Cnx Resources Corporation · NYSE:CNX
Cnx Resources — CONSOL Energy — Goldman Sachs Global Energy Conference 2016
63 slides from Cnx Resources's conference presentation, Jan 6, 2016
Slide 1: Goldman Sachs Global Energy Conference - 2016
Goldman Sachs Global Energy Conference - 2016 January 6-7, 2016
Slide 2: Cautionary Language
Cautionary Language This presentation contains statements, estimates and projections which are forward-looking statements (as defined in Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended). Statements that are not historical, are forward-looking, and include our operational and strategic
Slide 3: Key Takeaways
Key Takeaways CONSOL Energy’s E&P Division has demonstrated that it can stand on its own as a premier Appalachian Basin producer: Gas production has grown significantly Capital intensity and costs are down dramatically Dry Utica has opened up a new opportunity set Our base plan is achievab
Slide 4: 2016 Planned E&P Activity Overview
2016 Planned E&P Activity Overview E&P Activity Summary – 2016 Plan DUC DC 2016 2016 Inventory Inventory Completions TIL Marcellus SW PA Operated 29 23 18 41 SW PA Non-Op 5 10 - 10 WV Operated 7 - 7 7 WV Non-Op 42 - - - Total Marcellus 83 33 25 58 Utica SW PA Operated - 1 - 1 OH Operated 1 4 - 4 OH
Slide 5: E&P Division Production Growth
E&P Division Gas Division Production Growth E&P Production Volumes 450 450 Production by Area 400 ~15% 400 2015E 2016E 350 Marcellus 52% 54% 325-330 350 CBM 23% 18% 300 300 Utica (Wet & Dry) 17% 22% 250 Other 8% 6% 236 250 Bcfe 200 200 172 154 156 128 150 150 100 100 50 50 0 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 20
Slide 6: E&P Division Bridging to Growth
E&P Division Bridging to Growth 400 ~71 ~377 350 ~104 ~328 5 23 300 -50 250 236 Bcfe 15 8 200 -38 150 100 50 0 2014 Total 2015 Base 2015: Gathering 2015: Non-Op 2015: Production 2015 Total 2016 Base 2016: Gathering 2016: Non-Op 2016: Production 2016 Total Production decline De-bottlenecking (Ex NBL/
Slide 7: F&D/Mcfe: Continued Operational Efficiency Improvements
E&P Division F&D/Mcfe: Continued Operational Efficiency Improvements 2010-2014 Drill-bit F&D Cost: 5-Year Average vs. E&P Peers $3.50 $3.00 Average $2.06 $2.50 $2.00 $/Mcfe $1.50 $1.00 $0.50 $0.00 CNX 2012-2014 Drill-bit F&D Cost: 3-Year Average vs. E&P Peers $4.00 $3.50 $3.00 Average $2.14 $2.50 $/
Slide 8: Financial: E&P Capital Expenditures
Financial: E&P Capital Expenditures Efficiencies Driving Reduced E&P Capital Expenditures Without Sacrificing Growth Deferring activity, increasing capital efficiency improvements and identification of additional de-bottlenecking activities 2016 E&P Capital Budget: $205-$325 Million Revised 2016
Slide 9: E&P Division
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Slide 10: Utica Shale Overview
Utica Shale Utica Shale Overview: A Leading Position in the Utica Shale ~614,000 CONSOL net acres(1) Over 3,000 gross locations ─ 77 wells online, as of 9/30/2015 ─ 11 wells TIL in Q3 2015 ─ 7,525 ft average TIL laterals in Q3 2015 ─ 4 wells per pad on average ─ 120-acre spacing (assuming 7,000
Slide 11: Utica Shale: PA/WV Dry Gas
E&P Division RRC– Zahn #1 Utica Shale: PA/WV Dry Gas IP Gas: ~4,500 Mcf/d REXX – Cheeseman 1 IP Oil: 0 Bbl/d IP Gas: 9,200 Mcf/d CHK– Hubbard 3H IP Oil: 0 Bbl/d IP Gas: 11,00 Mcf/d CHK – Thompson 3H IP Oil: 0 Bbl/d IP Gas: 6,400 Mcf/d CNX – Gaut 4IH IP Oil: 0 Bbl/d 61.4 MMcf/d @ 7,968 psig CHK – Bro
Slide 12: Utica Shale: Gaut 4IH – Westmoreland County, PA
Utica Shale: Gaut 4IH – Westmoreland County, PA CONSOL – GAUT4IH 61.4 MMcf/d 24-hr test rate ~ 5,800’ single lateral; 100% WI to CONSOL 30 stage completion 200’ stages with 500k# proppant: 160k# 100 mesh + 200k # 40/80 ceramic + 140k# 30/50 ceramic Ready supply of water Production faciliti
Slide 13: Utica Shale: Gaut 4IH Westmoreland County, PA
Utica Shale: Gaut 4IH Westmoreland County, PA Flow Rate MCf/Day Casing Pressure PSIG 30,000 10000 9500 25,000 9000 Casing Flowing Pressure (psig) 8500 20,000 Gas Rate (Mcf/d) 8000 15,000 7500 7000 10,000 6500 6000 5,000 5500 0 5000 9/25/2015 10/15/2015 11/4/2015 11/24/2015 12/14/2015 1/3/2016 Cond
Slide 14: Utica Shale: GH9 Greene County, PA
Utica Shale: GH 9 Greene County, PA Range Resources - Claysville Sportsman’s Club #1 IP Gas – 59.0 MMcf/d EQT – Pettit 593066 Spud in Aug. 2015 13,400 ft. TVD 4,000-4,500 ft. lateral 100% WI to CONSOL EQT – Scotts Run 24 hr IP – 72.9 MMcf/d. TVD: 13,400’ 3,221’ Treated interval. Frac’d in Q4 2
Slide 15: Utica Shale: Ohio Dry Gas
Utica Shale: Ohio Dry Gas CNX Activity and Recent IP Rates In-and-Around Monroe County, OH CVX Conner well (Utica): GPOR Irons 1-4H (Utica): 25.0 MMcf/d – Avg 24-hr rate 30.3 MMcf/d – Avg 24-hr rate NBL / CNX MND 6H (Utica): 1 Utica Well CNX SWITZ 6 Pad (Utica) : Flowing back 4 Utica Wells & 1 Marce
Slide 16: Utica Shale: Switz 6 Monroe County, OH
Utica Shale: Switz 6 Monroe County, OH CONSOL – SWITZ 6 Pad (Utica): 4 Utica wells & 1 Marcellus well CNX – Switz 6D: 24-hr test rate 44.7 MMcf/d @ 6,835 psig Remaining wells flowing back 4 Utica Wells and 1 Marcellus Well Avg. Utica Lateral Length = 8,821’ Longest Utica Lateral = 10,122’ 10
Slide 17: Utica Shale: Switz 6D Monroe County, OH
Utica Shale: Switz 6D Monroe County, OH Gas Rate Casing Pressure 50,000 10000 The limited decline in flowing casing pressure bodes well for a strong stabilized production 40,000 rate going forward 8000 Flowing Casing Pressure (psig) Gas Rate (Mcf/d) 30,000 6000 20,000 4000 Currently temporarily shut
Slide 18: Dry Utica: Monroe County Cost Improvements
Dry Utica: Monroe County Cost Improvements Days vs. Depth (Well in order of Horizontal TD Date) 0 5,000 Measured Depth (ft.) 10,000 Switz-6B-HSU Switz-6F-HSU 15,000 ~60+% Reduction in Days to Drill Switz-6H-HSU 20,000 Switz-6D-HSU Switz-16J-HSU 25,000 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Days Switz Drilling Cost/F
Slide 19: PA Utica: Drilling & Completion Cost Reductions
PA Utica: Drilling & Completion Cost Reductions Waterfall Diagram - PA Dry Utica Drilling and Completion Costs Per Well Assume 7000' lateral on a development 4-well pad ($ in millions) $30.0 $26.2 (8.2) $25.0 (2.2) $20.0 (0.4) (0.8) (1.2) (1.1) $15.0 $12.4 $10.0 $5.0 $0.0 (2) Prior AFE Per Well Dril
Slide 20: Gas Marketing
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Slide 21: Gas Marketing: Firm Transportation
Gas Marketing Firm Transportation 1,600 NEXUS Targeting pipeline projects that 1,400 access favorable markets at ANR 1,200 favorable rates Columbia 1000s MMBtu/day 1,000 East Tennessee Will supplement direct FT with firm 800 sales to customers that have matching firm capacity 600 Dominion 400
Slide 22: Gas Marketing: Natural Gas Sales
Gas Marketing Natural Gas Sales Midwest TETCO M3 Dominion South TCO Pool Updated estimated natural TETCO M2 gas sales mix for FY 2016 reflects an improved expected East Tennessee realization position, including a greater percentage of out- Gas Sales CY 2015 Est. CY 2016 Est. of-basin sales, compared
Slide 23: Gas Marketing: Natural Gas Processing
Gas Marketing Natural Gas Processing Contracted capacity meets Contracted Capacity at Processing Plants current requirements 500 450 ─ Inlet wet gas volumes to processing plants were ~145 400 MMcf/d above CONSOL’s 350 minimum committed volume 300 in Q3 2015 MMcf/d 250 Maintained the flexibility
Slide 24: Gas Marketing: Firm Transport–Asset or Liability?
Gas Marketing: Firm Transport–Asset or Liability? Total Off Balance Sheet Firm Transportation, Gathering and Processing Commitments $20.0 180% 155% $18.0 160% $16.0 133% 140% $17.5 FT Commitments as % of EV $14.0 $14.3 120% $12.0 $ Billions 100% $10.0 Average: $6.5 Bn 86% 80% $8.0 64% 63% 60% $6.0 3
Slide 25: Gas Marketing: Hedges
Gas Marketing: Hedges Gas Hedges 250 E&P Hedge Program: NYMEX + Basis (1) 225 Program and actively NYMEX Only Hedges Exposed to Basis 200 monitored hedges Gas Volumes Hedged (Bcf) ─ Program Hedge - protect 175 margins on up to 90% of our 150 Proved Developed Production 125 100 ─ Active Hedge Proce
Slide 26: Coal Division
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Slide 27: Coal Division: High Quality, Low Cost Assets
Coal Division High Quality, Low Cost Assets with Long Mine Life Pennsylvania (“PA”) Operations Virginia (“VA”) Operations Other Type of Coal Primarily Thermal Primarily Met Primarily Thermal 5 Longwalls and 1 Longwall System and Stripping Shovels and Method Continuous Mining Machines Continuous Mini
Slide 28: Pennsylvania Mining Complex
Coal Division Pennsylvania Mining Complex Pennsylvania mining complex consists of three like-new underground mines and related infrastructure with high-Btu bituminous coal (785.6 million tons proven and probable(1)) - PA mining complex– 785.6 million tons reserves / 28.5 million tons annual capaci
Slide 29: Not All NAPP Longwalls Are Created Equal
Coal Division Not All NAPP Longwalls Are Created Equal 30 5.0 2014 Production - CNXC Assets 2014 Production - Other Longwalls 2014 Sulfur 4.5 25 4.0 Production (million tons) Sulfur (% as received) 3.5 20 3.0 15 2.5 2.0 10 Closed 1.5 in 2015 1.0 5 0.5 0 0.0 Federal (1) Leer (1) Cumberland (1) Ohio C
Slide 30: Minor MATS Impact
Coal Division Minor MATS Impact – Limited Sales Loss, Potential Remaining Customer Gain MATS compliance deadlines Surviving 2014 CNX Customers 20,000 (after 2015-2019 retirements) 18,000 2014 coal burn 16,000 Actual and Demonstrated capability (2008) Announced U.S. Coal Retired Capacity (MW) 14,000
Slide 31: Financial
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Slide 32: Financial: Focused on Free Cash Flow
Financial: Focused on Free Cash Flow Strong liquidity position CNXC and CONE - CONE Midstream Partners (CNNX) cash flows and EBITDA continue to consistently grow - CNX Coal Resources (CNXC) successfully concluded first quarter as a public entity Asset monetization program Reduction in legacy
Slide 33: Financial: Liquidity
Financial: Liquidity Debt and Liquidity Profile CNX CNXC: CNX CNX Unit Market Consolidated 100% Attributable Equity Value of Ownership in Affiliated Public MLPs Onwed LP (4) Price (4) Value Capitalization and Liquidity 9/30/2015 9/30/2015 9/30/2015 Units CNX Coal Resources LP (CNXC:NYSE) 12.7 $9.27
Slide 34: Financial: Asset Monetizations
Financial: Asset Monetizations Assets available for sale Engaged several investment bankers and advisors to assist in the sale process - In early Oct. announced $101 million of divestitures of non-core coal assets with projected 2016 EBITDA of $6 million, a nearly 17x multiple Actively engaged i
Slide 35: Financial: Legacy Liabilities
Financial: Legacy Liabilities Significant Legacy Liability Reductions Over Past 3 Years $4,500 $375 $370 $4,345 $4,000 $350 $325 Annual Cash Servicing Cost $3,500 Projected $107MM Annual Cash $300 $3,000 Legacy Liabilities Servicing Cost for FY 2016, a $275 $46MM reduction from the year- $2,500 end
Slide 36: Financial: CNX Coal Resources LP (CNXC:NYSE)
Financial: CNX Coal Resources LP (CNXC:NYSE) CNXC: Organizational Structure and CNX Ownership CONSOL Energy Inc. CNXC owns a 20% undivided interest(1) in, and ("CONSOL Energy") operational control over, CONSOL Energy’s Pennsylvania NYSE: CNX mining complex (Bailey, Enlow Fork and Harvey mines) 100%
Slide 37: Financial: CONE’s Growing Cash Contribution
Financial: CONE’s Growing Cash Contribution CONSOL owns 32.1% of CONE Midstream Partners LP’s CONE Midstream's and Gathering's Pro Rata Net (CNNX:NYSE) LP units and 50% of the General Partner Income Contribution to CNX (“GP”), which has a 2% interest in CNNX (and rights to $16 IDRs) $13 $12 CNNX
Slide 38: Financial: Guidance Summary (E&P)
Financial: Guidance Summary E&P Segment Guidance 2016E Production Volumes: Natural Gas (Bcf) 335 NGLs (MBbls) 6,000 Oil (MBbls) 65 Condensate (MBbls) 1,000 Total Production (Bcfe) ~15% Natural Gas Basis Differential to NYMEX ($/Mcf) ($0.30) - ($0.40) NGL Realized Price ($/Bbl) $11.00 - $13.00 Conden
Slide 39: Financial: Guidance Summary (Coal)
Financial: Guidance Summary Coal Segment 2016E Total Coal Operations Estimated Total Coal Sales Volumes 27.0 - 32.0 Total Committed Volumes (Contracted & Priced) 23.0 % Committed 78% Capital Expenditures: Production $140 - $155 Other (Land/Water/Safety/Terminal) 30 - 35 Total Coal CapEx $170 - $190
Slide 40: Financial: Summary
Financial: Summary Plans and Goals Aligned to Drive Increased Valuation Milestones: Improving E&P performance from high-grading activities, improving completion techniques, reducing cycle times, and service deflation Benefits from recent long-term contracting activities and operating cost redu
Slide 41: Appendix
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Slide 42: Non-GAAP Reconciliation: Quarter-over-Quarter EBITDA
Appendix Non-GAAP Reconciliation: Quarter-over-Quarter EBITDA and Adj. EBITDA Three Months Ended September 30 ($ in thousands) 2015 2014 Net Income / (Loss) $125,470 ($1,645) Add: Interest Expense 48,558 55,397 Less: Interest Income (361) (527) Add: Income Taxes (Benefit) 58,143 (1,388) Earnings Bef
Slide 43: Non-GAAP Reconciliation: Trailing Twelve Months EBITDA
Appendix Non-GAAP Reconciliation: Trailing Twelve Months EBITDA and Adj. EBITDA Twelve Months Ended September 30 ($ in thousands) 2015 Net Income / (Loss) ($325,135) Add: Interest Expense 203,212 Less: Interest Income (2,344) Add: Income Taxes (Benefit) (253,357) Earnings Before Interest & Taxes (EB
Slide 44: Strong Liquidity Position of ~$1 Billion
Appendix Strong Liquidity Position of ~$1 Billion Amount/ Amount Letters Amount September 30, 2015 ($ in million) Capacity Drawn of Credit Available Cash and Cash Equivalents(1) $80 - - $80 Revolving Credit Facility(2) $2,000 $945 $281 $774 Total $2,080 $945 $281 $854 (1) Cash and cash equivalents o
Slide 45: Joint Ventures
Appendix Joint Ventures Summary of JV Carry Eligible Capital Description Marcellus / Noble Energy Inc. Utica / Hess Corporation Ownership 50/50 50/50 (1) Acreage 350,904 76,132 (2) Zones PA and WV Marcellus, Burkett to Onondaga OH Utica Noble to pay 1/3 of CNX 50% share of eligible charges Hess to p
Slide 46: Marcellus Shale: Overview
Appendix Marcellus Shale: Overview ~441,000 CONSOL net acres ─ ~91% HBP 23.9 Tcfe 3P Over 8,900 gross potential wells(1) ~93% Marcellus production growth in 2014 compared to 2013 Liquids growth from 2% in 2013 to 8% of total production in 2014 Producing Pads Note: Townships are shown in ye
Slide 47: Marcellus Shale: Offset Peer Acreage
Appendix Marcellus Shale: Offset Peer Acreage Notes: CNX acreage position as of 12/31/2014. CNX acreage shown in yellow and purple (acres owned in fee) where CONSOL holds 3,000 or more acres. Source: Third party acreage positions based on GIS data from Western Land Services. 47
Slide 48: Marcellus Shale: Growth Runway and Depth of Inventory
Appendix Marcellus Shale: Growth Runway and Depth of Inventory Marcellus Shale Upside Potential Total Gross Prospective Marcellus Acreage ~790,000 - Gross Acres within JV ~701,000 - Acres outside JV – 100% CONSOL ~89,000 Acreage per well (assumed 750 ft spacing) ~86 Gross Producing wells (JV -
Slide 49: Marcellus Shale: Sub-Regions Summary
Appendix Marcellus Shale: Sub-Regions Summary Marcellus Shale North South SWPA CPA WV Ohio(1) Total Wet Wet Net Acres ~45,000 ~110,000 ~117,000 ~13,000 ~54,000 ~102,000 ~441,000 Approximate Gross 800 2,000 2,400 100 1,400 2,200 ~8,900 Locations(2) Avg EURs/1,000 ft 2.1 1.6 1.8 -- 1.8 2.1 -- (Bcfe) M
Slide 50: Marcellus Shale: Southwest PA Overview
Appendix Marcellus Shale: Southwest PA Overview ~45,000 CONSOL net acres NV56 Pad Over 800 gross locations(1) 6 Wells 8,753’ Avg Lateral Length per well 9,230 Mcfe Avg 30-day IP per well ─ 190 wells online, as of NV36 Pad NV57 Pad 9/30/2015 8 Wells 7 Wells 8,914’ Avg Lateral Length per well 5,02
Slide 51: Marcellus Shale: North Wet Gas Overview
Appendix Marcellus Shale: North Wet Gas Overview ~54,000 CONSOL net acres Over 1,400 gross locations(1) ─ 139 wells online as of 9/30/2015 ─ 16 wells TIL in Q3 2015 ─ 8,038 ft average laterals in Q3 2015 ─ 6 wells per pad on average ─ 136-acre spacing (assuming 7,900 ft lateral) SHL13 Pad 7 Well
Slide 52: Marcellus Shale: South Wet Gas Overview
Appendix Marcellus Shale: South Wet Gas Overview ~102,000 CONSOL net SHR1 Pad 6 Wells acres ~8,741’ Avg Lateral Length per well WEESE (Triad Hunter) 3 Wells PENS1 Pad 10,143 Mcfe Avg 30-day IP per well Over 2,200 gross 9 Wells 3,711’ Avg Lateral Length per well ~6,824’ Avg Lateral Length per wel
Slide 53: Marcellus Shale: Northern WV Dry Overview
Appendix Marcellus Shale: Northern WV Dry Overview ~117,000 CONSOL net acres Over 2,400 gross ANDERSON (PDC Mountaineer) 3 Wells PHL10 Pad locations(1) 4,859’ Avg Lateral Length per well 6 Wells 595 MMcf/well – 1st 6-Month Cum 4,636’ Avg Lateral Length per well ─ 49 wells online, as of 3,148 Mcf
Slide 54: Marcellus Shale: Central PA Overview
Appendix Marcellus Shale: Central PA Overview ~110,000 CONSOL net acres CRAWFORD 5 Pad Over 2,000 gross 2 Wells 7,305’ Avg Lateral Length per well locations(1) 13,586 Mcfe Avg 24-hr IP per well 624 Mmcfe/well – 60 day Cum ─ 58 wells online, as of MARCHAND 3I Well 9/30/2015 6,418’ Lateral Length
Slide 55: Utica Shale: Growth Runway and Depth of Inventory
Appendix Utica Shale: Growth Runway and Depth of Inventory Utica Shale Upside Potential Total Gross Prospective Utica Acreage ~690,000 - Gross Acres within JV ~153,000 - Acres outside JV – 100% CONSOL ~537,000 Acreage spacing per well (assumed 750 ft spacing) ~86 Gross Producing wells (JV - YE
Slide 56: Utica Shale: Sub-Regions Summary
Appendix Utica Shale: Sub-Regions Summary Utica Shale Ohio Wet Ohio Dry PA/WV Dry Total Net Acres ~88,000 ~30,000 ~496,000 ~614,000 Approximate Gross 500 300 2,200 3,000 Locations(1) Avg EURs/1,000 ft 2.1 2.4 2.4 -- (Bcfe) Potential resource of ~30 Tcfe Note: Acreage as of December 31, 2014 unless o
Slide 57: Utica Shale: Offset Peer Acreage
Appendix Utica Shale: Offset Peer Acreage ~614,000 CONSOL net acres in Utica ─ ~302,000 net acres in PA ─ ~194,000 net acres in WV ─ 30,000 net acres in OH Dry ~13,000 net acres in Monroe County, OH ─ 88,000 net acres in OH Wet Majority of acreage offset to peers with strong results ─ The main
Slide 58: Utica Shale: CNX Acreage Position in the Core OH Wet Gas Utica
Appendix Utica Shale: CNX Acreage Position in the Core OH Wet Gas Utica HES – Cadiz B HES – Cadiz A IP GAS: 10,254 Mcf/d ~88,000 CONSOL net acres GPOR - Boy Scout 33H CHK - Buell 8H IP OIL: 191 Bbl/d IP GAS: 9,500 Mcf/d IP GAS: 8,006 Mcf/d ~34,000 CONSOL net acres IP GAS: 5,300 Mcf/d IP OIL: 1,4
Slide 59: Stacked Pay Potential: CONSOL’s Shale Fairway
Appendix Stacked Pay Potential: CONSOL’s Shale Fairway PIT Airport Rhinestreet = 5,340’ Burkett = 5,460’ Marcellus = 5,690’ Utica = 10,760’ Monroe County/Moundsville Rhinestreet = 5,930’ Burkett = 6,110’ Southwest PA Marcellus = 6,190’ Rhinestreet = 6,730’ Utica = 10,680 Burkett = 7,000’ Marcellus =
Slide 60: Stacked Pay Potential: Appalachian Shale Acreage
Appendix Stacked Pay Potential: Appalachian Shale Acreage P a y Formation Name Wet Dry Total Net Acres Net Acres Net Acres Rhinestreet Shale Upper Cashaqua Shale Devonian 190,000 155,000 345,000 Middlesex Shale West River Shale Burkett Shale Tully Limestone Hamilton Shale Marcellus Marcellus 176,000
Slide 61: E&P Division: Resource and Opportunity Rich Portfolio
Appendix E&P Division: Resource and Opportunity Rich Portfolio Proved Estimated Potential Locations (Gross) Tcfe Proved(2) Unproven Total Marcellus Shale 4.2 1,633 8,000 9,633 Utica Shale(1) 0.5 171 3,000 3,171 Upper Devonian 0.02 11 2,700 2,711 CBM 1.5 3,833 5,200 9,033 Conventional 0.5 11,672 66,0
Slide 62: CONE Corporate Structure
Appendix CONE Corporate Structure 62 Source: CONE Midstream Partners LP.
Slide 63: Coal Division: Low-cost, Highly Productive Longwall Mining Operations
Appendix Coal Division: Low-cost, Highly Productive Longwall Mining Operations During 2014, the PA mining complex generated the h i g h e s t c a s h m a r g i n o f a n y o f o u r c o a l p e e r s (1)(2) The design of the Pennsylvania mining complex is optimized to 2014 Average Cash Margin ($ /
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