Slide 1: The 'Kinder, Gentler World'
The „Kinder, Gentler World‟ Helmut-Römer Heitman
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Slide 5: Organized Crime
Organized Crime
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Slide 16: The next decade and beyond will see Africa experience interesting times
The next decade and beyond will see Africa experience “interesting times”, both in a conventional English sense and in the sense of the old Chinese proverb. This will be a period of multiple and complex conflicts, albeit not at high intensity, that will overlap borders, and many of which will have a
Slide 17: South Africa: The Major Power of Africa
South Africa: The Major Power of Africa There are three cardinal factors that govern South Africa‟s relationship with Africa as a whole: The first is quite simply that South Africa is part of Africa and cannot pretend, at least not with any hope of success, to be anything else. The second is that So
Slide 18: South Africa's self-interest in a stable continent
The first means that it is in South Africa’s self-interest for the rest of the continent to be stable and prosperous: South Africa needs foreign fixed capital investment to achieve the growth rate it needs to address unemployment and become as prosperous as it could be. It will not attract that inve
Slide 19: South Africa has regional responsibilities
The second means that South Africa has regional responsibilities, including regional security responsibilities that it cannot easily or safely abdicate. A regional power will be expected to play a role commensurate with its economic strength. Even Germany and Japan have had to come to terms with tha
Slide 20: 2006 figures add perspective
Some 2006 figures will add perspective. In that year: Four of the top ten economies of Sub-Saharan Africa were South African cities. The largest single economic complex of Sub-Saharan Africa was the Johannesburg/Pretoria/ Midrand region. Only Nigeria had an economy larger than that of Johannesburg.
Slide 21: Accepting regional responsibilities
The third factor means that it is in South Africa’s own interest to accept those regional responsibilities, for with that will also come international acceptance as a regional power that should be heard in international affairs. If South Africa wants to play an international role commensurate with i
Slide 22: Problems
Problems The potential of the various threats is expanded by several problems endemic to much of Africa, especially: Weak governments that often only control the capital city and perhaps some other major towns. Poor governments that cannot afford to develop, maintain and operate security forces of a
Slide 23: Poor Governments
Poor Governments This problem is best illustrated by means of some basic economic numbers, drawing from available figures of 2007: The whole of Africa had a GDP of some $ 1 228 billion, just over one-third that of Germany. North Africa had a GDP of some $ 428 billion, roughly the same as Norway. Sub
Slide 24: Looking at the issue a little differently
Looking at the issue a little differently: Only fifteen Sub-Saharan countries had a GDP of more than $ 10 billion, two of them South Africa and Nigeria. It is almost impossible to run a country on an economy smaller than $ 10 billion. Angola, despite its oil, had a GDP smaller than Durban or Pretori
Slide 25: SANDF operations it will need to develop
The SANDF will need to develop the forces and the doctrines to conduct: Crisis response operations. Intervention operations. Humanitarian intervention operations. Peacemaking operations. Peacekeeping operations. Peace enforcement operations. Conflict prevention operations. Conflict containment opera
Slide 26: Current Deployments
Current Deployments ► Darfur – 1 Battalion, 1 engineer squadron; request for more troops ► DRC – 1 Battalion, 1 engineer squadron, Air Force, Military Police and Military Health Service elements and a training team ► Burundi - 1 Battalion, VIP protectors ► CAR - Training Team ► Uganda - Munitions di
Slide 27: Recent Deployments
Recent Deployments ► Comoros - 1 Battalion, Air Force elements, staff officers for the elections ► Mozambique - Munitions disposal specialists ► Earlier Deployments Include: Flood rescue operations in Mozambique and Tanzania Elections support in Mozambique and Tanzania Food distribution in Zam
Slide 28: Army Projects
Army Projects ► Infantry combat vehicles (264 +) ► Mobile anti-aircraft gun/missile battery ► „Brigade and below‟ command and control system ► Tactical logistic vehicles (1200) ► Armoured personnel carriers (600) ► Main battle tanks (150) ► 105 mm long-range light gun ► Infantry equipment
Slide 29: Air Force Projects
Air Force Projects ► Weapons for the Gripen fighters ► Weapons for the Rooivalk attack helicopters ► Oryx transport helicopter mid-life upgrade ► Astra primary trainer avionics upgrade ► A400M transport aircraft ► Command, control, communications and radar upgrades ► Maritime patrol aircraft (replac
Slide 30: Navy Projects
Navy Projects ► Frigates – planned upgrade path ► Submarines – planned upgrade path ► Off-board mine-countermeasures systems ► Offshore patrol vessels (replace 33-year old River class and 25-year old Warrior class vessels) ► Hydrographic survey ship (replaces 36-year old Protea) ► Light deployable p
Slide 31: Other Equipment
Other Equipment ► New family of tactical radios ► New family of tactical power generation equipment ► New command and control backbone ► New equipment for field hospitals and other mobile medical support units. ► New field engineer equipment ► New logistic equipment