Forestar Group Inc · NYSE:FOR

Forestar — FY2010 Earnings Presentation

27 slides from Forestar's earnings presentation, Feb 1, 2011

  1. Slide 1: Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2010 Financial Results

    1 Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2010 Financial Results February 2, 2011

  2. Slide 2: Forward Looking Statements

    2 Forward Looking Statements This presentation contains "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the federal securities laws. These statements reflect management's current views with respect to future events and are subject to risk and uncertainties. We note that a variety of factors and u

  3. Slide 3: Strategy and Initiative Execution Have Forestar Well Positioned

    3 3 Strategy and Initiative Execution Have Forestar Well Positioned Financials2010 HighlightsBusiness Performance Positioned For The Future

  4. Slide 4: Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2010 Results

    4 Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2010 Results Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2010 Results 4th Qtr. 2010 results include pre-tax gain of $13.2 million from sale of 9,800 acres of timberlandFull year 2010 results include pre-tax gain of $28.6 million from sale of 24,000 acres of timberlandFull year 2009 r

  5. Slide 5: Segment Earnings (Loss)

    5 Segment Earnings (Loss) 4th Qtr. 2010 real estate earnings include non-cash impairment charges of $10.4 million compared with $2.7 million in 4th Qtr. 20094th Qtr. 2009 real estate earnings include $3.6 million charge for environmental remediation activities Full year 2010 real estate earnings inc

  6. Slide 6: Recognize and Responsibly Deliver the Greatest Value From Every Acre

    Recognize and Responsibly Deliver the Greatest Value From Every Acre 6

  7. Slide 7: Full Year 2010 Investment Highlights

    Full Year 2010 Investment Highlights Repurchasing over 1.0 million shares of our common stockAcquiring multifamily project in Houston, Texas with tax deferred 1031 timberland sales proceeds and non-recourse borrowingsAcquiring water resources company focused on providing sustainable ground water sol

  8. Slide 8: Full Year 2010 Operating Highlights

    Full Year 2010 Operating Highlights Selling 29,800 acres of timberland for $58.9 million at > $1,975 / acre 24,000 acres for $38.8 million in accordance with strategic initiatives5,800 acres for $20.1 million under our retail sales programLeasing over 16,900 net mineral acres to oil and gas companie

  9. Slide 9: U.S. Housing Market Conditions Are Mixed

    U.S. Housing Market Conditions Are Mixed Issue Metric Comment U.S. Housing Affordability 1.72 1 Prices return to 2003 levels 30-Yr Fixed Rate Mortg. ~4.875% Trending up, but remains historically low New Home Inventory 8.2 MoS 197,000 units - Lowest level since September 1968 Consumer Confidence 60.6

  10. Slide 10: Texas Markets Healthier Than U.S. Average

    Texas Markets Healthier Than U.S. Average Texas Market ConditionsLower New Home Inventory - 29k units / 6.3 MoSLess Foreclosure Activity - 1.82% of Loans 2Improved Housing Affordability - 1.88 3Lower Unemployment - 8.2% Last 12 mos - Texas created >190k new jobsConsumer / Buyer Sentiment Impacted by

  11. Slide 11: Real Estate Segment KPI's

    11 Real Estate Segment KPI's Real Estate Segment KPI's Note: 4th Qtr. and full year 2010 real estate segment earnings include non-cash impairment charges of $10.4 million and $11.3 million respectively. 4th Qtr. and full year 2009 real estate segment earnings include non-cash impairment charges of a

  12. Slide 12: Forestar Residential Lot Sales

    Forestar Residential Lot Sales 12 Note: Includes ventures * Excludes bulk sale of 117 lots in 2008 at project located near Fort Worth, Texas (CHART) Annual Lot Sales Lot Sales ActivityHomebuilders building through lot inventoriesTexas prices holding up well compared to other marketsHomebuilders "ree

  13. Slide 13: Declining Texas Residential Inventory

    Declining Texas Residential Inventory Declining Texas Residential Inventory 13 Forestar Residential Lot Inventory* * Includes developed and under development inventory Residential Lot InventoryTexas real estate markets low on quality residential lot inventoryMinimal lot development since 2007Low lev

  14. Slide 14: YE 2010 Real Estate Pipeline

    Real Estate Real Estate Undeveloped In Entitlement Process Entitled Developed and Under Development Total Acres* Undeveloped Land Undeveloped Land Owned Owned 167,478 174,455 Ventures Ventures 6,977 174,455 Residential Residential Owned Owned 26,869 7,889 617 40,539 Ventures Ventures --- 4,532 632 4

  15. Slide 15: Multifamily Acquisition - 4th Qtr. 2010

    Multifamily Acquisition - 4th Qtr. 2010 15 Forestar is well positioned to take advantage of multifamily opportunity Acquired 401 unit multifamily project in Houston, Texas utilizing tax deferred 1031 timberland sales proceeds and 4.9% fixed-rate non-recourse debtMonetizing low return timberland asse

  16. Slide 16: Compelling Short & Long-Term Multifamily Opportunity

    Compelling Short & Long-Term Multifamily Opportunity 16 Forestar is well positioned to take advantage of multifamily opportunity * Includes ventures Multifamily investment is consistent with experience and focus on housing marketsLeverage value of Forestar resources to generate recurring cash flow,

  17. Slide 17: 4th Qtr 2010 Georgia Mitigation Activity

    4th Qtr 2010 Georgia Mitigation Activity 17 Entitlement Process 900 acre mitigation bank principally located in north east growth corridorBank planned to include up to 250,000 stream credits when completedExecuted six year contract for sale of ~130,000 credits; avg. price = $30 / credit~120,000 addi

  18. Slide 18: Value Creation Through Mitigation

    Value Creation Through Mitigation 18 Value Chain YE 2010 Bank Acres Wetland Credits Stream Credits Capital Required Entitled / Permitted 50 - 50k Low In Entitlement 900 40 250k Low Mitigation Tracts 7,750 3,230 2,615k Low Potential Future Mitigation 13,900 Total 22,600 3,270 2,915k Note: Table inclu

  19. Slide 19: Summer Creek Ranch

    Summer Creek Ranch Forestar venture project located near Fort Worth, TX 19 Recognizing and Responsibly Delivering the Greatest Value From Every Acre * 636 acres leased in 2005 and extended for over $0.6 million, and 241 acres leased in 2008 for almost $1.6 million Note: Wells owned by third-party le

  20. Slide 20: Mineral Activity at Forestar Real Estate Projects

    Mineral Activity at Forestar Real Estate Projects Recognizing and Responsibly Delivering the Greatest Value From Every Acre 20 Community Forestar Ownership Market Net Mineral Acres Acres Leased Acres HBP* Existing Wells Status Summer Creek 50% 877 877 877 23 Held by Production Fannin Farms 50% 81 81

  21. Slide 21: Oil & Gas Market Conditions

    Oil & Gas Market Conditions 21 Oil prices remain firm in anticipation of global demand growthNatural gas prices pressured by elevated inventories and supplyRecent inventory drawdowns due to cold tempsE&P companies allocating capital for drilling to hold leases and prove reserves vs. lease activity F

  22. Slide 22: Mineral Resources Segment KPI's

    22 Mineral Resources Segment KPI's Mineral Resources Segment KPI's Note: Wells owned and drilled by third-party lessees and operators * Includes our share of venture production: 4th Qtr 2010 = 227 MMcf; 4th Qtr 2009 = 61 MMcf; FY 2010 = 573 MMcf; FY 2009 = 82 MMcf

  23. Slide 23: Q4 2010 East Texas Bossier-Haynesville Drilling Activity

    Q4 2010 East Texas Bossier-Haynesville Drilling Activity 23 Note: Wells owned by third-party lessee / operator 36 rigs in the area35 rigs drilling Bossier - Haynesville wells56 wells drilled in Q499 wells waiting on completion Acres LeasedAvailable for LeaseHeld by ProductionHaynesville Well Permits

  24. Slide 24: East Texas 2011 Mineral Lease Expiration Schedule

    24 Lease Acres County Lease ContinuationDrilling Requirement Lease Expiration 3,800 San Augustine 1 well prior to expiration1 well prior to expiration1 well prior to expiration1 well prior to expiration 5/1/2011 11,200 San Augustine 1 well prior to expiration1 well prior to expiration1 well prior to

  25. Slide 25: Fiber Resources Segment KPI's

    25 Fiber Resources Segment KPI's Fiber Resources Segment KPI's

  26. Slide 26: Strategy: Growing Through Strategic and Disciplined Investments

    26 26 Strategy:Recognizing and Responsibly Delivering the Greatest Value From Every AcreGrowing Through Strategic and Disciplined Investments Forestar A Real Estate and Natural Resources Company With a Vision For Every Acre The Forestar DifferenceExperienced TeamRight Strategy & InitiativesStrong Ba

  27. Slide 27: Forestar

    oi FORESTAR

Forestar Group — FY2010 Earnings Presentation on 6ix