Athabasca Oil Corporation · TSX:ATH

Athabasca Oil — Q2 2022 Earnings Presentation

30 slides from Athabasca Oil's earnings presentation, July 2022

  1. Slide 1: Athabasca Oil Corporation

    ATHABASCA OIL CORPORATION FOCUSED | EXECUTING | DELIVERING JULY 2022 – Q2 RESULTS

  2. Slide 2: Why Own Athabasca

    WHY OWN ATHABASCA  THERMAL OIL DIVISION: PREDICTABLE, LOW DECLINE Strong netbacks; $56/bbl in Q2/22 Low sustaining capital requirements (~$5/bbl) >1 billion boe 2P reserves underpins long reserve life Athabasca is committed to returning free cash flow to  LIGHT OIL DIVISION: DE‐RISKED, FLEXIBLE CA

  3. Slide 3: Portfolio ~35,000 boe/d | 92% Liquids

    PORTFOLIO ~35,000 BOE/D | 92% LIQUIDS THERMAL OIL ASSETS (~29,000 BBL/D) LIGHT OIL ASSETS (~6,000 BOE/D) LEISMER Top tier project that PLACID MONTNEY HANGINGSTONE has been in operation for 12 years with 70% WI Placid with current production of stable declines, high >20,000 bbl/d margins and flexible

  4. Slide 4: Q2 2022 Highlights

    Q2 2022 HIGHLIGHTS 33,247 boe/d (92% Liquids) $85MM Record Adj FFO $34MM FCF; $51MM Capex Q2 inclusive of Leismer turnaround 2022e $220MM FCF 2022e ~$350MM 2022e 34 ‐ 35,000 boe/d (+1,000 boe/d) ~$232MM Liquidity Record Operating Netbacks C$167MM Debt Reduction ~$65/boe Light Oil Inclusive of $154MM

  5. Slide 5: Capital Structure & Guidance

    CAPITAL STRUCTURE & GUIDANCE CAPITAL STRUCTURE (Q2 2022) CAPITAL STRUCTURE OVERVIEW o US$219MM Second Lien Notes Equity Indexation Added to S&P/TSX Composite • 9.75% coupon & 5‐year term to Q4 2026 Index on June 20, 2022 • Semi‐annual free cash flow redemption feature at 105 • US$131MM (~C$167MM) pr

  6. Slide 6: Managing for Strong Free Cash Flow

    MANAGING FOR STRONG FREE CASH FLOW EBITDA & FCF (C$MM) STRONG FREE CASH FLOW $600 ~$950MM 3‐year cum FCF o Production of ~35,000 boe/d can be maintained with low $500 sustaining capital $400 • ~$125MM annual sustaining capital C$MM $300 o 10+ year tax free horizon $200 • $3.1B of tax pools ($2.4B of

  7. Slide 7: Creating Significant Shareholder Value

    CREATING SIGNIFICANT SHAREHOLDER VALUE DEBT OUTLOOK (C$MM) $650 UNIQUE LOW LEVERAGE COMPANY US$350MM Net Cash position Term Debt o Direct 100% of free cash flow to debt repayment near‐term $400 US$175MM target • Net Cash achieved by year end 2022 $150 • Debt target US$175MM (50% reduction) achieved

  8. Slide 8: Integrated Sustainability

    INTEGRATED SUSTAINABILITY TECHNOLOGY OVERVIEW CARBON CAPTURE – AOC’S LOW‐CARBON BARREL o Entropy Inc. (Entropy) modular carbon capture technology (CCS) • Finalized a Letter of Intent in March 2022 • Detailed engineering underway; commercial model established o Sequestration into regional disposal zo

  9. Slide 9: Asset Overview

    ASSET OVERVIEW

  10. Slide 10: The Thermal Business

    THE THERMAL BUSINESS HIGHLIGHTS THERMAL PROPERTIES 100% Working Interest Fort McMurray 26,768 bbl/d Q2/22 Production AOC Hangingstone ~$500MM 2022E Operating Income 2022E Enbridge ~$115MM Capital Expenditures Hangingstone Cheecham 414 MMbbl & Gross Reserves Surmont 1,230 MMbbl (Proved & 2P) AOC Corn

  11. Slide 11: Thermal Oil – Leismer

    THERMAL OIL – LEISMER STRATEGIC POSITIONING DEVELOPMENT MAP o Maximize FCF and deliver strong netbacks (~$57/bbl Q2/22) 2022 ACTIVITY OVERVIEW o Turnaround completed on schedule & within budget in May o Pad L8 – 5 wells on‐stream; current production ~5,500 bbl/d o Drilling – 2 infill wells Pad L6; +

  12. Slide 12: Thermal Oil – Hangingstone

    THERMAL OIL – HANGINGSTONE DEVELOPMENT MAP STRONG RESERVOIR RESPONSE o Excellent facility utilization o Improved SOR due to the field wide NCG co‐injection COST OPTIMIZATION o Competitive non‐energy op. expenses ($7.70/bbl Q2/22) o 5,000 bbl/d third‐party truck‐in terminal o Amended transportation c

  13. Slide 13: Thermal Oil – Crown Royalty Advantage

    THERMAL OIL – CROWN ROYALTY ADVANTAGE CROWN ROYALTY OVERVIEW OIL SANDS ROYALTY RATES o Royalties vary depending on whether a project is in Gross revenue less opex & capex pre‐payout or post‐payout phase • Pre‐payout royalty rates are lower to account for the initial cost of investment • Post‐payout

  14. Slide 14: The Light Oil Business

    THE LIGHT OIL BUSINESS HIGHLIGHTS LIGHT OIL PROPERTIES 6,479 boe/d Q2/22 Production Kaybob 2022E Net Capital ~$13MM Expenditures ~$120MM 2022E Operating Income ~850 Gross Locations ~280,000 Gross Acres Placid 27 MMboe & Gross Reserves 72 MMboe (Proved & 2P) o Joint Venture with Murphy ~12 years & RL

  15. Slide 15: Light Oil – 2022 Activity

    LIGHT OIL – 2022 ACTIVITY STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES PLACID MONTNEY o Maintain future optionality o Maximize netback & cash flow generation (~$65/boe Q2/22) 2022 ACTIVITY o Kaybob Duvernay: 3 Two Creeks wells on stream in Q1 FUTURE ACTIVITY o ~150 gross Montney development locations o ~700 gross Duvernay

  16. Slide 16: ESG Overview

    mea ESG OVERVIEW

  17. Slide 17: ESG – 2021 Report

    ESG – 2021 REPORT We believe that the responsible energy we produce here in Alberta makes people’s lives better. Our ESG report is an opportunity for us to showcase the positive impacts we have made and explain how sustainability and responsibility are being embedded into every decision we make. “Ou

  18. Slide 18: ESG – Integrated Sustainability

    ESG – INTEGRATED SUSTAINABILITY TECHNOLOGY OVERVIEW CARBON CAPTURE – AOC’S LOW‐CARBON BARREL o Entropy Inc. (Entropy) modular carbon capture technology (CCS) • Finalized a Letter of Intent in March 2022 • Detailed engineering underway; commercial model established o Sequestration into regional dispo

  19. Slide 19: ESG – Technology Roadmap to Decarbonization

    ESG – TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP TO DECARBONIZATION Decarbonization Roadmap HIGHLIGHTS o Track record of utilizing new technologies to improve environmental performance o Evaluate and implement new technologies focused on reducing both intensity and total emissions o Developed a Technology Roadmap to Decarb

  20. Slide 20: ESG – Governance & Social

    ESG – GOVERNANCE & SOCIAL GOVERNANCE SOCIAL o Technically‐focused, experienced management team o Contributed 66% of the Provincial Park Lands • Four most senior executives have managed current • Expanded the ecologically and culturally significant portfolio for an aggregate of ~40 years Kitaskino Nu

  21. Slide 21: ESG – Commitment to Responsibility

    ESG – COMMITMENT TO RESPONSIBILITY “As we progress, Athabasca will focus on transparency and continuous advancement as we deliver on our commitments to our stakeholders, communities, and employees. We invite you to join us on our ESG journey as we continue to grow and responsibly produce energy in A

  22. Slide 22: Appendix

    mea APPENDIX

  23. Slide 23: Management Team

    MANAGEMENT TEAM o Joined Athabasca in 2012 as Senior Vice President Light Oil. Promoted to Chief Operating Officer in 2013 and President and Chief Executive Officer in 2015 o 30 years of exploration and production experience including 18 years with Talisman Energy in various technical Rob Broen, P.E

  24. Slide 24: Historical Transformation of ATH

    HISTORICAL TRANSFORMATION OF ATH $486MM $470MM Significant Deleveraging; Light Oil JV Contingent $265MM Infrastructure US$131MM Redeemed with Bitumen YTD (July 2022) Murphy Oil Royalties Sale Resource Resumption of Pre‐COVID Managing for Appraisal Business Plan strong FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 20

  25. Slide 25: Market Egress and Risk Management

    MARKET EGRESS AND RISK MANAGEMENT CANADIAN MARKET ACCESS IMPROVING CANADIAN EGRESS OUTLOOK (MMBBL/D) o Excess pipeline capacity for foreseeable future • Enbridge L3R: +270,000 bbl/d in‐service • TMX: +590,000 bbl/d in 2023 o Lower WCSB supply growth expectations • Producers focused on return of capi

  26. Slide 26: Thermal Oil – Unparalleled Cash Flow Opportunity

    THERMAL OIL – UNPARALLELED CASH FLOW OPPORTUNITY TECHNICAL HIGHLIGHTS FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS o Low decline o High torque to oil with operating leverage o Long‐life reserves • Q2/22 Thermal Oil netback of ~$56/bbl • 1.2 billion 2P reserves; >100 years RLI o Low Crown royalties • Land held • 9% (pre‐pay

  27. Slide 27: Reader Advisory

    READER ADVISORY Forward Looking Statements This Presentation contains forward‐looking information that involves various risks, uncertainties and other factors. All information other than statements of historical fact is forward‐looking information. The use of any of the words “anticipate”, “plan”, “

  28. Slide 28: Reader Advisory Cont'd

    READER ADVISORY CONT’D Reserves Information The McDaniel Report was prepared using the assumptions and methodology guidelines outlined in the COGE Handbook and in accordance with National Instrument 51‐101 Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities, effective December 31, 2021. There are num

  29. Slide 29: Reader Advisory Cont'd

    READER ADVISORY CONT’D Production Athabasca’s 2022 forecasted total average daily production is between 34,000 ‐ 35,000 boe/d. Athabasca expects that approximately 82% of that production will be comprised of bitumen, 8% shale gas, 5% tight oil, 3% condensate natural gas liquids and 2% other natural

  30. Slide 30: Athabasca Oil Corporation

    ATHABASCA OIL CORPORATION

Athabasca Oil — Q2 2022 Earnings Presentation on 6ix