Baytex Energy Corp. · TSX:BTE

Baytex Energy — Investor Presentation (October 2016)

31 slides from Baytex Energy's investor presentation, October 2016

  1. Slide 1: October Presentation

    October Presentation BAYTEX

  2. Slide 2: Advisory: Forward-Looking Statements

    Advisory Forward-Looking Statements In the interest of providing Baytex's shareholders and potential investors with information regarding Baytex, including management's assessment of Baytex's future plans and operations, certain statements made by the presenter and contained in these presentation ma

  3. Slide 3: Advisory (Cont.)

    Advisory (Cont.) Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of risk factors is not exhaustive. New risk factors emerge from time to time, and it is not possible for management to predict all of such factors and to assess in advance the impact of each such factor on our business or the extent to w

  4. Slide 4: Advisory (Cont.): Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    Advisory (Cont.) Non-GAAP Financial Measures This presentation refers to funds from operations, net debt, free cash flow, sustaining capital, operating netback and Bank EBITDA, which do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by generally accepted accounting principles in Canada ("GAAP"). We de

  5. Slide 5: Baytex Key Attributes

    Baytex Key Attributes Making the Right Choices In a Low Oil Price Environment Pro-actively worked with our bank lending Cost reduction focus syndicate to provide across all facets of our increased financial organization while flexibility; targeting capital maintaining efficiency in expenditures to M

  6. Slide 6: Corporate Profile

    Corporate Profile Market Summary Ticker Symbol TSX / NYSE: BTE Average Daily Volume (1) CAN: 10,600,000 / US: 2,800,000 Shares Outstanding 211.5 million Market Capitalization / Enterprise Value $1.2 billion / $3.1 billion Net Debt (2) $1.9 billion Corporate Summary Production (3) 67,000 – 69,000 boe

  7. Slide 7: Capital Deployment Opportunities

    Capital Deployment Opportunities Texas 34% Eagle Ford Texas 34% Peace River / Lloydminster Heavy Oil  First call on capital  2016 51% Light Oilmulti-lateral development 22% at Peace  Highest rate of return River and conventional asset at current prices development at Lloydminster deferred  Highe

  8. Slide 8: H1 2016 Highlights

    H1 2016 Highlights  Generated production of 72,902 boe/d (78% oil and NGL)  Curtailed capital spending, focusing all development activity in the Eagle Ford, our highest rate of return and highest netback asset  Reinitiated production from heavy oil wells shut-in during the first quarter of 2016 d

  9. Slide 9: Balance Sheet / Debt Composition

    Balance Sheet / Debt Composition Significant Liquidity, No Near-Term Maturities and Financial Covenant Flexibility 0.86x Senior Secured Debt (2) to Bank EBITDA (3) (maximum 5.0x through March 2018) 4.05x Interest Coverage (4) (minimum 1.25x through March 2018) Debt Composition(1) and Unutilized Capa

  10. Slide 10: Crude Oil Hedge Portfolio

    Crude Oil Hedge Portfolio Q3/2016 Q4/2016 H2 2016 2017 2018 WTI Fixed Hedges Volumes (bbl/d) 5,000 5,000 5,000 --- --- Fixed Price (US$/bbl) $63.79 $63.79 $63.79 --- --- WTI 3-Way Option Volumes (bbl/d) 10,000 10,000 10,000 13,500 --- Average Ceiling/Floor/Sold Floor $60/$50/$40 $60/$50/$40 $60/$50/

  11. Slide 11: Natural Gas Hedge Portfolio

    Natural Gas Hedge Portfolio Full-Year Full-Year Q3/2016 Q4/2016 H2 2016 2017 2018 AECO Fixed Hedges Volumes (GJ/day) 32,500 32,500 32,500 12,500 5,000 Price (C$/GJ) $2.39 $2.39 $2.39 $2.65 $2.67 NYMEX Fixed Hedges Volumes (mmbtu/d) 15,000 15,000 15,000 17,500 7,500 Price (US$/mmbtu) $2.98 $2.98 $2.9

  12. Slide 12: Eagle Ford Provides Highest Rate of Return

    Eagle Ford Provides Highest Rate of Return at Current Commodity Prices 175% Well costs reflect the most recent results achieved. No 150% heavy oil wells have been drilled at Peace River and Lloydminster 125% since mid-2015. Break-Even WTI (4) Rate of Return 100% 75% 50% Eagle Ford - US$5.2M/well Pea

  13. Slide 13: Cost Targets Drive Return Improvement in Canada

    Cost Targets Drive Return Improvement in Canada 175% With further cost savings in 150% Canada, heavy oil economics are competitive with the Eagle Ford at US$50-US$55/bbl 125% At US$50/bbl, all three assets Rate of Return would generate IRR’s ≥ 50% 100% 75% Eagle Ford - US$5.2M/well 50% Peace River -

  14. Slide 14: Individual Well Economics – Sensitivity to WTI

    Individual Well Economics – Sensitivity to WTI IRR (3) NPV (C$000s) – 10% discount rate Eagle Ford Peace River Lloydminster Eagle Ford Peace River Lloydminster US$45 53% 25% 35% US$45 $5,688 $716 $262 US$50 69% 50% 67% US$50 $7,247 $1,611 $581 US$55 88% 79% 105% US$55 $8,806 $2,459 $900 US$60 110% 1

  15. Slide 15: The Eagle Ford

    The Eagle Ford BANTEX

  16. Slide 16: Eagle Ford Development

    Eagle Ford Development Concentrated Land Positon in Core of the Eagle Ford Advancements Since Late 2014  Significant advancements have been made to delineate the multi- zone potential of our Sugarkane acreage  DC&E costs reduced by ~ 35%  30-day IP rates increased ~ 20%  Drilling efficiency impr

  17. Slide 17: Eagle Ford Highlights

    Eagle Ford Highlights Chapman Rogers - Q4 2015 Sienkiewicz - Q2 2015 5 well pad 5 well pad Avg 30 day IPs Avg 30 day IPs ~1,164 boepd ~1,575 boepd 13 Multi-Zone Projects in Various Stages of Execution and Development Foster – Q1 2016 5 well pad Urrutia - Q2 2015 Avg 30 day IPs 3 well pad ~1,354 boep

  18. Slide 18: Eagle Ford Performance

    Eagle Ford Performance Improved Performance and Efficiency  Improvements in drilling and completion design have increased 30-day IP rates by approximately 100% since Q4/2011 with 180-day cumulative recovery increasing 74% over the same time period  Drilling times have decreased by 63% since Q4/201

  19. Slide 19: Completion Improvements

    Completion Improvements Increased Lateral Length, Frac Stages and Proppant Lateral Length and Total Depth Per Well Frac Stages and Proppant Per Well 19

  20. Slide 20: Pricing Exposure

    Pricing Exposure The Eagle Ford Significantly Enhances Our Operating Netback  Our light oil and condensate production in the Eagle Ford is priced primarily off a Louisiana Light Sweet (LLS) benchmark, which typically trades at a premium to WTI.  Strong waterborne pricing, combined with low cash co

  21. Slide 21: Heavy Oil Overview

    Heavy Oil Overview 21

  22. Slide 22: Peace River Oil Sands

     Peace River Oil Sands Multi-Lateral Drilling Drives Strong Capital Efficiencies Area Statistics Land Holdings 338 net sections Production (Q2/2016) 13,100 boe/d 2P Reserves (YE15) (1) 73.6 mmboe Drilling Inventory (2) 7.5 years (1) In addition, we have 18.2 mmbbl of bitumen reserves related to our

  23. Slide 23: Multi-Lateral Cold Horizontal Wells

     Multi-Lateral Cold Horizontal Wells Reservoir Characteristics (1) Formation Bluesky Depth ~ 600 metres Completion Open Hole Oil Quality 11 °API Average Porosity 28% Permeability 1 - 5 darcies Oil Saturation 70% Recovery Factor 5 - 7% Well Economics (1) Well Design ~ 12 laterals Completed Well Cost

  24. Slide 24: Lloydminster Heavy Oil

    Lloydminster Lloydminster Heavy Oil Heavy Oil  Shift to Horizontal Drilling Expands Inventory Area Statistics Land Position 652 net sections Production (Q2/2016) 10,200 boe/d 2P Reserves (YE15) (1) 33.2 mmboe Drilling Inventory (2) ~ 7.5 years (1) In addition, we have 43.4 mmbbl of bitumen reserves

  25. Slide 25: Lloydminster Development

    Lloydminster Development  Reservoir Characteristics (1) Formation Mannville Group Depth 350 – 800 metres Completion Horizontal Slotted Liner / Vertical Stacked Pays Oil Quality 10 – 16 °API Average Porosity 30% Permeability 0.5 – 5.0 darcies Oil Saturation 70% Horizontal Well Economics (1) Complete

  26. Slide 26: Free Cash Flow Scenarios

    Free Cash Flow Scenarios Free Cash Flow(1) Positive at US$55/bbl  As funds from operations increase: $250 $150  E&D capital deployed to offset production declines $ Millions $50  Invest in organic growth once -$50 free cash flow positive -$150  Potential for debt repayment -$250 $40 $45 $50 $55

  27. Slide 27: Summary

    Summary We are well positioned to benefit from an oil price recovery  First call on capital – the Eagle Ford  Cost targets drive return improvements in Canada  Retain significant leverage to a rising crude oil price environment  Exceptional asset base focused on crude oil & liquids  Significant

  28. Slide 28: Supplementary Information

    Supplementary Information 28

  29. Slide 29: Funds from Operations Sensitivities

    Funds from Operations Sensitivities Estimated Effect on Annual Funds from Operations ($ Millions) Sensitivities Excluding Hedges Including Hedges Change of US$1.00/bbl WTI crude oil $16.4 $16.4 Change of US$1.00/bbl WCS heavy oil differential $8.5 $7.7 Change of US$0.25/mcf NYMEX natural gas $7.9 $4

  30. Slide 30: Capital Program Efficiency

    Capital Program Efficiency 3-Year 2013 2014 2015 Total / Average 2013-15 Capital Expenditures ($millions) Exploration and development 550.9 766.1 521.0 1,838.0 Acquisitions (net of dispositions) (39.1) 2,545.1 1.6 2,507.7 Total 511.8 3,311.2 522.7 4,345.7 Proved plus Probable Reserve Additions (mboe

  31. Slide 31: Contact Information

    Contact Information Suite 2800, Centennial Place James L. Bowzer 520 – 3rd Avenue S.W. Chief Executive Officer Calgary, Alberta T2P 0R3 (587) 952-3000 T: (587) 952-3000 1-800-524-5521 Rodney D. Gray www.baytexenergy.com Chief Financial Officer (587) 952-3160 Brian G. Ector Senior Vice President, Cap

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