Energy Decarbonization Industry Industry Residential Tertiary Agriculture production & Transport Aviation Shipping options (combustion) (process) (combustion) (combustion) (combustion) transformation Technology change or
Slide 72: Regulation scope of GHG emissions
Regulation scope of GHG emissions GHG covered: - EU-ETS: CO2, N20 (mostly in chemicals), PFCs - EU-ETS II: only CO2 - ESR: all GHG SECTORS 2023 2024 2025 2027 Power production Energy Refineries EU Emission Trading System (EU ETS) EU Emission Trading Large industries System (EU ETS) New ETS for fuel
Slide 73: Carbon neutrality in 2050
Carbon neutrality in 2050 European Commission - 2050 long-term strategy “The EU aims to be climate-neutral by 2050 – an economy with net-zero greenhouse gas emissions. This objective is at the heart of the European Green Deal, and is a legally binding target thanks to the European Climate Law.” “EU
Slide 74: Carbon neutrality in 2050
Carbon neutrality in 2050 Wallonia – Déclaration de politique régionale Wallonne 2024-2029 “ La Wallonie continuera à s’inscrire résolument dans la perspective de mise en œuvre du Pacte vert européen. Dans ce cadre, Le Gouvernement s’inscrit pleinement dans l’objectif de neutralité carbone en 2050 e
Slide 75: Emission targets at European and Belgian levels
Emission targets at European and Belgian levels Climate policy Validated Level 2030 2040 2050 Assumed instrument Proposal Effort sharing regulation -47% Not yet specified Belgian Net zero (Non-ETS) Compared to 2005 Interpol = -73.5% EU – ETS European -62% Not yet specified Net zero Compared to 2005
Slide 76: Estimation of GHG emissions based on the scenarios
GHG Estimation of GHG emissions based on the scenarios Methodology used to estimate the future GHG emissions of the scenarios Energy demand for Combustion/energy Emission intensity Worst case CO2 carbo-liquids, methane, emissions emissions (CO2) factors* solid fuels, waste Process emissions Evolutio
Slide 77: Where are we with the scenarios?
Estimated GHG GHG Where are we with the scenarios? Excluding emissions for additional energy demand in transformation sectors (to produce H2 and other fuels) and CCS Evolution of Greenhouse gas emissions in Belgium, Base scenario Mt CO2 eq/y Two major challenges: 1. Commitments/emission targets in 2
Slide 78: Estimated 2030 GHG emissions in BE fall short of the targets
Estimated GHG GHG Estimated 2030 GHG emissions in BE fall short of the targets 84 ESR emissions (Mt CO2 eq) GHG emissions towards 2030 (Mt CO2 eq) 17 66 68 -35% 63 62 -47% 8 15 57 4 15 14 55 13 52 Int. transport 7 10 Non-CO2 6 10 142 2 6 6 43 10 Industry 3 2 2 6 6 27 5 3 3 3 Power & heat Non-CO2 17
Slide 79: Estimated 2030 GHG emissions fall short of the targets
Estimated 2030 GHG emissions based on current scenarios fall short of the targets At Belgian level: 2030 ESR target: 2030 EU targets: Indicative target Not reached at Not reached EU GHG: -55% (comp. to 1990) Binding target Belgian level BE ESR: -47% (comp. to 2005) EU ETS: -62% (comp. to 2005) • Is
Slide 80: Remaining questions regarding the emissions targets
Remaining questions regarding the emissions targets to be achieved by the scenarios 2030 • ESR Input • Is it acceptable to fall short of the 2030 target? Welcomed • Do we need to modify the scenarios or use additional measures to get closer to the target? If yes, which modifications or additional me
Slide 81: Prices & techno-economical parameters
Prices & techno-economical parameters Those parameters are used to determine the dispatch of the different assets (e.g. economic dispatch simulations for the electricity market) and resulting indicators in those simulations. It is not the goal to run capacity expansion models as the capacities will
Slide 82: Fuel & CO2 prices
Fuel & CO2 prices More information: Proposal: Use TYNDP26 prices for the electricity dispatch model ENTSO-E and ENTSOG public consultation on the TYNDP 2026 Scenarios’ input assumptions, data, parameters and methodologies - European Network of Transmission System Operators This leads to (current vie
Slide 83: Economic parameters needed for the electricity dispatch
Economic parameters needed for the electricity dispatch ➢ VOM: ▪ Same as AdeqFlex ’25 ➢ Storage efficiency: ▪ batteries: 85% roundtrip ▪ PSP: 75% roundtrip ➢ FO rates: ▪ Same as AdeqFlex ’25 ➢ No maintenance assumed during winter in Belgium 83
Slide 84: Other countries
Other countries Use of TYNDP26 scenarios as much as possible (public consultation data or latest collected data at ENTSO-E for the electricity part), this to ensure full consistency with the European framework. Current public consultation of TYNDP26 scenarios: ENTSO-E and ENTSOG public consultation
Slide 85: Other topics to be consulted on but not presented during the workshops
Other topics to be consulted on but not presented during the workshops
Slide 86: Other topics to be consulted on
Other topics to be consulted on • Evolution of the energy demand for the other sectors • End user flexibility • End user profiles • Industrial flexibility • … 86
Slide 87: Closing remarks
Closing remarks fluxys® —@ria
Slide 88: Next steps & call for evidence
Input Next steps & call for evidence Final Welcomed Workshop Reminder next steps 18/07 12/09 Date to be confirmed 2025 You will receive a formal March April May June July August September October November December invitation to participate to the consultation via Public consultation FOD & FPB opinio
Slide 89: Merci/dankuwel!
Merci/dankuwel! fluxys® —@ria