Exelon Corporation · NASDAQ:EXC

Exelon — Q3 2015 Earnings Presentation

28 slides from Exelon's earnings presentation, Oct 30, 2015

  1. Slide 1: Earnings Conference Call 3rd Quarter 2015

    Exhibit 99.2 Earnings Conference Call rd 3 Quarter 2015 October 30, 2015

  2. Slide 2: Cautionary Statements Regarding Forward-Looking Information

    Cautionary Statements Regarding Forward-Looking Information This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, that are subject to risks and uncertainties. The factors that could cause actual results to differ mat

  3. Slide 3: Delivering Value through Strong Financial and Operational Performance

    Delivering Value through Strong Financial and Operational Performance Exelon: On track for best year of earnings since 2012 Q3 earnings of $0.83 per share, 6% higher than the same quarter last year Raising full-year guidance to $2.40 to $2.60 per share despite delay in closing Pepco Exelon Utilities

  4. Slide 4: Aligning our Hedging Strategy with Our Fundamental Views

    Aligning our Hedging Strategy with Our Fundamental Views NiHubMarket versus Fundamental View 2017: Maintaining a More Open Position Across ($/MWh) Entire Portfolio $32 60% $31 55% 50% $30 45% $29 40% $28 35% 30% $27 25% $26 20% 2016 2017 Q4-14 Q1-15 Q2-15 Q3-15 NiHub Market 9/30 NiHub Forecast 9/30

  5. Slide 5: Exelon Generation: Gross Margin Update

    Exelon Generation: Gross Margin Update September 30, 2015 Change from June 30, 2015 (1) Gross Margin Category ($M) 2015 2016 2017 2015 2016 2017 (3) Open Gross Margin (including South, West, Canada hedged gross $5,150 $5,650 $5,800 $(100) $(50) $50 margin) (3,4) Mark-to-Market of Hedges $2,200 $1,20

  6. Slide 6: Key Financial Messages

    Key Financial Messages Q3 2015 Adjusted Operating EPS(1,2) 2015 Full-Year Guidance(3.4) $0.83 $2.40 - $2.60 (1) BGE $0.06 $2.25 - $2.55 (1) $0.25 - $0.35 BGE PECO $0.10 BGE$0.20 - $0.30 $0.35 - $0.45 PECO PECO$0.35 - $0.45 ComEd $0.17 $0.45 - $0.55 ComEd ComEd$0.45 - $0.55 ExGen $0.55 $1.35 - $1.45

  7. Slide 7: 2015 Projected Sources and Uses of Cash

    2015 Projected Sources and Uses of Cash Total Exelon Cash ($ in millions) (1) BGE ComEd PECO ExGen Corp (6) Utilities 2015E Balance Beginning Cash Balance(2) 3,575 (1) All amounts rounded to the nearest (3) Adjusted Cash Flow from Operations 650 2,175 700 3,550 3,325 (50) 6,800 $25M. Figures may not

  8. Slide 8: Exelon Generation Disclosures

    Exelon Generation Disclosures September 30, 2015 8 Q3 2015 Earnings Release Slides

  9. Slide 9: Portfolio Management Strategy

    Portfolio Management Strategy Strategic Policy Alignment Three-Year Ratable Hedging Bull / Bear Program •Aligns hedging program with •Ensure stability in near-term cash •Ability to exercise fundamental market financial policies and financial flows and earnings views to create value within the ratabl

  10. Slide 10: Components of Gross Margin Categories

    Components of Gross Margin Categories Gross margin from Gross margin linked to power production and sales other business activities Open Gross MtM of “Power” New “Non-Power” “Non-Power” Margin Hedges(2) Business Executed New Business •Generation Gross •Mark-to-Market •Retail, Wholesale •Retail, Whol

  11. Slide 11: ExGen Disclosures

    ExGen Disclosures (1) Gross Margin Category ($M) 2015 2016 2017 (3) Open Gross Margin(including South, West & Canada hedged GM) $5,150 $5,650 $5,800 (3,4) Mark-to-Market of Hedges $2,200 $1,200 $750 Power New Business / To Go $50 $500 $800 Non-Power Margins Executed $400 $200 $100 Non-Power New Busi

  12. Slide 12: ExGen Disclosures

    ExGen Disclosures Generation and Hedges 2015 2016 2017 (1) Exp. Gen (GWh) 186,700 199,400 205,300 Midwest 96,600 97,300 95,700 (2) 61,700 63,100 61,200 Mid-Atlantic ERCOT 11,600 17,200 26,400 (2) 9,300 9,300 9,200 New York New England 7,500 12,500 12,800 (3) % of Expected Generation Hedged 97%-100%

  13. Slide 13: ExGen Hedged Gross Margin Sensitivities

    ExGen Hedged Gross Margin Sensitivities (1) Gross Margin Sensitivities (With Existing Hedges) 2015 2016 2017 Henry Hub Natural Gas ($/Mmbtu) + $1/Mmbtu - $110 $445 - $1/Mmbtu $20 $(115) $(430) NiHub ATC Energy Price + $5/MWh - $100 $275 - $5/MWh - $(95) $(275) PJM-W ATC Energy Price + $5/MWh - $45 $

  14. Slide 14: ExGen Hedged Gross Margin Upside/Risk

    ExGen Hedged Gross Margin Upside/Risk 11,000 10,500 10,000 9,500 $9,050 9,000 8,500 $8,250 8,000 $7,900 7,500 $7,800 7,000 $7,350 6,500 $6,900 6,000 5,500 5,000 2015 2016 2017 (1) Represents an approximate range of expected gross margin, taking into account hedges in place, between the 5th and 95th

  15. Slide 15: Illustrative Example of Modeling Exelon Generation 2016 Gross Margin

    Illustrative Example of Modeling Exelon Generation 2016 Gross Margin (1) Mark-to-market rounded to the nearest $5 million (2) Total Gross Margin (Non-GAAP) is defined as operating revenues less purchased power and fuel expense, excluding revenue related to decommissioning, gross receipts tax, Exelon

  16. Slide 16: Additional Disclosures

    Additional Disclosures 16 Q3 2015 Earnings Release Slides

  17. Slide 17: Exelon Utilities Adjusted Operating EPS Contribution

    Exelon Utilities Adjusted Operating EPS Contribution(1) BGE PECO ComEd Key Drivers – 3Q15 vs. 3Q14: $0.33 BGE(+0.01): • Increased distribution revenue due to increased rates and $0.29 $0.06 lower storm costs: $0.01 $0.05 PECO(+0.01): $0.10 • Favorable weather: $0.02 $0.09 ComEd(+0.02) (2): • Favorab

  18. Slide 18: ExGen Adjusted Operating EPS Contribution

    (1) ExGen Adjusted Operating EPS Contribution Key Drivers – 3Q15 vs. 3Q14: 2014 2015 ExGen(+0.05) $0.55 • Increased RNF primarily due to the benefit of lower cost to serve $0.50 load in the Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, and New England regions and the benefit from Integrysacquisition, partially offset by t

  19. Slide 19: ComEd April 2015 Distribution Formula Rate

    ComEd April 2015 Distribution Formula Rate The 2015 distribution formula rate filing establishes the net revenue requirement used to set the rates that will take effectin January 2016 after the Illinois Commerce Commission's (ICC’s) review. There are two components to the annual distribution formula

  20. Slide 20: PECO Electric Distribution Rate Case & Proposed Settlement

    PECO Electric Distribution Rate Case & Proposed Settlement Docket # R-2015-2468981 Test Year 2016 Calendar Year RequestedRevenue Requirement $190M RequestedCommon Equity Ratio(1) 53.36% Requested Rate of Return ROE: 10.95%; ROR: 8.19% Proposed Rate Base $4.1B ProposedRevenue Requirement SettlementIn

  21. Slide 21: PECO Electric LTIIP System 2020

    PECO Electric LTIIP S - ystem 2020 • PECO filed its Electric Long Term Infrastructure Improvement Plan (“LTIIP”) along with its associated recovery mechanism the Distribution System Improvement Charge (“DSIC”) on March 27, 2015 (with Electric Distribution Rate Case) o LTIIP includes $275 million in

  22. Slide 22: Exelon Utilities Load

    Exelon Utilities Load All Customers Residential Small C&I Large C&I ComEd PECO BGE 0.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.5% 0.0% (0.1%)0.0% 0.1% (0.1%) (0.3%) (0.7%) (0.8%) (1.3%) (0.6%) (0.8%) (1.2%) (1.6%) 2014 2015E 2014 2015E 2014 2015E Chicago GMP 2.1% Philadelphia GMP 1.8% Baltim

  23. Slide 23: Appendix: Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures

    Appendix Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures 23 Q3 2015 Earnings Release Slides

  24. Slide 24: 3Q GAAP EPS Reconciliation

    3Q GAAP EPS Reconciliation Three Months Ended September 30, 2014 ExGen ComEd PECO BGE Other Exelon 2014 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings (Loss) Per Share $0.50 $0.15 $0.09 $0.05 $(0.01) $0.78 Mark-to-market impact of economic hedging activities 0.19 - - - - 0.18 Unrealized losses related to ND

  25. Slide 25: 3Q YTD GAAP EPS Reconciliation

    3Q YTD GAAP EPS Reconciliation Nine Months Ended September 30, 2014 ExGen ComEd PECO BGE Other Exelon 2014 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings (Loss) Per Share $1.07 $0.39 $0.30 $0.17 $(0.02) $1.91 Mark-to-market impact of economic hedging activities (0.34) - - - - (0.34) Unrealized gains related

  26. Slide 26: 3Q YTD GAAP EPS Reconciliation (continued)

    3Q YTD GAAP EPS Reconciliation (continued) Nine Months Ended September 30, 2015 ExGen ComEd PECO BGE Other Exelon 2015 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings (Loss) Per Share $1.26 $0.39 $0.34 $0.23 $(0.09) $2.13 Mark-to-market impact of economic hedging activities 0.18 - - - - 0.18 Unrealized losse

  27. Slide 27: GAAP to Operating Adjustments

    GAAP to Operating Adjustments • Exelon’s 2015 adjusted (non-GAAP) operating earnings excludes the earnings effects of the following: Mark-to-market adjustments from economic hedging activities Unrealized gains and losses from NDT fund investments to the extent not offset by contractual accounting as

  28. Slide 28: ExGen Total Gross Margin Reconciliation to GAAP

    ExGenTotal Gross Margin Reconciliation to GAAP TotalGross Margin Reconciliation (in $M) (4) 2015 2016 2017 (1)(5) Revenue Net of Purchased Power and Fuel Expense $8,350 $8,350 $8,300 Other Revenues(2) $(200) $(250) $(250) Direct cost of sales incurred to generate revenues for certain $(300) $(300) $

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