Cardinal Energy Ltd. · TSX:CJ
Cardinal Energy — Investor Presentation (July 2021)
30 slides from Cardinal Energy's investor presentation, July 2021
Slide 1: Summer 2021 Corporate Presentation
TSX: CJ Summer 2021 Corporate Presentation
Slide 2: 2021 2nd Half Focus
2021 2nd Half Focus Continue to reduce debt Integrate Venturion assets Execute capital development program : $26 million • 8 well drilling program • Ongoing facility maintenance and optimization Increase CO2 sequestration at Midale • 2 new injectors drilled, scheduled to be on injection in A
Slide 3: 2021 2nd Half Forecast
2021 2nd Half Forecast Revised Budget (1) Sensitivity Case (2) 2021 2nd half $ 60 WTI $ 70 WTI 2022+ Potential Free Cash Flow Uses: $2.58/mcf AECO $2.85/mcf AECO Debt reduction Production (boe/d) 21,000-21,500 21,000-21,500 Returns to Shareholders Revenue ($MM) $210-220 $240-250 • Dividends Op
Slide 4: Assumptions and Sensitivities
Assumptions and Sensitivities Pricing Assumptions Annualized Pro-forma Sensitivities Revised Budget Sensitivity Case Adjusted Funds Flow ($ mm) (incl. Venturion) Δ US$1 WTI 5.7 WTI $ US/bbl 60.00 70.00 Δ US$1 WCS Differential 3.9 WCS Differential $ US/bbl (11.00) (14.00) Δ US$1 MSW Differential 1.6
Slide 5: 2021 Current Hedging
2021 Current Hedging Existing Cardinal Acquired Venturion Cardinal Pro-forma Product Q3 Q4 Q3 Q4 Q3 Q4 WTI - Volume (bbl/d) 2,500 1,500 1,200 750 3,700 2,250 - Avg. Ceiling/Swap Price (CAD$) $57.10 $55.83 $61.36 $77.07 $58.48 $62.91 - % of production ~16% ~10% ~59% ~35% ~20% ~12% WCS Differential -
Slide 6: Significant Torque to Oil Prices
Significant Torque to Oil Prices 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% TVE CR LXE BIR TOU TPZ CJ CPG FRU ATH ARX AAV POU PIPE KEL SRX NVA PSK PEY VII % change in 2021 estimated cash flow (+$5/bb change in WTI). Source: RBC Capital Markets 6 | Cardinal Energy Ltd. | TSX: CJ
Slide 7: Tax Pools
Tax Pools Pro-forma Tax Pool Balance YE 2020 $ COGPE 550,366,000 CEE and non-capital losses 707,092,000 CDE 152,793,000 Undepreciated capital cost 150,743,000 Other 2,197,000 Total $1,563,191,000 7 | Cardinal Energy Ltd. | TSX: CJ
Slide 8: FCF Tax Implications
FCF Tax Implications Source: RBC Capital Markets 8 | Cardinal Energy Ltd. | TSX: CJ
Slide 9: Corporate GHG Impact
Corporate GHG Impact Cardinal Corporate 2018-2020 emissions table Direct Emissions (Scope 1) GHG Sequestered Net Direct GHG Emissions Current Midale operation sequesters more 800 CO2e than total Cardinal corporate CO2e 600 direct emissions 400 Opportunity to significantly increase CO2 thousand t
Slide 10: Corporate Production
Corporate Production 25,000 2nd Half Forecast 21,000-21,500 20,000 Venturion Predictable production with very low decline Positive impact of R&M initiatives 15,000 BOE/day Venturion acquisition adds ~2,400 boe/d (July 15 close) 10,000 5,000 - Oil NGL's Gas (boe) 10 | Cardinal Energy Ltd. | TSX
Slide 11: Saskatchewan Operating Area - Midale
Saskatchewan Operating Area - Midale 2021 Full Year Forecast 2021 Forecast Average Production: 3,050 bbls/d Revised Sensitivity 4,000 Budget Case 2021 Average production thru May/21 : 3,160 bbls/d 2nd Half 2021 WTI (USD/bbl) $60 $70 NOI(1) $37 $42 3,000 FCF(2) $27 $31 BOE/day 2,000 Low decline lig
Slide 12: Midale – CCS EOR Simplified
Midale – CCS EOR Simplified Process Impact Source EPA CO2 is injected into the reservoir combines with Very low production decline residual oil and then a portion is produced along with the recovered oil, with the balance remaining safely Predictable long term performance sequestered in the re
Slide 13: Midale and Weyburn CO2 EOR Fields
Midale and Weyburn CO2 EOR Fields Weyburn Midale Operator Whitecap Cardinal Cardinal Working Interest >0.1% 77.1% OOIP (MMbbls) 1480 760 Cum. Production 04/21 (MMbbls) 531 161 Midale Recovery Factor to date 36% 21% Weyburn Current CO2 Storage Capacity (Mt) 86 30 Total Potential CO2 Storage Capacity
Slide 14: Midale – Initiate Phase 1 Development Plan
Midale – Initiate Phase 1 Development Plan Drilled 2 WAG injectors (July 2021) within existing EOR patterns Expected on injection August 2021 Each WAG injector is forecast to inject over 200,000 tonnes of CO2 over its life time, the equivalent of: Removing ~45,000 cars off the road for a yea
Slide 15: Conventional vs. CO2 EOR Lifecycle GHG Comparison
Conventional vs. CO2 EOR Lifecycle GHG Comparison Well to Gas Station Pump Combustion Total Emissions Conventional Cdn Light Barrel Lifecycle GHG Emissions ~475 kg CO2e/bbl ~73 kg CO2e/bbl ~402 kg CO2e/bbl Midale CO2 EOR Barrel Lifecycle GHG Emissions ~55 kg CO2e/bbl >80% reduction in Sequestration
Slide 16: North Operating Area
North Operating Area 2021 Full Year Forecast Revised Sensitivity 2021 Forecast Average Production: 6,300 boe/d Budget Case 8,000 2nd Half 2021 WTI (USD/bbl) $60 $70 NOI(1) $40 $48 2nd Half 2021 production forecast : 6,600-6,800 FCF(2) $31 $40 6,000 House Mountain/Mitsue BOE/day Legacy water floo
Slide 17: North - Nipisi Clearwater Upcoming Activity
North - Nipisi Clearwater Upcoming Activity Initial Cardinal Clearwater activity currently planned for 2022 Up to 12 potential 4-6 leg Hz multilaterals per zone in first block to be developed 500+ bbls/d long term sustainable production potential Strong primary development economics Close
Slide 18: North - Elmworth – Dunvegan Light Oil Development
North - Elmworth – Dunvegan Light Oil Development Well defined, shallow (1250m) Dunvegan sandstone Strong results from most recent drilling programs 2 wells planned for 2H 2021 (50% wi) Economic Summary Per Well $60US/bbl WTI, $2.80/mcf AECO Capex (DCET) $2.4MM IP365 (boepd) 125 EUR (Mboe) 266
Slide 19: North – Charlie Lake Long Term Potential
North – Charlie Lake Long Term Potential 15,800 gross acres (~70% average working interest) No near term land expiries Legacy vertical and horizontal producers on and/or offsetting Cardinal lands Bypass pay on vertical wells on land base 2022-23 potential activity New licenses directly o
Slide 20: Central Operating Area
Central Operating Area 2021 Full Year Forecast Revised Sensitivity 2021 Forecast Average Production: 5,450 boe/d Budget Case 5,000 2nd Half 2021 production forecast : 6,100-6,300 2nd Half 2021 WTI (USD/bbl) $60 $70 NOI(1) $57 $65 4,000 FCF(2) $48 $56 3,000 BOE/day Legacy water flood supported conv
Slide 21: Central District - Venturion Acquisition
Central District - Venturion Acquisition Venturion Assets Synergistic with existing Cardinal operations at Wainwright Potential future operating cost efficiencies Horizontally developed under water flood Optimization and infill drilling upside Cardinal Venturion 21 | Cardinal Energy Ltd. | T
Slide 22: Central – Irma - Sparky A Secondary Zone Development
Central – Irma - Sparky A Secondary Zone Development SPARKY B SPARKY A Initial test Area (ha) ~1400 ~750 Avg. Net Pay (m) ~3.0 ~2.5 Avg. Porosity (%) ~28% ~25% OOIP (MMbbls) ~41.9 ~11.5 (internal estimate) Sparky A prospect Cum Prod (MMbbls) ~19.1 - (through 2021/02) Current Production ~500 - (barre
Slide 23: Central - Chauvin Rex Channel
Central - Chauvin Rex Channel Well defined productive Rex channel 9 leg multilateral planned 8 mmbo in place 220 mbo recovered to date Current aggregate production : ~22 bbls/d Analogous to recent 2016-2020 competitor area activity Target Spud July 2021 Economic Summary Chauvin Irma $6
Slide 24: South Operating Area
South Operating Area 2021 Full Year Forecast 2021 Forecast Average Production: 5,000 boe/d Revised Sensitivity Budget Case 6,000 2nd Half 2021 WTI (USD/bbl) $60 $70 NOI(1) $46 $51 5,000 FCF(2) $32 $37 4,000 BOE/day 3,000 Conventional light, medium and heavy oil, and natural gas 2,000 Multiple hi
Slide 25: South – Bantry, Tide Lake, Duchess Ongoing Development
South – Bantry, Tide Lake, Duchess Ongoing Development 2021 2H planned activity – 1 Tide Lake Ellerslie hz, 1 Glauc channel – tentative spud Sept 2021 Glauc Ch test Economic Summary Glauc Ch Ellerslie $60US/bbl WTI, $2.80/mcf AECO 9-36 2-25 Capex (DCET) $2.0MM $1.6MM IP365 (boepd) 199 198 Ellersli
Slide 26: Drilling Inventory Breakdown
Drilling Inventory Breakdown Cardinal Growth/Maintenance Drilling Drill Ready Tier 1 Tier 2 Follow ups Focus of drilling investment is the production maintenance South 51 35 and growth in existing areas where Cardinal owns and Central 37 90 operates infrastructure. North 40 65 At $55 WTI, all dr
Slide 27: Liability Reduction
Liability Reduction Committed Budget $5 million of Cardinal’s capital budget has been committed to ARO(1) Since 2016 to July 2021, 486 wells and 46 facilities have been abandoned. Cardinal is Cardinal is a voluntary participant in the AER’s anticipating ~ 200 wells and numerous facilities to be
Slide 28: Reducing Inactive Wells
Reducing Inactive Wells Net Operated Wells # Change Inactive (YE 2020) 1,135 Abandoned (YTD 2021) 135 12% reduction Forecast Abandoned (Full Year 2021) 200 18% reduction Effective and efficient use of government funding and Cardinal expenditures Reducing long term liability 28 | Cardinal Energy
Slide 29: Advisory
Advisory Note Regarding Forward Looking Statements performance of existing and future wells, the success of our exploration expressed in, or implied by, these forward-looking statements and, and development activities, the sufficiency and timing of budgeted capital accordingly, no assurance can be g
Slide 30: Advisory
Advisory This presentation contains metrics commonly used in the oil and natural the characteristics of the reservoir and therefore these is more uncertainty current decommissioning obligation and current lease liabilities). "Net gas industry which have been prepared by management, such as "netback"