Jp Morgan Chase & Co. · NYSE:JPM

Jp Morgan Chase & — Q4 2007 Earnings Presentation

24 slides from Jp Morgan Chase &'s earnings presentation, Jan 17, 2008

  1. Slide 1: Financial Results 4Q07

    FINANCIAL RESULTS FINANCIAL RESULTS 4Q07

  2. Slide 2: FY 2007 & 4Q07 Results

    F Y 2 0 0 7 & 4 Q 0 7 R E S U L T S F Y 2 0 0 7 & 4 Q 0 7 R E S U L T S FINANCIAL RESULTS

  3. Slide 3: 2007 Full year and 4Q07 financial highlights

    FINANCIAL RESULTS 2007 Full year financial highlightszx . Record earnings of $15.4B on record revenue of $74.8B . Record EPS of $4.38 up 15% from 2006 on continuing operations . Return on tangible common equity1 of 23% . Total credit reserve increased by $2.3B to $10.1B . Wholesale credit reserve st

  4. Slide 4: FY 2007 Managed Results

    FY 2007 Managed Results1 FINANCIAL RESULTS $ in millions FY 2007 FY 2006 FY 2006 FY 2006 Revenue (FTE)1 $74,812 $65,113 $9,699 15% Credit Costs1 9,244 5,480 3,764 69% Expense2 41,703 38,843 2,860 7% Income from Continuing Ops. 15,365 13,649 1,716 13% EPS — Continuing Ops. $4.38 $3.82 $0.56 15% Incom

  5. Slide 5: 4Q07 Managed Results

    4Q07 Managed Results1 FINANCIAL RESULTS $ in millions 4Q07 3Q07 4Q06 3Q07 4Q06 Revenue (FTE)1 $18,275 $1,298 $1,241 8% 7% Credit Costs1 3,161 798 1,434 34% 83% Expense2 10,720 1,393 835 15% 8% Income from Continuing Ops. 2,971 (402) (935) (12)% (24)% EPS — Continuing Ops. $0.86 ($0.11) ($0.23) (11)%

  6. Slide 6: Investment Bank

    Investment Bank FINANCIAL RESULTS 4Q07 3Q07 4Q06 Revenue $3,172 $226 ($1,688) Investment Banking Fees 1,657 327 77 Fixed Income Markets 615 (72) (1,446) Equity Markets 578 41 (380) Credit Portfolio 322 (70) 61 Credit Costs 200 (27) 137 Expense 3,011 633 (194) Net Income $124 ($172) ($885) Key Statis

  7. Slide 7: 2007 IB fee and market share performance

    2007 IB fee and market share performance . Record IB fees of $6.6B, up 19% YoY . #1 in Dealogic fees . #2 in reported fees* Major 2007 Awards Best Overall Investment Bank Five bankers named to 2007 Rainmaker List Best Equity Capital Markets — Global Best Debt House-Western Europe Investment Bank of

  8. Slide 8: Leveraged Lending

    Leveraged Lending . Modest gain net of hedges for the quarter . Comprised of significant realized gains on sale of funded exposure partially offset by additional marks taken on the remaining funded and unfunded commitmentszx . $26.4B of funded and unfunded commitments with gross markdowns in excess

  9. Slide 9: Other Investment Bank Risk Topics: Subprime

    FINANCIAL RESULTS Other Investment Bank Risk Topics Subprime and subprime CDO-relatedzx . Markdowns net of hedges of $1.3B . Remaining exposure actively risk-managed . Total subprime and subprime CDO exposure is hedged by approximately $2B of hedges and short positions End of period subprime and sub

  10. Slide 10: Other Investment Bank Risk Topics: CDO, CMBS, Alt-A

    FINANCIAL RESULTS Other Investment Bank Risk Topics CDO warehouse and unsold positionszx . $5.5B of CDO warehouse and unsold positions; 92% corporate credit underlying, negligible subprimezx . Of the $5.5B above, approximately half carries significant funded first-loss protection CMBSzx . $15.5B tot

  11. Slide 11: Retail Financial Services - Drivers

    Retail Financial Services -Drivers Key Statistics 1 ($ in billions) 4Q07 3Q07 4Q06 Regional Banking Average Deposits Checking Accts (mm) # of Branches # of ATMs Investment Sales ($mm) Home Equity Originations Avg Home Equity Loans Owned Avg Mortgage Loans Owned2,3 Mortgage Banking Mortgage Loan Orig

  12. Slide 12: Retail Financial Services

    Retail Financial Services FINANCIAL RESULTS $ in millions 4Q07 3Q07 4Q06 $ O/(U) Net Interest Income $752 $2,705 $24 $125 Lending & Deposit Related Fees 496 4 66 Asset Mgmt, Admin, & Commissions 332 (4) 39 Mortgage Fees & Related Income 888 659 777 All Other Income 394 (69) 80 Noninterest Revenue 2,

  13. Slide 13: Home Equity

    Home Equity Key statisticsJPM 30-day delinquency trend 2.00% 4Q07 3Q07 4Q06 $94.8 $93.0 $85.7 EOP owned portfolio ($B) $248 $150 $51 Net charge-offs ($mm) 1.75% 1.05% 0.65% 0.24% Net charge-off rate 1.50% 1.25% 1.00% Sep-Dec-Mar-Jun-Sep-Dec-Mar-Jun-Sep-Dec050506 06060607 070707 Comments on home equi

  14. Slide 14: Card Services (Managed)

    Card Services (Managed) $ in millions 4Q07 3Q07 4Q06 $ O/(U) Revenue Credit Costs Expense Net Income Key Statistics ($B)1 Avg Outstandings EOP Outstandings Charge Volume Net Accts Opened (mm) Managed Margin Net Charge-Off Rate 30-Day Delinquency Rate ROO (pretax) ROE FINANCIAL RESULTS 1 Actual numbe

  15. Slide 15: Commercial Banking

    Commercial Banking FINANCIAL RESULTS $ in millions 4Q07 3Q07 4Q06 $ O/(U) . Net income of $288mm up 13% YoYzx . Average loans up 14% and liability balances up 22% YoY Revenue $1,084 $75 $66 . Record revenue of $1.1B up 6% YoY, Middle Market 695 15 34 primarily due to higher treasury Mid-Corporate Ba

  16. Slide 16: Treasury & Securities Services

    Treasury & Securities Services $ in millions 4Q07 3Q07 4Q06 $ O/(U) Revenue Treasury Services 824 Worldwide Securities Svcs 1,106 $1,930 Expense 1,222 Net Income Key Statistics1 Avg Liability Balances ($B) 2 Assets under Custody ($T) Pretax Margin 35% ROE 56% $250.6 $15.9 TSS Firmwide Revenue $2,636

  17. Slide 17: Asset Management

    Asset Management $ in millions 4Q07 3Q07 4Q06 $ O/(U) Revenue Institutional Private Bank Retail Private Client Services Credit Costs Expense Net Income Key Statistics ($B)1 Assets under Management Assets under Supervision $527 Average Loans2 Average Deposits Pretax Margin ROE $2,389 $184 $442754 151

  18. Slide 18: Corporate

    Corporate FINANCIAL RESULTS Total Corporate ($ in millions) 4Q07 3Q07 4Q06 $ O/(U) Private Equity $356 ($53) $220 Treasury and Other Corporate (93) (235) (560) Net Income1 $249 ($264) ($912) 4Q06 results included: . Income from discontinued operations related to the sale of select corporate trust bu

  19. Slide 19: Capital Management / Fortress Balance Sheet

    Capital Management / Fortress Balance Sheet 4Q07 3Q07 4Q06 $ in billions Tangible Common Equity1 Common Shareholders’ Equity less Goodwill Tier 1 Capital2 Risk Weighted Assets2 Tier 1 Capital Ratio2 Total Capital Ratio2 Leverage Ratio2 TCE/Managed RWA1,2 8.4% 6.8% . Stable or improved capital positi

  20. Slide 20: 4Q07 Summary Assessment

    FINANCIAL RESULTS 4Q07 Summary Assessmentzx . Overall Firm — earned $3.0B or $0.86 per share, down 21% from 4Q06 on continuing operationszx . Capital remained strong, with Tier 1 capital of $88.7B or 8.4% (estimated); credit reserves further strengthenedzx . Investment Bank results declined signific

  21. Slide 21: Outlook

    2 0 0 8 O U T L O O K 2 0 0 8 O U T L O O K FINANCIAL RESULTS

  22. Slide 22: 2008 Outlook

    2008 Outlook Investment Bank Overall FINANCIAL RESULTSzx . Uncertain environment; substantial risks remain . Good progress; continue to build/invest . Comments on normal cyclicality Retail Financial Serviceszx . Home equity reserves contemplate an increase in net charge-off rate to a range of approx

  23. Slide 23: Notes on non-GAAP financial measures

    FINANCIAL RESULTS Notes on non-GAAP financial measures This presentation includes non-GAAP financial measures. 1. TCE as used on slides 2, 3 and 4 for purposes of a return on tangible common equity and presented as Tangible Common Equity on slide 19 (line 1) is defined as common stockholders’ equity

  24. Slide 24: Forward-looking statements

    Forward-looking statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements are based upon the current beliefs and expectations of JPMorgan Chase’s management and are subject to significant risks and unc

J P Morgan Chase & — Q4 2007 Earnings Presentation on 6ix