Occidental Petroleum Corporation · NYSE:OXY
Occidental Petroleum — Investor Presentation (December 2023)
59 slides from Occidental Petroleum's investor presentation, December 2023
Slide 1: Occidental Investor Presentation
Occidental Investor Presentation Winter 2023/2024
Slide 2: Cautionary Statements
CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS 2 Forward-looking statements This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the “safe harbor” provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including but not limited to statements about Occidental Petroleum Corporation’s (“Oc
Slide 3: Outline
3 OUTLINE CrownRock Acquisition Third Quarter Highlights Third Quarter Financials and Guidance DAC Development and Market Update
Slide 4: Oxy to Acquire CrownRock
DAWSON BORDEN 4 OXY TO ACQUIRE HOWARD CROWNROCK MARTIN NM TX Transaction Summary STERLING Purchase Price: $12.0 B MIDLAND 2024E Production: 170 Mboed1 GLASSCOCK Undeveloped Locations: ~1,700 UPTON REAGAN Valuation Drivers Oxy CrownRock Emphasis Placed on FCF Generation High-Margin Current Production
Slide 5: Free Cash Flow Accretive Permian Acquisition
CROWNROCK ACQUISITION 5 FREE CASH FLOW ACCRETIVE PERMIAN ACQUISITION Acquiring privately-owned CrownRock for $12.0 B Quality Midland Basin High-Performing Immediate Assets Scale Team FCF Accretion Top-tier, Permian ~170 Mboed1; Peer-leading ~$1.0 B FCF2 Basin asset high- >94,000 acres; results with
Slide 6: CrownRock's Empowered, Results-Driven Organization
CROWNROCK ACQUISITION 6 CROWNROCK'S EMPOWERED, RESULTS-DRIVEN ORGANIZATION Exceptional Safety Performance Safety-first culture with superior safety record CrownRock's operating team has a High Performing Technical and Operational Teams strong track record of running safe, Highly skilled, cross-disci
Slide 7: High-Margin, Low Decline Midland Basin Acquisition
CROWNROCK ACQUISITION 7 HIGH-MARGIN, LOW DECLINE Will improve near-term Permian unconventional production and development balance MIDLAND BASIN ACQUISITION Future upside resource recovery and lower cost opportunities ACQUISITION ASSET SUMMARY ~170 Mboed1, ~80% liquids, ~35% base decline • >94,000 ne
Slide 8: Quality Stacked Horizons for Low-Risk Development and Future Upside
CROWNROCK ACQUISITION 8 QUALITY STACKED HORIZONS FOR LOW-RISK DEVELOPMENT AND FUTURE UPSIDE Productivity (6-Month Cumulative Oil - bo/ft)1 Clearfork U. Spraberry M. Spraberry Inventory in core of Leveraging Oxy’s Leading the Midland Basin Subsurface Characterization Jo Mill and Data in the Midland B
Slide 9: Expected to Enhance Inventory and Operating Efficiencies in the Midland Basin
CROWNROCK ACQUISITION CREATING A MORE BALANCED 9 EXPECTED TO ENHANCE INVENTORY DEVELOPMENT PORTFOLIO AND OPERATING EFFICIENCIES IN Based on 2023 activity level Pre-Acquisition Post-Acquisition THE MIDLAND BASIN New Wells/Yr New Wells/Yr Will increase Permian unconventional sub-$40 breakeven inventor
Slide 10: Financial Actions
CROWNROCK ACQUISITION 10 FINANCIAL ACTIONS Quarterly Dividend Increase Increasing dividend $0.04 to $0.22 per share1 Maintain Investment Grade Accretive financial metrics; expect to retain IG ratings >$4.5 B Near-Term Debt Reduction Expect to complete within 12 months of closing $4.5 - $6.0 B Divest
Slide 11: Transaction Financial Summary
CROWNROCK ACQUISITION 11 TRANSACTION FINANCIAL SUMMARY Transaction Timing Signed agreement to acquire • Targeting first quarter 2024 close CrownRock for ~$12.0 B • Effective date January 1, 2024 Sources and Uses • New debt incurrence of $10.0 B to fund $9.1 B cash consideration and Transaction Value
Slide 12: Premier Assets Drive FCF Accretion
CROWNROCK ACQUISITION 12 PREMIER ASSETS DRIVE FCF ACCRETION Acquisition is Accretive to FCF per Diluted Share at a Range of Commodity Prices Illustrative Example: Free Cash Flow per Diluted Share Inclusive of Dividends1 $6.00 Resulting Accretion 25% Oxy Status Quo FCFPS $5.27 >25% accretion expect
Slide 13: Shareholder Return Priorities
CROWNROCK AQUISITION 13 SHAREHOLDER RETURN PRIORITIES Divesture proceeds and ECF after common Retire debt Sustainable and dividend allocated to debt reduction until opportunistically growing dividend principal debt <$15.0 B and at maturity >$4.5 B debt repayments within ECF after common dividend 12
Slide 14: Transaction Deliverables
CROWNROCK ACQUISITION TRANSACTION DELIVERABLES 14 Highly accretive to free cash flow per diluted share Financially Accretive Immediately accretive without synergies although significant return enhancements identified Supports increase in dividend and greater future dividend growth Industry l
Slide 15: Outline
15 OUTLINE CrownRock Acquisition Third Quarter Highlights Third Quarter Financials and Guidance DAC Development and Market Update
Slide 16: Third Quarter 2023 Performance
HIGHLIGHTS 16 THIRD QUARTER 2023 PERFORMANCE $1.7 B OIL & GAS OXYCHEM Free Cash Flow 1,220 Mboed; Pre-Tax Income Generation Full Year Guidance of $373 MM Increased 11 Mboed DAC $600 MM $342 MM PARTNERSHIPS Common Shares Preferred Equity Secured STRATOS Repurchased Redemption Triggered JV Partner (~6
Slide 17: Oil & Gas Update
HIGHLIGHTS 17 OIL & GAS UPDATE MULTI-BASIN LEADING WELL PERFORMANCE TX Delaware well (Meridian State) delivered a 30-day IP of 8,250 boed and 90-day cumulative production of 553 Mboe, an industry record for the Wolfcamp B DJ Basin 2023 wells performing 36% better than record 2022 program INNOVAT
Slide 18: Outline
18 OUTLINE CrownRock Acquisition Third Quarter Highlights Third Quarter Financials and Guidance DAC Development and Market Update
Slide 19: Third Quarter 2023 Results
FINANCIALS 19 THIRD QUARTER 2023 RESULTS Reported Production versus Mboed Reported Guidance Midpoint Reconciliation Adjusted diluted EPS1 $1.18 ROCKIES Strong base and new well performance, +18 Reported diluted EPS1 $1.20 higher OBO volumes GULF OF MEXICO CFFO before working capital $3.3 B Higher up
Slide 20: Fourth Quarter 2023 Guidance
FINANCIALS 20 FOURTH QUARTER 2023 GUIDANCE OIL & GAS 4Q23 MIDSTREAM2 4Q23 Total Company Production (Mboed) 1,206 - 1,246 Pre-tax Income $(190) - $(90) MM Permian Production (Mboed) 571 - 591 Midland - MEH Spread $ / bbl. $0.10 - $0.20 Rockies & Other Production (Mboed) 263 - 269 DD&A 4Q23 Gulf of Me
Slide 21: Outline
21 OUTLINE CrownRock Acquisition Third Quarter Highlights Third Quarter Financials and Guidance DAC Development and Market Update
Slide 22: DAC Development Drivers
DAC DEVELOPMENT AND MARKET UPDATE 22 DAC DEVELOPMENT DRIVERS • Carbon Engineering (CE) DAC technology offers revolutionary scalability Technology • CE Innovation Centre identifying improvements for DAC 1+ • Synergies across Carbon Engineering, Oxy Major Projects, and OxyChem • U.S. passed Bipartisan
Slide 23: Advancement of DAC+S Technology, Partnerships, and Market
DAC DEVELOPMENT AND MARKET UPDATE 23 ADVANCEMENT OF DAC+S TECHNOLOGY, PARTNERSHIPS, AND MARKET Identified technology Early engineering showed Scalability and cost down potential Market demand and policy supports potential promise recognized DAC development Identified as strategic fit Formed LCV
Slide 24: Innovation and Partnerships Expected to Reduce Cost of Capture
DAC DEVELOPMENT AND MARKET UPDATE 24 INNOVATION AND PARTNERSHIPS EXPECTED TO REDUCE COST OF CAPTURE Cost of Capture1 Illustrative DAC Cost Reduction ($/t) Cost down innovation examples Key technology innovations, $500 manufacturing and supply • Improved air contactor geometry resulting in fewer chai
Slide 25: DAC CDR Voluntary Market Demand Scenarios
DAC DEVELOPMENT AND MARKET UPDATE 25 DAC CDR VOLUNTARY MARKET DEMAND SCENARIOS As DAC costs reduce, CDR market demand and partnership opportunities expected to increase DAC CDR demand (Mtpa) OXY OXY OWNERSHIP % RETURNS • Accelerated cost reduction DAC CDR: $300/t expected to drive CDR market 50 Mtpa
Slide 26: DAC CDRs Expected to Be Economic Alternative to SAF
DAC DEVELOPMENT AND MARKET UPDATE 26 DAC CDRs EXPECTED TO BE ECONOMIC ALTERNATIVE TO SAF CO2 abatement using SAF costs ~$750/t2 Beginning in 2027, CORSIA DAC CDRs expected to cost less than abatement using SAF requires airlines to offset their emissions1 Reduction in aviation CO2 emissions by 2050,
Slide 27: DAC 1 & 2 Development Update
DAC 1 & 2 27 DEVELOPMENT UPDATE STRATOS (DAC 1) • JV partner1 secured • Project ~30% complete • Expected commercially operational mid-2025 • Class VI well permit applications filed with U.S. EPA SOUTH TEXAS DAC HUB (DAC 2) • Selected to receive U.S. DOE grant, funding to be announced 2024 • DAC 2 FE
Slide 28: DAC Investment Principles
DAC DEVELOPMENT AND MARKET UPDATE DAC INVESTMENT PRINCIPLES 28 • Developing competitive-returns business with cash flow stability Returns Focused • DAC 2+ to meet return threshold for FID Demand-Driven • Market demand to drive development pace Development • Low-carbon program net capital expected to
Slide 29: Appendix
29 Appendix
Slide 30: Appendix Contents
30 APPENDIX CrownRock Transaction Financial Information LCV Overview Asset Overview Abbreviations and Definitions
Slide 31: Illustrative Accretion Detail
CROWNROCK TRANSACTION 31 ILLUSTRATIVE ACCRETION DETAIL Oxy SQ annualized CF sensitivity of ~$225 MM per $1.00 / bbl change in oil prices adjusted to an after-tax basis of ~$180 MM per $1.00 / bbl change assuming a corporate domestic tax rate of 22%. NOTE: SEE ABBREVIATIONS AND DEFINITIONS SLIDE FOR
Slide 32: Pro Forma Balance Sheet and Deleveraging
CROWNROCK TRANSACTION 32 PRO FORMA BALANCE SHEET AND DELEVERAGING Deleveraging Commitment Maintain Strong Liquidity >$4.5 B principal repayments within 12 months of transaction close $4.0 B Revolving Credit Facility Divest $4.5 – $6.0 B of assets within 18 months of transaction close $0.6 B
Slide 33: High-Graded U.S. Onshore Portfolio
HIGH-GRADED U.S. Onshore Unconventional Gross Operated Inventory 33 U.S. ONSHORE 12,000 CrownRock 10,800 PORTFOLIO 10,000 Oxy Permian Unconventional 7,600 8,000 Rockies 6,000 6,000 Acquisition of CrownRock 4,000 3,700 will increase Oxy’s sub- $40 breakeven inventory 2,000 by >25% - Breakeven <$40 Br
Slide 34: Emissions Management
CROWNROCK TRANSACTION 34 EMISSIONS MANAGEMENT • CrownRock shares Oxy's focus on emissions reduction • U.S. Onshore emissions reduction strategy and actions and has seen continuous improvement in emissions will continue in the Midland Basin and apply to the reduction since 2019 new CrownRock assets S
Slide 35: Appendix Contents
35 APPENDIX CrownRock Transaction Financial Information LCV Overview Asset Overview Abbreviations and Definitions
Slide 36: Cash Flow Sensitivities
FINANCIAL INFORMATION 36 CASH FLOW SENSITIVITIES OIL & GAS MIDSTREAM & MARKETING Annualized cash flow changes ~$260 MM per $1.00 / Annualized cash flow changes ~$65 MM per $0.25 / bbl bbl change in oil prices change in Midland to MEH spread ◦ ~$240 MM per $1.00 / bbl change in WTI price ◦ ~35-da
Slide 37: Preferred Equity Redemption
FINANCIAL INFORMATION 37 PREFERRED EQUITY REDEMPTION 2Q23 $0.68 Year-To-Date >$4/Share Shareholder Distributions 3Q23 1Q23 and Preferred Equity Redemption1 $0.66 $0.95 $3.121 4Q22 $1,661 MM excess distributions to common shareholders2 Distribution added to rolling 12-month calculation 4Q23 through T
Slide 38: Appendix Contents
38 APPENDIX CrownRock Transaction Financial Information LCV Overview Asset Overview Abbreviations and Definitions
Slide 39: DAC Commercial Development Assumptions
LCV OVERVIEW 39 DAC COMMERCIAL DEVELOPMENT ASSUMPTIONS DAC 1 DAC 2 Nth Voluntary and Compliance REVENUE Policy CDR PRICE1 $400 – 630/t $400 – 630/t Value Based IRA 45Q Enhancements DAC to EOR: $130/t 45Q CREDIT2 $180/t $180/t Policy/Scope Driven DAC to Sequestration: $180/t Co-Captured CO2 to Seques
Slide 40: Illustrative DAC Economic Modeling
LCV OVERVIEW 40 ILLUSTRATIVE DAC ECONOMIC MODELING CASH FLOW PROFILE REVENUE COSTS DAC 1 capital cost1 estimated at ~$1.3 B for first Carbon removal credit volumes DAC 1 & 2 cost of capture expected to be in the range 500k tonne per annum train, scaling capital by 1.7x Approximately 90% of captu
Slide 41: Cost of CO2 Reduction Using SAF
LCV OVERVIEW 41 COST OF CO2 REDUCTION USING SAF DAC CDRs expected to be more economic than SAF Value Units Calculation Sources / Notes Assumption: January 2022 through September 2023 SAF price premium over conventional jet fuel 2,300 $ / tonne A estimated average. (Argus Whitepaper). Calculation: Em
Slide 42: Appendix Contents
42 APPENDIX CrownRock Transaction Financial Information LCV Overview Asset Overview Abbreviations and Definitions
Slide 43: Differentiated Portfolio
DIFFERENTIATED PORTFOLIO 43 Oxy’s premier diversified assets and distinguished operational capabilities create a runway for sustainable shareholder value accretion OIL & GAS OXYCHEM • Diversified portfolio with deep, improving inventory • Sector earnings leader with resilient free cash flow • Operat
Slide 44: Oxy's Combined Integrated Portfolio
OXY’S COMBINED INTEGRATED PORTFOLIO 44 Oil & Gas OxyChem Oxy Midstream Focused in world class Leading manufacturer of basic Integrated infrastructure and basins with a history of chemicals and significant cash marketing provide access to global maximizing recovery generator markets 30 Rockies • A le
Slide 45: OxyChem Market Leading Position
OXYCHEM 2,500 Pre-Tax Earnings (EBIT)1 45 MARKET LEADING POSITION 2,000 • 23 owned facilities worldwide 1,500 $ MM • Integrated assets capture benefits of favorable market conditions 1,000 • Top-tier global producer in every product 500 produced 0 ◦ Largest merchant caustic soda seller in 2010 2011
Slide 46: Midstream & Marketing Guidance Reconciliation
MIDSTREAM & MARKETING 46 GUIDANCE RECONCILIATION 3Q23 Guide 3Q23 Actuals 4Q23 Guide PHYSICAL MIDSTREAM BUSINESS $200 • 3Q23 income below guidance due to Quarterly Pre-Tax Income ($ MM) losses on equity investments; 4Q includes $150 seasonal decline in power prices $100 CRUDE EXPORTS FROM GULF COAST
Slide 47: One of the Largest U.S. Acreage Holders
ONE OF THE LARGEST U.S. ACREAGE HOLDERS 47 9.5 MM Net Total U.S. Acres ROCKIES 1.1 MM ACRES PERMIAN 2.9 MM ACRES POWDER RIVER UNCONVENTIONAL 0.3 MM POWDER RIVER 1.5 MM DJ BASIN CONVENTIONAL 0.8 MM 1.4 MM Excludes acreage outside of active DJ BASIN operating areas OTHER ONSHORE GULF OF MEXICO TOTAL A
Slide 48: U.S. Onshore Overview
U.S. ONSHORE OVERVIEW 48 3Q23 NET PRODUCTION ROCKIES Oil NGLs Gas Total 1.1 MM ACRES (Mbod) (Mbbld) (MMcfd) (Mboed) Permian 339 145 625 588 Rockies & Other Dmstc. 72 97 565 263 Total 411 242 1,190 851 OPTI MI ZED ADVANCED DEPLOY STRATEGIC PERMIAN D EV ELOPMENT SUBSURFACE + POWERFUL + INFRASTRUCTURE
Slide 49: Gulf of Mexico Overview
GULF OF MEXICO OVERVIEW 49 ALABAMA GULF OF MEXICO MISSISSIPPI TOTAL ACREAGE 0.9 MM TEXAS LOUISIANA 3Q23 NET PRODUCTION MARLIN Oil (Mbod) 123 HORN MOUNTAIN NGLs (Mbbld) 10 HOLSTEIN NANSEN CONSTITUTION Gas (MMcfd) 77 CAESAR/TONGA BOOMVANG MARCO POLO Total (Mboed) 146 GUNNISON HEIDELBERG LUCIUS NOTE: A
Slide 50: International Overview
INTERNATIONAL OVERVIEW 50 U.A.E. 3Q23 NET PRODUCTION 2.5 MM ACRES Oil NGLs Gas Total (Mbod) (Mbbld) (MMcfd) (Mboed) Algeria & Other Intl. 25 2 15 30 Al Hosn 15 26 284 88 Dolphin 6 8 149 39 Oman 57 - 53 66 ALGERIA OMAN Total 103 36 501 223 0.5 MM ACRES 6.0 MM ACRES MENA NOTE: AS OF 09/30/2023; ACREAG
Slide 51: Technical and Operational Excellence
TECHNICAL AND OPERATIONAL EXCELLENCE 51 CREATING VALUE THROUGH OPERATING INGENUITY WORLD-CLASS RESERVOIR INNOVATIVE WELL DESIGNS AND CHARACTERIZATION AND DATA APPLICATION TECHNOLOGY-DRIVEN EXECUTION • Oxy-developed proprietary workflows and • Long laterals, complex trajectories, and models combined
Slide 52: Domestic Onshore Assets
OIL & GAS UPDATE 52 DOMESTIC ONSHORE ASSETS PERMIAN 2023 ACTIVITY ROCKIES 2023 ACTIVITY ~$2.7 B ~24 Gross ~11 Net 380 - 410 ~$0.8 B ~3 Gross ~2 Net 100 – 110 Capex Rigs Rigs Wells Online Capex Rigs Rigs Wells Online 100% OBO OBO 100% EOR Base Maint Powder Powder Base Maint EOR EOR Powder River Basin
Slide 53: Delaware Basin Well Productivity
TOP-TIER WELL PERFORMANCE DELAWARE CONTINUES TO IMPROVE 53 BASIN WELL 450 PRODUCTIVITY 400 Superior-quality 350 inventory combined with subsurface expertise Cumulative Mboe 300 drives continuous improvement and value 250 200 1 Year Cumulative Improvement 150 2015 to 2022: +205% 100 2018 to 2022: +25
Slide 54: Leading Delaware Basin Well Performance
OIL & GAS UPDATE 54 LEADING DELAWARE BASIN WELL PERFORMANCE AVERAGE 6-MONTH CUMULATIVE OIL BY OPERATOR1 AVERAGE 12-MONTH CUMULATIVE OIL BY OPERATOR2 Oxy is 31% above the 6-month basin average Oxy is 21% above the 12-month basin average 180 250 Average 12-month cum. oil, Mbbl 150 Average 6-month cum.
Slide 55: DJ Basin Well Productivity
WELL DESIGN DRIVING MAJOR DJ BASIN WELL PRODUCTIVITY GAINS 55 PRODUCTIVITY 200 180 Data-driven well design and operational expertise 160 drive continuous 140 Cumulative Mboe improvement and value 120 1 Year Cumulative 100 Improvement 80 2015-2016 to 2022: +56% 60 2017-2021 to 2022: +25% 40 2022 to 2
Slide 56: DJ Basin – Well Design Changes Driving Capital Efficiency
DJ BASIN – WELL DESIGN CHANGES DRIVING CAPITAL EFFICIENCY 56 Subsurface Design Execution Performance Previous 18 WPS Driving Innovation and Efficiency Development Optimization Niobrara • Oxy’s ingenuity in well design and execution • Smaller surface impacts and accelerated time-to-market Benches ena
Slide 57: Appendix Contents
57 APPENDIX CrownRock Transaction Financial Information LCV Overview Asset Overview Abbreviations and Definitions
Slide 58: Abbreviations and Definitions
ABBREVIATIONS AND DEFINITIONS 58 Abbreviations B – Billion FCFPS – Free Cash Flow Per Share MMBTU – One Million British Thermal Units BE – Breakeven FCF – Free Cash Flow NPV 10 – Net Present Value at 10% Discount Rate BPD – Barrels Per Day FY – Full Year NRI – Net Revenue Interest BO – Barrel of Oil
Slide 59: OXY ZERO IN”
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