Blue Bird Corporation · NASDAQ:BLBD

Blue Bird — Q2 FY2016 Earnings Presentation

27 slides from Blue Bird's earnings presentation, May 23, 2016

  1. Slide 1: Blue Bird Corporation Fiscal 2016 Second Quarter Results

    Blue Bird Corporation (Nasdaq: BLBD) Fiscal 2016 Second Quarter Results Earnings Conference Call May 23, 2016

  2. Slide 2: Agenda

    Agenda  Introductions & Forward-Looking Statements  Jeff Merten – Director, Investor Relations  Business Overview  Phil Horlock – President & CEO  Financial Results  Phil Tighe – CFO  Wrap-Up  Phil Horlock – President & CEO  Q&A  Group This presentation includes forward-looking statements,

  3. Slide 3: Business Overview

    Phil Horlock President & CEO BUSINESS OVERVIEW 3

  4. Slide 4: Our Winning Culture

    Our Winning Culture Experience  Highly skilled team with average WHAT WE STAND FOR tenure of ~14 years We come to work every day with one common goal – to design, build, sell and service the world’s finest school bus. That’s what we do – Drive no distractions, no competing priorities.  Seize oppor

  5. Slide 5: 2Q Highlights

    2Q Highlights 2Q: +4% YOY 2Q: +20% YOY FYTD: +50% YOY Propane Quote Full 3Q Net Sales Up Unit Sales Up Volume Up Production Schedule 4 New Powertrains Net Sales: $960-985M - Ford Gasoline - Ford CNG Adj. EBITDA: $72-75M - Cummins ISV - Eaton Transmission Free Cash Flow: $30-35M Successful Launch New

  6. Slide 6: 2Q Financial Results Up from Prior Year

    2Q Financial Results Up from Prior Year 2Q Net Sales 2Q Bus Sales 1H Bus 1H Net Sales Sales $191.2 $322.5 $176.9 $295.4 Million Million Million Million Down Down $26.3 $25.8 Million Up $8.2 Million Up $7.7 Million Million 2Q Parts Sales 1H Parts 2Q Adj. EBITDA 1H Adj. Sales EBITDA $14.3 $27.1 Millio

  7. Slide 7: Continued Propane Momentum

    Continued Propane Momentum 1H Propane Mix Propane Market Leadership  46% unit growth in First Half over 2015 18%  Number of customers growing  9x more propane-powered buses registered than other manufacturers1 +7 pts.  Blue Bird propane-powered Vision has the highest owner loyalty of any school

  8. Slide 8: Strong Interest in New Gasoline-Powered Bus

    Strong Interest in New Gasoline-Powered Bus  Blue Bird is the only major manufacturer currently taking orders on Type C gasoline- powered school buses  Lower acquisition cost than other fuel types  Maintenance and service is simpler  Strong cold-weather starting capability  Utilizes Ford’s mode

  9. Slide 9: Financial Results & Outlook

    Phil Tighe CFO FINANCIAL RESULTS & OUTLOOK 9

  10. Slide 10: FY2016 is Ramping Up

    FY2016 is Ramping Up ($ Millions) Unit Volume Revenue 2,132 724 $191.2 $59.9 1,408 $131.3 1Q 2Q 1Q 2Q ($ Millions) Adj. EBITDA ($ Millions) Net Income (Loss) $10.1 $1.4 $4.9 1Q $5.2 $3.7 1Q 2Q 1Q 2Q ($2.3) Momentum is building over first quarter; supports full-year outlook 1 See appendix for additio

  11. Slide 11: 2Q Results Exceed Prior Year

    2Q Results Exceed Prior Year ($ Millions except EPS) 2Q 2016 2Q 2015 B/(W) Unit Volume 2,132 2,093 39 units Revenue $191.2 $183.0 $8.2 Gross Margin 13.1% 12.6% 0.5 pts. Adj. EBITDA1 $10.1 $9.9 $0.2 EBITDA Margin 5.3% 5.4% (0.1) pts. Net Income (Loss) $1.4 $(11.1)2 $12.5 EPS $0.02 $(0.54)2 $0.56 Cash

  12. Slide 12: 2Q 2015 to 2016 Adj. EBITDA Walk

    2Q 2015 to 2016 Adj. EBITDA Walk ($ Millions) $1.1 $1.6 $9.9 $10.1 $2.5 2Q FY2015 Cost Reductions Volume & Mix Growth Initiatives / 2Q FY2016 Adj. EBITDA Other Adj. EBITDA Net Loss Net Income $(11.1) $1.4 Investing in growth initiatives that will drive future revenue increases Note: See appendix for

  13. Slide 13: 2Q FY2016 Free Cash Flow

    2Q FY2016 Free Cash Flow 2Q ($ Millions) FY2016 FY2015 Adjusted EBITDA1 $ 10.1 $ 9.9 Cash Paid for Interest (Net) (3.6) (4.0) Trade Working Capital2 16.0 7.3 CAPEX (2.3) (1.0) Cash Taxes (0.6) - Other3 6.3 2.1 Adjusted Free Cash Flow $ 25.9 $ 14.3 Cash Paid for Special Compensation Payment - (13.8)

  14. Slide 14: Net Debt, Leverage & Liquidity

    Net Debt, Leverage & Liquidity As of April 2, 2016 ($ Millions) Debt $ 182.7 Cash 28.6 Net Debt $154.1 Net Debt / Adjusted EBITDA (LTM) 2.3x Net Leverage Ratio 2.3x Compared with minimum bank Net Leverage Ratio covenant of 4.5x Liquidity1 $ 83.5 1 Liquidity is defined as cash and cash equivalents pl

  15. Slide 15: Closing and Q&A

    Phil Horlock President & CEO CLOSING AND Q&A 15

  16. Slide 16: Our Production Plans Support Seasonality

    Our Production Plans Support Seasonality  Higher Second Half registrations R.L. Polk Unit influenced by desired delivery just prior to school start Registration Seasonality Based on 3-Year Average1  New second shift enables more buses to be produced in “high 67% season” with peak daily production

  17. Slide 17: Financial Guidance

    Financial Guidance Metric FY2016 Guidance ($ Millions) Net Sales $960-985 Adj. EBITDA $72-75 Free Cash Flow $30-35 Reaffirming FY2016 Full-Year Guidance 17

  18. Slide 18: Wrap-Up

    Wrap-Up  Solid second quarter result supports full-year plan  Gross margin percentage up over prior year  More volume shifts to Second Half supported by our new second shift  Third quarter production schedule is full  Strong propane bus progress with sales up 46% in First Half  Great order mom

  19. Slide 19: E> .LUvE BIRD

    E> .LUvE BIRD A heritage of looking ahead.

  20. Slide 20: Appendix

    Appendix E> .LUvE BIRD A heritage of looking ahead.

  21. Slide 21: Upcoming Investor Conferences

    Upcoming Investor Conferences Dates Conference Location June 1 Craig-Hallum Capital Investor Conference Minneapolis August 11-12 Jefferies Industrials Conference New York November 16-18 UBS Industrials & Transportation Conference Key Biscayne 21

  22. Slide 22: Free Cash Flow Reconciliations

    Free Cash Flow Reconciliations 22

  23. Slide 23: 2Q Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation

    2Q Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation 23

  24. Slide 24: 1H Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation

    1H Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation 24

  25. Slide 25: Important Disclaimers

    Important Disclaimers Forward Looking Statements This presentation includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the “safe harbor” provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements relate to expectations for future financial performance,

  26. Slide 26: Important Disclaimers

    Important Disclaimers Non-GAAP Financial Measures This presentation may include the following non-GAAP financial measures: “Adjusted EBITDA,” “Adjusted Net Income,” “Adjusted Diluted Earnings per Share,” “Free Cash Flow” and “Adjusted Free Cash Flow.” Adjusted EBITDA is defined as net income prior t

  27. Slide 27: END

    E> .LUvE BIRD A heritage of looking ahead.

Blue Bird — Q2 FY2016 Earnings Presentation on 6ix