Ubs Group Ag · SIX:UBSG

Ubs — Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation

31 slides from Ubs's earnings presentation, Nov 7, 2023

  1. Slide 1: Third quarter 2023 Financial results

    Third quarter 2023 Financial results 7 November 2023

  2. Slide 2: Important information

    Important information Forward Looking Statements: This presentation contains statements that constitute “forward-looking statements,” including but not limited to management’s outlook for UBS’s financial performance, statements relating to the anticipated effect of transactions and strategic initiat

  3. Slide 3: Agenda

    Agenda Key Financial Q&A achievements performance Sergio P. Ermotti, Group CEO Todd Tuckner, Group CFO 2

  4. Slide 4: 3Q23 key achievements

    3Q23 key achievements Delivered underlying profitability with continued strong flows Stayed close to clients as we helped them navigate challenging markets Executed on our integration at pace while planning for the next milestones Reinforced our balance sheet for all seasons 3

  5. Slide 5: Strong progress amid challenging market conditions

    Strong progress amid challenging market conditions Underlying profit / (loss) before tax 3Q23 USD bn • Underlying revenues +6% QoQ • Underlying operating 1.1 expenses (5%) QoQ 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.8 14.4% 844m CET1 capital ratio Underlying 0.1 0.2 PBT (0.1) (0.1) (0.2) 195bn 89.3% (0.6) (0.7) Total loss-ab

  6. Slide 6: Delivering on integration priorities

    Delivering on integration priorities 1 2 3 4 Franchise stabilization Funding cost Balance sheet Cost base right-sizing and client win-back efficiencies optimization +22bn ~450m (52bn) ~3bn Net new money, Gross funding cost LRD reduced in Annualized exit rate gross GWM efficiencies delivered in 3Q NC

  7. Slide 7: Client trust and confidence demonstrated by strong flows in GWM and P&C

    Client trust and confidence demonstrated by strong flows in GWM and P&C Wealth management Wealth management Swiss businesses Net new money / net new assets, USD bn1 Net new deposits, USD bn1 Net new deposits, CHF bn 28 16 18 17 13 14 9 8 5 3 3 5 2 4 3 4 (3) (2) (0) (7) (7) (5) (19) (30) (27) (29) (3

  8. Slide 8: Accelerating the rundown of Non-core and Legacy assets

    Accelerating the rundown of Non-core and Legacy assets Finalized perimeter with further active unwinds Rundown based on natural run-off profile Credit and market risk RWA1 RWA bn bn Natural run-off profile to be accelerated with >80% driven by active unwinds when economically accretive active unwind

  9. Slide 9: Integration planning and execution well underway

    Integration planning and execution well underway Select 3Q achievements 4Q23 key priorities 2024 milestones ✓ Commenced onboarding of − Legal entity consolidation 1. Execute legal mergers of significant subsidiaries CS employees and flows onto planning UBS systems and platforms 2. First waves of cli

  10. Slide 10: Working towards ~15% RoCET1

    Working towards ~15% RoCET1 Underlying return on CET1 capital Illustrative ~15% ~15% ~14% underlying RoCET1 CET1 capital ratio 2026 exit rate over medium-term >10bn <70% gross cost saves by underlying cost/income end-2026 vs. FY22 ratio, 2026 exit rate Capital returns Committed to existing progressi

  11. Slide 11: Financial performance

    Financial performance Todd Tuckner, Group CFO 10

  12. Slide 12: Update on new group structure and reporting changes

    Update on new group structure and reporting changes Divisional structure as of 3Q23 Reporting changes 3Q23 Global Personal & Introduction of underlying reporting definition Wealth Management Corporate Banking 4Q23 Introduction of GWM NNM plus dividends and interest as well as Asset Investment GWM NN

  13. Slide 13: 3Q23 underlying PBT of 0.8bn, higher revenues and lower costs QoQ

    3Q23 underlying PBT of 0.8bn, higher revenues and lower costs QoQ Profits 3Q23 bn 1.0 +1.4 (255m) (785m) PBT Net profit 0.5 0.8 Estimated for three months combined, refer 0.4 to slide 29 for details 0.6 (4.0%) 1.1% RoCET1 RoCET1 underlying 2Q23 included 548m day-1 ECL recognition (2.1) (0.3) on acqu

  14. Slide 14: 3Q23 underlying total revenues 10.7bn, up 6% QoQ

    3Q23 underlying total revenues 10.7bn, up 6% QoQ Total revenues bn 1.0 11.7 ~450m QoQ benefit in Group Items from fully repaying PLB and ELA+ in August, ~100m residual cost in 3Q +6% 0.6 10.7 958m Pull to par and other PPA effects not 10.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 reflected in underlying in 3Q (0.0) (0.2) ~650m

  15. Slide 15: PPA pull to par overview and revenue recognition

    PPA pull to par overview and revenue recognition Accretion of PPA adjustments on financial instruments Recognized Opening balance Remaining balance to USD bn June 3Q23 as of 12.6.23 (close) be recognized GWM ~1.5 (0.1) (0.2) ~1.2 P&C ~4.8 (0.2) (0.4) ~4.3 IB ~2.12 (0.1) (0.3) ~1.8 Group Items ~0.9 0

  16. Slide 16: 3Q23 underlying operating expenses 9.6bn, down 5% QoQ

    3Q23 underlying operating expenses 9.6bn, down 5% QoQ Operating expenses bn 2.1 11.6 13k Headcount reduction vs. Dec-22 pro forma2 (5%) 10.0 (0.2) 0.0 9.6 >1bn (0.0) (0.1) Integration-related expenses (0.1) (0.0) expected in 4Q 2Q23 GWM P&C AM IB NCL Group Items 3Q23 Integration- 3Q23 estimated unde

  17. Slide 17: Maintaining strong capital and liquidity, and diversifying sources of funding

    Maintaining strong capital and liquidity, and diversifying sources of funding 3Q23 achievements Capital and leverage ratios Liquidity 3Q23 3Q23 − Issued 4.5bn of TLAC and 3bn of benchmark 14.4% 197% OpCo, with strong investor demand CET1 capital ratio LCR3 Guidance ~14% − Deposit inflows totaling 33

  18. Slide 18: Global Wealth Management

    Global Wealth Management 3Q23 3Q23 3Q23 underlying vs 2Q23 estimated underlying USD m, except where indicated underlying reported USD bn Total revenues 5,492 5,810 5.5 5.5 Total revenues 5,492m, broadly stable on Net interest income 1,648 1,946 higher recurring net fee income, offset by Total lower

  19. Slide 19: Personal & Corporate Banking (CHF)

    Personal & Corporate Banking (CHF) 3Q23 3Q23 3Q23 underlying vs 2Q23 estimated underlying CHF m, except where indicated underlying reported CHF bn Total revenues 2,159 2,556 2.1 2.2 Revenues 2,159m, up slightly as lower NII was Net interest income 1,189 1,550 offset by higher non-NII revenue Total R

  20. Slide 20: Asset Management

    Asset Management 3Q23 3Q23 3Q23 underlying vs 2Q23 estimated underlying USD m, except where indicated underlying reported USD bn Total revenues 755 755 Net management fees 737 737 Total revenues 755m, up slightly QoQ driven 0.7 0.8 by higher net management and performance Performance fees 18 18 Tota

  21. Slide 21: Investment Bank

    Investment Bank 3Q23 underlying vs 3Q22 3Q23 3Q23 3Q22 USD m, except where indicated reported USD bn underlying reported (6%) Global Banking revenues +36% YoY Total revenues 1,900 2,151 2,032 2.0 1.9 − Advisory +40% YoY mainly due to higher Global Banking 447 698 329 M&A revenues Total Advisory 191

  22. Slide 22: Non-core and Legacy

    Non-core and Legacy 3Q23 3Q23 USD bn USD m, except where indicated underlying reported (6) PBT (1,932m), (1,014m) underlying which excludes 84 77 integration-related expenses Total revenues 350 350 RWA Credit loss expense / (release) 125 125 Total revenues 350m, driven by gains from early unwinds, p

  23. Slide 23: On track to deliver our integration goals

    On track to deliver our integration goals Delivered underlying profitability with continued strong flows Stayed close to clients as we helped them navigate challenging markets Executed on our integration at pace while planning for the next milestones Reinforced our balance sheet for all seasons 22

  24. Slide 24: Appendix

    Appendix 23

  25. Slide 25: UBS Group results

    UBS Group results USD m, except where indicated 3Q23 2Q23 1Q23 4Q22 3Q22 Total revenues 11,695 9,540 8,744 8,029 8,236 Negative goodwill 28,925 Credit loss expense / (release) 306 623 38 7 (3) Operating expenses 11,644 8,486 7,210 6,085 5,916 Operating profit / (loss) before tax (255) 29,356 1,495 1

  26. Slide 26: UBS Group 3Q23 underlying results

    UBS Group 3Q23 underlying results UBS Group AG GWM P&C AM IB NCL Group USD m, except where indicated Items Operating profit / (loss) before tax as reported (255) 1,007 1,124 31 (230) (1,932) (255) o/w: Pull to par and other PPA effects 958 318 446 251 (57) o/w: Integration-related expenses (2,003) (

  27. Slide 27: CET1 capital and RWA walk

    CET1 capital and RWA walk CET1 capital Risk weighted assets bn bn (2%) (2%) 80.3 556.6 0.4 0.0 (0.3) 546.5 (4.9) (0.1) (5.5) (0.6) 78.6 Expect regulatory-driven (0.8) updates to credit and counterparty credit risk models will result in an RWA increase of ~2bn in 4Q23 318.5 2Q23 PBT Current tax Other

  28. Slide 28: Capital and leverage ratios

    Capital and leverage ratios Total TLAC 195bn 35.7% 12.1% 103bn HoldCo 18.9% 6.4% TLAC: 25.6% TLAC: 8.8% Total T1 capital 92bn 16.8% 5.7% 13bn AT1 2.4% 0.8% Going concern: 14.9% Going concern: 5.0% CET1 capital CET1 leverage CET1: 10.6% ratio guidance: 14.4% ratio guidance: 4.9% 79bn CET1 >4.0% CET1:

  29. Slide 29: Finalized Non-core and Legacy perimeter as of 30.9.23

    Finalized Non-core and Legacy perimeter as of 30.9.23 RWA versus 2Q23 pro forma RWA and LRD by instrument and risk type bn bn (6bn) 84 77 55 30 30 30 77 156 77 (1) Equities 4 18 54 54 47 Macro 8 2Q23 Scope 2Q23 Operational 2Q23 3Q23 30 Loans 15 Credit risk 39 pro forma changes1 finalized risk RWA to

  30. Slide 30: Reconciliation of estimated underlying combined results for 2Q23

    Reconciliation of estimated underlying combined results for 2Q23 Credit loss expense / USD bn Revenues Operating expenses Profit before tax (release) UBS sub-group1 (IFRS) 8.4 0.0 6.8 1.5 Credit Suisse sub-group (US GAAP)2,3 (0.7) 0.1 9.2 (10.0) UBS sub-group exclusions from underlying results4 (0.5

  31. Slide 31: Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking statements

    Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking statements Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements | This presentation contains statements that constitute “forward-looking statements,” including but not limited to management’s outlook for UBS’s financial performance, statements rela

UBS Group — Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation on 6ix