Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari T.a.s. · BIST:EREGL

Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari T.a.s — Ereğli Demir ve Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) — 9M 2019 Earnings Presentation

30 slides from Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari T.a.s's earnings presentation, Oct 24, 2019

  1. Slide 1: Mining Metallurgy

    MINING METALLURGY Gi @ak ))

  2. Slide 2: 2019 9 Months Investor Presentation

    2019 9 Months Investor Presentation 24.10.2019

  3. Slide 3: Disclaimer

    Disclaimer Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information, expectations, estimates, targets, assessments and opinions. Erdemir has made the necessary arrangements about the amounts and results of such inform

  4. Slide 4: 2019 Market Overview

    ERDEMIR 2019 Market Overview

  5. Slide 5: Crude Steel Production (% yoy)

    5 10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% -10.0% Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-16 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 10.0% -5.0% -10.0% 0.0% 5.0% Aug-18 Sep-17 Sep-18 Oct-17 Oct-18 Nov-17 Nov-18 Dec-17 Dec-18 Jan-18 Jan-19 Feb-18 Feb-19 Mar-16 Mar-19 EU28 Crude Steel Production (% yoy) Crude Steel Production

  6. Slide 6: Coking Coal, Iron Ore & Scrap Prices

    6 100 150 200 250 300 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 150 200 250 300 350 400 Oct-17 Nov-18 Nov-17 Dec-18 Coking Coal Prices Dec-17 Jan-19 Jan-18 Feb-19 Feb-18 Mar-19 Mar-18 Apr-19 Apr-18 May-19 (HCC Peak Downs Region FOB Australia) May-18 J

  7. Slide 7: Turkish Steel Production & Consumption

    Turkish Steel Production & Consumption Production (mn tons) 36.9 36.9 39.0 38.6 36.1 10.4 10.4 10.9 13.1 13.4 -17.2% 26.8 22.2 9.4 25.7 26.5 26.0 25.9 25.2 9.0 17.4 13.2 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 8M 2018 8M 2019 Consumption (mn tons) 34.4 34.1 35.9 30.8 30.6 16.5 16.5 17.8 -28.0% 14.6 14.8 23.2 16.7

  8. Slide 8: Turkish Steel Exports & Imports

    Turkish Steel Exports & Imports Exports (mn tons) 17,8 1,0 13.3% 14,1 13,4 14,4 13,1 0,6 0,3 0,8 6,1 11.9 2,5 0,3 10.5 2,6 3,1 4,3 1.1 0.4 3.6 3.9 11,0 10,2 10,0 9,3 10,7 6.5 6.9 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 8M 2018 8M 2019 Imports (mn tons) 18,1 16,5 15,3 13,6 -24.8% 13,0 7,9 6,2 4,8 4,8 10.1 4,8 3.6 7

  9. Slide 9: 2019 9M Results

    ERDEMIR 2019 9M Results

  10. Slide 10: Operational and Financial Highlights

    Operational and Financial Highlights Operational Highlights 2017 2018 9M 2018 9M 2019 Growth (YoY) Liquid Steel Production (000 tons) 9,392 9,322 6,949 6,583 -5.3% Flat Steel Production* (000 tons) 7,713 7,743 5,887 5,568 -5.4% Long Steel Production (000 tons) 1,328 980 684 757 10.7% Flat Steel Ship

  11. Slide 11: Liquid Steel Production (000 tons)

    Liquid Steel Production (000 tons) 9,373 9,392 9,322 6,949 6,583 2,233 2,148 2,067 2016 2017 2018 9M 2018 9M 2019 Q3 2018 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 11

  12. Slide 12: Crude Steel Capacity Utilization Ratio

    Crude Steel Capacity Utilization Ratio 100% 97% 97% 97% 96% 93% 91% 78% 76% 72% 70% 69% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 9M 2019 Erdemir World* 12 As of August 2018, Worldsteel no longer publishes global capacity utilization ratio for anti-trust reasons. Source: Worldsteel

  13. Slide 13: Production (000 tons)

    Production (000 tons) 9,041 8,644 8,723 1,328 980 1,572 1,822 1,701 6,571 6,325 1,781 684 757 1,304 1,187 2,197 2,156 2,027 232 207 234 5,891 6,042 438 377 5,291 407 4,583 4,381 1,527 1,572 1,386 2016 2017 2018 9M 2018 9M 2019 Q3 2018 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Hot Cold Long Slab production for 3rd parties was

  14. Slide 14: Sales Volume (000 tons)

    Sales Volume (000 tons) 8,750 8,958 8,401 1,364 1,587 919 1,908 1,750 6,247 6,251 1,860 656 780 1,282 1,243 2,048 2,100 204 1,929 234 240 395 402 5,303 5,686 5,732 390 4,309 4,228 1,419 1,494 1,299 2016 2017 2018 9M 2018 9M 2019 Q3 2018 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Hot Cold Long 14 Slab sales for 3rd parties wer

  15. Slide 15: Net Sales Revenue (USD mn)

    Net Sales Revenue (USD mn) 5,598 5,140 1,163 733 3,855 4,225 517 812 3,731 818 4,407 4,435 1,380 1,268 326 1,131 3,338 268 198 3,413 2,913 1,054 1,000 933 2016 2017 2018 9M 2018 9M 2019 Q3 2018 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Export Domestic 15

  16. Slide 16: Flat & Long Steel Domestic Sales Breakdown

    Flat & Long Steel Domestic Sales Breakdown Flat Steel Domestic Sales 13% 13% (560) (578) 18% Pipe&Profile and Rolling 19% (792) 4,309K ton (852) 4,536K ton 51% 57% Distribution Chains 9M 2018 (2,334) 9M 2019 (2,457) General Manufacturing Industry 12% Automotive 17% (500) (772) Long Steel Domestic Sa

  17. Slide 17: Export Volume (000 tons)

    Export Volume (000 tons) Total export volume increased by 21.0% YoY in 9M 2019. 19.4% 21.5% 1,631 17.8% 13.4% 12.4% +21.0% 1,199 1,343 1,086 22.6% 21.2% 1,110 17.1% 462 445 330 2016 2017 2018 9M 2018 9M 2019 Q3 2018 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Export Share in Total Sales 17

  18. Slide 18: EBITDA & Net Profit

    EBITDA & Net Profit EBITDA (USD mn) EBITDA Margin (%) 29.1% 30.7% 23.2% 32.3% 22.6% 32.2% 23.6% 19.7% 1,496 1,720 1,364 445 895 844 299 222 2016 2017 2018 9M 2018 9M 2019 Q3 2018 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Net Profit* (USD mn) Net Profit Margin (%) 20.0% 20.7% 13.0% 20.2% 16.0% 17.7% 12.2% 14.7% 1,030 1,160 85

  19. Slide 19: EBITDA to Net Profit

    EBITDA Net Profit 844 (149) 104 694 (1) 2 (225) (26) 549 EBITDA Depreciation Interest Operating Investing Finance Tax Inc./(Exp.) Non- Net Profit 9M 2019 Inc./(Exp.) Income Activities Inc./(Exp.) Controlling 9M 2019 on Other Inc./(Exp.) Interests Operating Inc./(Exp.) 19

  20. Slide 20: EBITDA to Net Cash

    EBITDA Net Cash 15 318 (288) 844 (188) (138) 563 (794) 77 (39) (193) EBITDA Changes Interest Taxes Paid Net Cash Cash Flow Free Cash Dividend Credit Usage/ Other Change 9M 2019 in Working Inc./(Exp.) used in from Flow Paid (Payment) in Cash Capital Net Investing Financial Net 9M 2019 Activities Inve

  21. Slide 21: EBITDA per Ton (USD/ton)

    EBITDA per Ton* (USD/ton) 223 219 197 174 179 172 138 141 143 139 145 124 96 85 119 51 43 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Main Product 21 *One-off income/expense items are excluded.

  22. Slide 22: Financial Figures

    Financial Figures Consolidated Net Assets (USD mn) 31.12.2018 30.09.2019 Growth (YoY) Cash Equivalents and Financial Investments 1,646 1,609 -2% Working Capital 2,219 1,901 -14% Tangible and Intangible Assets 3,533 3,503 -1% Financial Liabilities (1,163) (1,299) 12% Provisions and Other (674) (481)

  23. Slide 23: Financial Borrowings (USD mn)

    Financial Borrowings (USD mn) 891 368 654 829 916 897 529 581 655 460 362 342 14 266 (190) (200) (482) (675) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 9M 2019* Net Debt Short-Term Debt Long-Term Debt 23 *TFRS 16 Leases are excluded.

  24. Slide 24: Net Debt (USD mn)

    Net Debt (USD mn) 563 (794) 482 (51) 200 Net Cash Free Cash Flow Dividend Paid Other Net Cash Dec. 2018 Sept. 2019 24

  25. Slide 25: Borrowings Maturity Profile (USD mn)

    Borrowings Maturity Profile (USD mn) 1,459 797 48 488 171 167 11 120 20 125 261 5 25 10 40 147 120 1 1 24 9 Sept. 2019 Oct.-Dec. 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Cash 2019 Principal Revolving Trade Financing Loans Interest 25

  26. Slide 26: Cost of Sales Breakdown (%)

    Cost of Sales Breakdown* (%) 7 6 5 7 7 5 5 5 5 5 8 6 11 9 7 Raw Materials 14 Personnel Expenses Purchased Energy Expenses Depreciation and Amortization Exp. 73 76 75 64 Other 2016 2017 2018 9M 2019 Raw Materials Breakdown (%) 24 20 22 20 13 12 12 11 Iron Ore&Pellet 27 35 35 35 Coal Scrap Other 36 33

  27. Slide 27: Capital Expenditures (USD mn)

    Capital Expenditures (USD mn) 264 242 208 216 200 201 171 162 162 162 158 159 113 132 143 125 82 165 107 110 140 105 93 83 80 88 84 57 55 52 43 17 20 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 9M 2019 Capital Expenditures Fixed Assets Acquisition 27

  28. Slide 28: Number of Employees

    Number of Employees 12,872 12,659 12,277 11,975 11,607 11,397 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Sept. 2019 28

  29. Slide 29: Appendix – EBITDA Detail

    Appendix – EBITDA Detail 01.01.2019- 01.01.2019- Note 30.09.2019 30.09.2019 (Thousand USD) (Thousand TRY) Presentation Currency Translation 2.1 5.6311 Operating Profit 694,101 3,908,553 Depreciation and Amortisation Expenses 149,058 839,358 Cost of Sales 14 136,908 770,943 Marketing Expenses 15 5,53

  30. Slide 30: Erdemir Investor Relations

    Erdemir Investor Relations investorrelations@erdemir.com.tr https://www.erdemir.com.tr/investor-relations/ +90 216 578 80 61 30

Ereğli Demir ve Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) — 9M 2019 Earnings Presentation on 6ix