First Property Group Plc · LSE:FPO

First Property — H1 2016 Earnings Presentation

39 slides from First Property's earnings presentation, Nov 26, 2015

  1. Slide 1: Interim Results for the half year ended 30 September 2015

    Interim Results for the half year ended 30 September 2015 First Property Group plc 26 November 2015 FPAM funds have ranked No.1 versus the Investment Property Databank (IPD) Central & Eastern European (CEE) universe for the annualised periods from the commencement of its operations in Poland in 2005

  2. Slide 2: Contents

    First Property Group plc Contents Company Description 3 Investment markets – Poland 22 Awards 4 Investment markets – UK 23 Investment Approach 5 Outlook 24 Prelims Highlights – Financial Highlights & Explanatory Notes 6-8 Pending investments 25-26 Segmental Analysis 9-21 Appendices 27-40 Operating p

  3. Slide 3: Company Description

    First Property Group plc Company Description First Property Group plc is a property fund manager and investor with operations in the United Kingdom and Central Europe. Its earnings are derived from:  Fund management: Via its FCA regulated and AIFMD approved subsidiary, First Property Asset Manageme

  4. Slide 4: Awards

    First Property Group plc Awards FPAM funds FPAM fundshave haveranked ranked No.1 versus the No.1 versus Property Investment the Investment Databank (IPD) Property Databank (IPD) Central & Eastern European (CEE) universe Central & Eastern European for the annualised periods from the (CEE) universe fo

  5. Slide 5: Investment Approach

    First Property Group plc Investment Approach  A fundamental approach to investing (sentiment may chase a theme but does not justify the theme). Thinking from first principles.  Sustainable income is a priority:  The yield at purchase of any property investment must ALWAYS exceed borrowing costs;

  6. Slide 6: Interim Results Financial Highlights

    Interim Results Financial Highlights Unaudited six Unaudited six Percentage Notes months to months to change 30-Sep-2015 30-Sep-2014 Income Statement Statutory profit before tax £5.93m £5.42m +9.4% Increase attributable to Group Properties Diluted earnings per share 4.13p 4.07p +1.5% Dividend per sh

  7. Slide 7: Interim Results Financial Highlights

    Interim Results Financial Highlights Unaudited six Unaudited six Percentage Notes months to months to change 30-Sep-2015 30-Sep-2014 Property Portfolio Group Properties at book value £125.9m £63.1m +99.5% Comprises 11 properties held by Group and FOP. Excludes the Group’s non-controlling interests i

  8. Slide 8: Operational Highlights and Explanatory Notes

    Interim Results Operational Highlights and Explanatory Notes  Interim dividend increased by 10% to 0.385 pence per share;  The contribution to Group profit before tax and unallocated central overhead costs from Group Properties increased to £5.22 million (2014: £2.97 million) largely due to the co

  9. Slide 9: Segmental Analysis: Profit before Tax by segment

    Segmental Analysis Profit before Tax by segment (before unallocated central overheads) 7 FPAM (excl fees from FOP) Group Properties (incl FOP) 6 £1.19m 5 £2.90m £ Million 4 3 £5.22m 2 £1.41m £2.97m 1 £0.89m - Sep-13 Sep-14 Sep-15  Email jeremy.barkes@fprop.com  Phone +44 20 7340 0270 9

  10. Slide 10: Segmental Analysis – Fund Management (FPAM) Overview

    Segmental Analysis – Fund Management (FPAM) OVERVIEW Fund Management (FPAM): Contributed profit before tax and unallocated central overheads of £1.19 million (2014: £2.90 million), representing 18.5% (2014: 49.4%) of Group profit before tax and unallocated central overheads. 10 400 Performance Fee F

  11. Slide 11: Segmental Analysis – Fund Management (FPAM) Fees

    Segmental Analysis – Fund Management (FPAM) Fees Management fees:  Fees earned from USS fund declined to £301,000 (2014: £908,000) due to property disposals ahead of its expiry in August 2015;  Following the expiry of the USS fund, third party fund management fee income excluding performance fees

  12. Slide 12: Fund Management – Assets under Management

    Segmental Analysis – Fund Management (FPAM) Assets under Management (incl Group Properties) Fund Country of Fund expiry Commitment AUM % of AUM investment (unless 30 Sep-2015 total AUM 30 Sep-2014 extended) Not subject to n/a n/a 1. SAM Property Company Ltd (SAM) UK Rolling Fully invested revaluatio

  13. Slide 13: Breakdown of AUM (incl Group Properties)

    Segmental Analysis – Fund Management (FPAM) Breakdown of AUM (incl Group Properties) 5PT Fprop PDR RPT 2.8% 0.0% 2.2% HNW / FO SIPS 8% 9.9% Poland 53.8% FOP 19.6% Fprop UK By Fund By Investor By Geography 43.6% 48% UK PPP Pension Category 33.7% Funds 44% Group Properties 31.8% Romania 2.6%  Assets

  14. Slide 14: Segmental Analysis – Group Properties Overview

    Segmental Analysis – Group Properties OVERVIEW Group Properties: 6 Contributed profit Contribution to before tax and PBT from directly unallocated central 5 held properties overheads of £5.22 million (2014: £2.97 million), representing 4 81.5% (2014: 50.6%) of Contribution to Group profit before tax

  15. Slide 15: Eleven properties owned directly by the Group and FOP

    Segmental Analysis – Group Properties Eleven properties owned directly by the Group and FOP Property No. of properties Book value Market value Contribution to Group Contribution to Group profit before tax to profit before tax to 30 Sep-2015 30 Sep-2014 Poland 3 £69.9m £82.4m £2.79m £0.72m Romania 3

  16. Slide 16: Group Properties: cash flows and FX

    Segmental Analysis – Group Properties (cont) Eleven properties owned directly by the Group and FOP  Cash flows: Assumes current rent levels, FX rates and interest payments. Net rent c£15m pa. (after property operating costs) Interest payments c£2.85m Tax c£0.75m Loan amortisation c£5.40m Free cash

  17. Slide 17: Group Properties: loan to equity, interest rates, valuation

    Segmental Analysis – Group Properties (cont) Eleven properties owned directly by the Group and FOP 160 Market value  Properties are held in separate non- = £145.3m cross collateralised SPV’s which are 140 Book value non-recourse to the Group. = £125.9m Equity = 25%  Interest rates: 120 Equity = 14

  18. Slide 18: Group Properties: Top 10 tenants

    Segmental Analysis – Group Properties (cont) Eleven properties owned directly by the Group and FOP  Top 10 tenants: 1 Asseco S.A. Technology 26.90% 2 Citibank International PLC Finance 11.75% 3 Carrefour Food Retail 7.91% 4 Aquila Logistics 6.31% 5 Skanska S.A. Construction 6.04% 6 Tesco (Polska) s

  19. Slide 19: Non-controlling interests in funds managed by FPAM

    Segmental Analysis – Group Properties (cont) Non-controlling interests in funds managed by FPAM Non-controlling interests in funds managed by FPAM: Contributed £257,000 (2014: £137,000), the increase being attributable to Fprop PDR LP. Contribution to Contribution to Group’s Book value Market Value

  20. Slide 20: Dividend

    Interim Results Dividend 1.60 Interim dividend: Interim Final Total 1.40 0.385p (2014: 0.35p) = +10.0% 1.20 Total dividend for year to Mar- Pence per share 1.00 2015: 0.80 1.35p (2014: 1.12p) = +20.5% 0.60 0.40 Ex-Dividend 3-Dec-2015 0.20 Record Date 4-Dec-2015 0.00 Payment Date 31-Dec-2015 FY 12/13

  21. Slide 21: NAV per share 2007-2015

    Interim Results NAV per share 2007-2015 45 Adjusted NAV = Adjusted NAV NAV Cash adjusted to market 40 value in line with EPRA (European 35 Public Real Estate Association) triple net valuation 30 methodology, which Pence per share includes fair values of: 25 (i) properties; 20 (ii) financial instrume

  22. Slide 22: Investment Markets Poland

    Investment Markets Poland  GDP growth:  2015: 3.5% (E)  2016: 3.5% (E)  Commercial Property:  Rent levels generally sustainable, subject to location;  Capital values of secondary property remain largely unchanged from their credit crunch lows. Yield c2-3% more than equivalent property in Weste

  23. Slide 23: Investment Markets United Kingdom

    Investment Markets United Kingdom  GDP growth:  2015: 2.6% (E)  2016: 2.4% (E)  Commercial Property  Occupier Market: o Tenant demand growing; o Tenant default rates declining; o Leading to increased industrial and office rents, particularly in South East.  Investment Market: o Demand, includi

  24. Slide 24: Outlook

    Outlook FPAM Group Properties  Fund management fee income, excluding  Contributed £5.22 million to Group profit before performance fees, is currently being earned at central overheads and tax during the period. the rate of £1.3 million per annum. We expect this to increase from:  Capital values i

  25. Slide 25: Pending investment – shopping centre, Poland

    Outlook Pending investment – shopping centre, Poland Purchase:  Newly completed medium size (c10,000m2) shopping centre;  Purchase price = c€25m;  Potential for rental growth;  Medium term lease lengths;  Loan: 75% LTV. Business Plan:  Hold for high ROE – 18% p.a. at purchase  Income growth –

  26. Slide 26: Pending investment – portfolio of retail properties, Romania

    Outlook Pending investment – portfolio of retail properties, Romania Purchase:  Purchase price = c€10 million (yield of 11.3%, 15% discount to independent valuation);  Sustainable rent, subject to annual indexation (upward only);  Weighted average unexpired lease term [WAULT] c7.5 years;  Loan a

  27. Slide 27: Appendices

    Appendices  Email jeremy.barkes@fprop.com  Phone +44 20 7340 0270 27

  28. Slide 28: Shareholders > 3% at Oct-2015

    Appendix Shareholders > 3% at 21 Oct-2015 % held (of issued No of shares and fully paid) Ben Habib (Chief Executive Officer) 16,700,000 14.6% J C Kottler Esq 15,006,783 13.1% New Pistoia Income Ltd 10,285,000 9.0% Universities Superannuation Scheme Limited 9,550,000 8.4% Alasdair Locke (Non-Executiv

  29. Slide 29: Share Statistics at 26-Nov-2015

    Appendix Share Statistics at 26-Nov-2015 30 Sep- 30 Sep- % change 2015 2014 LSE (AIM) FPO.L Symbol Issued & Fully Paid 114,851,115 114,851,115 - Share price 46p Issued (excl Treasury) 114,205,912 113,669,360 +0.47% Market Cap £52.5 million Dividend Interim 0.385p Shares held in Treasury 645,203 1,18

  30. Slide 30: Plc Management Team

    Appendix Plc Management Team Non-Executive Chairman — Alasdair Locke, MA (Oxon) Alasdair is the former executive Chairman of Abbot Group plc, an oil services company which he founded in 1992. It was listed on the London Stock Exchange from 1995 until its sale in 2008 for £906 million to Turbo Alpha

  31. Slide 31: FPAM Track Record All Funds to 30-Sep-2015

    FPAM Track Record All Funds (excl SAM) to 30-Sep-2015 Fund performance at 30 September 2015 (USS to 31-Mar-2015): 100% IRR pa - Actual IRR pa - Implied ROE pa - since inception ROE HY 2015/16 - on original equity 85% 70% 55% 40% 25% 10% -5% 1PT 2PT 3PT RPT 5PT USS UK PPP FOP PDR SIPS  Implied IRR c

  32. Slide 32: Case Studies - Poland: Blue Tower, Warsaw

    Case Studies - Poland Blue Tower, Warsaw Aggregate purchase price to date:  48.2% of Tower - £12.5 million in Dec 2008 & Nov 2013;  90% of Tower’s management co (Corp SA) - £300,000 – in Dec-2008, Nov-2009, Dec-2013; = £12.8m (vs Mar 2015 valuation of £14.2m, excl Corp SA) At purchase:  Rents c25

  33. Slide 33: Case Studies - Poland: Oxford Tower, Warsaw

    Case Studies - Poland Oxford Tower, Warsaw At first purchase (50.3%) for USS (Aug-2007):  NOI = €2.6 million pa.;  Let at average rent of c€8-10m2 per month;  WAULT = < 1 year  Total return: €4.5m (IRR = infinite because equity refinanced out of deal within 3 months of purchase.) At second purch

  34. Slide 34: Case Studies - Poland: Hypermarket single let Carrefour, Lodz

    Case Studies - Poland Hypermarket single let Carrefour, Lodz, Central Poland Description:  Large format (15,900m2) hypermarket constructed in 2000 with large car park (550 spaces);  Single let to Carrefour Polska on a long lease guaranteed by French parent company, Carrefour S.A. (Euronext listed)

  35. Slide 35: Case studies - UK: Union Park, Uxbridge

    Case studies - UK Union Park, Packet Boat Lane, Uxbridge, London Description:  Office park in a mixed-use area beside the Grand Union Canal, mid-way between Heathrow and Uxbridge;  8x self-contained units arranged within 3x separate buildings totalling c70,000 ft2 of net internal space + 318 car p

  36. Slide 36: Poland Economy

    Poland Economy  GDP growth:  Since 2009: >20% (cumulative). Highest in OECD. Only euro zone country NOT to enter recession in 2009  2015: 3.5%  2016: 3.5% (E)  GDP per capita:  1995: 43% of the average of EU countries  2000: 48%  2008: 56%  2012: 67%  EU Cohesion Policy (transfer payments

  37. Slide 37: Poland Commercial Property Market

    Poland Commercial Property Market COMMERCIAL PROPERTY MARKET:  Opaque – creates opportunity;  Occupier Market:  Tenant demand is generally robust - because of continued GDP growth;  But is insufficient in some sectors (eg. Warsaw non-CBD offices) to match pending supply.  Investment Market:  R

  38. Slide 38: Poland Commercial Property Finance

    Poland Commercial Property Finance COMMERCIAL PROPERTY FINANCE:  Debt:  Readily available, enabling income returns on equity from rent alone >mid-high teens per annum;  Favourable terms for smaller loans against commercial property;  Larger loans require syndication and are generally subject to

  39. Slide 39: Disclaimer

    Disclaimer These presentation materials (the "Presentation Materials”) are being solely issued to the information, opinions or beliefs contained in this document. Save in the case of and directed at (a) persons having professional experience in matters relating to fraud, no liability is accepted for

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